Index Rebal Trades & Special Situations, Quiddity Advisors

Janaghan Jeyakumar, CFA

Index Rebal Trades & Special Situations

Quiddity Advisors

Pan-Asia Catalysts/Events

Index Rebalance

<ul>
<li>The semiannual index rebal events of the SENSEX index, BSE 100 index, and BSE 200 index will take place in June 2025.</li>
<li>There will be two changes for BSE Sensex, three changes for BSE 100, and eight changes for BSE 200.</li>
<li>In this insight, we take a look at our final flow expectations.</li>
</ul>


The semiannual index rebal events of the SENSEX index, BSE 100 index, and BSE 200 index will take place in June 2025.
There will be two changes for BSE Sensex, three changes for BSE 100, and eight changes for BSE 200.
In this insight, we take a look at our final flow expectations.


Quiddity BSE/​​​​SENSEX Jun25 Results: 23/26 Correct; ~US$600mn Total One-Way Flows

InterGlobe Aviation Ltd / Index Rebalance

<ul>
<li>NIFTY 50 represents the 50 largest stocks listed in the National Stock Exchange (NSE) of India and the NIFTY Next 50 index tracks the next 50 largest names.</li>
<li>In this insight, we take a look at the names leading the race to become ADDs/DELs for these indices in the September 2025 index rebal event.</li>
<li>We see two changes for NIFTY 50 and five changes for NIFTY 100.</li>
</ul>


NIFTY 50 represents the 50 largest stocks listed in the National Stock Exchange (NSE) of India and the NIFTY Next 50 index tracks the next 50 largest names.
In this insight, we take a look at the names leading the race to become ADDs/DELs for these indices in the September 2025 index rebal event.
We see two changes for NIFTY 50 and five changes for NIFTY 100.


Quiddity Leaderboard NIFTY Sep25: Multiple Changes to Expectations

Pan-Asia Index Rebalances/ Events/ Delta One, Periscope Analytics

Brian Freitas

Pan-Asia Index Rebalances/ Events/ Delta One

Periscope Analytics

Periscope Analytics focuses on event-driven trades across Asia Pacific and provides comprehensive, timely and systematic coverage of index changes to major Asia Pacific indices in a structured manner.

The analysis includes forecasted inclusions and exclusions to all major Asian indices that have significant amount of tracking assets, including estimates of passive buy/sell flow on the stocks. The service also provides commentary and impact of market consultations, ground rule changes, and other events (IPOs, spin-offs, M&A) that could lead to index changes and passive flow.

Periscope Analytics works with multi-strategy hedge funds, proprietary trading firms, stat arb trading groups and long-only investors that invest and trade in the Asia Pacific region with the data being used to trade index rebalances, avoid pre-positioning and passive flow, and to time entry into and exit from stocks.

Event-Driven Trades Across Asia Pacific

<ul>
<li>In line with forecasts, <a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/trent-ltd" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="entities:8410:1" rel="noopener">Trent</a> and <a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/bharat-electronics-ltd" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="entities:6636:1" rel="noopener">Bharat Electronics</a> will replace <a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/nestle-india-ltd" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="entities:13101:1" rel="noopener">Nestle India</a> and <a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/indusind-bank-ltd" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="entities:1558:1" rel="noopener">Indusind Bank</a> in the <a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/s-p-bse-sensex-index" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="entities:31494:1" rel="noopener">S&amp;P BSE SENSEX Index</a> after the close of trading on 20 June.</li>
<li>Passive funds are estimated to buy 3-4 days of ADV in the adds and sell 1-10 days of ADV in the deletes. That increase to 3.5-17 days of delivery volume.</li>
<li>
<a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/indusind-bank-ltd" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="entities:1558:1" rel="noopener">Indusind Bank (IIB IN)</a> stock has dropped recently due to a large quarterly loss and allegations of fraud. The stock is also a potential deletion from the <a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/nifty-index" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="entities:23617:1" rel="noopener">NIFTY Index</a>.</li>
</ul>


In line with forecasts, Trent and Bharat Electronics will replace Nestle India and Indusind Bank in the S&amp;P BSE SENSEX Index after the close of trading on 20 June.
Passive funds are estimated to buy 3-4 days of ADV in the adds and sell 1-10 days of ADV in the deletes. That increase to 3.5-17 days of delivery volume.

Indusind Bank (IIB IN) stock has dropped recently due to a large quarterly loss and allegations of fraud. The stock is also a potential deletion from the NIFTY Index.


SENSEX Index Rebalance: Trent, Bharat Electronics to Replace Nestle, IndusInd Bank

<ul>
<li>Companies in India have disclosed their shareholding pattern as of end-March in April. There are companies with significant float changes from end-December and/or end-September.</li>
<li>The changes in free float could be reflected in domestic and global indices over the next few weeks and months resulting in action from passive trackers.</li>
<li>Depending on the date that the shareholding was published, there could be 6 stocks with passive inflows from global trackers while 4 could see passive outflows in May.</li>
</ul>


Companies in India have disclosed their shareholding pattern as of end-March in April. There are companies with significant float changes from end-December and/or end-September.
The changes in free float could be reflected in domestic and global indices over the next few weeks and months resulting in action from passive trackers.
Depending on the date that the shareholding was published, there could be 6 stocks with passive inflows from global trackers while 4 could see passive outflows in May.


India: Potential Free Float Changes & Passive Flows in 3 Weeks

<ul>
<li>In this insight, we take a look at the Potential ADDs/DELs for the BSE SENSEX, BSE 100, and BSE 200 indices in the June 2025 index rebal event.</li>
<li>As things stand, there could be two index changes for the SENSEX index.</li>
<li>There could be three ADDs/DELs for the BSE 100 index and eight ADDs/DELs for the BSE 200 index.</li>
</ul>


In this insight, we take a look at the Potential ADDs/DELs for the BSE SENSEX, BSE 100, and BSE 200 indices in the June 2025 index rebal event.
As things stand, there could be two index changes for the SENSEX index.
There could be three ADDs/DELs for the BSE 100 index and eight ADDs/DELs for the BSE 200 index.


Quiddity Leaderboard BSE/​​​​SENSEX Jun25: Pair Trade Delivers Strong Alpha; More Pair Trade Ideas

India

Indus Towers Limited is a telecommunication infrastructure company. The company operates and provides telecommunication tower and related infrastructure services in India. Indus Towers serves customers in India.

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Indus Towers (INDUSTOW IN)

Quiddity BSE/SENSEX Jun25 Results: 23/26 Correct; ~US$600mn Total One-Way Flows

We expect US$429mn, US$106mn, and US$62mn one-way index flows for SENSEX, BSE 100, and BSE 200 during the June 2025 index rebal event.

Janaghan Jeyakumar, CFA

Quiddity Leaderboard NIFTY Sep25: Multiple Changes to Expectations

We see US$886mn and US$391mn one-way flows, respectively, for the NIFTY 50 and NIFTY Next 50 September 2025 index rebalance events.

Janaghan Jeyakumar, CFA

SENSEX Index Rebalance: Trent, Bharat Electronics to Replace Nestle, IndusInd Bank

Trent and Bharat Electronics will replace Nestle and IndusInd Bank in the Sensex from 23 June. The changes were forecast and there is positioning...

Brian Freitas

India: Potential Free Float Changes & Passive Flows in 3 Weeks

Changes to shareholding patterns could lead to changes in float for some stocks in local/global indices. Passive trackers will need to trade over 3...

Brian Freitas

Quiddity Leaderboard BSE/SENSEX Jun25: Pair Trade Delivers Strong Alpha; More Pair Trade Ideas

The reference period for selection ranks ended on 30th April 2025. The only change in expectations since this insight is that we no longer see...

Janaghan Jeyakumar, CFA

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52-week Range

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Quiddity BSE/​​​​SENSEX Jun25 Results: 23/26 Correct; ~US$600mn Total One-Way Flows

We expect US$429mn, US$106mn, and US$62mn one-way index flows for SENSEX, BSE 100, and BSE 200 during the June 2025 index rebal event.

Janaghan Jeyakumar, CFA

Quiddity Leaderboard NIFTY Sep25: Multiple Changes to Expectations

We see US$886mn and US$391mn one-way flows, respectively, for the NIFTY 50 and NIFTY Next 50 September 2025 index rebalance events.

Janaghan Jeyakumar, CFA

SENSEX Index Rebalance: Trent, Bharat Electronics to Replace Nestle, IndusInd Bank

Trent and Bharat Electronics will replace Nestle and IndusInd Bank in the Sensex from 23 June. The changes were forecast and there is positioning...

Brian Freitas

India: Potential Free Float Changes & Passive Flows in 3 Weeks

Changes to shareholding patterns could lead to changes in float for some stocks in local/global indices. Passive trackers will need to trade over 3...

Brian Freitas

Quiddity Leaderboard BSE/​​​​SENSEX Jun25: Pair Trade Delivers Strong Alpha; More Pair Trade Ideas

The reference period for selection ranks ended on 30th April 2025. The only change in expectations since this insight is that we no longer see...

Janaghan Jeyakumar, CFA

Quiddity BSE/SENSEX Jun25 Results: 23/26 Correct; ~US$600mn Total One-Way Flows

Quiddity Leaderboard BSE/SENSEX Jun25: Pair Trade Delivers Strong Alpha; More Pair Trade Ideas