Oil and Gas, Mint Finance

Suhas Reddy

Oil and Gas

Deep Fundamental Analysis

Mint Finance

Mint Finance's investment research blends deep fundamental analysis with technical & quant insights. Investment strategies straddle across multiple asset classes with risk management embedded into every trade to deliver an outsized reward-to-risk ratio.

Mint Finance's research is centered around three key themes. First, energy transition and climate change. Second, artificial intelligence. Third, shifting world order with its impact across politics and monetary economics.

Commodities

<ul>
<li>Crude oil prices crater as OPEC meeting outcome fails to support oil prices. Despite OPEC+ extending larger cuts until end-2025, prices fell on fears of excess supply.</li>
<li>Henry Hub Gas prices rose sharply last week driven by expectations of a hotter-than-expected summer in the US &amp; Outages in Norway.</li>
<li>Energy majors fell sharply on 3/June and ended the week in the red. BP and Exxon Mobile were downgraded. Berkshire ramped up holdings in Occidental.</li>
</ul>


Crude oil prices crater as OPEC meeting outcome fails to support oil prices. Despite OPEC+ extending larger cuts until end-2025, prices fell on fears of excess supply.
Henry Hub Gas prices rose sharply last week driven by expectations of a hotter-than-expected summer in the US &amp; Outages in Norway.
Energy majors fell sharply on 3/June and ended the week in the red. BP and Exxon Mobile were downgraded. Berkshire ramped up holdings in Occidental.


[ETP 23/2024] Jittery Crude And Fiery Natural Gas Markets Defined Energy Markets Last Week

Independent research on the U.S. markets, Baptista Research

Baptista Research

Independent research on the U.S. markets

Baptista Research is an independent financial research house focused on the U.S. markets. We provide equity research as well as credit research reports on the top-listed U.S. companies with most of our focus on technology, consumer goods and services, automobiles, industrials, oil and gas, pharma, and healthcare. Our research has served more than 3000 institutional investors including mutual funds, hedge funds, banks, family offices, and various buy-side firms. We operate a research subscription service where institutions, as well as retail investors, can have priority access to all our research. We also have a wide distribution of our research reports across some of the top global financial platforms. Apart from equity research and credit research, we also provide advisory services with respect to mergers & acquisitions (M&A), private equity/ venture capital fundraising, valuation reports, and investment management services for corporates.
Baptista Research is owned and managed by Ishan Majumdar, an ex-Venture Capitalist/ Investment Banker, a Chartered Accountant, and a Masters’ degree holder in Management from HEC Paris. Ishan has nearly a decade of experience in Mergers and Acquisitions, Leveraged Buyouts (LBOs), Venture Capital Investing, Corporate Strategy, and Valuation in front-office roles at the likes of BNP Paribas CIB, Credit Agricole CIB, Groupe Danone, and TIW Private Equity. He has worked on and closed multiple acquisition deals, leveraged buyouts, and start-up investment transactions.

Equity Bottom-Up

<ul><li>BP, the energy giant has reaffirmed its annual target and unveiled a new cost-cutting measure, reflecting its bid for financial resilience in an increasingly competitive energy market.</li><li>Despite an unplanned outage at its Whiting refinery, BP posted an adjusted EBITDA of $10.3bn in the first quarter of 2024, underlining a robust financial performance.</li><li>Its operating cash flow, adjusting for seasonal working capital build, was $7.4bn in the reported quarter.</li></ul>

BP, the energy giant has reaffirmed its annual target and unveiled a new cost-cutting measure, reflecting its bid for financial resilience in an increasingly competitive energy market.Despite an unplanned outage at its Whiting refinery, BP posted an adjusted EBITDA of $10.3bn in the first quarter of 2024, underlining a robust financial performance.Its operating cash flow, adjusting for seasonal working capital build, was $7.4bn in the reported quarter.

BP p.l.c.:  A Focus On Value Over Volume In Hydrocarbon Production - Major Drivers

Equity Capital Markets and Advisory Business, Auctus Advisors

Auctus Advisors

Equity Capital Markets and Advisory Business

Auctus Advisors is a specialist Equity Capital Markets and Advisory business with a focus in the Energy Sector. The partners have complementary skill sets, with decades of experience across Equity Capital Markets, Investment Banking and the Energy industry. We have worked at Société Générale, Canaccord Capital, BMO Capital Markets and Schlumberger. Most recently we have worked together for many years at GMP FirstEnergy. Auctus has been set up at the beginning of a new decade in which we see significant opportunities in the Energy space. Globally, demand for energy is at record levels and continues to grow. Conversely, investment in traditional energy sources has been severely constrained. We believe this imbalance creates opportunities for both companies and investors. Auctus provides Corporate Broking, Equity Research and Investment Banking services.

Thematic (Sector/Industry)

<ul>
<li>GeoPark (GPRK US)C; target price of US$26 per share: More favourable offtake contract in Colombia – GeoPark has signe da new offtake contract with Vitol for a minimum of 20 mbbl/d.</li>
<li>The agreement improves GeoPark’s price realizations by US$0.15/bbl vs the current agreement.</li>
<li>As part of this transaction, GeoPark will obtain immediate access to committed funding from Vitol for up to US$300 mm, with an option to increase by another US$200 mm for a total of US$500 mm, in prepaid future oil sales over the period of the offtake contract.</li>
</ul>


GeoPark (GPRK US)C; target price of US$26 per share: More favourable offtake contract in Colombia – GeoPark has signe da new offtake contract with Vitol for a minimum of 20 mbbl/d.
The agreement improves GeoPark’s price realizations by US$0.15/bbl vs the current agreement.
As part of this transaction, GeoPark will obtain immediate access to committed funding from Vitol for up to US$300 mm, with an option to increase by another US$200 mm for a total of US$500 mm, in prepaid future oil sales over the period of the offtake contract.


APAC IPOs & Placements, Aequitas Research

Clarence Chu

APAC IPOs & Placements

IPOs and Placements coverage across Asia Pacific

Aequitas Research

We cover all listing across the Asia Pacific along with follow-up placements. As of Dec 2020, our team had covered 539 IPOs with a hit rate of 73.5% and 685 placements with a hit rate of 66.8%.

We combine fundamental bottom-up views with our proprietary quantitative framework to provide a holistic coverage across new listings and placements. Our coverage includes pre-IPO notes before the deal is launched, follow-up analysis once the deal is live and post-listing trading analysis as well.

Event-Driven

<ul>
<li>
<a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/tuhu-car-inc" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="entities:36012:1" rel="noopener">Tuhu Car (9690 HK)</a> was listed in Hong Kong on 26th Sept 2023 after raising US$151m. The IPO had been a 100% primary offering.</li>
<li>Tuhu is an integrated online and offline platform for automotive services in China.</li>
<li>Trading with a very small float of 1.8%, in its upcoming six-month lockup expiry, &gt;90% of Tuhu’s pre-IPO investors, cornerstones and management combined stakes will come off six-month lockup expiry.</li>
</ul>



Tuhu Car (9690 HK) was listed in Hong Kong on 26th Sept 2023 after raising US$151m. The IPO had been a 100% primary offering.
Tuhu is an integrated online and offline platform for automotive services in China.
Trading with a very small float of 1.8%, in its upcoming six-month lockup expiry, &gt;90% of Tuhu’s pre-IPO investors, cornerstones and management combined stakes will come off six-month lockup expiry.


Tuhu Car Lock-Up Expiry - Would Need Some Selling to Improve Liquidity when US$1.5bn Comes Unlocked

<ul><li>BP's fourth quarter and full-year 2023 earnings call updates showcase the company's robust growth strategy and progressive journey from an international oil company (IOC) to an integrated energy company (IEC).</li><li>The firm shows a steadfast commitment to rendering higher margins with reduced emissions, evident from the introduction of biofuels, sustainable aviation fuel and biodiesel to customers while concurrently reducing their plants' carbon footprints.</li><li>Over the past four years, BP’s reputed trading organization has optimized these chains to drive returns surpassing industry standards.</li></ul>

BP's fourth quarter and full-year 2023 earnings call updates showcase the company's robust growth strategy and progressive journey from an international oil company (IOC) to an integrated energy company (IEC).The firm shows a steadfast commitment to rendering higher margins with reduced emissions, evident from the introduction of biofuels, sustainable aviation fuel and biodiesel to customers while concurrently reducing their plants' carbon footprints.Over the past four years, BP’s reputed trading organization has optimized these chains to drive returns surpassing industry standards.

BP p.l.c.: A Story Of Strategic Transition To Optimize Profitability & Sustainability! - Major Drivers

United Kingdom

BP P.L.C is an energy company. The Company explores and produces oil and natural gas, refines, markets, and supplies petroleum products, as well as generates solar energy, and manufactures and markets chemicals such as terephthalic acid, acetic acid, acrylonitrile, ethylene, and polyethylene. BP serves customers worldwide.

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BP (BP US)

[ETP 23/2024] Jittery Crude And Fiery Natural Gas Markets Defined Energy Markets Last Week

OPEC+ meeting outcomes failed to support oil prices. Hotter-than-expected US summer and outages in Norway sent gas prices soaring. BP & Exxon...

Mint Finance

BP p.l.c.: A Focus On Value Over Volume In Hydrocarbon Production - Major Drivers

BP, the energy giant has reaffirmed its annual target and unveiled a new cost-cutting measure, reflecting its bid for financial resilience in an...

Baptista Research

AUCTUS ON FRIDAY - 10/05/2024

GeoPark (GPRK US)C; target price of US$26 per share: More favourable offtake contract in Colombia – GeoPark has signe da new offtake contract with...

Auctus Advisors

Tuhu Car Lock-Up Expiry - Would Need Some Selling to Improve Liquidity when US$1.5bn Comes Unlocked

Tuhu Car (9690 HK) was listed in Hong Kong on 26th Sept 2023 after raising US$151m. The IPO had been a 100% primary offering.

Clarence Chu

BP p.l.c.: A Story Of Strategic Transition To Optimize Profitability & Sustainability! - Major Drivers

BP's fourth quarter and full-year 2023 earnings call updates showcase the company's robust growth strategy and progressive journey from an...

Baptista Research

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