HK/China Healthcare Analyst (ex-Fosun Pharma)

Xinyao (Criss) Wang

Equity Capital Markets

Shanghai Forest Cabin Biological-Tech / Equity Capital Markets

<ul>
<li>FOREST CABIN holds a leading position in camellia oil segmentation, with mid-to-high end positioning and high gross profit margin. But high operating cost will put pressure on net profit margin.</li>
<li>Considering the risk of recession/depression, consumption downgrade and reducing non-rigid spending will be the main theme in short term. 50% YoY revenue growth in 2024 is likely to be unsustainable.</li>
<li>Valuation of FOREST CABIN could be lower than peers. Stock price performance would highly depend on market sentiment, company growth trend, and visibility of profitability at the time of listing.</li>
</ul>


FOREST CABIN holds a leading position in camellia oil segmentation, with mid-to-high end positioning and high gross profit margin. But high operating cost will put pressure on net profit margin.
Considering the risk of recession/depression, consumption downgrade and reducing non-rigid spending will be the main theme in short term. 50% YoY revenue growth in 2024 is likely to be unsustainable.
Valuation of FOREST CABIN could be lower than peers. Stock price performance would highly depend on market sentiment, company growth trend, and visibility of profitability at the time of listing.


Pre-IPO Shanghai Forest Cabin Biological-Tech - The Business Model and the Concerns Behind

Asia Pac IPO & Placement Research, China biotech, Aequitas Research

Ke Yan, CFA, FRM

Asia Pac IPO & Placement Research, China biotech

IPOs and Placements coverage across Asia Pacific

Aequitas Research

We cover all listing across the Asia Pacific along with follow-up placements. As of Dec 2020, our team had covered 539 IPOs with a hit rate of 73.5% and 685 placements with a hit rate of 66.8%.

We combine fundamental bottom-up views with our proprietary quantitative framework to provide a holistic coverage across new listings and placements. Our coverage includes pre-IPO notes before the deal is launched, follow-up analysis once the deal is live and post-listing trading analysis as well.

Quantitative Analysis

<ul>
<li>We analysed the earning revision of component stocks of STAR50 in the past month.</li>
<li>We tabulated stocks with the top impact on index's EPS, stocks' EPS revision, and revenue revision.</li>
<li>We highlighted EPS revision on JINKO SOLAR, Xinjiang Daqo, CAMBRICON TECHNOLOGIES, Ninebot, TRINA SOLAR, Cambricon Technologies, Ninebot, Trina Solar, Jinko Solar, Xinjiang Daqo.</li>
</ul>


We analysed the earning revision of component stocks of STAR50 in the past month.
We tabulated stocks with the top impact on index's EPS, stocks' EPS revision, and revenue revision.
We highlighted EPS revision on JINKO SOLAR, Xinjiang Daqo, CAMBRICON TECHNOLOGIES, Ninebot, TRINA SOLAR, Cambricon Technologies, Ninebot, Trina Solar, Jinko Solar, Xinjiang Daqo.


STAR50 Index Earning Revision (Aug): JINKO SOLAR, Xinjiang Daqo, CAMBRICON, Ninebot

Eastenova (Chengdu) Biotechnology / Equity Capital Markets

<ul>
<li>Eastenova, a China-based regenerative medicine specialist, is looking to raise at least US$100 million via a Hong Kong listing. The sole bookrunner is CCBI.</li>
<li>In this note, we take a look at the company’s core product, XH301.</li>
<li>Our research suggests that recalibration of the company’s potential is necessary given the intense competition and market deceleration.</li>
</ul>


Eastenova, a China-based regenerative medicine specialist, is looking to raise at least US$100 million via a Hong Kong listing. The sole bookrunner is CCBI.
In this note, we take a look at the company’s core product, XH301.
Our research suggests that recalibration of the company’s potential is necessary given the intense competition and market deceleration.


Eastenova (东方妍美) Pre-IPO: Recalibration of Potentials

Newtrend Technology / Equity Capital Markets

<ul>
<li>Summit's chances of being sold have decreased significantly. Since Summit does not have enough funds to promote multiple large-scale Phase III trials, the outlook of Summit/Akeso will become increasingly passive.</li>
<li>The public statements of Zhao Yan from Bloomage have raised doubts in the market about the prospects of collagen and Giant Biogene. Below, we shared some differentiated views on this.</li>
<li>The IPO pricing of Newtrend is HK$18.9-20.9/share. We think Newtrend is overvalued considering the "price war" and oversupply issue. Reasonable valuation should be lower than <a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/anhui-jinhe-industrial-co-ltd" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="entities:4296:1" rel="noopener">Anhui Jinhe Industrial (002597 CH)</a>.</li>
</ul>


Summit's chances of being sold have decreased significantly. Since Summit does not have enough funds to promote multiple large-scale Phase III trials, the outlook of Summit/Akeso will become increasingly passive.
The public statements of Zhao Yan from Bloomage have raised doubts in the market about the prospects of collagen and Giant Biogene. Below, we shared some differentiated views on this.
The IPO pricing of Newtrend is HK$18.9-20.9/share. We think Newtrend is overvalued considering the "price war" and oversupply issue. Reasonable valuation should be lower than Anhui Jinhe Industrial (002597 CH).


China Healthcare Weekly (Jun.8)-Summit/Akeso, Giant Biogene's Trouble, Views on Newtrend IPO Pricing

Head of Research, IPOs & Placements, Aequitas Research

Sumeet Singh

Head of Research, IPOs & Placements

Event-Driven

<ul>
<li>
<a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/mao-geping-cosmetics-co-ltd" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="entities:41297:1" rel="noopener">Mao Geping Cosmetics</a> raised around US$345m in its Hong Kong IPO. The lockup on its cornerstone investors is set to expire soon.</li>
<li>Mao Geping Cosmetics (MGC) operates in the premium beauty segment. Operating via its two brands, MAOGEPING and Love Keeps, MGC offers a wide range of color cosmetics and skincare products.</li>
<li>In this note, we will talk about the lockup dynamics and possible placement.</li>
</ul>



Mao Geping Cosmetics raised around US$345m in its Hong Kong IPO. The lockup on its cornerstone investors is set to expire soon.
Mao Geping Cosmetics (MGC) operates in the premium beauty segment. Operating via its two brands, MAOGEPING and Love Keeps, MGC offers a wide range of color cosmetics and skincare products.
In this note, we will talk about the lockup dynamics and possible placement.


Mao Geping IPO Lockup - Stock Is up 4x, US$400m Cornerstone Lockup Release

China

Bloomage Biotechnology Corporation Limited develops and manufactures medical products. The Company produces fillers, mesotherapy products, bio reactive hyaluronic acids, repair soothing skin care products, and other products. Bloomage Biotechnology supplies its products in medicine, cosmetics, food manufacturing companies, medical institutions, and other fields.

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Bloomage Biotechnology Lt (688363 CH)

Pre-IPO Shanghai Forest Cabin Biological-Tech - The Business Model and the Concerns Behind

Forest Cabin's leading position in camellia oil market could be challenged by high operating costs and potential economic downturn, impacting...

Xinyao (Criss) Wang

STAR50 Index Earning Revision (Aug): JINKO SOLAR, Xinjiang Daqo, CAMBRICON, Ninebot

We analyzed STAR50's consensus for Aug 2025 and highlighted changes of EPS in JINKO SOLAR (688223 CH), Xinjiang Daqo (688303 CH), CAMBRICON...

Ke Yan, CFA, FRM

Eastenova (东方妍美) Pre-IPO: Recalibration of Potentials

China's regenerative medicine specialist Eastenova aims to raise $100 million through a Hong Kong listing. Our research indicates a need to...

Ke Yan, CFA, FRM

China Healthcare Weekly (Jun.8)-Summit/Akeso, Giant Biogene's Trouble, Views on Newtrend IPO Pricing

Summit's chances of being sold decrease largely, so the outlook of Summit/Akeso is passive. Doubts raised about Giant Biogene's outlook after Zhao...

Xinyao (Criss) Wang

Mao Geping IPO Lockup - Stock Is up 4x, US$400m Cornerstone Lockup Release

Mao Geping Cosmetics raised around US$345m in its Hong Kong IPO. The lockup on its cornerstone investors is set to expire soon.

Sumeet Singh

Price Gauge

52-week Range

Market Cap (USDm)

P/E

Dividend (Yield)

Pre-IPO Shanghai Forest Cabin Biological-Tech - The Business Model and the Concerns Behind

​Forest Cabin's leading position in camellia oil market could be challenged by high operating costs and potential economic downturn, impacting...

Xinyao (Criss) Wang

STAR50 Index Earning Revision (Aug): JINKO SOLAR, Xinjiang Daqo, CAMBRICON, Ninebot

We analyzed STAR50's consensus for Aug 2025 and highlighted changes of EPS in JINKO SOLAR (688223 CH), Xinjiang Daqo (688303 CH), CAMBRICON...

Ke Yan, CFA, FRM

Eastenova (东方妍美) Pre-IPO: Recalibration of Potentials

​China's regenerative medicine specialist Eastenova aims to raise $100 million through a Hong Kong listing. Our research indicates a need to...

Ke Yan, CFA, FRM

China Healthcare Weekly (Jun.8)-Summit/Akeso, Giant Biogene's Trouble, Views on Newtrend IPO Pricing

​Summit's chances of being sold decrease largely, so the outlook of Summit/Akeso is passive. Doubts raised about Giant Biogene's outlook after Zhao...

Xinyao (Criss) Wang

Mao Geping IPO Lockup - Stock Is up 4x, US$400m Cornerstone Lockup Release

Mao Geping Cosmetics raised around US$345m in its Hong Kong IPO. The lockup on its cornerstone investors is set to expire soon.

Sumeet Singh

Forest Cabin's leading position in camellia oil market could be challenged by high operating costs and potential economic downturn, impacting...

China's regenerative medicine specialist Eastenova aims to raise $100 million through a Hong Kong listing. Our research indicates a need to...

Summit's chances of being sold decrease largely, so the outlook of Summit/Akeso is passive. Doubts raised about Giant Biogene's outlook after Zhao...