Technical Analyst, Vermilion Research

Joe Jasper

Technical Analyst

Technical and Quantitative Research

Vermilion Research

Vermilion’s objective is to deliver timely, actionable, and unique technical research to professional investors through the application of our various technical indicators.

Our research strategists seek to highlight securities which we believe are at major inflection points, based on our various technical and quantitative indicators, and offer asymmetric risk/return profiles. Our unique research methodology, centered on relative strength, enables our strategists to deliver superior investment recommendations.

Our process begins by organizing the universe of actively traded stocks into discrete sectors, then into industry groups. We then apply our technical and quantitative tools to identify developing price trends. Once attractive trends are identified within a selected sector or group, we screen for individual stocks which we believe offer the best risk/reward profile. We provide a historical perspective that often reveals, through our long-term charts, how price patterns often repeat themselves over time.

Technical Analysis

<ul>
<li>Our outlook remains bullish on global equities (MSCI ACWI). We've been bullish since early-November 2023, save for a two month period from late-July to late-September 2024 when we were neutral.</li>
<li>We also believe the U.S. dollar (DXY) and Treasury yields have put in major tops, which is a crucial risk-on signal for global equities.</li>
<li>With more and more countries breaking out, we remain bullish as long as ACWI-US is above $116, S&amp;P 500 is above 5770-5850, and EURO STOXX 50 is above 5030.</li>
</ul>


Our outlook remains bullish on global equities (MSCI ACWI). We've been bullish since early-November 2023, save for a two month period from late-July to late-September 2024 when we were neutral.
We also believe the U.S. dollar (DXY) and Treasury yields have put in major tops, which is a crucial risk-on signal for global equities.
With more and more countries breaking out, we remain bullish as long as ACWI-US is above $116, S&amp;P 500 is above 5770-5850, and EURO STOXX 50 is above 5030.


Major Top for the U.S. Dollar (DXY) = Risk-On; Bullish Outlook Despite Near-Term Downside Risk

HK/China Healthcare Analyst (ex-Fosun Pharma)

Xinyao (Criss) Wang

Thematic (Sector/Industry)

<ul>
<li>DeepSeek, as a domestically produced open-source model in China, combined with the rapid development of AI technology, is profoundly changing the landscape of pharmaceutical and medical industry.</li>
<li>AI pharmaceuticals/AI diagnosis/AI R&amp;D would benefit the most from DeepSeek. However, data security is an issue. The US has enacted legislation to restrict cooperation with Chinese companies due to DeepSeek.</li>
<li>More and more Chinese companies have announced their integration into DeepSeek, involving multiple subsectors. We listed some representative companies and they will become attractive investment targets for investors.</li>
</ul>


DeepSeek, as a domestically produced open-source model in China, combined with the rapid development of AI technology, is profoundly changing the landscape of pharmaceutical and medical industry.
AI pharmaceuticals/AI diagnosis/AI R&amp;D would benefit the most from DeepSeek. However, data security is an issue. The US has enacted legislation to restrict cooperation with Chinese companies due to DeepSeek.
More and more Chinese companies have announced their integration into DeepSeek, involving multiple subsectors. We listed some representative companies and they will become attractive investment targets for investors.


DeepSeek Ignites China Healthcare - The Investment Opportunities and Risks Behind

Market & Forensics Analyst, Beat the Street

Nimish Maheshwari

Market & Forensics Analyst

Beat the Street

Beat The Street was founded by Nimish Maheshwari and Sudarshan Bhandari, both of whom are Chartered Accountants by Profession, known for their expert analysis in the fields of Business, Sectoral analysis, and Corporate governance.

With a strong social media presence of 45,000+ Subscribers across various platforms, they are considered trusted voices in the industry. Their insights and analysis have been featured in some of India’s most prominent publications, including the Economic Times, Dalal Street Investment Journal, The Morning Context, and The Ken.

Their analysis on Bankrupt & Insolvent companies has been instrumental in saving investors from significant losses. They have a keen eye for identifying red flags and has identified exclusive redflags earlier in Vedanta, Nykaa, Dhani Services, Adani and many more.

Read Business Not Stock Prices

<ul>
<li>The U.S. House passed the Biosecure Act, mandating U.S. pharma firms to cut ties with specific Chinese biotechs by 2032.</li>
<li>This opens opportunities for Indian CDMOs, positioning them as viable alternatives due to geopolitical alignment and regulatory quality.</li>
<li>India’s CDMOs could see substantial growth, benefiting from increased global diversification efforts away from China.</li>
</ul>


The U.S. House passed the Biosecure Act, mandating U.S. pharma firms to cut ties with specific Chinese biotechs by 2032.
This opens opportunities for Indian CDMOs, positioning them as viable alternatives due to geopolitical alignment and regulatory quality.
India’s CDMOs could see substantial growth, benefiting from increased global diversification efforts away from China.


The US Biosecure Act: A Boon for Indian CDMO Players?

Equity Bottom-Up

Livzon Pharmaceutical Group In / Equity Bottom-Up

<ul>
<li>With rising COVID-19 cases, a pandemic outbreak in late 2024 is likely. Investors should focus on related sectors and stocks again.</li>
<li>Due to BIOSECURE Act, US companies are leaving Chinese partners.If Trump is elected, his sanctions on China's supply chain may intensify. So, there should be “valuation discount” for China CXOs.</li>
<li>Livzon may have negative YoY revenue growth in 24H1, but full-year revenue may have positive low single-digit YoY growth. Due to good dividend/repurchase policy, Livzon deserves more patience from investors.</li>
</ul>


With rising COVID-19 cases, a pandemic outbreak in late 2024 is likely. Investors should focus on related sectors and stocks again.
Due to BIOSECURE Act, US companies are leaving Chinese partners.If Trump is elected, his sanctions on China's supply chain may intensify. So, there should be “valuation discount” for China CXOs.
Livzon may have negative YoY revenue growth in 24H1, but full-year revenue may have positive low single-digit YoY growth. Due to good dividend/repurchase policy, Livzon deserves more patience from investors.


China Healthcare Weekly (Aug.18)- COVID Is Here, BIOSECURE Act Update, Livzon Deserves More Patience

<ul>
<li>Entering 2024, more provinces/regions have included assisted reproductive medical service projects into medical insurance reimbursement scope. It is expected that the government will accelerate the introduction of supporting measures ahead.</li>
<li>Livzon’s performance in 2023 was disappointing.For BGI, even if the BIOSECURE Act passes and BGI is sanctioned by the US, the overall impact on the company is limited and controllable.</li>
<li>Jinxin has gradually recovered from the negative impact of COVID-19.With the recovery of international flights and the increase in the number of patients, the Company would be back on track. </li>
</ul>


Entering 2024, more provinces/regions have included assisted reproductive medical service projects into medical insurance reimbursement scope. It is expected that the government will accelerate the introduction of supporting measures ahead.
Livzon’s performance in 2023 was disappointing.For BGI, even if the BIOSECURE Act passes and BGI is sanctioned by the US, the overall impact on the company is limited and controllable.
Jinxin has gradually recovered from the negative impact of COVID-19.With the recovery of international flights and the increase in the number of patients, the Company would be back on track. 


China Population Policies Impact on Healthcare Companies Series – Part 4

China

BGI Genomics Co., Ltd offers researching and testing services. The Company provides deoxyribonucleic acid sequencing, food science, health care researching, cancer prevention, drug discovery, and DNA sequencing. BGI Genomics offers services to medical and scientific research institutions worldwide.

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BGI Genomics (300676 CH)

Major Top for the U.S. Dollar (DXY) = Risk-On; Bullish Outlook Despite Near-Term Downside Risk

Major Top for the U.S. Dollar $DXY = Risk-On; Bullish Outlook Intact on $ACWI despite near-term downside risk. We remain bullish if $ACWI > $116,...

Vermilion Research

DeepSeek Ignites China Healthcare - The Investment Opportunities and Risks Behind

DeepSeek is revolutionizing the healthcare industry, but face data security issue and US restriction on cooperation with China.Companies...

Xinyao (Criss) Wang

The US Biosecure Act: A Boon for Indian CDMO Players?

The Biosecure Act passed by the U.S. House could boost Indian CDMOs as alternative to Chinese biotechs by 2032, leading to potential growth...

Nimish Maheshwari

China Healthcare Weekly (Aug.18)- COVID Is Here, BIOSECURE Act Update, Livzon Deserves More Patience

COVID is coming again. So investors can focus on related stocks. US companies leaving Chinese partners due to BIOSECURE Act. Livzon is still worth...

Xinyao (Criss) Wang

China Population Policies Impact on Healthcare Companies Series – Part 4

Different provinces expand coverage for assisted reproductive services in medical insurance. Livzon missed expectation in 2023.US sanction on BGI...

Xinyao (Criss) Wang

Price Gauge

52-week Range

Market Cap (USDm)

P/E

Dividend (Yield)

Major Top for the U.S. Dollar (DXY) = Risk-On; Bullish Outlook Despite Near-Term Downside Risk

Major Top for the U.S. Dollar $DXY = Risk-On; Bullish Outlook Intact on $ACWI despite near-term downside risk. We remain bullish if $ACWI > $116,...

Vermilion Research

DeepSeek Ignites China Healthcare - The Investment Opportunities and Risks Behind

DeepSeek is revolutionizing the healthcare industry, but face data security issue and US restriction on cooperation with China.Companies...

Xinyao (Criss) Wang

The US Biosecure Act: A Boon for Indian CDMO Players?

​The Biosecure Act passed by the U.S. House could boost Indian CDMOs as alternative to Chinese biotechs by 2032, leading to potential growth...

Nimish Maheshwari

China Healthcare Weekly (Aug.18)- COVID Is Here, BIOSECURE Act Update, Livzon Deserves More Patience

COVID is coming again. So investors can focus on related stocks. US companies leaving Chinese partners due to BIOSECURE Act. Livzon is still worth...

Xinyao (Criss) Wang

China Population Policies Impact on Healthcare Companies Series – Part 4

​Different provinces expand coverage for assisted reproductive services in medical insurance. Livzon missed expectation in 2023.US sanction on BGI...

Xinyao (Criss) Wang

The Biosecure Act passed by the U.S. House could boost Indian CDMOs as alternative to Chinese biotechs by 2032, leading to potential growth...

Different provinces expand coverage for assisted reproductive services in medical insurance. Livzon missed expectation in 2023.US sanction on BGI...