Global Editor, Base Oil News

Iain Pocock

Global Editor

Global Base Oils and Lubricants Markets

Base Oil News

Base Oil News focuses on the interplay between fundamentals and prices in the global base oils and lubricants markets.

Baseoilnews.com combines daily, weekly and monthly base oils and lubes fundamentals data from every region of the world to build the most comprehensive and up-to-date global picture of the state of the market.

The data and analysis provide key tools to understand current market developments and opportunities and to anticipate how the market is likely to behave in the coming months.

Base oils producers, lube blenders and consumers can then better plan accordingly.

Baseoilnews.com analyses and publishes market news and data every day as it breaks.

Commodities

<ul><li>US base oils demand likely to stay muted in face of slowing economic growth/manufacturing activity, combined with sufficient availability of supply.</li><li>Sliding crude oil prices add to reluctance to buy.</li><li>Supply shows signs of staying sufficient to meet demand even with heavy round of plant maintenance work that follows slump in domestic output in Feb 2025.</li></ul>

US base oils demand likely to stay muted in face of slowing economic growth/manufacturing activity, combined with sufficient availability of supply.Sliding crude oil prices add to reluctance to buy.Supply shows signs of staying sufficient to meet demand even with heavy round of plant maintenance work that follows slump in domestic output in Feb 2025.

Americas/EMEA base oils demand outlook: Week of 5 May

<ul><li>Asia’s base oils demand likely to face more downward pressure as slowing industrial activity in key regional markets start to reflect impact of US tariffs.</li><li>Demand already slowed amid uncertainty about impact of tariffs.</li><li>Slowdown in demand highlights widespread repercussion of tariffs, even for products that are not directly impacted.</li></ul>

Asia’s base oils demand likely to face more downward pressure as slowing industrial activity in key regional markets start to reflect impact of US tariffs.Demand already slowed amid uncertainty about impact of tariffs.Slowdown in demand highlights widespread repercussion of tariffs, even for products that are not directly impacted.

Asia base oils demand outlook: Week of 5 May

European Event-Driven Analyst

Jesus Rodriguez Aguilar

Event-Driven

<ul>
<li>Shell–BP deal offers strong industrial logic, with $70B in synergies justifying a 40–50% premium while delivering robust EPS accretion and strategic energy transition alignment.</li>
<li>Regulatory hurdles are real but manageable, with anticipated divestitures in UK/EU fuel retail and limited structural issues in the U.S.</li>
<li>Multiple financing structures are viable; a 60/40 cash-stock mix preserves leverage discipline, limits dilution, and enhances deal feasibility from a risk-arb perspective.</li>
</ul>


Shell–BP deal offers strong industrial logic, with $70B in synergies justifying a 40–50% premium while delivering robust EPS accretion and strategic energy transition alignment.
Regulatory hurdles are real but manageable, with anticipated divestitures in UK/EU fuel retail and limited structural issues in the U.S.
Multiple financing structures are viable; a 60/40 cash-stock mix preserves leverage discipline, limits dilution, and enhances deal feasibility from a risk-arb perspective.


Crude Awakening: Shell’s Possible Bid to Refine BP’s Future

Oil and Gas, Mint Finance

Suhas Reddy

Oil and Gas

Deep Fundamental Analysis

Mint Finance

Mint Finance's investment research blends deep fundamental analysis with technical & quant insights. Investment strategies straddle across multiple asset classes with risk management embedded into every trade to deliver an outsized reward-to-risk ratio.

Mint Finance's research is centered around three key themes. First, energy transition and climate change. Second, artificial intelligence. Third, shifting world order with its impact across politics and monetary economics.

<ul>
<li>For the week ending 25/Apr, U.S. crude inventories fell by 2.7m barrels (vs. expectations of a 0.4m barrel build). Gasoline stockpiles fell more than expected.</li>
<li>Henry Hub headed for its first weekly gain in five weeks. The EIA reported a 107 Bcf storage build, below the expected 111 Bcf increase.</li>
<li>BP, TotalEnergies, Shell, Exxon, and Chevron saw YoY profit declines, but Shell, Exxon, and Chevron beat EPS estimates, while TotalEnergies and BP fell short of analyst expectations.</li>
</ul>


For the week ending 25/Apr, U.S. crude inventories fell by 2.7m barrels (vs. expectations of a 0.4m barrel build). Gasoline stockpiles fell more than expected.
Henry Hub headed for its first weekly gain in five weeks. The EIA reported a 107 Bcf storage build, below the expected 111 Bcf increase.
BP, TotalEnergies, Shell, Exxon, and Chevron saw YoY profit declines, but Shell, Exxon, and Chevron beat EPS estimates, while TotalEnergies and BP fell short of analyst expectations.


[ETP 2025/18] WTI Extends Losses, Henry Hub Rebounds on Summer Demand Optimism

<ul><li>Global base oils price premium to feedstock/competing fuel prices stays higher at end-April 2025 than a month earlier.</li><li>Higher margins coincide with seasonal rise in demand and plant maintenance work.</li><li>Higher margins follow sharp fall in crude oil prices.</li></ul>

Global base oils price premium to feedstock/competing fuel prices stays higher at end-April 2025 than a month earlier.Higher margins coincide with seasonal rise in demand and plant maintenance work.Higher margins follow sharp fall in crude oil prices.

Global base oils margins outlook: Week of 28 April

United Kingdom

BP P.L.C is an energy company. The Company explores and produces oil and natural gas, refines, markets, and supplies petroleum products, as well as generates solar energy, and manufactures and markets chemicals such as terephthalic acid, acetic acid, acrylonitrile, ethylene, and polyethylene. BP serves customers worldwide.

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BP (BP US)

Americas/EMEA base oils demand outlook: Week of 5 May

US base oils demand likely to stay muted in face of slowing economic growth/manufacturing activity, combined with sufficient availability of...

Base Oil News

Asia base oils demand outlook: Week of 5 May

Asia’s base oils demand likely to face more downward pressure as slowing industrial activity in key regional markets start to reflect impact of US...

Base Oil News

Crude Awakening: Shell’s Possible Bid to Refine BP’s Future

Shell’s potential bid for BP could ignite Europe’s biggest energy merger in decades—driven by $70B in synergies, strategic alignment, and a deal...

Jesus Rodriguez Aguilar

[ETP 2025/18] WTI Extends Losses, Henry Hub Rebounds on Summer Demand Optimism

US crude inventories fell, gasoline stockpiles dropped, Henry Hub on track for first weekly gain in 5 weeks, major oil companies report YoY profit...

Mint Finance

Global base oils margins outlook: Week of 28 April

Global base oils price premium to feedstock/competing fuel prices stays higher at end-April 2025 than a month earlier. Higher margins coincide...

Base Oil News

Price Gauge

52-week Range

Market Cap (USDm)

P/E

Dividend (Yield)

Americas/EMEA base oils demand outlook: Week of 5 May

US base oils demand likely to stay muted in face of slowing economic growth/manufacturing activity, combined with sufficient availability of...

Base Oil News

Asia base oils demand outlook: Week of 5 May

Asia’s base oils demand likely to face more downward pressure as slowing industrial activity in key regional markets start to reflect impact of US...

Base Oil News

Crude Awakening: Shell’s Possible Bid to Refine BP’s Future

Shell’s potential bid for BP could ignite Europe’s biggest energy merger in decades—driven by $70B in synergies, strategic alignment, and a deal...

Jesus Rodriguez Aguilar

[ETP 2025/18] WTI Extends Losses, Henry Hub Rebounds on Summer Demand Optimism

​US crude inventories fell, gasoline stockpiles dropped, Henry Hub on track for first weekly gain in 5 weeks, major oil companies report YoY profit...

Mint Finance

Global base oils margins outlook: Week of 28 April

Global base oils price premium to feedstock/competing fuel prices stays higher at end-April 2025 than a month earlier. Higher margins coincide...

Base Oil News

US crude inventories fell, gasoline stockpiles dropped, Henry Hub on track for first weekly gain in 5 weeks, major oil companies report YoY profit...