Quality-first, Business-perspective, Long-term, Urbem (HK) Limited

Urbem Capital

Quality-first, Business-perspective, Long-term

Quality-first, Business-perspective Strategy

Urbem (HK) Limited

Equity Bottom-Up

<ul>
<li>Eighteen S&amp;P 500 giants earned 20%-plus ROE through the 1990s; fourteen then trailed the index into 2026, the median by about 2.7 points a year.</li>
<li>Rich starting multiples, maturing runways, eroding moats and costly deals did the damage, while leverage and buybacks had flattered some of the returns on capital.</li>
<li>Microsoft renewed its runway and Altria started cheap; today's high-return screens should ask whether returns are still rising and whether the price still allows low-teens returns.</li>
</ul>


Eighteen S&amp;P 500 giants earned 20%-plus ROE through the 1990s; fourteen then trailed the index into 2026, the median by about 2.7 points a year.
Rich starting multiples, maturing runways, eroding moats and costly deals did the damage, while leverage and buybacks had flattered some of the returns on capital.
Microsoft renewed its runway and Altria started cheap; today's high-return screens should ask whether returns are still rising and whether the price still allows low-teens returns.


After They Were Giants: Why 2000's High-Return Stocks Mostly Lagged for 25 Years

Global Healthcare Analyst

Tina Banerjee

Thematic (Sector/Industry)

<ul>
<li>Last week, the U.S. DoD designated Wuxi AppTec as a “Chinese military company.” In response, Wuxi AppTec has filed a complaint at the U.S. District Court.</li>
<li>CSPC Pharmaceutical received trial approval for semaglutide long-acting injection in U.S. Takeda’s TYK2 inhibitor zasocitinib tops BMS’ Sotyktu in head-to-head trial for clearing skin in patients with moderate-to-severe plaque psoriasis.</li>
<li>SK Bioscience initiated process development for injectable rotavirus vaccine candidate after entering license agreement with the U.S. CDC. Alteogen’s ALT-B4 received an Intention to Grant decision from European Patent Office.</li>
</ul>


Last week, the U.S. DoD designated Wuxi AppTec as a “Chinese military company.” In response, Wuxi AppTec has filed a complaint at the U.S. District Court.
CSPC Pharmaceutical received trial approval for semaglutide long-acting injection in U.S. Takeda’s TYK2 inhibitor zasocitinib tops BMS’ Sotyktu in head-to-head trial for clearing skin in patients with moderate-to-severe plaque psoriasis.
SK Bioscience initiated process development for injectable rotavirus vaccine candidate after entering license agreement with the U.S. CDC. Alteogen’s ALT-B4 received an Intention to Grant decision from European Patent Office.


APAC Healthcare Weekly (June 14) – Wuxi AppTec, Remegen, CSPC Pharma, Takeda, SK Bioscience Alteogen

<ul>
<li>Hengrui Pharmaceuticals entered license agreements with BMS to advance 13 early-stage programs in oncology, hematology, and immunology. Sino Biopharmaceutical entered exclusive strategic collaboration with GlaxoSmithKline for Hepatitis B drug bepirovisen.</li>
<li>BeOne received FDA approval for Beqalzi for the treatment of mantle cell lymphoma. Otsuka’s subsidiary, Taiho Pharmaceutical secured FDA approval for Inqovi plus venetoclax for newly diagnosed acute myeloid leukemia.</li>
<li>Celltrion has acquired Gifrer, a 114-year-old local healthcare company in France. Bora Pharmaceuticals will acquire GMP manufacturing operations, including the CDMO business, of MacroGenics for $122.5M.</li>
</ul>


Hengrui Pharmaceuticals entered license agreements with BMS to advance 13 early-stage programs in oncology, hematology, and immunology. Sino Biopharmaceutical entered exclusive strategic collaboration with GlaxoSmithKline for Hepatitis B drug bepirovisen.
BeOne received FDA approval for Beqalzi for the treatment of mantle cell lymphoma. Otsuka’s subsidiary, Taiho Pharmaceutical secured FDA approval for Inqovi plus venetoclax for newly diagnosed acute myeloid leukemia.
Celltrion has acquired Gifrer, a 114-year-old local healthcare company in France. Bora Pharmaceuticals will acquire GMP manufacturing operations, including the CDMO business, of MacroGenics for $122.5M.


APAC Healthcare Weekly (May 17) – Hengrui, Sino Bio, BeOne, Otsuka, Celltrion, Bora Pharmaceuticals

<ul>
<li>Insilico Medicine entered into outlicensing agreement for ISM8969 with Hygtia Therapeutics for upfront and milestone payment of $66M. Daiichi Sankyo’s Enhertu got its sixth indication approval in China.</li>
<li>Shionogi will pick up Pfizer’s 11.7% stake in HIV-focused ViiV Healthcare for $2.1B. Alteogen signed an exclusive license agreement with GSK’s subsidiary Tesaro for ALT-B4 for upfront payment of $20M.</li>
<li>HK inno.N completes enrolment for Phase 3 clinical trial for its once-weekly GLP-1 obesity drug candidate, IN-B00009. Sun Pharmaceutical has received approval for generic version of semaglutide injection in India.</li>
</ul>


Insilico Medicine entered into outlicensing agreement for ISM8969 with Hygtia Therapeutics for upfront and milestone payment of $66M. Daiichi Sankyo’s Enhertu got its sixth indication approval in China.
Shionogi will pick up Pfizer’s 11.7% stake in HIV-focused ViiV Healthcare for $2.1B. Alteogen signed an exclusive license agreement with GSK’s subsidiary Tesaro for ALT-B4 for upfront payment of $20M.
HK inno.N completes enrolment for Phase 3 clinical trial for its once-weekly GLP-1 obesity drug candidate, IN-B00009. Sun Pharmaceutical has received approval for generic version of semaglutide injection in India.


APAC Healthcare Weekly (January 25) – InSilico, Daiichi, Shionogi, Alteogen, HK Inno, Sun Pharma

<ul>
<li>Fosun Pharma is acquiring 53% stake in Green Valley Pharmaceuticals for ~$200M, to bolster CNS portfolio. Hansoh Pharmaceutical entered an exclusive license agreement with Glenmark Pharma for NSCLC drug Ameile.</li>
<li>Daiichi Sankyo received FDA approval for Enhertu as first-line treatment for HER2+ breast cancer. Takeda Pharmaceutical announced positive topline results for two P3 studies of zasocitinib in moderate-to-severe plaque psoriasis.</li>
<li>Hanmi Pharmaceutical filed domestic marketing application for efpeglenatide autoinjector, the first domestically developed GLP-1-based obesity drug. Max Healthcare announced INR10B+ investment for a ~450 bedded hospital in Pune.</li>
</ul>


Fosun Pharma is acquiring 53% stake in Green Valley Pharmaceuticals for ~$200M, to bolster CNS portfolio. Hansoh Pharmaceutical entered an exclusive license agreement with Glenmark Pharma for NSCLC drug Ameile.
Daiichi Sankyo received FDA approval for Enhertu as first-line treatment for HER2+ breast cancer. Takeda Pharmaceutical announced positive topline results for two P3 studies of zasocitinib in moderate-to-severe plaque psoriasis.
Hanmi Pharmaceutical filed domestic marketing application for efpeglenatide autoinjector, the first domestically developed GLP-1-based obesity drug. Max Healthcare announced INR10B+ investment for a ~450 bedded hospital in Pune.


APAC Healthcare Weekly (December 21)–Fosun Pharma, Hansoh, Daiichi Sankyo, Takeda, Hanmi, Max Health

United States

Bristol-Myers Squibb Company is a global biopharmaceutical company. The Company develops, licenses, manufactures, markets, and sells pharmaceutical and nutritional products. Bristol-Myers Squibb products and experimental therapies address cancer, heart disease, HIV/AIDS, diabetes, rheumatoid arthritis, hepatitis, organ transplant  rejection, and psychiatric disorders.

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Bristol Myers Squibb Co (BMY US)

After They Were Giants: Why 2000's High-Return Stocks Mostly Lagged for 25 Years

In 2000, America's highest-return giants looked like the safest quality stocks. Most then lagged the market for 25 years. Several warning signs...

Urbem Capital

APAC Healthcare Weekly (June 14) – Wuxi AppTec, Remegen, CSPC Pharma, Takeda, SK Bioscience Alteogen

US DoD designated Wuxi AppTec as a “Chinese military company.” Takeda’s zasocitinib tops BMS’ Sotyktu in head-to-head trial. Alteogen secured...

Tina Banerjee

APAC Healthcare Weekly (May 17) – Hengrui, Sino Bio, BeOne, Otsuka, Celltrion, Bora Pharmaceuticals

Hengrui stuck licensing agreement with BMS. Sino Bio enters exclusive collaboration with GSK. BeOne got FDA approval for new drug. Bora will...

Tina Banerjee

APAC Healthcare Weekly (January 25) – InSilico, Daiichi, Shionogi, Alteogen, HK Inno, Sun Pharma

InSilico entered outlicensing deal. Daiichi’s Enhertu got China approval for 6th indication. Shionogi will pick up Pfizer’s stake in ViiV...

Tina Banerjee

APAC Healthcare Weekly (December 21)–Fosun Pharma, Hansoh, Daiichi Sankyo, Takeda, Hanmi, Max Health

Fosun Pharma is acquiring 53% stake in Green Valley. Hansoh inked exclusive license agreement with Glenmark Pharma. Daiichi Sankyo’s Enhertu got...

Tina Banerjee

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