HK/China Healthcare Analyst (ex-Fosun Pharma)

Xinyao (Criss) Wang

Event-Driven

Beijing Tiantan Biological Products / Event-Driven

<ul>
<li>Guangming District State-owned Assets Supervision and Administration Bureau reached a cooperation agreement with China National Biotec to establish a joint venture, which will become the new controlling shareholder of Weiguang.</li>
<li>Since Tiantan is already Sinopharm’s subsidiary, there will be horizontal competition issue in the field of blood product business between Tiantan and Weiguang, mainly due to significant business overlap.</li>
<li>Some spin-offs and integrations are expected between Tiantan and Weiguang. As the reform of SOE enters a new stage, the two companies could end up very different.</li>
</ul>


Guangming District State-owned Assets Supervision and Administration Bureau reached a cooperation agreement with China National Biotec to establish a joint venture, which will become the new controlling shareholder of Weiguang.
Since Tiantan is already Sinopharm’s subsidiary, there will be horizontal competition issue in the field of blood product business between Tiantan and Weiguang, mainly due to significant business overlap.
Some spin-offs and integrations are expected between Tiantan and Weiguang. As the reform of SOE enters a new stage, the two companies could end up very different.


Tiantan (600161CH) To Acquire Weiguang (002880CH)- New King Rises in China's Blood Products Industry

Equity Bottom-Up

Beijing Tiantan Biological Products / Equity Bottom-Up

<ul>
<li>Even good enterprises could be neglected by the market, leading to low valuation. Many people wonder when is the best buying point for pharmaceutical companies. We shared our views.</li>
<li>If PD-1 sold in China can still achieve a certain scale, the situation of PD-L1 is not the same. In fact, we’re pessimistic about all companies selling PD-L1 in China.</li>
<li>
<a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/beijing-tiantan-biological-products-corp" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="entities:5190:1" rel="noopener">Beijing Tiantan Biological Products (600161 CH) </a>is a good defensive target in unfriendly external environment. The reasonable market value is RMB45-50 billion. We think Tiantan will maintain stable growth ahead.</li>
</ul>


Even good enterprises could be neglected by the market, leading to low valuation. Many people wonder when is the best buying point for pharmaceutical companies. We shared our views.
If PD-1 sold in China can still achieve a certain scale, the situation of PD-L1 is not the same. In fact, we’re pessimistic about all companies selling PD-L1 in China.

Beijing Tiantan Biological Products (600161 CH) is a good defensive target in unfriendly external environment. The reasonable market value is RMB45-50 billion. We think Tiantan will maintain stable growth ahead.


China Healthcare Weekly (Jan.26)- Stocks Best Buying Point, Tragic PD-L1, Tiantan Biological Product

Equity Analyst, Event-driven, Quiddity Advisors

Janaghan Jeyakumar, CFA

Equity Analyst, Event-driven

Quiddity Advisors

Pan-Asia Catalysts/Events

Xinjiang Tianshan Cement A / Event-Driven

<ul>
<li>CSI 300 represents the 300 largest stocks by market capitalization and liquidity from the entire universe of Shanghai and Shenzhen Stock Exchanges. CSI 500 represents the next largest 500 names.</li>
<li>In this insight, we take a look at the potential ADDs/DELs for the CSI 300 and CSI 500 rebalance in June 2024.</li>
<li>There are some changes to the list of expected ADDs/DELs since I published my last insight on this roughly a month ago.</li>
</ul>


CSI 300 represents the 300 largest stocks by market capitalization and liquidity from the entire universe of Shanghai and Shenzhen Stock Exchanges. CSI 500 represents the next largest 500 names.
In this insight, we take a look at the potential ADDs/DELs for the CSI 300 and CSI 500 rebalance in June 2024.
There are some changes to the list of expected ADDs/DELs since I published my last insight on this roughly a month ago.


Quiddity Leaderboard CSI 300/​​500 Jun 24: Exp. One-Way Flow Tops US$3bn Due to Passive AUM Surge

Pan-Asia Index Rebalances/ Events/ Delta One, Periscope Analytics

Brian Freitas

Pan-Asia Index Rebalances/ Events/ Delta One

Periscope Analytics

Periscope Analytics focuses on event-driven trades across Asia Pacific and provides comprehensive, timely and systematic coverage of index changes to major Asia Pacific indices in a structured manner.

The analysis includes forecasted inclusions and exclusions to all major Asian indices that have significant amount of tracking assets, including estimates of passive buy/sell flow on the stocks. The service also provides commentary and impact of market consultations, ground rule changes, and other events (IPOs, spin-offs, M&A) that could lead to index changes and passive flow.

Periscope Analytics works with multi-strategy hedge funds, proprietary trading firms, stat arb trading groups and long-only investors that invest and trade in the Asia Pacific region with the data being used to trade index rebalances, avoid pre-positioning and passive flow, and to time entry into and exit from stocks.

Event-Driven Trades Across Asia Pacific

<ul>
<li>The review period for the <a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/nifty-index" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="entities:23617:1" rel="noopener">NIFTY</a> family of indices, <a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/nikkei-225" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="entities:22909:1" rel="noopener">Nikkei 225</a>, <a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/sse-science-and-technology-innovation-board-50-index" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="entities:29279:1" rel="noopener">STAR50</a>, the KRX New Deal Index and a global index ends on 31 January.</li>
<li>The January rebalance of the IDX30 and LQ45 indices will be implemented at the close of trading on 31 January.</li>
<li>There have been huge inflows into the <a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/shanghai-shenzhen-csi-300-inde" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="entities:22906:1" rel="noopener">CSI 300 Index</a> ETFs for another week. This will increase the impact on the index changes at the next rebalance.</li>
</ul>


The review period for the NIFTY family of indices, Nikkei 225, STAR50, the KRX New Deal Index and a global index ends on 31 January.
The January rebalance of the IDX30 and LQ45 indices will be implemented at the close of trading on 31 January.
There have been huge inflows into the CSI 300 Index ETFs for another week. This will increase the impact on the index changes at the next rebalance.


Index Rebalance & ETF Flow Recap: CSI300, CSI500, SSE50, ChiNext, KOSPI200, Renesas, IDX30/LQ45

Shanghai RAAS Blood Products C / Event-Driven

<ul>
<li>Geopolitical risks have led to foreign companies planning to withdraw from China.It’s also difficult to allow foreign companies to control China’s core strategic assets.So, Grifols and RAAS’ “breakup” is inevitable.</li>
<li>This acquisition is an important milestone in the development of Haier’s big health industry. RAAS’s valuation also has room to rise further after being acquire by Haier due to synergies.</li>
<li>In the case of slowing growth in the home appliance market, this is a wise move for Haier.However, potential goodwill impairment in GDS is a risk for Haier/RAAS and investors.</li>
</ul>


Geopolitical risks have led to foreign companies planning to withdraw from China.It’s also difficult to allow foreign companies to control China’s core strategic assets.So, Grifols and RAAS’ “breakup” is inevitable.
This acquisition is an important milestone in the development of Haier’s big health industry. RAAS’s valuation also has room to rise further after being acquire by Haier due to synergies.
In the case of slowing growth in the home appliance market, this is a wise move for Haier.However, potential goodwill impairment in GDS is a risk for Haier/RAAS and investors.


Haier Group to Buy $1.8B Stake in Shanghai RAAS from Grifols – A New Chapter Begins

China

Beijing Tiantan Biological Products Corporation Limited researches, develops, and commercializes biological products.  The Company provides treatment for hepatitis and offers a line of vaccine products including hepatitis vaccines and rubella vaccines.

Beijing Tiantan Biological Products (600161 CH)

Beijing Tiantan Biological Products (600161 CH)

Tiantan (600161CH) To Acquire Weiguang (002880CH)- New King Rises in China's Blood Products Industry

The change of Weiguang's actual controller will bring about a series of restructuring.As SOE reform enters new stage, investors will have good...

Xinyao (Criss) Wang

China Healthcare Weekly (Jan.26)- Stocks Best Buying Point, Tragic PD-L1, Tiantan Biological Product

Here're views on the best buying point for pharmaceutical companies.Different from PD-1, we’re pessimistic about all companies selling PD-L1 in...

Xinyao (Criss) Wang

Quiddity Leaderboard CSI 300/500 Jun 24: Exp. One-Way Flow Tops US$3bn Due to Passive AUM Surge

Significant amounts of new passive money has flowed into the CSI 300 and CSI 500 index resulting in a sharp increase in our one-way flow...

Janaghan Jeyakumar, CFA

Index Rebalance & ETF Flow Recap: CSI300, CSI500, SSE50, ChiNext, KOSPI200, Renesas, IDX30/LQ45

This recap highlights Insights covering Asian index rebalances (announcements/ forecasts/ IPO Fast Entry/ M&A driven changes). We also highlight...

Brian Freitas

Haier Group to Buy $1.8B Stake in Shanghai RAAS from Grifols – A New Chapter Begins

We analyzed the key points/logic behind Haier's decision to acquire Shanghai RAAS from Grifols. Despite potential risks, it is still a wise move...

Xinyao (Criss) Wang

Tiantan (600161CH) To Acquire Weiguang (002880CH)- New King Rises in China's Blood Products Industry

The change of Weiguang's actual controller will bring about a series of restructuring.As SOE reform enters new stage, investors will have good...

Xinyao (Criss) Wang

China Healthcare Weekly (Jan.26)- Stocks Best Buying Point, Tragic PD-L1, Tiantan Biological Product

Here're views on the best buying point for pharmaceutical companies.Different from PD-1, we’re pessimistic about all companies selling PD-L1 in...

Xinyao (Criss) Wang

Quiddity Leaderboard CSI 300/​​500 Jun 24: Exp. One-Way Flow Tops US$3bn Due to Passive AUM Surge

Significant amounts of new passive money has flowed into the CSI 300 and CSI 500 index resulting in a sharp increase in our one-way flow...

Janaghan Jeyakumar, CFA

Index Rebalance & ETF Flow Recap: CSI300, CSI500, SSE50, ChiNext, KOSPI200, Renesas, IDX30/LQ45

This recap highlights Insights covering Asian index rebalances (announcements/ forecasts/ IPO Fast Entry/ M&A driven changes). We also highlight...

Brian Freitas

Haier Group to Buy $1.8B Stake in Shanghai RAAS from Grifols – A New Chapter Begins

We analyzed the key points/logic behind Haier's decision to acquire Shanghai RAAS from Grifols. Despite potential risks, it is still a wise move...

Xinyao (Criss) Wang

Quiddity Leaderboard CSI 300/500 Jun 24: Exp. One-Way Flow Tops US$3bn Due to Passive AUM Surge