Technical Analyst, Vermilion Research

Joe Jasper

Technical Analyst

Technical and Quantitative Research

Vermilion Research

Vermilion’s objective is to deliver timely, actionable, and unique technical research to professional investors through the application of our various technical indicators.

Our research strategists seek to highlight securities which we believe are at major inflection points, based on our various technical and quantitative indicators, and offer asymmetric risk/return profiles. Our unique research methodology, centered on relative strength, enables our strategists to deliver superior investment recommendations.

Our process begins by organizing the universe of actively traded stocks into discrete sectors, then into industry groups. We then apply our technical and quantitative tools to identify developing price trends. Once attractive trends are identified within a selected sector or group, we screen for individual stocks which we believe offer the best risk/reward profile. We provide a historical perspective that often reveals, through our long-term charts, how price patterns often repeat themselves over time.

Technical Analysis

MSCI Emerging Markets Index / Technical Analysis

This report highlights actionable themes across the EM universe, including: bullish inflections in the Russian and Thai markets, and a pullback opportunity in India's SENSEX.  We also highlight actionable setups in MSCI EM Energy and Materials sectors and within Taiwanese Financials/Banks.  Finally we uncover a number of attractive bottoms-up opportunities, sorted by sector and market-cap.

This report highlights actionable themes across the EM universe, including: bullish inflections in the Russian and Thai markets, and a pullback opportunity in India's SENSEX.  We also highlight actionable setups in MSCI EM Energy and Materials sectors and within Taiwanese Financials/Banks.  Finally we uncover a number of attractive bottoms-up opportunities, sorted by sector and market-cap.

EM Strategy: Russia and Thailand Bullishly Inflecting; Pullback Opportunity in India

TSE Tokyo Price Index TOPIX / Technical Analysis

Our outlook for ex-U.S. markets (MSCI ACWI ex-U.S. index, local currency) remains neutral - bordering on cautious. Our concern stems from the recent pattern of lower highs and continued underperformance relative to MSCI ACWI - remain underweight.  Two bright spots: we are seeing bullish inflections in Japan (TOPIX and Nikkei 225), and India's SENSEX.  We unpack these, and also highlight actionable set ups in our global Communications, and Transportation Sectors.

Our outlook for ex-U.S. markets (MSCI ACWI ex-U.S. index, local currency) remains neutral - bordering on cautious. Our concern stems from the recent pattern of lower highs and continued underperformance relative to MSCI ACWI - remain underweight.  Two bright spots: we are seeing bullish inflections in Japan (TOPIX and Nikkei 225), and India's SENSEX.  We unpack these, and also highlight actionable set ups in our global Communications, and Transportation Sectors.

Global Equity Strategy: Opportunities in Japan and India

Founder and Strategist, Entext Economics & Strategy

Sean Maher

Founder and Strategist

Entext Economics & Strategy

Entext provides institutional investors with distinctive, actionable asset allocation and thematic research, which typically challenges the market consensus. Our clients range from credit, equity and multi-asset hedge and pension funds to family offices and sovereign funds. 
 
We focus on identifying key inflection points in macro data and relative asset performance amid the 'groupthink'  and confirmation bias that characterizes most investment bank analysis.

Macro Driven Investment Insight

Macroeconomics

<ul>
<li>Overweight EM debt and the euro were two of the most consensus trades coming into the year, and I’ve been bearish - both are unravelling fast as the belated USD rally continues.</li>
<li>The Citi Global economic surprise index hit the lowest levels since Q1 2016 last week, and Europe has been a major contributor – earnings momentum is negative in Europe and EM.</li>
<li>Europe was weaker than it looked in 2017 thanks to US multinational tax arbitrage via Ireland artificially boosting net exports, helping explain…</li>
</ul>


Overweight EM debt and the euro were two of the most consensus trades coming into the year, and I’ve been bearish - both are unravelling fast as the belated USD rally continues.
The Citi Global economic surprise index hit the lowest levels since Q1 2016 last week, and Europe has been a major contributor – earnings momentum is negative in Europe and EM.
Europe was weaker than it looked in 2017 thanks to US multinational tax arbitrage via Ireland artificially boosting net exports, helping explain…


As Dollar Rebounds, EM and Europe Consensus Narrative Shaken

India focused Portfolio Advisory - Exp of 40+years, Das Capital Management and Advisors

Arun Thirumalai

India focused Portfolio Advisory - Exp of 40+years

Das Capital Management and Advisors

Das Capital is a research boutique with an aim to continuously map and plan the investment needs of investors focused on India. We have a six member research team with a combined experience of over 40 years as a part of our investment wing. Our team assisted in the setup of Premji Investments, which was one of India’s first family offices focused to managing Mr.Azim Premji personal wealth. We also serve as a research team to two Indian private equity energy funds “Small is Beautiful” and “KSK Emerging India Energy Fund”.

For the month of Jan'18 India's main equity indices Nifty 50 and Sensex increased 5.67% and 6.37% receptively, second best among the world markets behind the Hang Seng.During the Jan'18, Indian sectoral indices such as Nifty IT, Nifty Pvt Bank and Nifty Financial services rose 12.3%, 9.2%, and 8.6% respectively, Nifty Pharma saw the biggest fall among the sectoral indices with losing -2.4%.We will be discussing the IIP data for the month Dec'17, CPI data for Jan'18, Purchasing Managers Index for…

For the month of Jan'18 India's main equity indices Nifty 50 and Sensex increased 5.67% and 6.37% receptively, second best among the world markets behind the Hang Seng.During the Jan'18, Indian sectoral indices such as Nifty IT, Nifty Pvt Bank and Nifty Financial services rose 12.3%, 9.2%, and 8.6% respectively, Nifty Pharma saw the biggest fall among the sectoral indices with losing -2.4%.We will be discussing the IIP data for the month Dec'17, CPI data for Jan'18, Purchasing Managers Index for…

Silver Point

Thomas J. Monaco

Silver Point is a boutique research firm that focuses on the broader financial services sector, with a particular focus on troubled institutions globally. 

Asia Ex Japan

Equity Bottom-Up

* Indian Exchange Announcement Really Hurts:  On February 9, 2018, the Indian stock exchanges collectively terminated Singapore Exchange's (SGX.SP) [SGX] market data licensing agreement.  Indian contracts appear to represent 5.5% of overall derivative revenue – or 10% or more of SGX bottom-line. * De-Listing Challenges:  SGX has robust initial public offering (IPO) pipeline in 2018, but it is not nearly enough to offset the trading volume and market-cap loss associated with the deluge of…

* Indian Exchange Announcement Really Hurts:  On February 9, 2018, the Indian stock exchanges collectively terminated Singapore Exchange's (SGX.SP) [SGX] market data licensing agreement.  Indian contracts appear to represent 5.5% of overall derivative revenue – or 10% or more of SGX bottom-line. * De-Listing Challenges:  SGX has robust initial public offering (IPO) pipeline in 2018, but it is not nearly enough to offset the trading volume and market-cap loss associated with the deluge of…

India

Bombay Stock Exchange Limited provides market for trading in equity, debt instruments, derivatives, and mutual funds. The Company offers services including risk management, clearing, settlement, market data services, and education. Bombay Stock Exchange serves customers in India. ... More

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Bombay Stock Exchange (BSE IN)

EM Strategy: Russia and Thailand Bullishly Inflecting; Pullback Opportunity in India

This report highlights actionable themes across the EM universe, including: bullish inflections in the Russian and Thai markets, and a pullback...

Vermilion Research

Global Equity Strategy: Opportunities in Japan and India

Our outlook for ex-U.S. markets (MSCI ACWI ex-U.S. index, local currency) remains neutral - bordering on cautious. Our concern stems from the...

Vermilion Research

As Dollar Rebounds, EM and Europe Consensus Narrative Shaken

Overweight EM debt and the euro were two of the most consensus trades coming into the year, and I’ve been bearish - both are unravelling fast as...

Sean Maher

India Monthly Report Jan'18 - Feb'18

For the month of Jan'18 India's main equity indices Nifty 50 and Sensex increased 5.67% and 6.37% receptively, second best among the world markets...

Das Capital Management and Advisors

Singapore Exchange – Not So NIFTY

* Indian Exchange Announcement Really Hurts: On February 9, 2018, the Indian stock exchanges collectively terminated Singapore Exchange's (SGX.SP)...

Thomas J. Monaco

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