Pan-Asia Catalysts/Events, Quiddity Advisors

David Blennerhassett

Pan-Asia Catalysts/Events

Quiddity Advisors

Equity Bottom-Up

Brilliance China Automotive / Equity Bottom-Up

<ul>
<li>With the Hang Seng Index dipping below the 15,000 mark earlier this week, it's time to dust off some old school perspective.</li>
<li>This insight looks at Benjamin Graham's Net Nets, (current assets less current liabilities), then subtract any debt not included in current liabilities. More simply, current assets less total liabilities.</li>
<li>Graham would conclude these stocks are priced for liquidation.  Stocks discussed include <a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/brilliance-china-automotive" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="entities:469:1" rel="noopener">Brilliance China (1114 HK)</a>, <a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/ming-yuan-cloud-group" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="entities:29268:1" rel="noopener">Ming Yuan (909 HK)</a>, <a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/yidu-tech-inc" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="entities:29245:1" rel="noopener">Yidu Tech (2158 HK)</a>, and <a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/a-living-smart-city-services-c" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="entities:26728:1" rel="noopener">A-Living Smart City (3319 HK)</a>.</li>
</ul>


With the Hang Seng Index dipping below the 15,000 mark earlier this week, it's time to dust off some old school perspective.
This insight looks at Benjamin Graham's Net Nets, (current assets less current liabilities), then subtract any debt not included in current liabilities. More simply, current assets less total liabilities.
Graham would conclude these stocks are priced for liquidation.  Stocks discussed include Brilliance China (1114 HK), Ming Yuan (909 HK), Yidu Tech (2158 HK), and A-Living Smart City (3319 HK).


More Hong Kong Stocks Priced For Liquidation

HK/China Healthcare Analyst (ex-Fosun Pharma)

Xinyao (Criss) Wang

Thematic (Sector/Industry)

<ul>
<li>SVB has special institutions in China and its business mode is Venture Lending. The closure of SVB could make it harder for Chinese startups to raise money from US investors/banks.</li>
<li>The scale of SVB is small, but it cannot be said that it has no impact on the fundamentals of China healthcare companies. Investors need to reassess the potential risks.</li>
<li>SVB’s woes would not be a serious blow to the US if government takes timely action. However, if BRICS currency is established, it would be real fatal for the dollar.</li>
</ul>


SVB has special institutions in China and its business mode is Venture Lending. The closure of SVB could make it harder for Chinese startups to raise money from US investors/banks.
The scale of SVB is small, but it cannot be said that it has no impact on the fundamentals of China healthcare companies. Investors need to reassess the potential risks.
SVB’s woes would not be a serious blow to the US if government takes timely action. However, if BRICS currency is established, it would be real fatal for the dollar.


“Sudden Death” of Silicon Valley Bank (SVB) - The Impact on China Healthcare

<ul>
<li>China approved the first self-developed COVID-19 oral drug (Azivudine), but there are controversies about efficacy and safety profile on it, which could increase the unpredictability of domestic innovative drugs approval.</li>
<li>Due to the VBP, fierce competition, uncertainties in the COVID-19 prevention/control policies and decreasing demand, the commercialization performance and outlook of Azivudine could be lower-then-expected in China and overseas markets.</li>
<li>The approval of Azivudine wouldn’t change the zero-COVID policy. Until President Xi’s third term appointment is confirmed, there’s no reason to expect China to deviate from this policy.</li>
</ul>


China approved the first self-developed COVID-19 oral drug (Azivudine), but there are controversies about efficacy and safety profile on it, which could increase the unpredictability of domestic innovative drugs approval.
Due to the VBP, fierce competition, uncertainties in the COVID-19 prevention/control policies and decreasing demand, the commercialization performance and outlook of Azivudine could be lower-then-expected in China and overseas markets.
The approval of Azivudine wouldn’t change the zero-COVID policy. Until President Xi’s third term appointment is confirmed, there’s no reason to expect China to deviate from this policy.


Will the Approval of Genuine Biotech's COVID-19 Oral Drug Change China's Zero-COVID Policy?

<ul>
<li>Jiangsu Provincial Medical Insurance Bureau organized the 7th round of centralized procurement of medical consumables, mainly including spring coil, endoscopic stapler, ultrasound knife and vacuum blood collection tube.</li>
<li>
<a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/cstone-pharmaceuticals" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="entities:27882:1" rel="noopener">CStone Pharmaceuticals (2616 HK)</a> is considering a potential sale of the business. We analyzed the logic behind this deal.</li>
<li>For biotech, Mr Market can never be rational enough to see the big picture. Maybe we should be "dumb". Buy low and sell high works for all investors.</li>
</ul>


Jiangsu Provincial Medical Insurance Bureau organized the 7th round of centralized procurement of medical consumables, mainly including spring coil, endoscopic stapler, ultrasound knife and vacuum blood collection tube.

CStone Pharmaceuticals (2616 HK) is considering a potential sale of the business. We analyzed the logic behind this deal.
For biotech, Mr Market can never be rational enough to see the big picture. Maybe we should be "dumb". Buy low and sell high works for all investors.


China Healthcare Weekly (July22)-Jiangsu Province VBP, CStone's Potential Sale, Irrational Mr Market

Articles from Caixin Global, Caixin Global

Caixin Global

Articles from Caixin Global

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Cross Asset Strategy

<ul><li>Cover Story: Where Covid vaccine development is going</li><li>Hong Kong’s new chief executive pledges to review IPO rules to attract foreign firms</li><li>Knife-wielding attacker injures five people at Shanghai hospital</li></ul>

Cover Story: Where Covid vaccine development is goingHong Kong’s new chief executive pledges to review IPO rules to attract foreign firmsKnife-wielding attacker injures five people at Shanghai hospital

CX Daily: Where Covid Vaccine Development Is Going

China

Brii Biosciences is a biotechnology company focused on developing therapies for infectious and central nervous system diseases. The company has a broad pipeline of therapeutic candidates, with lead programs targeting hepatitis B virus (HBV) infection, and also develops treatments for multi-drug resistant bacterial infections. Brii Biosciences is headquartered in Beijing, China, and was founded in 2017.

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Brii Biosciences (2137 HK)

More Hong Kong Stocks Priced For Liquidation

This note looks at Net Nets, (current assets less current liabilities), then subtract debt not included in current liabilities. Benjamin Graham...

David Blennerhassett

“Sudden Death” of Silicon Valley Bank (SVB) - The Impact on China Healthcare

SVB's "sudden death" would affect Chinese healthcare companies. Investors need to reassess the risks of related companies.We don't think SVB’s woes...

Xinyao (Criss) Wang

Will the Approval of Genuine Biotech's COVID-19 Oral Drug Change China's Zero-COVID Policy?

Due to VBP/fierce competition/weak demand, Azivudine's outlook is challenging.Until President Xi’s 3rd term appointment is confirmed,there’s no...

Xinyao (Criss) Wang

China Healthcare Weekly (July22)-Jiangsu Province VBP, CStone's Potential Sale, Irrational Mr Market

Jiangsu Province released VBP results on medical consumables. CStone proposed a potential sale of the business.We analyzed the logic behind. Maybe...

Xinyao (Criss) Wang

CX Daily: Where Covid Vaccine Development Is Going

Cover Story: Where Covid vaccine development is going. Hong Kong’s new chief executive pledges to review IPO rules to attract foreign firms

Caixin Global

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