External broker reports(aggregated public sources), HDFC Securities

HDFC Securities

External broker reports(aggregated public sources)

HDFC securities is the best online trading platform for stocks, IPOs, mutual fund in India. 

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Equity Bottom-Up

<ul><li>Following the implementation of regulatory changes mandating one weekly expiry per exchange, the notional volume has seen a significant decline across equity exchanges</li><li>The equity notional volume is down ~19% in Q3FY25E and ~37% in Dec 2024</li><li>Conversely, premium volumes have only decreased by 4% in Q3 and about 8% in Dec 2024, driven by a higher P/N ratio, which has risen from 15bps to ~23bps currently</li></ul>Content is external broker report sourced from online content aggregator through publicly available sources and is displayed below for general informational purposes only. Refer full disclaimer below.

Following the implementation of regulatory changes mandating one weekly expiry per exchange, the notional volume has seen a significant decline across equity exchangesThe equity notional volume is down ~19% in Q3FY25E and ~37% in Dec 2024Conversely, premium volumes have only decreased by 4% in Q3 and about 8% in Dec 2024, driven by a higher P/N ratio, which has risen from 15bps to ~23bps currentlyContent is external broker report sourced from online content aggregator through publicly available sources and is displayed below for general informational purposes only. Refer full disclaimer below.

BSE: Shift Towards Better-Margin Volumes. Maintain REDUCE

Thematic (Sector/Industry)

<ul><li>MCX is expected to report a flat quarter sequentially (+0.4 QoQ) although it will register 31.2% YoY growth</li><li>The revenue from options is down 2.0% QoQ while futures revenue is up 4.6% QoQ</li><li>We expect MCX to post an EBITDA/PAT of INR 2.43/2.01bn, up +0.4/-1.1% QoQ</li></ul>Content is external broker report sourced from online content aggregator through publicly available sources and is displayed below for general informational purposes only. Refer full disclaimer below.

MCX is expected to report a flat quarter sequentially (+0.4 QoQ) although it will register 31.2% YoY growthThe revenue from options is down 2.0% QoQ while futures revenue is up 4.6% QoQWe expect MCX to post an EBITDA/PAT of INR 2.43/2.01bn, up +0.4/-1.1% QoQContent is external broker report sourced from online content aggregator through publicly available sources and is displayed below for general informational purposes only. Refer full disclaimer below.

Exchanges, Staffing and Internet: Recovery in sight

<ul><li>MCX: MCX is expected to report revenue growth of +27/57% QoQ/YoY, led by revenue growth in options (+24% QoQ) and futures (+46% QoQ)</li><li>The margin and profitability will improve as there were one-off cost items last quarter which will normalize, and growth will boost margins</li><li>We expect MCX to post an EBITDA/PAT of INR 2.60/1.94bn, up +46/43% QoQ</li></ul>Content is external broker report sourced from online content aggregator through publicly available sources and is displayed below for general informational purposes only. Refer full disclaimer below.

MCX: MCX is expected to report revenue growth of +27/57% QoQ/YoY, led by revenue growth in options (+24% QoQ) and futures (+46% QoQ)The margin and profitability will improve as there were one-off cost items last quarter which will normalize, and growth will boost marginsWe expect MCX to post an EBITDA/PAT of INR 2.60/1.94bn, up +46/43% QoQContent is external broker report sourced from online content aggregator through publicly available sources and is displayed below for general informational purposes only. Refer full disclaimer below.

Exchanges, Staffing and Internet (Q1FY26E Results Preview): A mixed bag

<ul><li>BSE: BSE reported a strong quarter, with revenue and PAT coming better than our estimate</li><li>The revenue growth of 9.5% QoQ was led by 35% QoQ increase in options revenue, but was offset by a drop in cash volume (-33% QoQ) and book building revenue (IPO related)</li><li>BSE saw an impressive gain in its options premium market share, which increased by ~630bps to reach 18.8% in Q4, following the regulatory changes introduced in January 2025</li></ul>Content is external broker report sourced from online content aggregator through publicly available sources and is displayed below for general informational purposes only. Refer full disclaimer below.

BSE: BSE reported a strong quarter, with revenue and PAT coming better than our estimateThe revenue growth of 9.5% QoQ was led by 35% QoQ increase in options revenue, but was offset by a drop in cash volume (-33% QoQ) and book building revenue (IPO related)BSE saw an impressive gain in its options premium market share, which increased by ~630bps to reach 18.8% in Q4, following the regulatory changes introduced in January 2025Content is external broker report sourced from online content aggregator through publicly available sources and is displayed below for general informational purposes only. Refer full disclaimer below.

HSIE Results Daily: BSE, Kajaria Ceramics

<ul><li>MCX is expected to report a revenue decline of 1.1% QoQ, led by a drop in options volume by ~6.1%, offset by 10% QoQ increase in futures volume</li><li>We expect SGF to come down by ~50% as MCX has been providing voluntary contribution over the last three quarters</li><li>We expect MCX to post a Revenue/PAT of INR 2.98/1.66bn in Q4, -1.1/+3.8% QoQ.</li></ul>Content is external broker report sourced from online content aggregator through publicly available sources and is displayed below for general informational purposes only. Refer full disclaimer below.

MCX is expected to report a revenue decline of 1.1% QoQ, led by a drop in options volume by ~6.1%, offset by 10% QoQ increase in futures volumeWe expect SGF to come down by ~50% as MCX has been providing voluntary contribution over the last three quartersWe expect MCX to post a Revenue/PAT of INR 2.98/1.66bn in Q4, -1.1/+3.8% QoQ.Content is external broker report sourced from online content aggregator through publicly available sources and is displayed below for general informational purposes only. Refer full disclaimer below.

Exchanges, Staffing and Internet (Q4FY25E Results Preview): Softness persists

India

Bombay Stock Exchange Limited provides market for trading in equity, debt instruments, derivatives, and mutual funds. The Company offers services including risk management, clearing, settlement, market data services, and education. Bombay Stock Exchange serves customers in India. ... More

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Bombay Stock Exchange (BSE IN)

BSE: Shift Towards Better-Margin Volumes. Maintain REDUCE

Following the implementation of regulatory changes mandating one weekly expiry per exchange, the notional volume has seen a significant decline...

HDFC Securities

Exchanges, Staffing and Internet: Recovery in sight

The revenue from options is down 2.0% QoQ while futures revenue is up 4.6% QoQ. We expect MCX to post an EBITDA/PAT of INR 2.43/2.01bn, up +0.4/...

HDFC Securities

Exchanges, Staffing and Internet (Q1FY26E Results Preview): A mixed bag

MCX: MCX is expected to report revenue growth of +27/57% QoQ/YoY, led by revenue growth in options (+24% QoQ) and futures (+46% QoQ)

HDFC Securities

HSIE Results Daily: BSE, Kajaria Ceramics

The revenue growth of 9.5% QoQ was led by 35% QoQ increase in options revenue, but was offset by a drop in cash volume (-33% QoQ) and book building...

HDFC Securities

Exchanges, Staffing and Internet (Q4FY25E Results Preview): Softness persists

MCX is expected to report a revenue decline of 1.1% QoQ, led by a drop in options volume by ~6.1%, offset by 10% QoQ increase in futures volume

HDFC Securities

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