Pan-Asia Index Rebalances/ Events/ Delta One, Periscope Analytics

Brian Freitas

Pan-Asia Index Rebalances/ Events/ Delta One

Periscope Analytics

Periscope Analytics focuses on event-driven trades across Asia Pacific and provides comprehensive, timely and systematic coverage of index changes to major Asia Pacific indices in a structured manner.

The analysis includes forecasted inclusions and exclusions to all major Asian indices that have significant amount of tracking assets, including estimates of passive buy/sell flow on the stocks. The service also provides commentary and impact of market consultations, ground rule changes, and other events (IPOs, spin-offs, M&A) that could lead to index changes and passive flow.

Periscope Analytics works with multi-strategy hedge funds, proprietary trading firms, stat arb trading groups and long-only investors that invest and trade in the Asia Pacific region with the data being used to trade index rebalances, avoid pre-positioning and passive flow, and to time entry into and exit from stocks.

Event-Driven Trades Across Asia Pacific

Index Rebalance

<ul>
<li>In line with forecasts, <a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/trent-ltd" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="entities:8410:1" rel="noopener">Trent</a> and <a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/bharat-electronics-ltd" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="entities:6636:1" rel="noopener">Bharat Electronics</a> will replace <a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/nestle-india-ltd" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="entities:13101:1" rel="noopener">Nestle India</a> and <a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/indusind-bank-ltd" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="entities:1558:1" rel="noopener">Indusind Bank</a> in the <a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/s-p-bse-sensex-index" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="entities:31494:1" rel="noopener">S&amp;P BSE SENSEX Index</a> after the close of trading on 20 June.</li>
<li>Passive funds are estimated to buy 3-4 days of ADV in the adds and sell 1-10 days of ADV in the deletes. That increase to 3.5-17 days of delivery volume.</li>
<li>
<a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/indusind-bank-ltd" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="entities:1558:1" rel="noopener">Indusind Bank (IIB IN)</a> stock has dropped recently due to a large quarterly loss and allegations of fraud. The stock is also a potential deletion from the <a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/nifty-index" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="entities:23617:1" rel="noopener">NIFTY Index</a>.</li>
</ul>


In line with forecasts, Trent and Bharat Electronics will replace Nestle India and Indusind Bank in the S&amp;P BSE SENSEX Index after the close of trading on 20 June.
Passive funds are estimated to buy 3-4 days of ADV in the adds and sell 1-10 days of ADV in the deletes. That increase to 3.5-17 days of delivery volume.

Indusind Bank (IIB IN) stock has dropped recently due to a large quarterly loss and allegations of fraud. The stock is also a potential deletion from the NIFTY Index.


SENSEX Index Rebalance: Trent, Bharat Electronics to Replace Nestle, IndusInd Bank

Global Materials | Industrials | Commodities

Rahul Jain

Equity Bottom-Up

<ul>
<li>Strong Execution: 3-yr PAT CAGR of ~22% with ₹80,354 Cr order book offers 2–4 years of revenue visibility from high-margin defence programs.</li>
<li>Growth Levers: Expanding in seekers, EW, AI, and smart infra; 5 new units and key contracts like Akash, LRSAM, and Shakti drive forward pipeline.</li>
<li>Valuation Stretch: Trading at ~45x FY25E P/E vs 3-yr average of 32x; pricing reflects peak sentiment and leaves little room for error.</li>
</ul>


Strong Execution: 3-yr PAT CAGR of ~22% with ₹80,354 Cr order book offers 2–4 years of revenue visibility from high-margin defence programs.
Growth Levers: Expanding in seekers, EW, AI, and smart infra; 5 new units and key contracts like Akash, LRSAM, and Shakti drive forward pipeline.
Valuation Stretch: Trading at ~45x FY25E P/E vs 3-yr average of 32x; pricing reflects peak sentiment and leaves little room for error.


BEL: Earnings Firepower in Place, Rerating Looks Done

APAC IPOs & Placements, Aequitas Research

Akshat Shah

APAC IPOs & Placements

IPOs and Placements coverage across Asia Pacific

Aequitas Research

We cover all listing across the Asia Pacific along with follow-up placements. As of Dec 2020, our team had covered 539 IPOs with a hit rate of 73.5% and 685 placements with a hit rate of 66.8%.

We combine fundamental bottom-up views with our proprietary quantitative framework to provide a holistic coverage across new listings and placements. Our coverage includes pre-IPO notes before the deal is launched, follow-up analysis once the deal is live and post-listing trading analysis as well.

Equity Capital Markets

Travel Food Services / Equity Capital Markets

<ul>
<li>
<a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/travel-food-services-ltd" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="entities:44175:1" rel="noopener">Travel Food Services Ltd (1450229D IN)</a> is looking to raise about US$233m in its India IPO.</li>
<li>Travel Food Services Limited (TFS) operates a network of travel quick service restaurants (Travel QSRs) and private lounges in airports.</li>
<li>We have looked at the company’s past performance in our previous notes. In this note, we will talk about the RHP updates and IPO valuations.</li>
</ul>



Travel Food Services Ltd (1450229D IN) is looking to raise about US$233m in its India IPO.
Travel Food Services Limited (TFS) operates a network of travel quick service restaurants (Travel QSRs) and private lounges in airports.
We have looked at the company’s past performance in our previous notes. In this note, we will talk about the RHP updates and IPO valuations.


Travel Food Services IPO - RHP Updates & Thoughts on Valuation

Market & Forensics Analyst, Beat the Street

Nimish Maheshwari

Market & Forensics Analyst

Beat the Street

Beat The Street was founded by Nimish Maheshwari and Sudarshan Bhandari, both of whom are Chartered Accountants by Profession, known for their expert analysis in the fields of Business, Sectoral analysis, and Corporate governance.

With a strong social media presence of 45,000+ Subscribers across various platforms, they are considered trusted voices in the industry. Their insights and analysis have been featured in some of India’s most prominent publications, including the Economic Times, Dalal Street Investment Journal, The Morning Context, and The Ken.

Their analysis on Bankrupt & Insolvent companies has been instrumental in saving investors from significant losses. They have a keen eye for identifying red flags and has identified exclusive redflags earlier in Vedanta, Nykaa, Dhani Services, Adani and many more.

Read Business Not Stock Prices

Thematic (Sector/Industry)

<ul>
<li>Government policy, exemplified by a massive INR 7 lakh crore ($85 billion) pipeline in the last two years and accelerating export momentum, is resulting in a structural growth cycle.</li>
<li>This conversion provides multi-year revenue visibility (3-7x Book-to-Bill for key PSUs) and fundamentally shifts the industry model from import-driven acquisition to sustained indigenous manufacturing and maintenance, fueling a sustained re-rating.</li>
<li>The defence sector has crossed an point where execution is the new alpha; investors must closely monitor supply chain resilience around critical component imports, and the timing of mega-order conversions.</li>
</ul>


Government policy, exemplified by a massive INR 7 lakh crore ($85 billion) pipeline in the last two years and accelerating export momentum, is resulting in a structural growth cycle.
This conversion provides multi-year revenue visibility (3-7x Book-to-Bill for key PSUs) and fundamentally shifts the industry model from import-driven acquisition to sustained indigenous manufacturing and maintenance, fueling a sustained re-rating.
The defence sector has crossed an point where execution is the new alpha; investors must closely monitor supply chain resilience around critical component imports, and the timing of mega-order conversions.


Thematic Report on India's Defence Sector: The 'Atmanirbhar' Capex Cycle Hits Acceleration

Aditya Birla Capital Ltd / Index Rebalance

<ul>
<li>There will be 19 constituent changes for the Nifty200 Momentum 30 Index that will be implemented at the close on 30 December.</li>
<li>Estimated one-way turnover is 64.6% resulting in a round-trip trade of INR 161.3bn (US$1.8bn). There are 27 stocks with over 1x ADV to trade.</li>
<li>Some stocks will have passive flows from other index trackers at the same time while others are potential adds/close adds to global indices over the next couple of months.</li>
</ul>


There will be 19 constituent changes for the Nifty200 Momentum 30 Index that will be implemented at the close on 30 December.
Estimated one-way turnover is 64.6% resulting in a round-trip trade of INR 161.3bn (US$1.8bn). There are 27 stocks with over 1x ADV to trade.
Some stocks will have passive flows from other index trackers at the same time while others are potential adds/close adds to global indices over the next couple of months.


NIFTY200 Momentum30 Index Rebalance: Huge Turnover and Flow in December

India

Bharat Electronics Ltd. manufactures electronic communication equipment, night vision equipment such as image converter tubes, night vision binoculars, and goggles, periscopes, gunsights and tank electronics.  The Company's electronic communication products include HF/VHF transmitters, receivers, microwave radio relays, radars and other electronic components required by defense services.

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Bharat Electronics (BHE IN)

SENSEX Index Rebalance: Trent, Bharat Electronics to Replace Nestle, IndusInd Bank

Trent and Bharat Electronics will replace Nestle and IndusInd Bank in the Sensex from 23 June. The changes were forecast and there is positioning...

Brian Freitas

BEL: Earnings Firepower in Place, Rerating Looks Done

Article highlights strong execution and growth prospects for a company with a high-margin defense order book, but warns of a stretched valuation...

Rahul Jain

Travel Food Services IPO - RHP Updates & Thoughts on Valuation

Travel Food Services (TFS) is looking to raise about US$233m in its India IPO. In this note, we will talk about the RHP updates and IPO valuations.

Akshat Shah

Thematic Report on India's Defence Sector: The 'Atmanirbhar' Capex Cycle Hits Acceleration

Government policy driving massive defense pipeline and export growth is shifting industry model towards sustained indigenous manufacturing,...

Nimish Maheshwari

NIFTY200 Momentum30 Index Rebalance: Huge Turnover and Flow in December

There are 19 changes for the index in Dec. Estimated one-way turnover is 64.6% resulting in a round-trip trade of INR 161.3bn (US$1.8bn). There are...

Brian Freitas

Price Gauge

52-week Range

Market Cap (USDm)

P/E

Dividend (Yield)

SENSEX Index Rebalance: Trent, Bharat Electronics to Replace Nestle, IndusInd Bank

Trent and Bharat Electronics will replace Nestle and IndusInd Bank in the Sensex from 23 June. The changes were forecast and there is positioning...

Brian Freitas

BEL: Earnings Firepower in Place, Rerating Looks Done

​Article highlights strong execution and growth prospects for a company with a high-margin defense order book, but warns of a stretched valuation...

Rahul Jain

Travel Food Services IPO - RHP Updates & Thoughts on Valuation

Travel Food Services (TFS) is looking to raise about US$233m in its India IPO. In this note, we will talk about the RHP updates and IPO valuations.

Akshat Shah

Thematic Report on India's Defence Sector: The 'Atmanirbhar' Capex Cycle Hits Acceleration

​Government policy driving massive defense pipeline and export growth is shifting industry model towards sustained indigenous manufacturing,...

Nimish Maheshwari

NIFTY200 Momentum30 Index Rebalance: Huge Turnover and Flow in December

There are 19 changes for the index in Dec. Estimated one-way turnover is 64.6% resulting in a round-trip trade of INR 161.3bn (US$1.8bn). There are...

Brian Freitas

Article highlights strong execution and growth prospects for a company with a high-margin defense order book, but warns of a stretched valuation...

Government policy driving massive defense pipeline and export growth is shifting industry model towards sustained indigenous manufacturing,...