Global Materials | Industrials | Commodities

Rahul Jain

Equity Bottom-Up

<ul>
<li>BDL reported strong FY25 revenue of ₹3,345 Cr and PAT of ₹550 Cr, though EBITDA margins declined to 24.6% from earlier highs.</li>
<li>With a ₹22,700 Cr order book, BDL is expanding via new plants in Jhansi, Amravati, and Ibrahimpatnam backed by ₹600+ Cr capex.</li>
<li>At 100x PE and 75xPE FY27e valuations appear stretched, leaving limited margin of safety despite strong execution and order visibility.</li>
</ul>


BDL reported strong FY25 revenue of ₹3,345 Cr and PAT of ₹550 Cr, though EBITDA margins declined to 24.6% from earlier highs.
With a ₹22,700 Cr order book, BDL is expanding via new plants in Jhansi, Amravati, and Ibrahimpatnam backed by ₹600+ Cr capex.
At 100x PE and 75xPE FY27e valuations appear stretched, leaving limited margin of safety despite strong execution and order visibility.


BDL IN – Bharat Dynamics: Missile Systems Specialist Strengthening India’s Defence Edge

External broker reports(aggregated public sources), ICICI Securities Ltd

ICICI Securities Limited

External broker reports(aggregated public sources)

ICICI Securities Ltd

ICICI Securities Limited provides investment services. The Company provides corporate and investment banking, securities, wealth management, retail brokerage, initial public offerings, and advisory services. 

Content available is external broker reports authored by a third party outside the Smartkarma network and has been aggregated by an online aggregator through publicly available sources and is displayed by Smartkarma in this format for user's convenience and general informational purposes only. Content does not constitute investment or financial advice and Smartkarma makes no representation or warranty regarding its accuracy or contents. Original third party author retains all copyright and other proprietary rights in the content. Access or use of third party links not controlled by Smartkarma are at the user's own risk.

<ul><li>Bharat Dynamics (BDL) reported a healthy Q3FY25 performance.</li><li>Key points: 1) EBITDA (adj. for provisions created) sored 120% YoY to INR 2.6bn while revenue surged 34% YoY to INR 7.9bn.</li><li>2) Estimated order book (OB), as on date, is at INR 200bn, of which nearly INR 20bn is from exports.</li></ul><p><em>Content is external broker report sourced from online content aggregator through publicly available sources and is displayed below for general informational purposes only. Refer full disclaimer below.</em></p>

Bharat Dynamics (BDL) reported a healthy Q3FY25 performance.Key points: 1) EBITDA (adj. for provisions created) sored 120% YoY to INR 2.6bn while revenue surged 34% YoY to INR 7.9bn.2) Estimated order book (OB), as on date, is at INR 200bn, of which nearly INR 20bn is from exports.Content is external broker report sourced from online content aggregator through publicly available sources and is displayed below for general informational purposes only. Refer full disclaimer below.

Bharat Dynamics - Conspicuous Execution Uptick

Pan-Asia Index Rebalances/ Events/ Delta One, Periscope Analytics

Brian Freitas

Pan-Asia Index Rebalances/ Events/ Delta One

Periscope Analytics

Periscope Analytics focuses on event-driven trades across Asia Pacific and provides comprehensive, timely and systematic coverage of index changes to major Asia Pacific indices in a structured manner.

The analysis includes forecasted inclusions and exclusions to all major Asian indices that have significant amount of tracking assets, including estimates of passive buy/sell flow on the stocks. The service also provides commentary and impact of market consultations, ground rule changes, and other events (IPOs, spin-offs, M&A) that could lead to index changes and passive flow.

Periscope Analytics works with multi-strategy hedge funds, proprietary trading firms, stat arb trading groups and long-only investors that invest and trade in the Asia Pacific region with the data being used to trade index rebalances, avoid pre-positioning and passive flow, and to time entry into and exit from stocks.

Event-Driven Trades Across Asia Pacific

Index Rebalance

Aditya Birla Capital Ltd / Index Rebalance

<ul>
<li>There could be 19 constituent changes for the Nifty200 Momentum 30 Index that will be implemented at the close on 30 December.</li>
<li>If all changes are on expected lines, one-way turnover is estimated at 64.2% and that will result in a round-trip trade of INR 163bn (US$1.8bn).</li>
<li>The adds have outperformed the deletes in the short-term. With the index based on momentum, there could be further gains over the next couple of weeks.</li>
</ul>


There could be 19 constituent changes for the Nifty200 Momentum 30 Index that will be implemented at the close on 30 December.
If all changes are on expected lines, one-way turnover is estimated at 64.2% and that will result in a round-trip trade of INR 163bn (US$1.8bn).
The adds have outperformed the deletes in the short-term. With the index based on momentum, there could be further gains over the next couple of weeks.


NIFTY200 Momentum30 Index Rebalance Preview: 64% One-Way Turnover & US$1.8bn Trade

Chief Executive Officer, Emmer Capital Partners Limited

Manishi Raychaudhuri

Chief Executive Officer

Emmer Capital Partners Limited

Emmer Capital Partners is an Asia Pacific focused financial advisory firm engaging in strategic financial asset allocation advice, bespoke thematic research and advising early-stage companies and connecting them to investors. Emmer Capital provides macro-economic and multi-asset investment strategy inputs to institutions, family offices, private wealth managers, private equity, and corporate boards directly and through independent research platforms. Emmer Capital also advises a wide range of startup companies on fund raising and business strategy. Emmer Capital's active engagement with the print and electronic media reaches a broad spectrum of investors across the globe.

<ul>
<li>Since inception on May 15, our Model Portfolio (up 6.2%) underperformed the MSCI Asia-ex-Japan index (up 7.87%) due to underperforming stock picks in India, ASEAN and China consumer proxies.</li>
<li>The main themes: China's changing consumption and investment patterns, Korea's improving corporate governance, continuing global infrastructure investments and India's earnings disappointment. Korea, HK/China remain overweight; India is downgraded to Neutral.</li>
<li>We exclude Meituan, Titan, Infosys, Bharat Dynamics, Krafton. We include Laopu Gold, Lonking Holdings, China Hongqiao, AIA and Hyundai Engineering and Construction. We are now Neutral Industrials and Underweight Technology.</li>
</ul>


Since inception on May 15, our Model Portfolio (up 6.2%) underperformed the MSCI Asia-ex-Japan index (up 7.87%) due to underperforming stock picks in India, ASEAN and China consumer proxies.
The main themes: China's changing consumption and investment patterns, Korea's improving corporate governance, continuing global infrastructure investments and India's earnings disappointment. Korea, HK/China remain overweight; India is downgraded to Neutral.
We exclude Meituan, Titan, Infosys, Bharat Dynamics, Krafton. We include Laopu Gold, Lonking Holdings, China Hongqiao, AIA and Hyundai Engineering and Construction. We are now Neutral Industrials and Underweight Technology.


Asian Equity: Changes to Model Portfolio: Korea, HK/CN Overweight. India Neutral; ASEAN Underweight

Market & Forensics Analyst, Beat the Street

Nimish Maheshwari

Market & Forensics Analyst

Beat the Street

Beat The Street was founded by Nimish Maheshwari and Sudarshan Bhandari, both of whom are Chartered Accountants by Profession, known for their expert analysis in the fields of Business, Sectoral analysis, and Corporate governance.

With a strong social media presence of 45,000+ Subscribers across various platforms, they are considered trusted voices in the industry. Their insights and analysis have been featured in some of India’s most prominent publications, including the Economic Times, Dalal Street Investment Journal, The Morning Context, and The Ken.

Their analysis on Bankrupt & Insolvent companies has been instrumental in saving investors from significant losses. They have a keen eye for identifying red flags and has identified exclusive redflags earlier in Vedanta, Nykaa, Dhani Services, Adani and many more.

Read Business Not Stock Prices

Thematic (Sector/Industry)

<ul>
<li>India has approved INR 1 lakh crore ($12.6 billion) for building military systems at home, focusing on self-reliance.</li>
<li>This move boosts India’s defense strength with 193 defence contracts (92% domestic) already signed in FY25.</li>
<li>India is combining local manufacturing with stronger global ties, especially with the U.S, to strengthen its defense capabilities.</li>
</ul>


India has approved INR 1 lakh crore ($12.6 billion) for building military systems at home, focusing on self-reliance.
This move boosts India’s defense strength with 193 defence contracts (92% domestic) already signed in FY25.
India is combining local manufacturing with stronger global ties, especially with the U.S, to strengthen its defense capabilities.


Atmanirbhar Bharat in Arms: India's Dual Strategy for Defense Dominance

India

Bharat Dynamics Limited (BDL) manufactures defense equipment. The Company offers ammunitions, counter measures dispensing, infra red interference indicators, and missile systems. BDL serves military and aerospace industries in India.

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Bharat Dynamics Ltd (BDL IN)

BDL IN – Bharat Dynamics: Missile Systems Specialist Strengthening India’s Defence Edge

BDL's strong FY25 performance with high revenue and PAT, expanding operations with new plants, but stretched valuations raise concerns despite...

Rahul Jain

Bharat Dynamics - Conspicuous Execution Uptick

Key points: 1) EBITDA (adj. for provisions created) sored 120% YoY to INR 2.6bn while revenue surged 34% YoY to INR 7.9bn.

ICICI Securities Limited

NIFTY200 Momentum30 Index Rebalance Preview: 64% One-Way Turnover & US$1.8bn Trade

We forecast 19 changes for the index in Dec. One-way turnover is estimated at 64.2% resulting in a round-trip trade of INR 163bn (US$1.8bn). The...

Brian Freitas

Asian Equity: Changes to Model Portfolio: Korea, HK/CN Overweight. India Neutral; ASEAN Underweight

Our Model Portfolio (+6.2%) underperformed MSCI AxJ (+7.87%) due to stock picks in India, ASEAN & Chinese consumers. We add to CN & KR industrials...

Manishi Raychaudhuri

Atmanirbhar Bharat in Arms: India's Dual Strategy for Defense Dominance

India approves $12.6 billion for building military systems at home, focusing on self-reliance and strengthening defense capabilities through local...

Nimish Maheshwari

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BDL IN – Bharat Dynamics: Missile Systems Specialist Strengthening India’s Defence Edge

​BDL's strong FY25 performance with high revenue and PAT, expanding operations with new plants, but stretched valuations raise concerns despite...

Rahul Jain

Bharat Dynamics - Conspicuous Execution Uptick

Key points: 1) EBITDA (adj. for provisions created) sored 120% YoY to INR 2.6bn while revenue surged 34% YoY to INR 7.9bn.

ICICI Securities Limited

NIFTY200 Momentum30 Index Rebalance Preview: 64% One-Way Turnover & US$1.8bn Trade

We forecast 19 changes for the index in Dec. One-way turnover is estimated at 64.2% resulting in a round-trip trade of INR 163bn (US$1.8bn). The...

Brian Freitas

Asian Equity: Changes to Model Portfolio: Korea, HK/CN Overweight. India Neutral; ASEAN Underweight

​Our Model Portfolio (+6.2%) underperformed MSCI AxJ (+7.87%) due to stock picks in India, ASEAN & Chinese consumers. We add to CN & KR industrials...

Manishi Raychaudhuri

Atmanirbhar Bharat in Arms: India's Dual Strategy for Defense Dominance

​India approves $12.6 billion for building military systems at home, focusing on self-reliance and strengthening defense capabilities through local...

Nimish Maheshwari

BDL's strong FY25 performance with high revenue and PAT, expanding operations with new plants, but stretched valuations raise concerns despite...

Our Model Portfolio (+6.2%) underperformed MSCI AxJ (+7.87%) due to stock picks in India, ASEAN & Chinese consumers. We add to CN & KR industrials...

India approves $12.6 billion for building military systems at home, focusing on self-reliance and strengthening defense capabilities through local...