Technical Analyst, Vermilion Research

Joe Jasper

Technical Analyst

Technical and Quantitative Research

Vermilion Research

Vermilion’s objective is to deliver timely, actionable, and unique technical research to professional investors through the application of our various technical indicators.

Our research strategists seek to highlight securities which we believe are at major inflection points, based on our various technical and quantitative indicators, and offer asymmetric risk/return profiles. Our unique research methodology, centered on relative strength, enables our strategists to deliver superior investment recommendations.

Our process begins by organizing the universe of actively traded stocks into discrete sectors, then into industry groups. We then apply our technical and quantitative tools to identify developing price trends. Once attractive trends are identified within a selected sector or group, we screen for individual stocks which we believe offer the best risk/reward profile. We provide a historical perspective that often reveals, through our long-term charts, how price patterns often repeat themselves over time.

Technical Analysis

<ul>
<li>We remain bullish since our 4/22/25 Compass, and we will maintain our bullish outlook as long as market dynamics remain healthy and the S&amp;P 500 (SPX) is above 6028-6059.</li>
<li>Shorter-Term, the SPX violated its 3.5-month uptrend yesterday, but managed to rally back to the breakdown level by yesterday's close. </li>
<li>We would not yet call this a decisive breakdown, and we are on the lookout for a potential reclaim back above this uptrend at the 6425-3430 level. Or consolidation?</li>
</ul>


We remain bullish since our 4/22/25 Compass, and we will maintain our bullish outlook as long as market dynamics remain healthy and the S&amp;P 500 (SPX) is above 6028-6059.
Shorter-Term, the SPX violated its 3.5-month uptrend yesterday, but managed to rally back to the breakdown level by yesterday's close. 
We would not yet call this a decisive breakdown, and we are on the lookout for a potential reclaim back above this uptrend at the 6425-3430 level. Or consolidation?


Downgrading Staples to Underweight; New Leaders Still Leading As Prior Leaders Consolidate

<ul>
<li>Volatility finally picked up last Friday, and the SPX and Nasdaq 100 (QQQ) both gapped lower to close below their 20-day MAs for the first time in over three months.</li>
<li>With that said, all of the major indexes (SPX, QQQ, DJI, IWM) rallied yesterday to fill their gaps from Friday and SPX and QQQ have reclaimed above their 20-day MAs. </li>
<li>This is a bullish signal that suggests any further pullback is likely to be relatively shallow, and should be treated as a buying opportunity.</li>
</ul>


Volatility finally picked up last Friday, and the SPX and Nasdaq 100 (QQQ) both gapped lower to close below their 20-day MAs for the first time in over three months.
With that said, all of the major indexes (SPX, QQQ, DJI, IWM) rallied yesterday to fill their gaps from Friday and SPX and QQQ have reclaimed above their 20-day MAs. 
This is a bullish signal that suggests any further pullback is likely to be relatively shallow, and should be treated as a buying opportunity.


Was That It?; Downgrading Discretionary and Energy; Gr/Val Breakout; Market Dynamics Remain Risk-On

<ul>
<li>Our outlook remains bullish and we see the market in the midst of a significant end-of-year rally that we have been expecting since mid-October.</li>
<li>We continue to expect support at 20-day MAs on $SPX and Nasdaq 100 (QQQ), while support at current levels or the 50-day MA is likely on the Russell 2000 (IWM).</li>
<li>Market dynamics continue to improve, giving us confidence that this bull run is likely to go at least another month into mid-January, and quite likely beyond.</li>
</ul>


Our outlook remains bullish and we see the market in the midst of a significant end-of-year rally that we have been expecting since mid-October.
We continue to expect support at 20-day MAs on $SPX and Nasdaq 100 (QQQ), while support at current levels or the 50-day MA is likely on the Russell 2000 (IWM).
Market dynamics continue to improve, giving us confidence that this bull run is likely to go at least another month into mid-January, and quite likely beyond.


Growth Leading This EOY Rally; Expect More Upside. PHLX Semis $SOXX With a Bullish 5-Month Reversal

External reports (aggregated public sources), Value Investors Club

Value Investors Club (VIC)

External reports (aggregated public sources)

Value Investors Club

Equity Bottom-Up

<ul><li>Company previously written up by starfox02 has doubled in price since August 2022</li><li>Author sees potential for stock price to double again and provides a refresher on investment thesis</li><li>Company specializes in manufacturing reliable and high-quality fuses, connectors, and power components for industries; trading at a low earnings multiple with opportunities for growth and margin expansion</li></ul><p><em>This content is sourced through publicly available sources and has been machine generated. Information displayed is for general informational purposes only. This article was originally published 3 months ago on Value Investors Club.</em></p>

Company previously written up by starfox02 has doubled in price since August 2022Author sees potential for stock price to double again and provides a refresher on investment thesisCompany specializes in manufacturing reliable and high-quality fuses, connectors, and power components for industries; trading at a low earnings multiple with opportunities for growth and margin expansionThis content is sourced through publicly available sources and has been machine generated. Information displayed is for general informational purposes only. This article was originally published 3 months ago on Value Investors Club.

Bel Fuse Inc (BELFB) - Friday, Mar 1, 2024

High Quality Stock Setups, Weekly Stock Bull Finder

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Finding high potential stock setups on quality companies

Thematic (Sector/Industry)

<ul><li>When considering future investment opportunities, the renewable energy transition continues to be an exciting space to investors given its enormous potential total addressable market coupled with climate change legislation that is acting as a tailwind in virtually every G-20 country.</li><li>Almost every month, there continues to be a steady drumbeat of new rules issued locally and across the globe which results in faster timelines to transition to battery storage and other clean energy as well as tighter restrictions to ultimately phase out traditional gas powered transportation and coal power.</li><li>For example, while California has already passed rules requiring all new cars, pickup trucks and SUVs sold to be electric or hydrogen by 2035, California approved rules last week which will require all new medium heavy-duty truck and bus sales sold in the state in 2036 to be zero-emission</li></ul>

When considering future investment opportunities, the renewable energy transition continues to be an exciting space to investors given its enormous potential total addressable market coupled with climate change legislation that is acting as a tailwind in virtually every G-20 country.Almost every month, there continues to be a steady drumbeat of new rules issued locally and across the globe which results in faster timelines to transition to battery storage and other clean energy as well as tighter restrictions to ultimately phase out traditional gas powered transportation and coal power.For example, while California has already passed rules requiring all new cars, pickup trucks and SUVs sold to be electric or hydrogen by 2035, California approved rules last week which will require all new medium heavy-duty truck and bus sales sold in the state in 2036 to be zero-emission

United States

Bel Fuse Inc. designs, manufactures, and sells products used in networking, telecommunication, data transmission, and automotive and consumer electronics. The Company's products include magnetic components, fuses, delay lines, and thick film hybrids.  Bel Fuse operates facilities around the world.

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Bel Fuse Inc Cl B (BELFB US)

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Bel Fuse Inc (BELFB) - Friday, Mar 1, 2024

Company previously written up by starfox02 has doubled in price since August 2022. Author sees potential for stock price to double again and...

Value Investors Club (VIC)

Weekly Stock Bullfinder - Week of 5/1

When considering future investment opportunities, the renewable energy transition continues to be an exciting space to investors given its enormous...

Weekly Stock Bull Finder

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