Equity Derivatives and Volatility Specialist, Clifton Derivatives

John Ley

Equity Derivatives and Volatility Specialist

Clifton Derivatives

Independent derivative and volatility research firm focusing on events/catalysts, earnings, relative value and cross asset volatility strategies.

Equity Derivatives

<ul>
<li>Sentiment improved modestly, though breadth remains well below recent highs in a subdued price action.</li>
<li>Option activity climbed steadily, with strong Friday Call demand pushing the Put/Call ratio to lower bound.</li>
<li>Financials stood out across price action, volatility, and options activity.</li>
</ul>


Sentiment improved modestly, though breadth remains well below recent highs in a subdued price action.
Option activity climbed steadily, with strong Friday Call demand pushing the Put/Call ratio to lower bound.
Financials stood out across price action, volatility, and options activity.


Hong Kong Single Stock Options Weekly (July 07–11): Financials in Focus as Call Volumes Rise

Research and consultancy, Tabbush Report

Daniel Tabbush

Research and consultancy

Tabbush Report

We provide research and consultancy on Asian banks. Our focus is on what we call “Asian bank research, without the noise.” We are interested in the most critical swing-factors for banks, the NPL and credit cycle, and where we believe there is a gap between perception and reality. We often focus on the less studied components of bank financial statements.  Our research is highly thematic, sometimes examining unlisted banks and companies as a window on mainstream banks. 

Being independent allows us to look at smaller banks, often overlooked by others. Analysis of BIS bank guidelines in the context of Asia, is also a focal point, while we also analyze global banks operating in the region. We use what we believe is the most comprehensive, reliable financials database, SNL Financial. S&P Capital IQ augments our database, with corporate data and CEIC, with economics. 

Asian bank research, without the noise.

Thematic (Sector/Industry)

<ul>
<li>New World Development is now warning of losses from impairments in HK and China</li>
<li>We have already seen this some weeks ago from China Vanke, conditions still weakening</li>
<li>Banks in Hong Kong and China face more bad loans, but also those with exposures in the regions, like HSBC, STAN and Singapore's banks</li>
</ul>


New World Development is now warning of losses from impairments in HK and China
We have already seen this some weeks ago from China Vanke, conditions still weakening
Banks in Hong Kong and China face more bad loans, but also those with exposures in the regions, like HSBC, STAN and Singapore's banks


Singapore and HK Banks - New World Impairments Are Significant, Flow Through to Banks Is Real

Asia Pac IPO & Placement Research, China biotech, Aequitas Research

Ke Yan, CFA, FRM

Asia Pac IPO & Placement Research, China biotech

IPOs and Placements coverage across Asia Pacific

Aequitas Research

We cover all listing across the Asia Pacific along with follow-up placements. As of Dec 2020, our team had covered 539 IPOs with a hit rate of 73.5% and 685 placements with a hit rate of 66.8%.

We combine fundamental bottom-up views with our proprietary quantitative framework to provide a holistic coverage across new listings and placements. Our coverage includes pre-IPO notes before the deal is launched, follow-up analysis once the deal is live and post-listing trading analysis as well.

Quantitative Analysis

<ul>
<li>We analyzed the latest HK SFC report for aggregate short position as of May 9th.</li>
<li>Top short increases and decreases were tabulated for one week and four week period.</li>
<li>We highlight short changes in Meituan, AIA, Geely Auto, Jd, Cspc Pharma.</li>
</ul>


We analyzed the latest HK SFC report for aggregate short position as of May 9th.
Top short increases and decreases were tabulated for one week and four week period.
We highlight short changes in Meituan, AIA, Geely Auto, Jd, Cspc Pharma.


HK Short Interest Weekly: Meituan, AIA, Geely Auto, Jd, Cspc Pharma

<ul>
<li>We analyze the weekly Hong Kong Connect flows with our data engine for holding position as of May 2nd.</li>
<li>The top stocks by inflows and outflows were tabulated for all market, HSCEI, mid cap and s/mid cap groups.</li>
<li>We highlight flows for Meituan, Tencent, Ping An Insurance, BYD, SMIC, China Mobile.</li>
</ul>


We analyze the weekly Hong Kong Connect flows with our data engine for holding position as of May 2nd.
The top stocks by inflows and outflows were tabulated for all market, HSCEI, mid cap and s/mid cap groups.
We highlight flows for Meituan, Tencent, Ping An Insurance, BYD, SMIC, China Mobile.


HK Connect Flows Weekly (May 2nd): Meituan, Tencent, Ping An Insurance, BYD, SMIC, China Mobile

<ul>
<li>
<a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/standard-chartered-plc" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="entities:193:1" rel="noopener">Standard Chartered (STAN LN)</a> results are most interesting, like with <a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/hsbc-holdings-plc" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="entities:516:1" rel="noopener">HSBC Holdings (5 HK)</a> , for what they show on specific regions</li>
<li>STAN reports in its HK region credit costs rising to USD89m in 1Q25 fromUSD39m YoY. This is now 41% of group credit costs from 22% YoY</li>
<li>Grade 12 loans are of low quality, not yet NPL. These are up 78% YoY and similar rise QoQ. There is no clear geo detail on this high delta</li>
</ul>



Standard Chartered (STAN LN) results are most interesting, like with HSBC Holdings (5 HK) , for what they show on specific regions
STAN reports in its HK region credit costs rising to USD89m in 1Q25 fromUSD39m YoY. This is now 41% of group credit costs from 22% YoY
Grade 12 loans are of low quality, not yet NPL. These are up 78% YoY and similar rise QoQ. There is no clear geo detail on this high delta


STAN - Window on HK Worsening, but Also Group Grade 12 Loans up 78% YoY

Hong Kong

BOC Hong Kong (Holdings) Limited provides a comprehensive range of financial products and services to retail and corporate customers.  Its products include retail banking, corporate banking, and treasury services.  The Company operates its branches in Hong Kong and China.

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BOC Hong Kong (BOC HK) (2388 HK)

Hong Kong Single Stock Options Weekly (July 07–11): Financials in Focus as Call Volumes Rise

Sentiment improved slightly, but breadth remains low in subdued price action. Financials were a standout in price, volatility, and options activity.

John Ley

Singapore and HK Banks - New World Impairments Are Significant, Flow Through to Banks Is Real

This is relevant to new insight on HK banks with worsening HFD for LDR and real estate lending growth now at most negative rates in the HKMA...

Daniel Tabbush

HK Short Interest Weekly: Meituan, AIA, Geely Auto, Jd, Cspc Pharma

We analyzed the latest HK SFC report for aggregate short position as of May 9th and highlight short interest changes in Meituan, AIA, Geely Auto,...

Ke Yan, CFA, FRM

HK Connect Flows Weekly (May 2nd): Meituan, Tencent, Ping An Insurance, BYD, SMIC, China Mobile

We analyzed southbound Hong Kong connect flows in the past week and highlighted flows for Meituan, Tencent, Ping An Insurance, BYD, SMIC, China...

Ke Yan, CFA, FRM

STAN - Window on HK Worsening, but Also Group Grade 12 Loans up 78% YoY

Standard Chartered shows significant deterioration in quarterly credit costs, worsening in Hong Kong region credit costs, and in Grade 12 loans

Daniel Tabbush

Price Gauge

52-week Range

Market Cap (USDm)

P/E

Dividend (Yield)

Hong Kong Single Stock Options Weekly (July 07–11): Financials in Focus as Call Volumes Rise

​Sentiment improved slightly, but breadth remains low in subdued price action. Financials were a standout in price, volatility, and options activity.

John Ley

Singapore and HK Banks - New World Impairments Are Significant, Flow Through to Banks Is Real

This is relevant to new insight on HK banks with worsening HFD for LDR and real estate lending growth now at most negative rates in the HKMA...

Daniel Tabbush

HK Short Interest Weekly: Meituan, AIA, Geely Auto, Jd, Cspc Pharma

We analyzed the latest HK SFC report for aggregate short position as of May 9th and highlight short interest changes in Meituan, AIA, Geely Auto,...

Ke Yan, CFA, FRM

HK Connect Flows Weekly (May 2nd): Meituan, Tencent, Ping An Insurance, BYD, SMIC, China Mobile

We analyzed southbound Hong Kong connect flows in the past week and highlighted flows for Meituan, Tencent, Ping An Insurance, BYD, SMIC, China...

Ke Yan, CFA, FRM

STAN - Window on HK Worsening, but Also Group Grade 12 Loans up 78% YoY

Standard Chartered shows significant deterioration in quarterly credit costs, worsening in Hong Kong region credit costs, and in Grade 12 loans

Daniel Tabbush

Sentiment improved slightly, but breadth remains low in subdued price action. Financials were a standout in price, volatility, and options activity.