Director, RaaS Research Group, Research as a Service (RaaS)

RaaS Research Group (RaaS)

Director, RaaS Research Group

Insightful Financial Models and Research Analysis

Research as a Service (RaaS)

Connect to the right investors through smart and insightful financial models and research analysis.

Equity Bottom-Up

<ul><li>Bell Financial Group Ltd (ASX:BFG) is a diversified provider of financial products and software solutions within, and increasingly outside, its traditional full-service stockbroking business.</li><li>BFG has reported a headline NPAT decline of 44% to $9.3m for H1 FY25.</li><li>RaaS had forecast a decline of 32% excluding investment losses on the back of lower ECM activity, which was the case and saw the retail and institutional (broking) business move from a profit to a loss over the period (a $9.1m turnaround).</li></ul>

Bell Financial Group Ltd (ASX:BFG) is a diversified provider of financial products and software solutions within, and increasingly outside, its traditional full-service stockbroking business.BFG has reported a headline NPAT decline of 44% to $9.3m for H1 FY25.RaaS had forecast a decline of 32% excluding investment losses on the back of lower ECM activity, which was the case and saw the retail and institutional (broking) business move from a profit to a loss over the period (a $9.1m turnaround).

Bell Financial Group Ltd - A strong July lmost offsets H1 FY25 decline

Pan-Asia Catalysts/Events, Quiddity Advisors

David Blennerhassett

Pan-Asia Catalysts/Events

Quiddity Advisors

Event-Driven

<ul>
<li>Buy <a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/hankyu-hanshin-reit-inc" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="entities:12654:1" rel="noopener">Hankyu Hanshin REIT, Inc. (8977 JP)</a> on any weakness. There will be strength ahead.</li>
<li>With <a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/enn-energy-holdings-ltd" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="entities:316:1" rel="noopener">ENN Energy (2688 HK)</a> suspended pursuant to the Takeovers Code, a third party Offer, as opposed to ENN Group, seems more likely. </li>
<li>Be long <a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/idemitsu-kosan-co-ltd" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="entities:109:1" rel="noopener">Idemitsu (5019 JP)</a> vs <a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/eneos-holdings-inc" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="entities:638:1" rel="noopener">ENEOS</a> for the next several weeks. Light and easy drift trade based on pressure increasing and pressure ending before new news in May.</li>
</ul>


Buy Hankyu Hanshin REIT, Inc. (8977 JP) on any weakness. There will be strength ahead.
With ENN Energy (2688 HK) suspended pursuant to the Takeovers Code, a third party Offer, as opposed to ENN Group, seems more likely. 
Be long Idemitsu (5019 JP) vs ENEOS for the next several weeks. Light and easy drift trade based on pressure increasing and pressure ending before new news in May.


Last Week in Event SPACE: Hankyu Hanshin REIT, ENN Energy, Idemitsu, HKBN, Jardine Matheson

Shinko Electric Industries / Event-Driven

<ul>
<li>I tally 52 - mostly firm, mostly Asia-Pac - transactions currently being discussed and analysed on Smartkarma.</li>
<li>Three news new deals discussed this week: the <a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/westgold-resources-ltd" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="entities:24269:1" rel="noopener">Westgold Resources (WGX AU)</a>/<a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/spartan-resources-ltd-australi" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="entities:1818:1" rel="noopener">Spartan Resources (SPR AU)</a> merger, and <a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/econavista-inc" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="entities:39958:1" rel="noopener">EcoNaviSta (5585 JP)</a>'s Tender Offer.</li>
<li>Key updates/news took place on: <a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/excalibur-mining-corp-ltd" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="entities:3088:1" rel="noopener">Dropsuite Ltd (DSE AU)</a>,<a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/shandong-fengxiang-co-ltd-h" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="entities:29164:1" rel="noopener">Shandong Fengxiang (9977 HK)</a>, <a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/proto-corp" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="entities:2511:1" rel="noopener">Proto Corp (4298 JP)</a>, and <a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/shinko-electric-industries" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="entities:15066:1" rel="noopener">Shinko Electric Industries (6967 JP)</a>.</li>
</ul>


I tally 52 - mostly firm, mostly Asia-Pac - transactions currently being discussed and analysed on Smartkarma.
Three news new deals discussed this week: the Westgold Resources (WGX AU)/Spartan Resources (SPR AU) merger, and EcoNaviSta (5585 JP)'s Tender Offer.
Key updates/news took place on: Dropsuite Ltd (DSE AU),Shandong Fengxiang (9977 HK), Proto Corp (4298 JP), and Shinko Electric Industries (6967 JP).


(Mostly) Asia-Pac M&A: Westgold/Spartan, Dropsuite, Shandong Fengxiang, Proto Corp, Shinko Electric

<ul>
<li>On the 27th Feb 2025, online trading player <a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/selfwealth-ltd" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="entities:30690:1" rel="noopener">SelfWealth Ltd (SWF AU</a> entered into Scheme with Singaporean-based wealth manager Svava.</li>
<li>Svava tabled a A$0.28/share Offer, in cash, by way of a Scheme, trumping <a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/bell-financial-group-ltd" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="entities:7251:1" rel="noopener">Bell Financial (BFG AU)</a>'s A$0.25/share earlier bid. Svava also has a 18.83% stake.</li>
<li>
The Scheme Booklet is now <a href="https://announcements.asx.com.au/asxpdf/20250314/pdf/06gn3vm79y8dsl.pdf" target="_blank" rel="noopener">out</a>, with a Scheme Meeting on the 22nd April. Expected implementation on the 7th May. The IE (Grant Thorton) says fair &amp; reasonable.</li>
</ul>


On the 27th Feb 2025, online trading player SelfWealth Ltd (SWF AU entered into Scheme with Singaporean-based wealth manager Svava.
Svava tabled a A$0.28/share Offer, in cash, by way of a Scheme, trumping Bell Financial (BFG AU)'s A$0.25/share earlier bid. Svava also has a 18.83% stake.

The Scheme Booklet is now out, with a Scheme Meeting on the 22nd April. Expected implementation on the 7th May. The IE (Grant Thorton) says fair &amp; reasonable.


SelfWealth (SWF AU): 22nd April Scheme Vote

<ul>
<li>For the month of February 2025, 14 new transactions (firm and non-binding) were discussed on Smartkarma with an overall announced deal size of ~US$5bn.</li>
<li>The average premium for the new transactions announced (or first discussed) in February was ~55%, with a year-to-date average also of 56%. </li>
<li>The average premiums for transactions in 2024 (129 transactions), (2023 (117), 2022 (106), 2021 (165), 2020 (158), and 2019 (145 ) were 43%, 39%, 41%, 33%, 31%, and 31% .</li>
</ul>


For the month of February 2025, 14 new transactions (firm and non-binding) were discussed on Smartkarma with an overall announced deal size of ~US$5bn.
The average premium for the new transactions announced (or first discussed) in February was ~55%, with a year-to-date average also of 56%. 
The average premiums for transactions in 2024 (129 transactions), (2023 (117), 2022 (106), 2021 (165), 2020 (158), and 2019 (145 ) were 43%, 39%, 41%, 33%, 31%, and 31% .


(Mostly) Asia M&A, Feb 2025 Wrap: Domain, Proto, Shibaura, Paragon REIT, Mayne Pharma, PointsBet

Australia

Bell Financial Group Limited provides broking, investment and financial advisory services. The Company offers corporate finance, portfolio administration, investment solutions in global futures and options, currency markets, foreign exchange services. Bell Financial Group serves client in Australia.

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Bell Financial (BFG AU)

Bell Financial Group Ltd - A strong July lmost offsets H1 FY25 decline

Bell Financial Group Ltd (ASX:BFG) is a diversified provider of financial products and software solutions within, and increasingly outside, its...

Research as a Service (RaaS)

Last Week in Event SPACE: Hankyu Hanshin REIT, ENN Energy, Idemitsu, HKBN, Jardine Matheson

It’s Sunday! Pour yourself a coffee, grab a comfortable seat, and sift through a brief summary of insights on various events discussed during the...

David Blennerhassett

(Mostly) Asia-Pac M&A: Westgold/Spartan, Dropsuite, Shandong Fengxiang, Proto Corp, Shinko Electric

This insight provides a summary of gross/annualised spreads (on deals discussed on Smartkarma) across Asia-Pacific as at the last trading date, and...

David Blennerhassett

SelfWealth (SWF AU): 22nd April Scheme Vote

Trading tight-ish at a 3.7%/29.7% gross/annualised spread. If small, illiquid arbs are your bent, look to enter around here and on any weakness.

David Blennerhassett

(Mostly) Asia M&A, Feb 2025 Wrap: Domain, Proto, Shibaura, Paragon REIT, Mayne Pharma, PointsBet

For the month of February, 14 new deals were discussed on Smartkarma with an overall deal size of ~US$5bn. The average premium for the new deals...

David Blennerhassett

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52-week Range

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