Pan-Asia Catalysts/Events, Quiddity Advisors

Travis Lundy

Pan-Asia Catalysts/Events

Quiddity Advisors

Event-Driven

<ul>
<li>The Quiddity Mainland Connect NORTHBOUND Monitor. Like the A/H Premium Monitor and HK Connect SOUTHBOUND Monitor. Lots of Flows/Position Tables and Charts with which to play.</li>
<li>Last week saw NORTHBOUND net SELL RMB 11.5bn of A-shares on low-ish volume. A-shares underperformed H-shares quite dramatically, giving back gains from two weeks ago.</li>
<li>This week saw considerable net buying of semiconductor technology names. I expect that to continue.</li>
</ul>


The Quiddity Mainland Connect NORTHBOUND Monitor. Like the A/H Premium Monitor and HK Connect SOUTHBOUND Monitor. Lots of Flows/Position Tables and Charts with which to play.
Last week saw NORTHBOUND net SELL RMB 11.5bn of A-shares on low-ish volume. A-shares underperformed H-shares quite dramatically, giving back gains from two weeks ago.
This week saw considerable net buying of semiconductor technology names. I expect that to continue.


Mainland Connect NORTHBOUND Flows (To 12 Apr 2024): NB A Net Seller; Flows See Semi/Tech Buys

Asia Pac IPO & Placement Research, China biotech, Aequitas Research

Ke Yan, CFA, FRM

Asia Pac IPO & Placement Research, China biotech

IPOs and Placements coverage across Asia Pacific

Aequitas Research

We cover all listing across the Asia Pacific along with follow-up placements. As of Dec 2020, our team had covered 539 IPOs with a hit rate of 73.5% and 685 placements with a hit rate of 66.8%.

We combine fundamental bottom-up views with our proprietary quantitative framework to provide a holistic coverage across new listings and placements. Our coverage includes pre-IPO notes before the deal is launched, follow-up analysis once the deal is live and post-listing trading analysis as well.

Quantitative Analysis

<ul>
<li>We analyze the monthly Shanghai/Shenzhen northbound Connect flows with our data engine.</li>
<li>Financials, Materials, Health Care led the inflows while Consumer Discretionary, Communication Services led the outflows (first chart below).</li>
<li>We highlight inflows into CATL, CMB, BOE, Haier Smart Home, and outflows from China Tourism, Moutai, Nari Technology, Focus Media and Seres</li>
</ul>


We analyze the monthly Shanghai/Shenzhen northbound Connect flows with our data engine.
Financials, Materials, Health Care led the inflows while Consumer Discretionary, Communication Services led the outflows (first chart below).
We highlight inflows into CATL, CMB, BOE, Haier Smart Home, and outflows from China Tourism, Moutai, Nari Technology, Focus Media and Seres


Northbound Flows (April): CATL, CMB, BOE, Haier Smart Home, China Tourism, Moutai, Nari Technology

Taiwan Tech Focused Senior Analyst

Patrick Liao

Equity Bottom-Up

Novatek Microelectronics Corp / Equity Bottom-Up

<ul>
<li>
<a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/novatek-microelectronics-corp" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="entities:10904:1" rel="noopener">Novatek Microelectronics Corp (3034 TT)</a>'s sales in 1Q24 showed a 6.2% YoY growth, implying a positive growth outlook for 2024F compared to 2023.</li>
<li>Looking ahead to 2Q24F forecasts, the anticipated orders from <a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/united-microelectronics-corp" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="entities:6450:1" rel="noopener">United Microelectronics Corp (2303 TT)</a> could have a positive impact on Novatek's 1Q24 sales.</li>
<li>A significant growth is expected after 2Q24, particularly following Novatek's qualification for the <a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/apple-inc" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="entities:666:1" rel="noopener">Apple (AAPL US)</a> iPhone 16.</li>
</ul>



Novatek Microelectronics Corp (3034 TT)'s sales in 1Q24 showed a 6.2% YoY growth, implying a positive growth outlook for 2024F compared to 2023.
Looking ahead to 2Q24F forecasts, the anticipated orders from United Microelectronics Corp (2303 TT) could have a positive impact on Novatek's 1Q24 sales.
A significant growth is expected after 2Q24, particularly following Novatek's qualification for the Apple (AAPL US) iPhone 16.


Novatek (3034.TT): 2Q24F Keeps Growing, and 3Q24F Shall Grow Significantly.

<ul>
<li>We analyze the weekly Shanghai/Shenzhen northbound Connect flows with our data engine for holding position as of April 12th.</li>
<li>We estimate the weekly outflows to be US$1,587.8 million, led by consumer staples, consumer discretionary, health care, and offset by materials.</li>
<li>We highlight flows for Boe Technology, Moutai, China Tourism, Gree Electric Appliances.</li>
</ul>


We analyze the weekly Shanghai/Shenzhen northbound Connect flows with our data engine for holding position as of April 12th.
We estimate the weekly outflows to be US$1,587.8 million, led by consumer staples, consumer discretionary, health care, and offset by materials.
We highlight flows for Boe Technology, Moutai, China Tourism, Gree Electric Appliances.


Northbound Flows (Apr 12th): Boe Technology, Moutai, China Tourism, Gree Electric Appliances

<ul>
<li>We analyze the weekly Shanghai/Shenzhen northbound Connect flows with our data engine for holding position as of April 3rd.</li>
<li>We estimate the weekly outflows to be US$448.8 million, led by consumer discretionary, information technology, consumer staples, and offset by industrials, utilities, communication services.</li>
<li>We highlight flows for CATL, Moutai. Note that the connect was closed for three days last week due to exchange holidays.</li>
</ul>


We analyze the weekly Shanghai/Shenzhen northbound Connect flows with our data engine for holding position as of April 3rd.
We estimate the weekly outflows to be US$448.8 million, led by consumer discretionary, information technology, consumer staples, and offset by industrials, utilities, communication services.
We highlight flows for CATL, Moutai. Note that the connect was closed for three days last week due to exchange holidays.


China

BOE Technology Group Co., Ltd. manufactures display products. The Company produces display panels, sensor devices, and other products. BOE Technology Group supplies its products in mobile phones, tablets, notebooks, monitors, and other fields.

BOE Technology Group (000725 CH)

Mainland Connect NORTHBOUND Flows (To 12 Apr 2024): NB A Net Seller; Flows See Semi/Tech Buys

NORTHBOUND Connect flows are again to the sell side (they were a sell in last week's shortened week too). Kweichow was a BIG net sell. Semi tech...

Travis Lundy

Northbound Flows (April): CATL, CMB, BOE, Haier Smart Home, China Tourism, Moutai, Nari Technology

We analyzed the Shanghai/Shenzhen Connect Scheme for April and highlight flows for CATL, CMB, BOE, Haier Smart Home, and outflows from China...

Ke Yan, CFA, FRM

Novatek (3034.TT): 2Q24F Keeps Growing, and 3Q24F Shall Grow Significantly.

Novatek's strong 1Q24 sales growth sets a positive tone for 2024, with potential boosts from UMC orders and iPhone 16 qualification.

Patrick Liao

Northbound Flows (Apr 12th): Boe Technology, Moutai, China Tourism, Gree Electric Appliances

We analyzed northbound Shanghai/Shenzhen connect flows in the past week and highlight flows for Boe Technology, Moutai, China Tourism, Gree...

Ke Yan, CFA, FRM

Northbound Flows (Apr 3rd): CATL, Moutai

We analyzed northbound Shanghai/Shenzhen connect flows in the past week and highlight flows for CATL, Moutai. Not e that connect scheme was closed...

Ke Yan, CFA, FRM

Mainland Connect NORTHBOUND Flows (To 12 Apr 2024): NB A Net Seller; Flows See Semi/Tech Buys

NORTHBOUND Connect flows are again to the sell side (they were a sell in last week's shortened week too). Kweichow was a BIG net sell. Semi tech...

Travis Lundy

Northbound Flows (April): CATL, CMB, BOE, Haier Smart Home, China Tourism, Moutai, Nari Technology

We analyzed the Shanghai/Shenzhen Connect Scheme for April and highlight flows for CATL, CMB, BOE, Haier Smart Home, and outflows from China...

Ke Yan, CFA, FRM

Novatek (3034.TT): 2Q24F Keeps Growing, and 3Q24F Shall Grow Significantly.

​Novatek's strong 1Q24 sales growth sets a positive tone for 2024, with potential boosts from UMC orders and iPhone 16 qualification.

Patrick Liao

Northbound Flows (Apr 12th): Boe Technology, Moutai, China Tourism, Gree Electric Appliances

We analyzed northbound Shanghai/Shenzhen connect flows in the past week and highlight flows for Boe Technology, Moutai, China Tourism, Gree...

Ke Yan, CFA, FRM

Northbound Flows (Apr 3rd): CATL, Moutai

We analyzed northbound Shanghai/Shenzhen connect flows in the past week and highlight flows for CATL, Moutai. Not e that connect scheme was closed...

Ke Yan, CFA, FRM

Novatek's strong 1Q24 sales growth sets a positive tone for 2024, with potential boosts from UMC orders and iPhone 16 qualification.