Co-founder & Managing Director, Marketnomix 

Rajan Govil

Co-founder & Managing Director

Marketnomix 

Macroeconomics

Consumer Price Index (CPI) inflation increased to 5.4% y-o-y in April 2016 compared to a 4.8% y-o-y rise in March 2016. Inflation was driven higher mainly by price increases in food and transportation.Food prices increased 6.3% y-o-y in April 2016, compared to a 5.2% y-o-y rise in March 2016. The contribution of food prices to overall inflation increased from 2.4% in March 2016 to 2.9% in April 2016. This was largely due to a sharp jump in vegetable prices that increased 5.0% y-o-y in April…

Consumer Price Index (CPI) inflation increased to 5.4% y-o-y in April 2016 compared to a 4.8% y-o-y rise in March 2016. Inflation was driven higher mainly by price increases in food and transportation.Food prices increased 6.3% y-o-y in April 2016, compared to a 5.2% y-o-y rise in March 2016. The contribution of food prices to overall inflation increased from 2.4% in March 2016 to 2.9% in April 2016. This was largely due to a sharp jump in vegetable prices that increased 5.0% y-o-y in April…

India: Consumer Price Index Inflation Back Above 5.0%

Market & Forensics Analyst, Beat the Street

Nimish Maheshwari

Market & Forensics Analyst

Beat the Street

Beat The Street was founded by Nimish Maheshwari and Sudarshan Bhandari, both of whom are Chartered Accountants by Profession, known for their expert analysis in the fields of Business, Sectoral analysis, and Corporate governance.

With a strong social media presence of 45,000+ Subscribers across various platforms, they are considered trusted voices in the industry. Their insights and analysis have been featured in some of India’s most prominent publications, including the Economic Times, Dalal Street Investment Journal, The Morning Context, and The Ken.

Their analysis on Bankrupt & Insolvent companies has been instrumental in saving investors from significant losses. They have a keen eye for identifying red flags and has identified exclusive redflags earlier in Vedanta, Nykaa, Dhani Services, Adani and many more.

Read Business Not Stock Prices

Event-Driven

<ul>
<li>SEBI introduced the SPECIAL CALL AUCTION framework for Listed Holding Companies to unlock the value.</li>
<li>The first special call auction is set to take place in October.</li>
<li>Some companies are trading at a discount of more than 50% or even 80%, post this framework, shares will be traded at fair value.</li>
</ul>


SEBI introduced the SPECIAL CALL AUCTION framework for Listed Holding Companies to unlock the value.
The first special call auction is set to take place in October.
Some companies are trading at a discount of more than 50% or even 80%, post this framework, shares will be traded at fair value.


Unlocking Value: SEBI's New Special Call Auction Mechanism Explained

Pan-Asia Index Rebalances/ Events/ Delta One, Periscope Analytics

Brian Freitas

Pan-Asia Index Rebalances/ Events/ Delta One

<div>The Indian mutual fund industry has assets of almost INR 6.6 trillion across Multi cap, Large Cap, Large and Mid Cap, Mid Cap, Small Cap and Flexi Cap equity schemes. Equity schemes classified as large cap need to have at least 80% of their assets invested in large cap stocks, large and mid cap schemes need to have at least 35% of their assets in large cap stocks and at least 35% in mid cap stocks, mid cap funds need to hold at least 65% of their assets in mid cap stocks, and small cap funds need to hold at least 65% of their assets in small cap stocks. Flexi cap funds can invest across market caps.</div><div>
The Association of Mutual Funds in India (AMFI) publishes the list of the stocks in each market cap segment in January and July each year and mutual funds have one month to rebalance their portfolios to adhere to the new categorization.
At the next recategorization in July 2021, we see 7 stocks moving from the mid cap segment to the large cap segment with an equal number of stocks moving the other way, and 13 stocks are expected to move from the small cap segment to the mid cap segment with the 16 stocks moving from the mid cap to the small cap segment. There are 3 recent listings that will enter the mid cap segment with over 18 joining the small cap segment.
Historically, the stocks migrating upward to a higher market cap segment have outperformed stocks that migrate to a lower market cap segment over the 1 month and 2 month period post the publishing of the AMFI list. This can be attributed to fund managers realigning their portfolios to meet the new categorization. This provides opportunities to pre-position for the move and unwind post the announcement of the reclassification.
</div>

The Indian mutual fund industry has assets of almost INR 6.6 trillion across Multi cap, Large Cap, Large and Mid Cap, Mid Cap, Small Cap and Flexi Cap equity schemes. Equity schemes classified as large cap need to have at least 80% of their assets invested in large cap stocks, large and mid cap schemes need to have at least 35% of their assets in large cap stocks and at least 35% in mid cap stocks, mid cap funds need to hold at least 65% of their assets in mid cap stocks, and small cap funds need to hold at least 65% of their assets in small cap stocks. Flexi cap funds can invest across market caps.
The Association of Mutual Funds in India (AMFI) publishes the list of the stocks in each market cap segment in January and July each year and mutual funds have one month to rebalance their portfolios to adhere to the new categorization.
At the next recategorization in July 2021, we see 7 stocks moving from the mid cap segment to the large cap segment with an equal number of stocks moving the other way, and 13 stocks are expected to move from the small cap segment to the mid cap segment with the 16 stocks moving from the mid cap to the small cap segment. There are 3 recent listings that will enter the mid cap segment with over 18 joining the small cap segment.
Historically, the stocks migrating upward to a higher market cap segment have outperformed stocks that migrate to a lower market cap segment over the 1 month and 2 month period post the publishing of the AMFI list. This can be attributed to fund managers realigning their portfolios to meet the new categorization. This provides opportunities to pre-position for the move and unwind post the announcement of the reclassification.


India: Stock Reclassification & Active Portfolio Management

The Indian mutual fund industry has assets of almost INR 5 trillion across Multi cap, Large Cap, Large and Mid Cap, Mid Cap and Small Cap equity schemes. Equity schemes classified as large cap need to have at least 80% of their assets invested in large cap stocks, large and mid cap schemes need to have at least 35% of their assets in large cap stocks and at least 35% in mid cap stocks, mid cap funds need to hold at least 65% of their assets in mid cap stocks, and small cap funds need to hold at least 65% of their assets in small cap stocks.The Association of Mutual Funds in India (AMFI) publishes the list of the stocks in each market cap segment in January and July each year and mutual funds have one month to rebalance their portfolios to adhere to the new categorization.In the upcoming recategorization in January 2021, we see 6 stocks moved from the mid cap segment to the large cap segment with an equal number of stocks moving the other way, and 12 stocks are expected to move from the small cap segment to the mid cap segment with the same number moving the other way. There are quite a few IPOs that will join the small cap list, with just 1 joining the large cap list and 1 joining the mid cap list.Historically, the stocks migrating upward to a higher market cap segment have outperformed stocks that migrate to a lower market cap segment over the 1 month and 2 month period post the publishing of the AMFI list. This can be attributed to fund managers realigning their portfolios to meet the new categorization. This provides opportunities to pre-position for the move and unwind post the announcement of the reclassification.

The Indian mutual fund industry has assets of almost INR 5 trillion across Multi cap, Large Cap, Large and Mid Cap, Mid Cap and Small Cap equity schemes. Equity schemes classified as large cap need to have at least 80% of their assets invested in large cap stocks, large and mid cap schemes need to have at least 35% of their assets in large cap stocks and at least 35% in mid cap stocks, mid cap funds need to hold at least 65% of their assets in mid cap stocks, and small cap funds need to hold at least 65% of their assets in small cap stocks.The Association of Mutual Funds in India (AMFI) publishes the list of the stocks in each market cap segment in January and July each year and mutual funds have one month to rebalance their portfolios to adhere to the new categorization.In the upcoming recategorization in January 2021, we see 6 stocks moved from the mid cap segment to the large cap segment with an equal number of stocks moving the other way, and 12 stocks are expected to move from the small cap segment to the mid cap segment with the same number moving the other way. There are quite a few IPOs that will join the small cap list, with just 1 joining the large cap list and 1 joining the mid cap list.Historically, the stocks migrating upward to a higher market cap segment have outperformed stocks that migrate to a lower market cap segment over the 1 month and 2 month period post the publishing of the AMFI list. This can be attributed to fund managers realigning their portfolios to meet the new categorization. This provides opportunities to pre-position for the move and unwind post the announcement of the reclassification.

India: AMFI Stock Categorization Changes to Drive Active Portfolio Churn

Consumer Analyst / Channel Surveillance Specialist, Trudence Capital Advisors

Pranav Bhavsar

Consumer Analyst / Channel Surveillance Specialist

ASA Capital Management

ASA Capital Management is a boutique Research and Investment Advisory firm focusing on primary research in India. ASA provides bespoke research services to Institutional Clients with a focus on due diligence backed with primary research, Field Trips & Channel Checks.

Equity Bottom-Up

In spite of a sharp recent rally in the stock price, <a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/britannia-industries-ltd" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="entities:16495:1" rel="noopener">Britannia Industries (BRIT IN)</a> is already underperforming the S&amp;P India BMI Consumer Staples (Sector) Index over the last one year. 
We expect this underperformance relative to the S&amp;P India BMI Consumer Staples Index to continue. While the recent government announcements may spur private investments and improve sentiment, we do not see any meaningful recovery in personal incomes and wage growth in the term. Based on our checks highlighted in <a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/insights/the-biscuit-economy-key-takeaways-from-britannia-parle-distributor-interactions" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="insights:31997" rel="noopener">The Biscuit Economy - Key Takeaways from Britannia &amp; Parle Distributor Interactions</a> , we expect growth concerns to persist and do not foresee any significant recovery in volumes and pricing growth for our forecast period i.e. FY20 and FY21. The valuations also do not give comfort even after factoring changes in EPS  due to the possible lower taxes, looming out a possible risk of underperformance compared to even broader indices like Nifty 50 going forward.

In spite of a sharp recent rally in the stock price, Britannia Industries (BRIT IN) is already underperforming the S&amp;P India BMI Consumer Staples (Sector) Index over the last one year. 
We expect this underperformance relative to the S&amp;P India BMI Consumer Staples Index to continue. While the recent government announcements may spur private investments and improve sentiment, we do not see any meaningful recovery in personal incomes and wage growth in the term. Based on our checks highlighted in The Biscuit Economy - Key Takeaways from Britannia &amp; Parle Distributor Interactions , we expect growth concerns to persist and do not foresee any significant recovery in volumes and pricing growth for our forecast period i.e. FY20 and FY21. The valuations also do not give comfort even after factoring changes in EPS  due to the possible lower taxes, looming out a possible risk of underperformance compared to even broader indices like Nifty 50 going forward.  

Britannia (BRIT IN) | Risk of Underperformance Looms

India

The Bombay Burmah Trading Corporation Limited is a diversified conglomerate with interests in tea and coffee plantations, auto electrical components, healthcare products, and real estate. It also has a significant stake in Britannia Industries, contributing to its food, bakery, and dairy products segment. The company is headquartered in Mumbai, Maharashtra, India, and was founded in 1863.

Bombay Burmah Trading Corporation (BBTC IN)

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Bombay Burmah Trading Corporation (BBTC IN)

India: Consumer Price Index Inflation Back Above 5.0%

Consumer Price Index (CPI) inflation increased to 5.4% y-o-y in April 2016 compared to a 4.8% y-o-y rise in March 2016. Inflation was driven higher...

Rajan Govil

Unlocking Value: SEBI's New Special Call Auction Mechanism Explained

SEBI's SPECIAL CALL AUCTION framework aims to unlock value for listed holding companies by ensuring fair trading prices, with the first auction...

Nimish Maheshwari

India: Stock Reclassification & Active Portfolio Management

There are a lot of segment changes expected in July when AMFI recategorizes stocks and mutual funds start to rebalance their portfolios. We...

Brian Freitas

India: AMFI Stock Categorization Changes to Drive Active Portfolio Churn

The reclassification of stocks to large, mid and small cap will set off a churn in mutual fund portfolios where historically stocks migrating...

Brian Freitas

Britannia (BRIT IN) | Risk of Underperformance Looms

In spite of a sharp recent rally in the stock price, Britannia Industries (BRIT IN) is already underperforming the S&P India BMI Consumer...

Pranav Bhavsar

Price Gauge

52-week Range

Market Cap (USDm)

P/E

Dividend (Yield)

India: Consumer Price Index Inflation Back Above 5.0%

Consumer Price Index (CPI) inflation increased to 5.4% y-o-y in April 2016 compared to a 4.8% y-o-y rise in March 2016. Inflation was driven higher...

Rajan Govil

Unlocking Value: SEBI's New Special Call Auction Mechanism Explained

​SEBI's SPECIAL CALL AUCTION framework aims to unlock value for listed holding companies by ensuring fair trading prices, with the first auction...

Nimish Maheshwari

India: Stock Reclassification & Active Portfolio Management

There are a lot of segment changes expected in July when AMFI recategorizes stocks and mutual funds start to rebalance their portfolios. We...

Brian Freitas

India: AMFI Stock Categorization Changes to Drive Active Portfolio Churn

The reclassification of stocks to large, mid and small cap will set off a churn in mutual fund portfolios where historically stocks migrating...

Brian Freitas

Britannia (BRIT IN) | Risk of Underperformance Looms

In spite of a sharp recent rally in the stock price, Britannia Industries (BRIT IN) is already underperforming the S&P India BMI Consumer...

Pranav Bhavsar

SEBI's SPECIAL CALL AUCTION framework aims to unlock value for listed holding companies by ensuring fair trading prices, with the first auction...