Pan-Asia Catalysts/Events, Quiddity Advisors

Travis Lundy

Pan-Asia Catalysts/Events

Quiddity Advisors

Event-Driven

<ul>
<li>SOUTHBOUND was a net buyer this week. But who cares. They actually net sold US$2bn of everything which was not <a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/alibaba-group-holding-ltd-d7b798e2-202d-4e01-9a1e-799e2ae8f0c7" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="entities:28434:1" rel="noopener">Alibaba Group Holding (9988 HK)</a>. </li>
<li>Bigger news, of course, was China's "Bazooka" which LOOKS exciting. Stocks are up 15-20% in four days. Lots of BIG numbers are being thrown around. Not everything is "real money."</li>
<li>It takes a little sleuthing to figure out where the real money is. For that, I suggest reading <a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/insights/china-s-maybe-biggish-quasi-bazooka" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="insights:160299" rel="noopener">China's [Maybe] Biggish [Quasi?] Bazooka</a> and more below.</li>
</ul>


SOUTHBOUND was a net buyer this week. But who cares. They actually net sold US$2bn of everything which was not Alibaba Group Holding (9988 HK). 
Bigger news, of course, was China's "Bazooka" which LOOKS exciting. Stocks are up 15-20% in four days. Lots of BIG numbers are being thrown around. Not everything is "real money."
It takes a little sleuthing to figure out where the real money is. For that, I suggest reading China's [Maybe] Biggish [Quasi?] Bazooka and more below.


HK Connect SOUTHBOUND Flows (To 27 Sep 2024); Everything Changed This Week

Asia Pac IPO & Placement Research, China biotech, Aequitas Research

Ke Yan, CFA, FRM

Asia Pac IPO & Placement Research, China biotech

IPOs and Placements coverage across Asia Pacific

Aequitas Research

We cover all listing across the Asia Pacific along with follow-up placements. As of Dec 2020, our team had covered 539 IPOs with a hit rate of 73.5% and 685 placements with a hit rate of 66.8%.

We combine fundamental bottom-up views with our proprietary quantitative framework to provide a holistic coverage across new listings and placements. Our coverage includes pre-IPO notes before the deal is launched, follow-up analysis once the deal is live and post-listing trading analysis as well.

Quantitative Analysis

<ul>
<li>We analyze the weekly Hong Kong Connect flows with our data engine for holding position as of September 26th.</li>
<li>The top stocks by inflows and outflows were tabulated for all market, HSCEI, mid cap and s/mid cap groups.</li>
<li>We highlight flows for Alibaba, HKEx, Kuaishou Technology, Meituan, Tencent, China Mobile, CNOOC.</li>
</ul>


We analyze the weekly Hong Kong Connect flows with our data engine for holding position as of September 26th.
The top stocks by inflows and outflows were tabulated for all market, HSCEI, mid cap and s/mid cap groups.
We highlight flows for Alibaba, HKEx, Kuaishou Technology, Meituan, Tencent, China Mobile, CNOOC.


Hong Kong Connect Flows (Sep 26th): Alibaba, HKEx, Kuaishou Technology, Meituan, Tencent

<ul>
<li>We analyzed the latest HK SFC report for aggregate short position as of Sep 20th.</li>
<li>Top short increases and decreases were tabulated for one week and four week period. </li>
<li>We highlight short changes in AIA, Angelalign, Kuaishou, China Mobile.</li>
</ul>


We analyzed the latest HK SFC report for aggregate short position as of Sep 20th.
Top short increases and decreases were tabulated for one week and four week period. 
We highlight short changes in AIA, Angelalign, Kuaishou, China Mobile.


HK Short Interest Weekly: AIA, Angelalign, Kuaishou, China Mobile

External broker reports(aggregated public sources), CMB International

CMB International

External broker reports(aggregated public sources)

Incorporated in Hong Kong, supported by the mainland and targeting in global market, CMB International Capital Corporation Limited (“CMBI”) is an integrated financial institution providing comprehensive and professional services. As a wholly-owned subsidiary of China Merchants Bank ("CMB"), by leveraging on the Group’s synergy and coordination in domestic and overseas markets, as well as CMB’s strong resources and outstanding social reputation, CMBI and its subsidiaries have been actively implementing diversified business strategies and set up an overall layout of main business segments including Corporate Finance, Asset Management, Wealth Management, Global Markets and Structured Finance, etc. Adhering to the philosophy of “being clients oriented and increasing our own values by the way of creating value for clients”, CMBI endeavors to provide quality and integrated financial services to institutional, corporate and individual customers both domestic and overseas including Hong Kong IPO sponsorship and underwriting, share placement and rights issue for listed companies, financial advisors, bonds issuance services, asset management, direct investment, wealth management, equity sales and trading, etc.

Thematic (Sector/Industry)

<ul><li>We update our sector investment views for the next six months post earnings as follows: 1) Companies with solid fundamentals and high revenue and profit growth visibility; 2) sustained profitability and willingness to lift shareholder returns; and 3) a sizeable TAM for new initiatives and business explorations likely to generate a decent ROIC.</li><li>We believe the market will continue to allocate to such names and value them fairly.</li><li>Taking into account 2Q results and recent stock performances, we find our previous view has been testified: better-than-expected earnings are not enough to drive a share rally, but better-than-expected 3Q/full-year outlook and enhanced shareholder return measures could provide key support. </li></ul><p><em>Content is external broker report sourced from online content aggregator through publicly available sources and is displayed below for general informational purposes only. Refer full disclaimer below.</em></p>

We update our sector investment views for the next six months post earnings as follows: 1) Companies with solid fundamentals and high revenue and profit growth visibility; 2) sustained profitability and willingness to lift shareholder returns; and 3) a sizeable TAM for new initiatives and business explorations likely to generate a decent ROIC.We believe the market will continue to allocate to such names and value them fairly.Taking into account 2Q results and recent stock performances, we find our previous view has been testified: better-than-expected earnings are not enough to drive a share rally, but better-than-expected 3Q/full-year outlook and enhanced shareholder return measures could provide key support. Content is external broker report sourced from online content aggregator through publicly available sources and is displayed below for general informational purposes only. Refer full disclaimer below.

Internet - 2Q24 Recap & Stock-Picking Ideas: Seeking Certainty

<ul>
<li>We analyze statistics on top repurchases over one week, one month, one quarter and one year periods ended on Sep 27th based on HKEx daily reports.</li>
<li>In the past 7 days, the top 3 companies that repurchased the most shares from the market were Tencent (700 HK), Meituan (3690 HK), Sinopec (386 HK).</li>
<li>In the past 30 days, the top 3 companies that repurchased the most shares from the market were Tencent (700 HK), Meituan (3690 HK), AIA (1299 HK).</li>
</ul>


We analyze statistics on top repurchases over one week, one month, one quarter and one year periods ended on Sep 27th based on HKEx daily reports.
In the past 7 days, the top 3 companies that repurchased the most shares from the market were Tencent (700 HK), Meituan (3690 HK), Sinopec (386 HK).
In the past 30 days, the top 3 companies that repurchased the most shares from the market were Tencent (700 HK), Meituan (3690 HK), AIA (1299 HK).


Hong Kong Buybacks Weekly (Sep 27th): Tencent, Meituan, Sinopec

China

Kuaishou Technology operates as a content community and social platform. The Company helps users create, upload and watch short videos on mobile devices. Kuaishou Technology offers services worldwide.

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Kuaishou Technology (1024 HK)

HK Connect SOUTHBOUND Flows (To 27 Sep 2024); Everything Changed This Week

HK SOUTHBOUND Connect flows remain positive, but they remain strong for Alibaba and negative for other tech - particularly Kuaioshou, Meituan, and...

Travis Lundy

Hong Kong Connect Flows (Sep 26th): Alibaba, HKEx, Kuaishou Technology, Meituan, Tencent

We analyzed southbound Hong Kong connect flows in the past week and highlighted flows for Alibaba, HKEx, Kuaishou Technology, Meituan, Tencent,...

Ke Yan, CFA, FRM

HK Short Interest Weekly: AIA, Angelalign, Kuaishou, China Mobile

We analyzed the latest HK SFC report for aggregate short position as of Sep 20th and highlight short interest changes in AIA, Angelalign, Kuaishou,...

Ke Yan, CFA, FRM

Internet - 2Q24 Recap & Stock-Picking Ideas: Seeking Certainty

We update our sector investment views for the next six months post earnings as follows: 1) Companies with solid fundamentals and high revenue and...

CMB International

Hong Kong Buybacks Weekly (Sep 27th): Tencent, Meituan, Sinopec

We analyzed the Hong Kong buyback data in the past week and highlight the top 3 companies that repurchased the most shares were Tencent (700 HK),...

Ke Yan, CFA, FRM

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