HK/China Healthcare Analyst (ex-Fosun Pharma)

Xinyao (Criss) Wang

Equity Capital Markets

Annoroad Gene Technology / Equity Capital Markets

<ul>
<li>Annoroad has its competitiveness in the industry, but in a complex market environment, the comprehensive product lines may not necessarily bring high performance growth and large revenue scale.</li>
<li>The prenatal testing business is not easy. VBP is headwind.After Illumina was listed on "Unreliable Entity List", it’s uncertain whether NextSeq 550AR sequencer can continue to be sold in China.</li>
<li>Taking into account the future growth uncertainty/centralized procurement/competitive pressure/lack of deep layout of the entire industry chain/policy risks, it's already good to have a valuation of RMB2-3.5 billion after IPO</li>
</ul>


Annoroad has its competitiveness in the industry, but in a complex market environment, the comprehensive product lines may not necessarily bring high performance growth and large revenue scale.
The prenatal testing business is not easy. VBP is headwind.After Illumina was listed on "Unreliable Entity List", it’s uncertain whether NextSeq 550AR sequencer can continue to be sold in China.
Taking into account the future growth uncertainty/centralized procurement/competitive pressure/lack of deep layout of the entire industry chain/policy risks, it's already good to have a valuation of RMB2-3.5 billion after IPO


Pre-IPO Annoroad Gene Technology - The Outlook Is Not Optimistic

Thematic (Sector/Industry)

<ul>
<li>Although DeepSeek's continuous updates, iterations, and deep integration with more and more healthcare enterprises in China will bring positive market sentiment, we have seen certain limitations and even risks behind.</li>
<li>Currently, AI healthcare relies heavily on government subsidies or hardware sales in China, which lacks sustainable payment scenarios and profit model. The data security/privacy/compliance issue may not be completely solve.</li>
<li>For the companies that have integrated with DeepSeek, investors need to verify their afterwards financial performance and fundamentals. If it does not meet expectations, investors are recommended sell in time.</li>
</ul>


Although DeepSeek's continuous updates, iterations, and deep integration with more and more healthcare enterprises in China will bring positive market sentiment, we have seen certain limitations and even risks behind.
Currently, AI healthcare relies heavily on government subsidies or hardware sales in China, which lacks sustainable payment scenarios and profit model. The data security/privacy/compliance issue may not be completely solve.
For the companies that have integrated with DeepSeek, investors need to verify their afterwards financial performance and fundamentals. If it does not meet expectations, investors are recommended sell in time.


DeekSeek May Not Be The "Game Changer" In China Healthcare - Time to Be Rational

Technical Analyst, Vermilion Research

Joe Jasper

Technical Analyst

Technical and Quantitative Research

Vermilion Research

Vermilion’s objective is to deliver timely, actionable, and unique technical research to professional investors through the application of our various technical indicators.

Our research strategists seek to highlight securities which we believe are at major inflection points, based on our various technical and quantitative indicators, and offer asymmetric risk/return profiles. Our unique research methodology, centered on relative strength, enables our strategists to deliver superior investment recommendations.

Our process begins by organizing the universe of actively traded stocks into discrete sectors, then into industry groups. We then apply our technical and quantitative tools to identify developing price trends. Once attractive trends are identified within a selected sector or group, we screen for individual stocks which we believe offer the best risk/reward profile. We provide a historical perspective that often reveals, through our long-term charts, how price patterns often repeat themselves over time.

Technical Analysis

<ul>
<li>Our outlook remains bullish on global equities (MSCI ACWI). We've been bullish since early-November 2023, save for a two month period from late-July to late-September 2024 when we were neutral.</li>
<li>We also believe the U.S. dollar (DXY) and Treasury yields have put in major tops, which is a crucial risk-on signal for global equities.</li>
<li>With more and more countries breaking out, we remain bullish as long as ACWI-US is above $116, S&amp;P 500 is above 5770-5850, and EURO STOXX 50 is above 5030.</li>
</ul>


Our outlook remains bullish on global equities (MSCI ACWI). We've been bullish since early-November 2023, save for a two month period from late-July to late-September 2024 when we were neutral.
We also believe the U.S. dollar (DXY) and Treasury yields have put in major tops, which is a crucial risk-on signal for global equities.
With more and more countries breaking out, we remain bullish as long as ACWI-US is above $116, S&amp;P 500 is above 5770-5850, and EURO STOXX 50 is above 5030.


Major Top for the U.S. Dollar (DXY) = Risk-On; Bullish Outlook Despite Near-Term Downside Risk

<ul>
<li>DeepSeek, as a domestically produced open-source model in China, combined with the rapid development of AI technology, is profoundly changing the landscape of pharmaceutical and medical industry.</li>
<li>AI pharmaceuticals/AI diagnosis/AI R&amp;D would benefit the most from DeepSeek. However, data security is an issue. The US has enacted legislation to restrict cooperation with Chinese companies due to DeepSeek.</li>
<li>More and more Chinese companies have announced their integration into DeepSeek, involving multiple subsectors. We listed some representative companies and they will become attractive investment targets for investors.</li>
</ul>


DeepSeek, as a domestically produced open-source model in China, combined with the rapid development of AI technology, is profoundly changing the landscape of pharmaceutical and medical industry.
AI pharmaceuticals/AI diagnosis/AI R&amp;D would benefit the most from DeepSeek. However, data security is an issue. The US has enacted legislation to restrict cooperation with Chinese companies due to DeepSeek.
More and more Chinese companies have announced their integration into DeepSeek, involving multiple subsectors. We listed some representative companies and they will become attractive investment targets for investors.


DeepSeek Ignites China Healthcare - The Investment Opportunities and Risks Behind

Market & Forensics Analyst, Beat the Street

Nimish Maheshwari

Market & Forensics Analyst

Beat the Street

Beat The Street was founded by Nimish Maheshwari and Sudarshan Bhandari, both of whom are Chartered Accountants by Profession, known for their expert analysis in the fields of Business, Sectoral analysis, and Corporate governance.

With a strong social media presence of 45,000+ Subscribers across various platforms, they are considered trusted voices in the industry. Their insights and analysis have been featured in some of India’s most prominent publications, including the Economic Times, Dalal Street Investment Journal, The Morning Context, and The Ken.

Their analysis on Bankrupt & Insolvent companies has been instrumental in saving investors from significant losses. They have a keen eye for identifying red flags and has identified exclusive redflags earlier in Vedanta, Nykaa, Dhani Services, Adani and many more.

Read Business Not Stock Prices

<ul>
<li>The U.S. House passed the Biosecure Act, mandating U.S. pharma firms to cut ties with specific Chinese biotechs by 2032.</li>
<li>This opens opportunities for Indian CDMOs, positioning them as viable alternatives due to geopolitical alignment and regulatory quality.</li>
<li>India’s CDMOs could see substantial growth, benefiting from increased global diversification efforts away from China.</li>
</ul>


The U.S. House passed the Biosecure Act, mandating U.S. pharma firms to cut ties with specific Chinese biotechs by 2032.
This opens opportunities for Indian CDMOs, positioning them as viable alternatives due to geopolitical alignment and regulatory quality.
India’s CDMOs could see substantial growth, benefiting from increased global diversification efforts away from China.


The US Biosecure Act: A Boon for Indian CDMO Players?

China

BGI Genomics Co., Ltd offers researching and testing services. The Company provides deoxyribonucleic acid sequencing, food science, health care researching, cancer prevention, drug discovery, and DNA sequencing. BGI Genomics offers services to medical and scientific research institutions worldwide.

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BGI Genomics (300676 CH)

Pre-IPO Annoroad Gene Technology - The Outlook Is Not Optimistic

Due to the future growth uncertainty/centralized procurement/competitive pressure/lack of deep layout of the entire industry chain/policy risks,...

Xinyao (Criss) Wang

DeekSeek May Not Be The "Game Changer" In China Healthcare - Time to Be Rational

DeepSeek's integration with companies brings market optimism, but risks remain due to unsustainable profit model and data security...

Xinyao (Criss) Wang

Major Top for the U.S. Dollar (DXY) = Risk-On; Bullish Outlook Despite Near-Term Downside Risk

Major Top for the U.S. Dollar $DXY = Risk-On; Bullish Outlook Intact on $ACWI despite near-term downside risk. We remain bullish if $ACWI > $116,...

Vermilion Research

DeepSeek Ignites China Healthcare - The Investment Opportunities and Risks Behind

DeepSeek is revolutionizing the healthcare industry, but face data security issue and US restriction on cooperation with China.Companies...

Xinyao (Criss) Wang

The US Biosecure Act: A Boon for Indian CDMO Players?

The Biosecure Act passed by the U.S. House could boost Indian CDMOs as alternative to Chinese biotechs by 2032, leading to potential growth...

Nimish Maheshwari

Price Gauge

52-week Range

Market Cap (USDm)

P/E

Dividend (Yield)

Pre-IPO Annoroad Gene Technology - The Outlook Is Not Optimistic

Due to the future growth uncertainty/centralized procurement/competitive pressure/lack of deep layout of the entire industry chain/policy risks,...

Xinyao (Criss) Wang

DeekSeek May Not Be The "Game Changer" In China Healthcare - Time to Be Rational

​DeepSeek's integration with companies brings market optimism, but risks remain due to unsustainable profit model and data security...

Xinyao (Criss) Wang

Major Top for the U.S. Dollar (DXY) = Risk-On; Bullish Outlook Despite Near-Term Downside Risk

Major Top for the U.S. Dollar $DXY = Risk-On; Bullish Outlook Intact on $ACWI despite near-term downside risk. We remain bullish if $ACWI > $116,...

Vermilion Research

DeepSeek Ignites China Healthcare - The Investment Opportunities and Risks Behind

DeepSeek is revolutionizing the healthcare industry, but face data security issue and US restriction on cooperation with China.Companies...

Xinyao (Criss) Wang

The US Biosecure Act: A Boon for Indian CDMO Players?

​The Biosecure Act passed by the U.S. House could boost Indian CDMOs as alternative to Chinese biotechs by 2032, leading to potential growth...

Nimish Maheshwari

DeepSeek's integration with companies brings market optimism, but risks remain due to unsustainable profit model and data security...

The Biosecure Act passed by the U.S. House could boost Indian CDMOs as alternative to Chinese biotechs by 2032, leading to potential growth...