ASEAN Insight Provider, CrossASEAN Research

Angus Mackintosh

ASEAN Insight Provider

CrossASEAN Research

At CrossASEAN Research we strive to produce unbiased and differentiated on the ground insights on companies across South East Asia. Our Research is produced for the most part after face to face meetings and conversations with company management to dig deep into the long term vision and strategy of the companies we cover. We seek to deliver investable and actionable themes on sectors and markets across SE Asia, often in collaboration with other Insight Providers across the region, pooling the vast experience of the analysts within the Smartkarma Ecosystem. We also offer bespoke work and tailor made trips for our clients. 

Insights across South East Asia

Equity Bottom-Up

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<li>
<a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/bfi-finance-indonesia-tbk-pt" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="entities:8447:1" rel="noopener">BFI Finance Indonesia</a> continued to see rapid momentum behind its recovery with new bookings in 2Q2022 hitting all time highs and spreads improving to 13.5% with NPFs declining.</li>
<li>The company's growth is driven by the non-dealer used vehicle market with new bookings coming mainly through agents and repeat customers, and digital initiatives in place to improve origination.</li>
<li>
<a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/bfi-finance-indonesia-tbk-pt" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="entities:8447:1" rel="noopener">BFIN</a> is the best quality multifinance player in Indonesia, with an ROE now above 21%. There will be more collaboration and synergies with <a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/bank-jago-tbk-pt" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="entities:31094:1" rel="noopener">Bank Jago</a> going forward further driving growth.</li>
</ul>



BFI Finance Indonesia continued to see rapid momentum behind its recovery with new bookings in 2Q2022 hitting all time highs and spreads improving to 13.5% with NPFs declining.
The company's growth is driven by the non-dealer used vehicle market with new bookings coming mainly through agents and repeat customers, and digital initiatives in place to improve origination.

BFIN is the best quality multifinance player in Indonesia, with an ROE now above 21%. There will be more collaboration and synergies with Bank Jago going forward further driving growth.


BFI Finance Indonesia (BFIN IJ) - Pole Position in Multifinance

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<li>
<a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/bfi-finance-indonesia-tbk-pt" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="entities:8447:1" rel="noopener">BFI Finance Indonesia (BFIN IJ)</a> adopted a cautious stance to new bookings in 2Q2024 given domestic and geopolitical risks but total receivables remained steady as did credit costs.</li>
<li>The company remained focused on non-dealer 4W financing, increased heavy equipment, and reduced 2W exposure, with a move towards dealer-used 4W financial and generally loans with higher value collateral. </li>
<li>
<a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/bfi-finance-indonesia-tbk-pt" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="entities:8447:1" rel="noopener">BFIN</a> maintains solid funding from banks at a lower cost than its peers and it is expected to start to move to higher-yielding assets in 2H2024. Valuations remain attractive.</li>
</ul>



BFI Finance Indonesia (BFIN IJ) adopted a cautious stance to new bookings in 2Q2024 given domestic and geopolitical risks but total receivables remained steady as did credit costs.
The company remained focused on non-dealer 4W financing, increased heavy equipment, and reduced 2W exposure, with a move towards dealer-used 4W financial and generally loans with higher value collateral. 

BFIN maintains solid funding from banks at a lower cost than its peers and it is expected to start to move to higher-yielding assets in 2H2024. Valuations remain attractive.


BFI Finance Indonesia (BFIN IJ) - On the Cusp of a Turn

<ul>
<li>
<a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/bfi-finance-indonesia-tbk-pt" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="entities:8447:1" rel="noopener">BFI Finance Indonesia (BFIN IJ)</a> booked a solid set of 1Q2024 numbers with improved QoQ bookings, although with some concerns over challenging market conditions slowing the recovery.</li>
<li>The NPF ratio saw an ongoing improvement, although the cost of capital increased due to higher write-offs from last year's bookings. Revenue declined due to a shift to lower-risk products. </li>
<li>The outlook for <a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/bfi-finance-indonesia-tbk-pt" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="entities:8447:1" rel="noopener">BFIN</a> in 2H2024 looks more positive, with the company shifting back to higher-return products and with lower expected credit costs. Valuations are appealing on 1.5x PBV.</li>
</ul>



BFI Finance Indonesia (BFIN IJ) booked a solid set of 1Q2024 numbers with improved QoQ bookings, although with some concerns over challenging market conditions slowing the recovery.
The NPF ratio saw an ongoing improvement, although the cost of capital increased due to higher write-offs from last year's bookings. Revenue declined due to a shift to lower-risk products. 
The outlook for BFIN in 2H2024 looks more positive, with the company shifting back to higher-return products and with lower expected credit costs. Valuations are appealing on 1.5x PBV.


BFI Finance Indonesia (BFIN IJ) - Slower Recovery in Process

Cross Asset Strategy

<ul>
<li>The Indonesian stock market was down 2% over the last year despite a flurry of inflows in the summer but this year looks interesting with a new government in place. </li>
<li>GDP growth forecasts are more optimistic for 2025 and government stimulus should help to drive higher consumption, with FDI driven by more value-added investments in the EV-related projects. </li>
<li>Increasing digitalisation of the economy and greater use of AI will drive profitability and data centre growth. Interest rates are expected to fall -50-100bps which should also be supportive.</li>
</ul>


The Indonesian stock market was down 2% over the last year despite a flurry of inflows in the summer but this year looks interesting with a new government in place. 
GDP growth forecasts are more optimistic for 2025 and government stimulus should help to drive higher consumption, with FDI driven by more value-added investments in the EV-related projects. 
Increasing digitalisation of the economy and greater use of AI will drive profitability and data centre growth. Interest rates are expected to fall -50-100bps which should also be supportive.


CrossASEAN Indonesia Strategy - Parting Clouds

<ul>
<li>Indonesia has been the recipient of significant investment flows for foreign investors with more of a "risk on" environment with a large portion flowing into Indonesian banks. </li>
<li>Indonesia stacks up from an investment perspective with a stable political environment, solid GDP growth of around 5% YoY, rising flows of FDI, and a more stable IDR.</li>
<li>Despite the JCI knocking on all-time highs, valuations continue to look attractive with prospects of a better 2H2024 and lower interest rates. Top picks: Banks, property, consumer, and selective elsewhere. </li>
</ul>


Indonesia has been the recipient of significant investment flows for foreign investors with more of a "risk on" environment with a large portion flowing into Indonesian banks. 
Indonesia stacks up from an investment perspective with a stable political environment, solid GDP growth of around 5% YoY, rising flows of FDI, and a more stable IDR.
Despite the JCI knocking on all-time highs, valuations continue to look attractive with prospects of a better 2H2024 and lower interest rates. Top picks: Banks, property, consumer, and selective elsewhere. 


Indonesia Strategy - Caught in a Perfect Updraft?

Indonesia

PT BFI Finance Indonesia Tbk provides financial services such as leasing, consumer financing, and factoring.

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BFI Finance Indonesia (BFIN IJ)