Macro Strategist, Saxo Capital Markets

Kay Van-Petersen

Macro Strategist

Saxo Capital Markets

Thematic (Sector/Industry)

<ul><li>Key Call: STILL people are not catching up and/or doing the work on KVP’s high conviction long DollarSwissy call, I know, I know, it’s downright outrageous. Yes, there will always be another trade, yet not all trades are created equal – far from it </li><li>Equities: Europe Up, US down.</li><li>US4QGDP: I’d expect more uplift to feed through, as the full effect of the over 50% fall in oil feeds into discretionary spending. </li><li>Alibaba and Yahoo: Opportunity of potentially getting a discount exposure into Alibaba’s shares through the Spin Co </li><li>Alibaba’s big miss on the bottom line, sent its shares down c. -14% for the week – primarily due to options compensation expenses – with a Friday close of sub 90 at $89.08, its looking interesting. 2016 valuation wise, its in-line with FB at 31x P/E yet set to grow at a faster clip at +35% earnings. </li><li>CAD: When you trade CAD, a part of you is taking a view on oil… </li></ul>

Key Call: STILL people are not catching up and/or doing the work on KVP’s high conviction long DollarSwissy call, I know, I know, it’s downright outrageous. Yes, there will always be another trade, yet not all trades are created equal – far from it Equities: Europe Up, US down.US4QGDP: I’d expect more uplift to feed through, as the full effect of the over 50% fall in oil feeds into discretionary spending. Alibaba and Yahoo: Opportunity of potentially getting a discount exposure into Alibaba’s shares through the Spin Co Alibaba’s big miss on the bottom line, sent its shares down c. -14% for the week – primarily due to options compensation expenses – with a Friday close of sub 90 at $89.08, its looking interesting. 2016 valuation wise, its in-line with FB at 31x P/E yet set to grow at a faster clip at +35% earnings. CAD: When you trade CAD, a part of you is taking a view on oil… 

The Matrix: A Strategist's roving thoughts: Swiss Francs, Europe, Alibaba

Founder Evidente. Top rated quantitative analyst, Evidente

Sam Ferraro

Founder Evidente. Top rated quantitative analyst

Evidente

Evidente is an independent financial education firm that delivers innovative financial advice to wholesale investors, including active long only funds, hedge funds, pension funds, and sovereign wealth funds, in Australia and globally.  Drawing on academic research in asset pricing, behavioural finance and portfolio construction, Evidente provides wholesale investors with commercial solutions to stock selection and asset allocation decisions across equities and other asset classes.

Macroeconomics

<span style='font-family: "Calibri",sans-serif; font-size: 14pt; mso-fareast-font-family: "Times New Roman"; mso-ansi-language: EN-AU; mso-fareast-language: EN-AU; mso-bidi-language: AR-SA; mso-bidi-font-family: Helvetica; mso-bidi-font-weight: bold;'>The updated World Economic Outlook reveals that the IMF is (rightly) fed up with the ECB’s timid approach to monetary policy.&nbsp;&nbsp;Monetary policy in the euro area remains slow to respond to the persistent decline in inflation and as a result, the region is vulnerable to any shock that leads to further disinflation or outright deflation.&nbsp; The IMF appears to have adopted the Larry Summers ‘secular stagnation’ view of the post crisis global economy, which draws heavily on the Reinhart/Rogoff interpretation of history; that recoveries from balance sheet recessions are structural and therefore painfully slow.&nbsp; As long as the IMF and other economic forecasters continue to downgrade expectations of global growth, investors should be overweight safe assets and defensive sectors within stock markets, particularly companies that offer sustainably high payout yields, and strong earnings predictability.&nbsp;

The updated World Economic Outlook reveals that the IMF is (rightly) fed up with the ECB’s timid approach to monetary policy.&nbsp;&nbsp;Monetary policy in the euro area remains slow to respond to the persistent decline in inflation and as a result, the region is vulnerable to any shock that leads to further disinflation or outright deflation.&nbsp; The IMF appears to have adopted the Larry Summers ‘secular stagnation’ view of the post crisis global economy, which draws heavily on the Reinhart/Rogoff interpretation of history; that recoveries from balance sheet recessions are structural and therefore painfully slow.&nbsp; As long as the IMF and other economic forecasters continue to downgrade expectations of global growth, investors should be overweight safe assets and defensive sectors within stock markets, particularly companies that offer sustainably high payout yields, and strong earnings predictability.&nbsp; 

The IMF's Patience with the ECB Wears Thin

<ul><li>Post SNB surprise announcement yesterday - after leading the market on as recently as a few weeks ago on – the term “Never trust a Swiss central banker” will soon become mainstream.&nbsp; </li><li>In this piece, KVP takes a snap shot of what happened, the significance &amp; potential ways to look to play things going forward. </li></ul>

Post SNB surprise announcement yesterday - after leading the market on as recently as a few weeks ago on – the term “Never trust a Swiss central banker” will soon become mainstream.&nbsp; In this piece, KVP takes a snap shot of what happened, the significance &amp; potential ways to look to play things going forward. 

Global Healthcare Analyst

Tina Banerjee

Equity Bottom-Up

<ul>
<li>
<a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/sysmex-corp" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="entities:19333:1" rel="noopener">Sysmex Corp (6869 JP)</a> revenue dropped 2% YoY to ¥361.1B in 9MFY26. SG&amp;A expenses totaled ¥120.2B, up 9% YoY resulting in operating profit of ¥48.7B, down 28% YoY.</li>
<li>During 9MFY26, impacted by inventory adjustments China sales declined 20% YoY to ¥65.5B. In Japan, strong hematology instrument sales in 9MFY25 led to 14% YoY lower sales to ¥40.5B.   </li>
<li>For FY26, Sysmex revised their previous revenue guidance of ¥510B to ¥500B (down 2% YoY) mainly due to China impact and revised plans for medical robotics business in Japan.</li>
</ul>



Sysmex Corp (6869 JP) revenue dropped 2% YoY to ¥361.1B in 9MFY26. SG&amp;A expenses totaled ¥120.2B, up 9% YoY resulting in operating profit of ¥48.7B, down 28% YoY.
During 9MFY26, impacted by inventory adjustments China sales declined 20% YoY to ¥65.5B. In Japan, strong hematology instrument sales in 9MFY25 led to 14% YoY lower sales to ¥40.5B.   
For FY26, Sysmex revised their previous revenue guidance of ¥510B to ¥500B (down 2% YoY) mainly due to China impact and revised plans for medical robotics business in Japan.


Sysmex Corp (6869 JP): 9MFY26 Revenue Drop on China, Guidance Revised Downwards

Independent research on the U.S. markets, Baptista Research

Baptista Research

Independent research on the U.S. markets

Baptista Research is an independent financial research house focused on the U.S. markets. We provide equity research as well as credit research reports on the top-listed U.S. companies with most of our focus on technology, consumer goods and services, automobiles, industrials, oil and gas, pharma, and healthcare. Our research has served more than 3000 institutional investors including mutual funds, hedge funds, banks, family offices, and various buy-side firms. We operate a research subscription service where institutions, as well as retail investors, can have priority access to all our research. We also have a wide distribution of our research reports across some of the top global financial platforms. Apart from equity research and credit research, we also provide advisory services with respect to mergers & acquisitions (M&A), private equity/ venture capital fundraising, valuation reports, and investment management services for corporates.
Baptista Research is owned and managed by Ishan Majumdar, an ex-Venture Capitalist/ Investment Banker, a Chartered Accountant, and a Masters’ degree holder in Management from HEC Paris. Ishan has nearly a decade of experience in Mergers and Acquisitions, Leveraged Buyouts (LBOs), Venture Capital Investing, Corporate Strategy, and Valuation in front-office roles at the likes of BNP Paribas CIB, Credit Agricole CIB, Groupe Danone, and TIW Private Equity. He has worked on and closed multiple acquisition deals, leveraged buyouts, and start-up investment transactions.

Bio-Rad Laboratories A / Equity Bottom-Up

<ul><li>Bio-Rad Laboratories Inc.'s (Bio-Rad) second quarter of 2025 results reflect a blend of stability and adverse challenges.</li><li>The company reported net sales of approximately $652 million, a 2.1% increase from the previous year on a reported basis, though just a 1% rise when adjusted for currency fluctuations.</li><li>This performance was largely buoyed by robust sales in the Life Sciences segment, particularly in process chromatography and food safety products.</li></ul>

Bio-Rad Laboratories Inc.'s (Bio-Rad) second quarter of 2025 results reflect a blend of stability and adverse challenges.The company reported net sales of approximately $652 million, a 2.1% increase from the previous year on a reported basis, though just a 1% rise when adjusted for currency fluctuations.This performance was largely buoyed by robust sales in the Life Sciences segment, particularly in process chromatography and food safety products.

Bio-Rad Laboratories: Is The Growth in Digital PCR Business Here To Stay?

United States

Bio-Rad Laboratories, Inc. is a multinational manufacturer and distributor of life science research products, clinical diagnostics, and analytical instrumentation.  The Company's products and systems separate complex chemical and biological materials, as well as identify, analyze, and purify their components.

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Bio-Rad Laboratories A (BIO US)

The Matrix: A Strategist's roving thoughts: Swiss Francs, Europe, Alibaba

Key Call: STILL people are not catching up and/or doing the work on KVP’s high conviction long DollarSwissy call, I know, I know, it’s downright...

Kay Van-Petersen

The IMF's Patience with the ECB Wears Thin

The updated World Economic Outlook reveals that the IMF is (rightly) fed up with the ECB’s timid approach to monetary policy. Monetary policy in...

Sam Ferraro

Never Trust A Swiss Central Banker

Post SNB surprise announcement yesterday - after leading the market on as recently as a few weeks ago on – the term “Never trust a Swiss central...

Kay Van-Petersen

Sysmex Corp (6869 JP): 9MFY26 Revenue Drop on China, Guidance Revised Downwards

Sysmex Corp's revenue dropped 2% YoY in 9MFY26, with China and Japan sales declining. Revised FY26 revenue, operating profit and net profit...

Tina Banerjee

Bio-Rad Laboratories: Is The Growth in Digital PCR Business Here To Stay?

Bio-Rad Laboratories Inc.'s (Bio-Rad) second quarter of 2025 results reflect a blend of stability and adverse challenges. The company reported net...

Baptista Research

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The Matrix: A Strategist's roving thoughts: Swiss Francs, Europe, Alibaba

Key Call: STILL people are not catching up and/or doing the work on KVP’s high conviction long DollarSwissy call, I know, I know, it’s downright...

Kay Van-Petersen

The IMF's Patience with the ECB Wears Thin

The updated World Economic Outlook reveals that the IMF is (rightly) fed up with the ECB’s timid approach to monetary policy. Monetary policy in...

Sam Ferraro

Never Trust A Swiss Central Banker

Post SNB surprise announcement yesterday - after leading the market on as recently as a few weeks ago on – the term “Never trust a Swiss central...

Kay Van-Petersen

Sysmex Corp (6869 JP): 9MFY26 Revenue Drop on China, Guidance Revised Downwards

​Sysmex Corp's revenue dropped 2% YoY in 9MFY26, with China and Japan sales declining. Revised FY26 revenue, operating profit and net profit...

Tina Banerjee

Bio-Rad Laboratories: Is The Growth in Digital PCR Business Here To Stay?

Bio-Rad Laboratories Inc.'s (Bio-Rad) second quarter of 2025 results reflect a blend of stability and adverse challenges. The company reported net...

Baptista Research

Sysmex Corp's revenue dropped 2% YoY in 9MFY26, with China and Japan sales declining. Revised FY26 revenue, operating profit and net profit...