Pan-Asia Index Rebalances/ Events/ Delta One, Periscope Analytics

Brian Freitas

Pan-Asia Index Rebalances/ Events/ Delta One

Periscope Analytics

Periscope Analytics focuses on event-driven trades across Asia Pacific and provides comprehensive, timely and systematic coverage of index changes to major Asia Pacific indices in a structured manner.

The analysis includes forecasted inclusions and exclusions to all major Asian indices that have significant amount of tracking assets, including estimates of passive buy/sell flow on the stocks. The service also provides commentary and impact of market consultations, ground rule changes, and other events (IPOs, spin-offs, M&A) that could lead to index changes and passive flow.

Periscope Analytics works with multi-strategy hedge funds, proprietary trading firms, stat arb trading groups and long-only investors that invest and trade in the Asia Pacific region with the data being used to trade index rebalances, avoid pre-positioning and passive flow, and to time entry into and exit from stocks.

Event-Driven Trades Across Asia Pacific

Index Rebalance

Mazagon Dock Shipbuilders  / Index Rebalance

<ul>
<li>There are 20 changes a side for the Nifty200 Momentum30 Index that will be implemented at the close on 27 June. We had correctly forecast 39 of the 40 changes.</li>
<li>Estimated one-way turnover is 68.4% resulting in a round-trip trade of INR 160bn (US$1.9bn). There are 22 stocks with over 1x ADV to trade.</li>
<li>The Financials sector has 9 net inclusions to the index while the Information Technology and Consumer Discretionary sectors have 2 net deletions each.</li>
</ul>


There are 20 changes a side for the Nifty200 Momentum30 Index that will be implemented at the close on 27 June. We had correctly forecast 39 of the 40 changes.
Estimated one-way turnover is 68.4% resulting in a round-trip trade of INR 160bn (US$1.9bn). There are 22 stocks with over 1x ADV to trade.
The Financials sector has 9 net inclusions to the index while the Information Technology and Consumer Discretionary sectors have 2 net deletions each.


NIFTY200 Momentum30 Index Rebalance: HUGE Turnover and Trade as Financials Shine

APAC IPOs & Placements, Aequitas Research

Akshat Shah

APAC IPOs & Placements

IPOs and Placements coverage across Asia Pacific

Aequitas Research

We cover all listing across the Asia Pacific along with follow-up placements. As of Dec 2020, our team had covered 539 IPOs with a hit rate of 73.5% and 685 placements with a hit rate of 66.8%.

We combine fundamental bottom-up views with our proprietary quantitative framework to provide a holistic coverage across new listings and placements. Our coverage includes pre-IPO notes before the deal is launched, follow-up analysis once the deal is live and post-listing trading analysis as well.

Equity Capital Markets

Knowledge Realty Trust / Equity Capital Markets

<ul>
<li>
<a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/knowledge-realty-trust" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="entities:44486:1" rel="noopener">Knowledge Realty Trust (258259D IN)</a> is planning to raise about US$558m through its upcoming India IPO. The deal has been downsized from an earlier estimated deal size of about US$712m.</li>
<li>Knowledge Realty Trust (KRT) owns and manages a high-quality office portfolio in India covering 87% of India's office supply and gross absorption between FY16-9M24, as per the CBRE report.</li>
<li>In this note, we talk about the firm’s historical performance.</li>
</ul>



Knowledge Realty Trust (258259D IN) is planning to raise about US$558m through its upcoming India IPO. The deal has been downsized from an earlier estimated deal size of about US$712m.
Knowledge Realty Trust (KRT) owns and manages a high-quality office portfolio in India covering 87% of India's office supply and gross absorption between FY16-9M24, as per the CBRE report.
In this note, we talk about the firm’s historical performance.


Knowledge Realty Trust Pre-IPO - The Positives - Premium Market Positioning, Healthy Forecasts

<ul>
<li>There could be 20 changes for the Nifty200 Momentum 30 Index that will be implemented at the close on 27 June.</li>
<li>If all changes are on expected lines, one-way turnover is estimated at 68.7% and that will result in a round-trip trade of INR 159bn (US$1.87bn).</li>
<li>Financials are expected to gain 9 index spots and Materials are expected to gain 3 spots. Consumer Discretionary could lose 5 spots and Information Technology could lose 4 spots.</li>
</ul>


There could be 20 changes for the Nifty200 Momentum 30 Index that will be implemented at the close on 27 June.
If all changes are on expected lines, one-way turnover is estimated at 68.7% and that will result in a round-trip trade of INR 159bn (US$1.87bn).
Financials are expected to gain 9 index spots and Materials are expected to gain 3 spots. Consumer Discretionary could lose 5 spots and Information Technology could lose 4 spots.


NIFTY200 Momentum30 Index Rebalance Preview: 69% One-Way Turnover & US$1.9bn Trade

India Equity Analyst - Fundamental & Thematic, Beat the Street

Sudarshan Bhandari

India Equity Analyst - Fundamental & Thematic

Beat the Street

Beat The Street was founded by Nimish Maheshwari and Sudarshan Bhandari, both of whom are Chartered Accountants by Profession, known for their expert analysis in the fields of Business, Sectoral analysis, and Corporate governance.

With a strong social media presence of 45,000+ Subscribers across various platforms, they are considered trusted voices in the industry. Their insights and analysis have been featured in some of India’s most prominent publications, including the Economic Times, Dalal Street Investment Journal, The Morning Context, and The Ken.

Their analysis on Bankrupt & Insolvent companies has been instrumental in saving investors from significant losses. They have a keen eye for identifying red flags and has identified exclusive redflags earlier in Vedanta, Nykaa, Dhani Services, Adani and many more.

Read Business Not Stock Prices

Thematic (Sector/Industry)

<ul>
<li>Surging DPSU order books ensure revenue visibility, supported by FY26's 9.5% budget increase and 75% capital outlay for domestic industry.   </li>
<li>The future outlook appears robust, driven by policy and a 20% production CAGR target, aiming for INR 5 lakh crore in exports by 2029.   </li>
<li>High valuations driven by P/E re-rating and heavy dependence on Ministry of Defence  as a single buyer are key sector risks.</li>
</ul>


Surging DPSU order books ensure revenue visibility, supported by FY26's 9.5% budget increase and 75% capital outlay for domestic industry.   
The future outlook appears robust, driven by policy and a 20% production CAGR target, aiming for INR 5 lakh crore in exports by 2029.   
High valuations driven by P/E re-rating and heavy dependence on Ministry of Defence  as a single buyer are key sector risks.


Indian Defence Sector: A Sustainable Boom Or A Trap?

Global Materials | Industrials | Commodities

Rahul Jain

Equity Bottom-Up

<ul>
<li>Strong Execution: 3-yr PAT CAGR of ~22% with ₹80,354 Cr order book offers 2–4 years of revenue visibility from high-margin defence programs.</li>
<li>Growth Levers: Expanding in seekers, EW, AI, and smart infra; 5 new units and key contracts like Akash, LRSAM, and Shakti drive forward pipeline.</li>
<li>Valuation Stretch: Trading at ~45x FY25E P/E vs 3-yr average of 32x; pricing reflects peak sentiment and leaves little room for error.</li>
</ul>


Strong Execution: 3-yr PAT CAGR of ~22% with ₹80,354 Cr order book offers 2–4 years of revenue visibility from high-margin defence programs.
Growth Levers: Expanding in seekers, EW, AI, and smart infra; 5 new units and key contracts like Akash, LRSAM, and Shakti drive forward pipeline.
Valuation Stretch: Trading at ~45x FY25E P/E vs 3-yr average of 32x; pricing reflects peak sentiment and leaves little room for error.


BEL: Earnings Firepower in Place, Rerating Looks Done

India

Bharat Dynamics Limited (BDL) manufactures defense equipment. The Company offers ammunitions, counter measures dispensing, infra red interference indicators, and missile systems. BDL serves military and aerospace industries in India.

Price Gauge
52-week Range	0.00 - 0.00
Market Cap (USDm)	0.00
P/E	0.00
Dividend (Yield)	0.00

Bharat Dynamics Ltd (BDL IN)

NIFTY200 Momentum30 Index Rebalance: HUGE Turnover and Trade as Financials Shine

The Nifty200 Momentum30 Index rebalances at the close tomorrow. Since announcement, the adds have outperformed the deletes (but only marginally)....

Brian Freitas

Knowledge Realty Trust Pre-IPO - The Positives - Premium Market Positioning, Healthy Forecasts

Knowledge Realty Trust (KRT) is planning to raise about US$558m through its upcoming India IPO. The deal has been downsized from an earlier...

Akshat Shah

NIFTY200 Momentum30 Index Rebalance Preview: 69% One-Way Turnover & US$1.9bn Trade

We forecast 20 changes for the index in June. One-way turnover is estimated at 68.7% resulting in a round-trip trade of INR 159bn (US$1.87bn). The...

Brian Freitas

Indian Defence Sector: A Sustainable Boom Or A Trap?

Defense PSUs benefit from strong order books and government support, but face risks from high valuations and reliance on a single buyer. Future...

Sudarshan Bhandari

BEL: Earnings Firepower in Place, Rerating Looks Done

Article highlights strong execution and growth prospects for a company with a high-margin defense order book, but warns of a stretched valuation...

Rahul Jain

Price Gauge

52-week Range

Market Cap (USDm)

P/E

Dividend (Yield)

NIFTY200 Momentum30 Index Rebalance: HUGE Turnover and Trade as Financials Shine

The Nifty200 Momentum30 Index rebalances at the close tomorrow. Since announcement, the adds have outperformed the deletes (but only marginally)....

Brian Freitas

Knowledge Realty Trust Pre-IPO - The Positives - Premium Market Positioning, Healthy Forecasts

Knowledge Realty Trust (KRT) is planning to raise about US$558m through its upcoming India IPO. The deal has been downsized from an earlier...

Akshat Shah

NIFTY200 Momentum30 Index Rebalance Preview: 69% One-Way Turnover & US$1.9bn Trade

We forecast 20 changes for the index in June. One-way turnover is estimated at 68.7% resulting in a round-trip trade of INR 159bn (US$1.87bn). The...

Brian Freitas

Indian Defence Sector: A Sustainable Boom Or A Trap?

​Defense PSUs benefit from strong order books and government support, but face risks from high valuations and reliance on a single buyer. Future...

Sudarshan Bhandari

BEL: Earnings Firepower in Place, Rerating Looks Done

​Article highlights strong execution and growth prospects for a company with a high-margin defense order book, but warns of a stretched valuation...

Rahul Jain

Defense PSUs benefit from strong order books and government support, but face risks from high valuations and reliance on a single buyer. Future...

Article highlights strong execution and growth prospects for a company with a high-margin defense order book, but warns of a stretched valuation...