Providing investors with a balanced perspective, Massif Capital

Massif Capital Research

Providing investors with a balanced perspective

Massif Capital

Research focused on providing investors with a balanced perspective on the environmental and economic realities of achieving a carbon-neutral economy for businesses within the Energy, Basic Materials and Industrial industries.

The Massif Capital Real Asset Strategy is a global long/short equity strategy built around bottom-up stock picking. We are focused on creating a portfolio of businesses from within the Energy, Basic Materials and Industrial sectors that balance the environmental and economic realities of achieving a carbon-neutral economy.

Commodities

<h3><strong>This Week's Key Take Aways</strong></h3>
<ul>
<li>Lithium stock run may already be out of steam</li>
<li>Like Oil, the Natural Gas markets appear well supplied and are showing near-term weakness.</li>
<li>No love for North American lumber</li>
<li>Copper continues to have us on edge, love the long-term story, but we have got to survive the short and medium term to get there.</li>
<li>Renewable tax credit qualification has a new physical work standard; the race is on to build.</li>
</ul>

This Week's Key Take Aways

Lithium stock run may already be out of steam
Like Oil, the Natural Gas markets appear well supplied and are showing near-term weakness.
No love for North American lumber
Copper continues to have us on edge, love the long-term story, but we have got to survive the short and medium term to get there.
Renewable tax credit qualification has a new physical work standard; the race is on to build.


Real Asset Chartbook Week #18: Lithium Blinks, Gas Slips, Copper Stalls—Who Survives the Grind?

Asia Pac IPO & Placement Research, China biotech, Aequitas Research

Ke Yan, CFA, FRM

Asia Pac IPO & Placement Research, China biotech

IPOs and Placements coverage across Asia Pacific

Aequitas Research

We cover all listing across the Asia Pacific along with follow-up placements. As of Dec 2020, our team had covered 539 IPOs with a hit rate of 73.5% and 685 placements with a hit rate of 66.8%.

We combine fundamental bottom-up views with our proprietary quantitative framework to provide a holistic coverage across new listings and placements. Our coverage includes pre-IPO notes before the deal is launched, follow-up analysis once the deal is live and post-listing trading analysis as well.

Quantitative Analysis

<ul>
<li>We analyzed the changes in short interest of ASX Stocks as of Aug 15th (reported today). The aggregated short interest was USD26.2bn.</li>
<li>We tabulate league tables for top short by value and short as multiple of ADT, as well as weekly increases &amp; decreases in short value, short as multiple of ADT.</li>
<li>We highlight short interest changes in Liontown Resources, CAR, ANZ, Light &amp; Wonder, Premier Investments.</li>
</ul>


We analyzed the changes in short interest of ASX Stocks as of Aug 15th (reported today). The aggregated short interest was USD26.2bn.
We tabulate league tables for top short by value and short as multiple of ADT, as well as weekly increases &amp; decreases in short value, short as multiple of ADT.
We highlight short interest changes in Liontown Resources, CAR, ANZ, Light &amp; Wonder, Premier Investments.


ASX Short Interest Weekly (Aug 15th): Liontown Resources, CAR, ANZ, Light & Wonder

Head of Research, IPOs & Placements, Aequitas Research

Sumeet Singh

Head of Research, IPOs & Placements

Equity Capital Markets

Jiaxin International Resources Investment Limited / Equity Capital Markets

Jiaxin International Resources Investment Limited

<ul>
<li>
<a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/jiaxin-international-resources-investment-limited" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="entities:45065:1" rel="noopener">Jiaxin International Resources Investment Limited</a> (JIRI) is looking to raise around US$153m in its upcoming Hong Kong IPO.</li>
<li>Jiaxin International owns exclusive rights to a globally significant tungsten asset, supported by Jiangxi Copper. Commercial production began in April 2025, with full ramp-up expected by 2027.</li>
<li>We have looked at the company’s background in our earlier note, in this note we talk about the deal pricing.</li>
</ul>



Jiaxin International Resources Investment Limited (JIRI) is looking to raise around US$153m in its upcoming Hong Kong IPO.
Jiaxin International owns exclusive rights to a globally significant tungsten asset, supported by Jiangxi Copper. Commercial production began in April 2025, with full ramp-up expected by 2027.
We have looked at the company’s background in our earlier note, in this note we talk about the deal pricing.


Jiaxin International Resources Investment IPO - No Track Record, Government Supported

Derivatives and Quantitative Strategist

Gaudenz Schneider

Event-Driven

<ul>
<li>
<strong>Timing:</strong><a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/fortescue-metals-group-ltd" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="entities:41:1" rel="noopener">Fortescue (FMG AU)</a> is scheduled to report its FY2025 full-year results on Tuesday, 26 August 2025.</li>
<li>
<strong>Highlight:</strong> The options market provides estimates for the anticipated price move and the upcoming dividend. Implied volatility is projected to decline post-event; this Insight maps the resulting term structure.</li>
<li>
<strong>Why Read:</strong> Get the expected move, the dividend outlook, and a clear view of the post-event volatility term structure to be ready for results day.</li>
</ul>



Timing:Fortescue (FMG AU) is scheduled to report its FY2025 full-year results on Tuesday, 26 August 2025.

Highlight: The options market provides estimates for the anticipated price move and the upcoming dividend. Implied volatility is projected to decline post-event; this Insight maps the resulting term structure.

Why Read: Get the expected move, the dividend outlook, and a clear view of the post-event volatility term structure to be ready for results day.


Fortescue (FMG AU) Results on 26 Aug: Expected Price Swings and Volatility Outlook

<ul>
<li>We analyzed the changes in short interest of ASX Stocks as of Aug 8th (reported today). The aggregated short interest was USD25.9bn.</li>
<li>We tabulate league tables for top short by value and short as multiple of ADT, as well as weekly increases &amp; decreases in short value, short as multiple of ADT.</li>
<li>We highlight short interest changes in Wesfarmers, Infratil, Iluka Resources, Bigtincan, Auswide Bank.</li>
</ul>


We analyzed the changes in short interest of ASX Stocks as of Aug 8th (reported today). The aggregated short interest was USD25.9bn.
We tabulate league tables for top short by value and short as multiple of ADT, as well as weekly increases &amp; decreases in short value, short as multiple of ADT.
We highlight short interest changes in Wesfarmers, Infratil, Iluka Resources, Bigtincan, Auswide Bank.


ASX Short Interest Weekly (Aug 8th): Wesfarmers, Infratil, Iluka Resources, Bigtincan, Auswide Bank

Australia

BHP Billiton Limited is an international resources company.  The Company's principal business lines are mineral exploration and production, including coal, iron ore, gold, titanium, ferroalloys, nickel and copper concentrate, as well as petroleum exploration, production, and refining.  Dually-listed company with BLT LN.

Price Gauge
52-week Range	0.00 - 0.00
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Dividend (Yield)	0.00

BHP Group Ltd (BHP US)

Real Asset Chartbook Week #18: Lithium Blinks, Gas Slips, Copper Stalls—Who Survives the Grind?

This Week's Key Take Aways Lithium stock run may already be out of steam Like Oil, the Natural Gas markets appear well supplied and are showing...

Massif Capital Research

ASX Short Interest Weekly (Aug 15th): Liontown Resources, CAR, ANZ, Light & Wonder

We analyzed ASX short interest report for the past week and highlight short interest changes in Liontown Resources, CAR, ANZ, Light & Wonder,...

Ke Yan, CFA, FRM

Jiaxin International Resources Investment IPO - No Track Record, Government Supported

Jiaxin International Resources Investment Limited (JIRI) is looking to raise around US$153m in its upcoming Hong Kong IPO. In this note, we talk...

Sumeet Singh

Fortescue (FMG AU) Results on 26 Aug: Expected Price Swings and Volatility Outlook

Fortescue (FMG AU) to report FY2025 results on 26 August 2025. Options market anticipates price move, dividend outlook, and post-event volatility....

Gaudenz Schneider

ASX Short Interest Weekly (Aug 8th): Wesfarmers, Infratil, Iluka Resources, Bigtincan, Auswide Bank

We analyzed ASX short interest report for the past week and highlight short interest changes in Wesfarmers, Infratil, Iluka Resources, Bigtincan,...

Ke Yan, CFA, FRM

Price Gauge

52-week Range

Market Cap (USDm)

P/E

Dividend (Yield)

Real Asset Chartbook Week #18: Lithium Blinks, Gas Slips, Copper Stalls—Who Survives the Grind?

This Week's Key Take Aways Lithium stock run may already be out of steam Like Oil, the Natural Gas markets appear well supplied and are showing...

Massif Capital Research

ASX Short Interest Weekly (Aug 15th): Liontown Resources, CAR, ANZ, Light & Wonder

We analyzed ASX short interest report for the past week and highlight short interest changes in Liontown Resources, CAR, ANZ, Light & Wonder,...

Ke Yan, CFA, FRM

Jiaxin International Resources Investment IPO - No Track Record, Government Supported

Jiaxin International Resources Investment Limited (JIRI) is looking to raise around US$153m in its upcoming Hong Kong IPO. In this note, we talk...

Sumeet Singh

Fortescue (FMG AU) Results on 26 Aug: Expected Price Swings and Volatility Outlook

​Fortescue (FMG AU) to report FY2025 results on 26 August 2025. Options market anticipates price move, dividend outlook, and post-event volatility....

Gaudenz Schneider

ASX Short Interest Weekly (Aug 8th): Wesfarmers, Infratil, Iluka Resources, Bigtincan, Auswide Bank

We analyzed ASX short interest report for the past week and highlight short interest changes in Wesfarmers, Infratil, Iluka Resources, Bigtincan,...

Ke Yan, CFA, FRM

Fortescue (FMG AU) to report FY2025 results on 26 August 2025. Options market anticipates price move, dividend outlook, and post-event volatility....