Index Rebal/Special Situations, Quiddity Advisors

Janaghan Jeyakumar, CFA

Index Rebal/Special Situations

Quiddity Advisors

Pan-Asia Catalysts/Events

Index Rebalance

<ul>
<li>In <a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/insights/jpx-nikkei-400-2022-rebal-final-predictions" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="insights:72159" rel="noopener">JPX-Nikkei 400 2022 Rebal: Final Predictions</a>, I discussed Quiddity's final predictions for Potential ADDs/DELs for the JPX-Nikkei Index August 2022 Annual Review.</li>
<li>In that insight, I classified the potential ADDs/DELs by conviction levels and discussed why the high conviction ADDs and DELs deserved a higher weight than the other baskets.</li>
<li>Since then, the LONG High Conviction ADDs - SHORT High conviction DELs Trade has outperformed the other LONG-SHORT combinations.</li>
</ul>


In JPX-Nikkei 400 2022 Rebal: Final Predictions, I discussed Quiddity's final predictions for Potential ADDs/DELs for the JPX-Nikkei Index August 2022 Annual Review.
In that insight, I classified the potential ADDs/DELs by conviction levels and discussed why the high conviction ADDs and DELs deserved a higher weight than the other baskets.
Since then, the LONG High Conviction ADDs - SHORT High conviction DELs Trade has outperformed the other LONG-SHORT combinations.


JPX-Nikkei 400 2022 Rebal: Final Pre-Event Phase Strategy Worked. What Next?

Pan-Asia Catalysts/Events, Quiddity Advisors

Travis Lundy

Event-Driven

<ul>
<li>
<a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/yamada-denki-co-ltd" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="entities:641:1" rel="noopener">Yamada Denki (9831 JP)</a> reported <a href="https://www.yamada-holdings.jp/ir/kessan/2022/220506.pdf" target="_blank" rel="noopener">earnings</a> (Revs -7.6% (slight beat), OP -28.6% (slight miss), NP -2.4% (slight miss)), and slightly upbeat forecasts to Mar-2023 (Revs +4.6%, OP +12.5%, NP +2.9%) </li>
<li>They also <a href="https://www.yamada-holdings.jp/lang-en/pdf/press/220506_1e.pdf" target="_blank" rel="noopener">announced</a> an unchanged dividend at ¥18/share, and a VERY BIG BUYBACK. This is one of the largest, most aggressive, on-market buyback programs I have ever seen.</li>
<li>Previous buybacks have been duds. Yamada Denki is not playing around this time. This time it will be a buy.</li>
</ul>



Yamada Denki (9831 JP) reported earnings (Revs -7.6% (slight beat), OP -28.6% (slight miss), NP -2.4% (slight miss)), and slightly upbeat forecasts to Mar-2023 (Revs +4.6%, OP +12.5%, NP +2.9%) 
They also announced an unchanged dividend at ¥18/share, and a VERY BIG BUYBACK. This is one of the largest, most aggressive, on-market buyback programs I have ever seen.
Previous buybacks have been duds. Yamada Denki is not playing around this time. This time it will be a buy.


Yamada Denki - GINORMOUS Buyback To Dramatically Boost EPS and ROE

<ul>
<li>JPX-Nikkei 400 is composed of common stocks listed on the Tokyo Stock Exchange. It is a free-float-adjusted market-value-weighted (capped) index composed of 400 constituents.</li>
<li>A periodic review is conducted by the Index providers, the JPX Group and Nikkei Inc, in August every year. We look at the potential forward inclusions and removals every month.</li>
<li>Below is a look at potential Inclusions and Removals for the JPX-Nikkei 400 Rebalance to come in August 2022 based on trading data as of end-April 2022.</li>
</ul>


JPX-Nikkei 400 is composed of common stocks listed on the Tokyo Stock Exchange. It is a free-float-adjusted market-value-weighted (capped) index composed of 400 constituents.
A periodic review is conducted by the Index providers, the JPX Group and Nikkei Inc, in August every year. We look at the potential forward inclusions and removals every month.
Below is a look at potential Inclusions and Removals for the JPX-Nikkei 400 Rebalance to come in August 2022 based on trading data as of end-April 2022.


JPX-Nikkei 400 Rebalance 2022: Leaderboard End-Apr 2022

Expert on Japan Retail and Consumer Markets, JapanConsuming

Michael Causton

Expert on Japan Retail and Consumer Markets

Real Insight on Japanese Consumer Markets

JapanConsuming

JapanConsuming is a specialist research firm producing intelligence on Japanese retail and consumer markets. Founded in 2000, JapanConsuming has become the leading provider of insights on Japanese retailers and consumer trends to retailers, brands, government agencies and investors. As well as a highly regarded monthly report on the market, JapanConsuming produces in-depth reports on retail sectors, seminars on key trends and telephone consulting to investors on trends and retailers.

JapanConsuming was founded by Michael Causton and Roy Larke. 

Private Capital Markets

Yamada Holdings / Private Capital Markets

<ul>
<li>Yodobashi Camera will build up to 20 new fulfilment centres within the next five years. The aim is to offer same or next day delivery nationwide. </li>
<li>In the past year, the unlisted company has massively grown its online capacity – it already has more coverage than Rakuten and 2x the online sales of Seven &amp; I.</li>
<li>It is set to build on its existing position as the largest e-commerce operation outside the big, pure play malls.</li>
</ul>


Yodobashi Camera will build up to 20 new fulfilment centres within the next five years. The aim is to offer same or next day delivery nationwide. 
In the past year, the unlisted company has massively grown its online capacity – it already has more coverage than Rakuten and 2x the online sales of Seven &amp; I.
It is set to build on its existing position as the largest e-commerce operation outside the big, pure play malls.


Yodobashi Camera: 50% Online in 5 Years with Nationwide Delivery

Today, a relatively little-known (to foreigners) satellite broadcasting channel company called <a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/nippon-bs-broadcasting-corp" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="entities:8800:1" rel="noopener">Nippon BS Broadcasting (9414 JP)</a> (familiarly known as "BS11") announced its <a href="https://data.swcms.net/file/bs11/ir/irnews/auto_20211005407094/pdfFile.pdf" target="_blank" rel="noopener">FY results</a> (FY-end is 31 August), with a 27-page  <a href="https://corp.bs11.jp/ir/library/presentation/main/0/teaserItems1/02/linkList/0/link/hosokusetumeisiryou%20202108.pdf" target="_blank" rel="noopener">presentation</a>, <a href="https://data.swcms.net/file/bs11/ir/irnews/auto_20211005407085/pdfFile.pdf" target="_blank" rel="noopener">announced</a> a change in COO as the current COO becomes CEO on 17 November upon the AGM.The company also <a href="https://data.swcms.net/file/bs11/ir/irnews/auto_20211006407666/pdfFile.pdf" target="_blank" rel="noopener">announced</a> (again, Japanese-only) that a shareholder (becoming better-known US-based Japan activism gadfly RMB Japan Opportunities Fund LP) had put forth a shareholder proposal for the upcoming AGM, and the directors have come out against it. There are times when shareholder proposals are crazy. There are some where they may be ill-advised (either in the time spent on the tilt which will go nowhere, or in the idea that the proposal is so egregiously substantive that more study would be needed than could be afforded in the short period to the next vote. This proposal, however, is not one of those. And the answer is... well.... BS.

Today, a relatively little-known (to foreigners) satellite broadcasting channel company called Nippon BS Broadcasting (9414 JP) (familiarly known as "BS11") announced its FY results (FY-end is 31 August), with a 27-page  presentation, announced a change in COO as the current COO becomes CEO on 17 November upon the AGM.The company also announced (again, Japanese-only) that a shareholder (becoming better-known US-based Japan activism gadfly RMB Japan Opportunities Fund LP) had put forth a shareholder proposal for the upcoming AGM, and the directors have come out against it. There are times when shareholder proposals are crazy. There are some where they may be ill-advised (either in the time spent on the tilt which will go nowhere, or in the idea that the proposal is so egregiously substantive that more study would be needed than could be afforded in the short period to the next vote. This proposal, however, is not one of those. And the answer is... well.... BS.

What Is BS Governance? That Is BS Governance!

Japan

BIC CAMERA INC. operates electronic retail stores throughout Japan focusing on the Tokyo metropolitan area.  The Company sells audio and video equipments, electrical home appliances and telecommunication equipments.  Bic Camera also runs an Internet shopping site.

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Bic Camera Inc (3048 JP)

JPX-Nikkei 400 2022 Rebal: Final Pre-Event Phase Strategy Worked. What Next?

The official index changes could be announced on 5th August 2022. Expect some positive and negative surprises. Inclusion/Exclusion events could...

Janaghan Jeyakumar, CFA

Yamada Denki - GINORMOUS Buyback To Dramatically Boost EPS and ROE

Yamada Denki (9831) just announced better-than-consensus guidance, and a HUGE buyback implying a DPS hike. This will move a lot and will still be...

Travis Lundy

JPX-Nikkei 400 Rebalance 2022: Leaderboard End-Apr 2022

A look at the potential Inclusions and Removals for the JPX-Nikkei 400 Rebalance to come in August 2022 based on trading data as of end-April 2022.

Janaghan Jeyakumar, CFA

Yodobashi Camera: 50% Online in 5 Years with Nationwide Delivery

Consumers are shifting purchases of electronics online and, while the big consumer electronics chains had a good pandemic, this won't last....

Michael Causton

What Is BS Governance? That Is BS Governance!

Nippon BS Corporation, familiarly known in Japan as BS11, received a shareholder proposal to lift its dividend to a higher payout ratio, backed by...

Travis Lundy

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