Equity Analyst - Asia Consumer Sector, Investory

Devi Subhakesan

Equity Analyst - Asia Consumer Sector

ASIA CONSUMER: INSIGHTS AND INVESTMENT IDEAS

Investory

Investory is a Singapore-based boutique independent equity research firm founded in January 2017 with a primary focus on consumption themes across Asia-Pacific.

We aim to generate investible ideas based on consumption trends and outlook. We screen our ideas on several parameters - product potential, long-term growth and management commitment being the most critical.  We follow a fundamental analysis approach in our stock selection process and are not restricted by market cap.

We aspire to grow into a leading source of unbiased research, free of conflict of interest, for investors yearning for independent and disciplined analysis. 

We also undertake bespoke research mandates to support our Institutional clients’ investment needs.

Our team comprises of professionals with extensive experience in the Asian equity markets, in areas ranging from research, servicing institutional clients and investment management.

Equity Bottom-Up

<ul>
<li>Samsung India Electronics, a 100% subsidiary of <a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/samsung-electronics-co-ltd" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="entities:191:1" rel="noopener">Samsung Electronics (005930 KS)</a>, reported a 2024 turnover of USD 12 bn, ranking it among India’s largest consumer sector companies.</li>
<li>It is a leading player in smartphones, smart TVs, and home appliances, with FY2024 revenues 4.5X that of <a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/lg-electronics-india" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="entities:44148:1" rel="noopener">LG Electronics India (123D IN).</a>
</li>
<li>Estimated valuations of Samsung India Electronics could represent nearly 20% to 25% of its parent’s EV, when valued using India peer group multiples.</li>
</ul>


Samsung India Electronics, a 100% subsidiary of Samsung Electronics (005930 KS), reported a 2024 turnover of USD 12 bn, ranking it among India’s largest consumer sector companies.
It is a leading player in smartphones, smart TVs, and home appliances, with FY2024 revenues 4.5X that of LG Electronics India (123D IN).

Estimated valuations of Samsung India Electronics could represent nearly 20% to 25% of its parent’s EV, when valued using India peer group multiples.


Samsung India Electronics: The Biggest Consumer Company in India. Financials & Valuation

Pan-Asia Index Rebalances/ Events/ Delta One, Periscope Analytics

Brian Freitas

Pan-Asia Index Rebalances/ Events/ Delta One

Periscope Analytics

Periscope Analytics focuses on event-driven trades across Asia Pacific and provides comprehensive, timely and systematic coverage of index changes to major Asia Pacific indices in a structured manner.

The analysis includes forecasted inclusions and exclusions to all major Asian indices that have significant amount of tracking assets, including estimates of passive buy/sell flow on the stocks. The service also provides commentary and impact of market consultations, ground rule changes, and other events (IPOs, spin-offs, M&A) that could lead to index changes and passive flow.

Periscope Analytics works with multi-strategy hedge funds, proprietary trading firms, stat arb trading groups and long-only investors that invest and trade in the Asia Pacific region with the data being used to trade index rebalances, avoid pre-positioning and passive flow, and to time entry into and exit from stocks.

Event-Driven Trades Across Asia Pacific

Index Rebalance

<ul>
<li>The <a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/nifty-index" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="entities:23617:1" rel="noopener">NIFTY Index</a>, <a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/nse-nifty-next-50-index" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="entities:36053:1" rel="noopener">Nifty Next 50 Index</a>, <a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/nse-nifty-bank-index" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="entities:26811:1" rel="noopener">Nifty Bank Index</a>, <a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/nifty-it-index" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="entities:36059:1" rel="noopener">Nifty IT Index</a>, Nifty Midcap 150 Index, Nifty100 Low Volatility30 Index and the <a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/cpse-etf" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="entities:28191:1" rel="noopener">CPSE ETF</a> rebalance at the close today.</li>
<li>The round-trip trade across the indices is US$2.6bn and there are 26 stocks with over 1 day of ADV to trade from passive trackers.</li>
<li>Stocks with the largest impact are <a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/britannia-industries-ltd" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="entities:16495:1" rel="noopener">Britannia Industries</a>, <a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/bharat-petroleum-corp-ltd" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="entities:10222:1" rel="noopener">Bharat Petroleum</a>, <a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/adani-total-gas-ltd" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="entities:28352:1" rel="noopener">Adani Total Gas</a>, <a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/indian-hotels-co-ltd" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="entities:5774:1" rel="noopener">Indian Hotels</a>, <a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/jio-financial-services-limited" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="entities:40042:1" rel="noopener">Jio Financial</a>, <a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/indian-railway-catering-and-tourism-corporation-limited" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="entities:33951:1" rel="noopener">IRCTC</a>, <a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/zomato-ltd" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="entities:28820:1" rel="noopener">Zomato</a>, <a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/federal-bank-ltd" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="entities:11784:1" rel="noopener">Federal Bank</a>, <a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/union-bank-of-india" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="entities:546:1" rel="noopener">Union Bank Of India</a> and <a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/crompton-greaves-ltd" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="entities:6248:1" rel="noopener">Crompton Greaves</a>.</li>
</ul>


The NIFTY Index, Nifty Next 50 Index, Nifty Bank Index, Nifty IT Index, Nifty Midcap 150 Index, Nifty100 Low Volatility30 Index and the CPSE ETF rebalance at the close today.
The round-trip trade across the indices is US$2.6bn and there are 26 stocks with over 1 day of ADV to trade from passive trackers.
Stocks with the largest impact are Britannia Industries, Bharat Petroleum, Adani Total Gas, Indian Hotels, Jio Financial, IRCTC, Zomato, Federal Bank, Union Bank Of India and Crompton Greaves.


NIFTY Indices: Flows (Post Capping) At the Close Today; Round-Trip US$2.6bn

Equity Capital Markets

LG Electronics India / Equity Capital Markets

<ul>
<li>
<a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/lg-electronics-india" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="entities:44148:1" rel="noopener">LG Electronics India</a> has secured regulatory approval for its IPO, expected to raise between USD 1 to 1.5 billion. </li>
<li>However, it remains unclear whether the company will delay the launch until market sentiment shows further improvement.</li>
<li>
<a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/lg-electronics-india" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="entities:44148:1" rel="noopener">LG Electronics India (123D IN)</a> IPO is a 100% offer for sale by parent and hence the entire proceeds from the IPO will accrue to <a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/lg-electronics-inc" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="entities:8814:1" rel="noopener">LG Electronics (066570 KS)</a>.</li>
</ul>



LG Electronics India has secured regulatory approval for its IPO, expected to raise between USD 1 to 1.5 billion. 
However, it remains unclear whether the company will delay the launch until market sentiment shows further improvement.

LG Electronics India (123D IN) IPO is a 100% offer for sale by parent and hence the entire proceeds from the IPO will accrue to LG Electronics (066570 KS).


LG Electronics India IPO: It's A Big Deal. Potential Pricing and Valuation Preview

<ul>
<li>There are 17 changes a side for the NIFTY Midcap 150 Index at the March rebalance. There are many stocks with flows from passive trackers of other indices.</li>
<li>Estimated one-way turnover is 9.2% resulting in a round-trip trade of INR 15.9bn (US$184m). With over US$40bn tracking the index actively, the impact on the stocks will be much larger.</li>
<li>There are many stocks with opposing flows from <a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/nse-nifty-next-50-index" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="entities:36053:1" rel="noopener">NSE Nifty Next 50 Index</a> trackers. <a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/ola-electric-mobility-pvt-ltd" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="entities:40618:1" rel="noopener">Ola Electric (OLAELEC IN)</a> will have inflows from multiple index trackers over the next month.</li>
</ul>


There are 17 changes a side for the NIFTY Midcap 150 Index at the March rebalance. There are many stocks with flows from passive trackers of other indices.
Estimated one-way turnover is 9.2% resulting in a round-trip trade of INR 15.9bn (US$184m). With over US$40bn tracking the index actively, the impact on the stocks will be much larger.
There are many stocks with opposing flows from NSE Nifty Next 50 Index trackers. Ola Electric (OLAELEC IN) will have inflows from multiple index trackers over the next month.


NIFTY MIDCAP150 Index Rebalance: 17 Changes a Side; Lots of Overlap with Other Index Flow

<ul>
<li>LG Electronics India posted strong profit growth for FY24, reinforcing its leadership in India’s booming consumer durables sector—making now an ideal window for an IPO in India.</li>
<li>The company reportedly aims to raise USD1-USD1.5 billion early next year, potentially valuing its Indian operations at over USD10 billion.</li>
<li>With government initiatives improving housing quality, electrification, and water access, white goods penetration is set to rise, supporting future demand growth.</li>
</ul>


LG Electronics India posted strong profit growth for FY24, reinforcing its leadership in India’s booming consumer durables sector—making now an ideal window for an IPO in India.
The company reportedly aims to raise USD1-USD1.5 billion early next year, potentially valuing its Indian operations at over USD10 billion.
With government initiatives improving housing quality, electrification, and water access, white goods penetration is set to rise, supporting future demand growth.


LG Electronics India IPO: Strike While the Iron Is Hot. Cash in on Growth Momentum

India

Blue Star Limited manufactures and markets a wide range of air-conditioning and commercial refrigeration systems and products. The Company's products include large central air-conditioning plants, packaged air-conditioning systems, split and window air conditioners, water coolers, bottled water dispensers, deep freezers and cold storages.

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Blue Star Ltd (BLSTR IN)

Samsung India Electronics: The Biggest Consumer Company in India. Financials & Valuation

Samsung Electronics' India subsidiary valuation is estimated to range between USD 45 and 60 billion—roughly 20% to 25% of parent's EV. LG...

Devi Subhakesan

NIFTY Indices: Flows (Post Capping) At the Close Today; Round-Trip US$2.6bn

The March rebalance of the Nifty family of indices takes place at the close today. The round-trip trade is US$2.6bn and there are 26 stocks with...

Brian Freitas

LG Electronics India IPO: It's A Big Deal. Potential Pricing and Valuation Preview

With a strong revival in India equities and recent regulatory approval, LGEIL may push ahead with its IPO. At the reported IPO size of Rs150 bn,...

Devi Subhakesan

NIFTY MIDCAP150 Index Rebalance: 17 Changes a Side; Lots of Overlap with Other Index Flow

There are 17 changes for the index in March. Estimated one-way turnover is 9.2% resulting in a one-way trade of INR15.9bn. There are many stocks...

Brian Freitas

LG Electronics India IPO: Strike While the Iron Is Hot. Cash in on Growth Momentum

LG Electronics India is well poised for an IPO in India after strong profit growth, aiming to raise USD1-USD1.5 billion and potentially valuing...

Devi Subhakesan

Price Gauge

52-week Range

Market Cap (USDm)

P/E

Dividend (Yield)

Samsung India Electronics: The Biggest Consumer Company in India. Financials & Valuation

Samsung Electronics' India subsidiary valuation is estimated to range between USD 45 and 60 billion—roughly 20% to 25% of parent's EV. LG...

Devi Subhakesan

NIFTY Indices: Flows (Post Capping) At the Close Today; Round-Trip US$2.6bn

The March rebalance of the Nifty family of indices takes place at the close today. The round-trip trade is US$2.6bn and there are 26 stocks with...

Brian Freitas

LG Electronics India IPO: It's A Big Deal. Potential Pricing and Valuation Preview

With a strong revival in India equities and recent regulatory approval, LGEIL may push ahead with its IPO. At the reported IPO size of Rs150 bn,...

Devi Subhakesan

NIFTY MIDCAP150 Index Rebalance: 17 Changes a Side; Lots of Overlap with Other Index Flow

There are 17 changes for the index in March. Estimated one-way turnover is 9.2% resulting in a one-way trade of INR15.9bn. There are many stocks...

Brian Freitas

LG Electronics India IPO: Strike While the Iron Is Hot. Cash in on Growth Momentum

​LG Electronics India is well poised for an IPO in India after strong profit growth, aiming to raise USD1-USD1.5 billion and potentially valuing...

Devi Subhakesan

With a strong revival in India equities and recent regulatory approval, LGEIL may push ahead with its IPO. At the reported IPO size of Rs150 bn,...

LG Electronics India is well poised for an IPO in India after strong profit growth, aiming to raise USD1-USD1.5 billion and potentially valuing...