China Specialist, Auto and Industrial Specialist

Victoria Li

Equity Bottom-Up

Brilliance China Automotive / Equity Bottom-Up

<ul>
<li>No substantive progress is achieved on Brilliance Group’s bankruptcy restructuring so far.</li>
<li>Besides estimated max Rmb6 per share, or HKD6.5 per share special dividend 2022E, shareholders may get more cash dividends in the next few years</li>
<li>Our enterprise value analysis shows Brilliance China’s fair value could be as high as HHD21.9 per share, including estimated HKD6.5 per share special dividend 2022E.</li>
</ul>


No substantive progress is achieved on Brilliance Group’s bankruptcy restructuring so far.
Besides estimated max Rmb6 per share, or HKD6.5 per share special dividend 2022E, shareholders may get more cash dividends in the next few years
Our enterprise value analysis shows Brilliance China’s fair value could be as high as HHD21.9 per share, including estimated HKD6.5 per share special dividend 2022E.


Brilliance China: Parent Restructuring Overhang May Continue, but Dividends Itself Provide Upside

Asia Pac ECM and Index Rebal, Shenton Research

Ke Yan, CFA, FRM

Asia Pac ECM and Index Rebal

Asia Pac IPO & Placement Research, China Biotech

DZT Research

DZT Research is an independent Asia Pacific equity specialist. Our quantitative research covers index rebalancing flows, alongside exchange data analytics accross Asia Pacific. On the equity capital markets side, we focus on Asia Pacific ECM, especially biotech and TMT. Our lead analyst is frequently cited by international media.

Quantitative Analysis

<ul>
<li>We analyze the monthly Hong Kong Connect flows with our data engine.</li>
<li>We tabulate the top stocks by inflows, outlfows, and holding by mainland investors.</li>
<li>We highlight inflows into Tencent, Meituan, Wuxi Biologics, Li Auto, Kuaishou, and outflows from Tsingtao Brewery.</li>
</ul>


We analyze the monthly Hong Kong Connect flows with our data engine.
We tabulate the top stocks by inflows, outlfows, and holding by mainland investors.
We highlight inflows into Tencent, Meituan, Wuxi Biologics, Li Auto, Kuaishou, and outflows from Tsingtao Brewery.


Hong Kong Connect Flows Monthly: $8.1bn Inflows in October

<ul>
<li>We analyze the weekly Hong Kong Connect flows with our data engine for holding position as of October 21st.</li>
<li>The top stocks by inflows and outflows were tabulated for all market, HSCEI, mid cap and s/mid cap groups.</li>
<li>We highlight inflows into Tencent Holding Limited, Meituan, Wuxi Biologics.</li>
</ul>


We analyze the weekly Hong Kong Connect flows with our data engine for holding position as of October 21st.
The top stocks by inflows and outflows were tabulated for all market, HSCEI, mid cap and s/mid cap groups.
We highlight inflows into Tencent Holding Limited, Meituan, Wuxi Biologics.


Hong Kong Connect Flows (Oct 21st): $3.2bn Inflows

Head of Research, IPOs & Placements, Aequitas Research

Sumeet Singh

Head of Research, IPOs & Placements

IPOs and Placements coverage across Asia Pacific

Aequitas Research

We cover all listing across the Asia Pacific along with follow-up placements. As of Dec 2020, our team had covered 539 IPOs with a hit rate of 73.5% and 685 placements with a hit rate of 66.8%.

We combine fundamental bottom-up views with our proprietary quantitative framework to provide a holistic coverage across new listings and placements. Our coverage includes pre-IPO notes before the deal is launched, follow-up analysis once the deal is live and post-listing trading analysis as well.

Equity Capital Markets

<ul>
<li>CALB aims to raise around US$1.5bn in its Hong Kong IPO.</li>
<li>CALB undertakes design, R&amp;D, production and sales of EV batteries and Energy Storage Systems (ESS) products. </li>
<li>In this note, we talk about the updates from the company’s recent PHIP filings.</li>
</ul>


CALB aims to raise around US$1.5bn in its Hong Kong IPO.
CALB undertakes design, R&amp;D, production and sales of EV batteries and Energy Storage Systems (ESS) products. 
In this note, we talk about the updates from the company’s recent PHIP filings.


CALB Pre-IPO - PHIP Updates - Growth Picking up Further, Margins Turnaround

Pan-Asia Index Rebalances/ Events/ Delta One, Periscope Analytics

Brian Freitas

Pan-Asia Index Rebalances/ Events/ Delta One

Index Rebalance

Hang Seng Indexes Company (HSIL) reviews the constituents of the Hang Seng Composite Index (HSCI) on a half yearly basis in March and September with data cut-off dates as of the end of December and June. The review announcement for the September 2021 review should be made on 13 August and will be effective after the close of trading on 3 September.Although there are almost no assets indexed to the HSCI, the index forms the basis of stocks that are eligible for Southbound Stock Connect. Stocks that are included in the HSCI and subsequently included in the Stock Connect program get inflows from mainland investors.We see 28 potential inclusions to the HSCI at the rebalance and 15 potential deletions, plus another 7 close deletions. Only 10 of the potential deletions will be removed from Southbound Stock Connect buy list since the other deletions are either not a part of Stock Connect currently or have listed A-shares.The inclusions to the HSCI outperformed the deletions at the March rebalance from review cut-off to announcement of the changes before giving by some of the gains to implementation and then some more for the 1 month post the implementation of the changes.

Hang Seng Indexes Company (HSIL) reviews the constituents of the Hang Seng Composite Index (HSCI) on a half yearly basis in March and September with data cut-off dates as of the end of December and June. The review announcement for the September 2021 review should be made on 13 August and will be effective after the close of trading on 3 September.Although there are almost no assets indexed to the HSCI, the index forms the basis of stocks that are eligible for Southbound Stock Connect. Stocks that are included in the HSCI and subsequently included in the Stock Connect program get inflows from mainland investors.We see 28 potential inclusions to the HSCI at the rebalance and 15 potential deletions, plus another 7 close deletions. Only 10 of the potential deletions will be removed from Southbound Stock Connect buy list since the other deletions are either not a part of Stock Connect currently or have listed A-shares.The inclusions to the HSCI outperformed the deletions at the March rebalance from review cut-off to announcement of the changes before giving by some of the gains to implementation and then some more for the 1 month post the implementation of the changes.

HSCI Index Rebalance & Stock Connect: Expected Changes in September

Hong Kong

Brilliance China Automotive is an investment holding company primarily engaged in the manufacture and sale of BMW vehicles, non-BMW vehicles (such as minibuses and sedans), and automotive components. The company also offers auto-financing services. It was incorporated on June 9, 1992, and is headquartered in Hong Kong.

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Brilliance China Automotive (1114 HK)

Brilliance China: Parent Restructuring Overhang May Continue, but Dividends Itself Provide Upside

No substantive progress is achieved on Brilliance Group’s bankruptcy restructuring so far. Besides estimated max HKD6.5 per share special dividend...

Victoria Li

Hong Kong Connect Flows Monthly: $8.1bn Inflows in October

We analyzed the Hong Kong Connect Scheme for October and highlight flows for Tencent, Meituan, Wuxi Biologics, Li Auto, Kuaishou, Tsingtao Brewery.

Ke Yan, CFA, FRM

Hong Kong Connect Flows (Oct 21st): $3.2bn Inflows

We analyzed the Hong Kong Connect Scheme for last week and highlight $3.2bn inflows last week and flows for Tencent, Meituan, Wuxi Biologics.

Ke Yan, CFA, FRM

CALB Pre-IPO - PHIP Updates - Growth Picking up Further, Margins Turnaround

CALB aims to raise around US$1.5bn in its Hong Kong IPO. In this note, we talk abou the updates from the company's recent PHIP filings.

Sumeet Singh

HSCI Index Rebalance & Stock Connect: Expected Changes in September

Currently we see 28 potential inclusions & 22 deletions from the HSCI at the Sep rebalance. Most of the inclusions will join Stock Connect while...

Brian Freitas

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