Taiwan Tech Focused Senior Analyst

Patrick Liao

Equity Bottom-Up

King Yuan Electronics Co, Ltd. / Equity Bottom-Up

<ul>
<li>We expect <a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/king-yuan-electronics-co-ltd" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="entities:6630:1" rel="noopener">King Yuan Electronics Co, Ltd. (2449 TT)</a>'s 4Q24 outlook to be a seasonal uptrend with a slight increase quarter-over-quarter.</li>
<li><a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/nvidia-corp" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="entities:5891:1" rel="noopener"> NVIDIA Corp (NVDA US) will become the top client at KYEC, and Mediatek Inc (2454 TT) is expected to become the second-largest client in the outlook for 2025.   </a></li>
<li>The focus will primarily be on currently available sources, particularly KYEC for production.  </li>
</ul>


We expect King Yuan Electronics Co, Ltd. (2449 TT)'s 4Q24 outlook to be a seasonal uptrend with a slight increase quarter-over-quarter.
 NVIDIA Corp (NVDA US) will become the top client at KYEC, and Mediatek Inc (2454 TT) is expected to become the second-largest client in the outlook for 2025.   
The focus will primarily be on currently available sources, particularly KYEC for production.  


KYEC (2449.TT): 4Q24 Outlook Brightening; NVDA Will Become #1 Client in 2025

TSMC (Taiwan Semiconductor Manufacturing) / Equity Bottom-Up

TSMC (Taiwan Semiconductor Manufacturing) (2330 TT)

TSMC (Taiwan Semiconductor Manufacturing)

<ul>
<li>We anticipate that the upcoming 4Q24 will likely see a ~10% quarter-over-quarter (QoQ) upside.</li>
<li>Among TSMC's top clients are companies from the US, Taiwan, and Japan.</li>
<li>Recently, we have heard that TSMC is reducing wafer quotations by about ~10% for 28nm and below, in order to adapt to the current environment.</li>
</ul>


We anticipate that the upcoming 4Q24 will likely see a ~10% quarter-over-quarter (QoQ) upside.
Among TSMC's top clients are companies from the US, Taiwan, and Japan.
Recently, we have heard that TSMC is reducing wafer quotations by about ~10% for 28nm and below, in order to adapt to the current environment.


TSMC (2330.TT; TSM.US): 4Q24 Outlook Is Around 10% QoQ Upside.

APAC IPOs & Placements, Aequitas Research

Clarence Chu

APAC IPOs & Placements

IPOs and Placements coverage across Asia Pacific

Aequitas Research

We cover all listing across the Asia Pacific along with follow-up placements. As of Dec 2020, our team had covered 539 IPOs with a hit rate of 73.5% and 685 placements with a hit rate of 66.8%.

We combine fundamental bottom-up views with our proprietary quantitative framework to provide a holistic coverage across new listings and placements. Our coverage includes pre-IPO notes before the deal is launched, follow-up analysis once the deal is live and post-listing trading analysis as well.

Equity Capital Markets

Black Sesame International / Equity Capital Markets

<ul>
<li>
<a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/black-sesame-technologies-inc" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="entities:39894:1" rel="noopener">Black Sesame Technologies (BLACKSES HK)</a> raised around US$133m in its Hong Kong IPO, after pricing its IPO at the low-end.</li>
<li>Black Sesame International Holdings (BSIH) is an automotive-grade computing SoC and SoC-based intelligent vehicle solution provider.</li>
<li>We have covered various aspects of the deal in our previous note. In this note, we will talk about the demand and trading dynamics.</li>
</ul>



Black Sesame Technologies (BLACKSES HK) raised around US$133m in its Hong Kong IPO, after pricing its IPO at the low-end.
Black Sesame International Holdings (BSIH) is an automotive-grade computing SoC and SoC-based intelligent vehicle solution provider.
We have covered various aspects of the deal in our previous note. In this note, we will talk about the demand and trading dynamics.


Black Sesame IPO Trading - Lackluster Demand, Combined with Bad Timing

<ul>
<li>
<a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/black-sesame-technologies-inc" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="entities:39894:1" rel="noopener">Black Sesame Technologies (BLACKSES HK)</a> is looking to raise US$143m in its Hong Kong IPO.</li>
<li>Black Sesame International Holdings (BSIH) is an automotive-grade computing SoC and SoC-based intelligent vehicle solution provider.</li>
<li>In our earlier notes, we looked at the past performance of the deal. In this note, we discuss peers and share our thoughts on valuation.</li>
</ul>



Black Sesame Technologies (BLACKSES HK) is looking to raise US$143m in its Hong Kong IPO.
Black Sesame International Holdings (BSIH) is an automotive-grade computing SoC and SoC-based intelligent vehicle solution provider.
In our earlier notes, we looked at the past performance of the deal. In this note, we discuss peers and share our thoughts on valuation.


Black Sesame IPO - Paying Up-Front for Its Monetization Potential

<ul>
<li>TSMC expects the foundry, semiconductor, electronics, industrial technology, and global GDP to be $0.25 trillion, $1 trillion, $3 trillion, $12 trillion, and $145 trillion, respectively, in 2030F</li>
<li>Transistor technology is constantly evolving, and FinFET architecture will be followed by Nanosheet and others.</li>
<li>In the transition, the automotive market belongs to IDM companies, but the utility of ADAS (Advanced Driver Assistance Systems) could fall under Foundry territory.  </li>
</ul>


TSMC expects the foundry, semiconductor, electronics, industrial technology, and global GDP to be $0.25 trillion, $1 trillion, $3 trillion, $12 trillion, and $145 trillion, respectively, in 2030F
Transistor technology is constantly evolving, and FinFET architecture will be followed by Nanosheet and others.
In the transition, the automotive market belongs to IDM companies, but the utility of ADAS (Advanced Driver Assistance Systems) could fall under Foundry territory.  


TSMC (2330.TT; TSM.US): Foundry Market Forecast in 2030F; TSMC Had Developed The 2nm Nanosheet.

United States

Broadcom Corporation provides integrated silicon solutions that enable broadband digital data transmission of voice, data, and video content to the home and within the business enterprise.  The Company designs, develops, and supplies integrated circuits for cable set-top boxes, cable modems, high-speed networking, direct satellite and digital broadcast, and digital subscriber line.

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Broadcom Corp Cl A (BRCM US)

KYEC (2449.TT): 4Q24 Outlook Brightening; NVDA Will Become #1 Client in 2025

Expect seasonal uptrend in 4Q24 outlook for King Yuan Electronics Co, with NVIDIA Corp as top client and Mediatek Inc as second-largest in 2025....

Patrick Liao

TSMC (2330.TT; TSM.US): 4Q24 Outlook Is Around 10% QoQ Upside.

Anticipating 10% QoQ growth in 4Q24 for TSMC, who is adjusting wafer quotations to meet current demands from US, Taiwan, and Japan clients.

Patrick Liao

Black Sesame IPO Trading - Lackluster Demand, Combined with Bad Timing

Black Sesame Technologies (BLACKSES HK) raised around US$133m in its Hong Kong IPO, after pricing its IPO at the low-end.

Clarence Chu

Black Sesame IPO - Paying Up-Front for Its Monetization Potential

Black Sesame Technologies (BLACKSES HK) is looking to raise US$143m in its Hong Kong IPO. In this note, we discuss peers and share our thoughts on...

Clarence Chu

TSMC (2330.TT; TSM.US): Foundry Market Forecast in 2030F; TSMC Had Developed The 2nm Nanosheet.

TSMC predicts significant growth in various industries by 2030F, with evolving transistor technology and potential shifts in market ownership for...

Patrick Liao

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KYEC (2449.TT): 4Q24 Outlook Brightening; NVDA Will Become #1 Client in 2025

​Expect seasonal uptrend in 4Q24 outlook for King Yuan Electronics Co, with NVIDIA Corp as top client and Mediatek Inc as second-largest in 2025....

Patrick Liao

TSMC (2330.TT; TSM.US): 4Q24 Outlook Is Around 10% QoQ Upside.

​Anticipating 10% QoQ growth in 4Q24 for TSMC, who is adjusting wafer quotations to meet current demands from US, Taiwan, and Japan clients.

Patrick Liao

Black Sesame IPO Trading - Lackluster Demand, Combined with Bad Timing

Black Sesame Technologies (BLACKSES HK) raised around US$133m in its Hong Kong IPO, after pricing its IPO at the low-end.

Clarence Chu

Black Sesame IPO - Paying Up-Front for Its Monetization Potential

Black Sesame Technologies (BLACKSES HK) is looking to raise US$143m in its Hong Kong IPO. In this note, we discuss peers and share our thoughts on...

Clarence Chu

TSMC (2330.TT; TSM.US): Foundry Market Forecast in 2030F; TSMC Had Developed The 2nm Nanosheet.

​TSMC predicts significant growth in various industries by 2030F, with evolving transistor technology and potential shifts in market ownership for...

Patrick Liao

Expect seasonal uptrend in 4Q24 outlook for King Yuan Electronics Co, with NVIDIA Corp as top client and Mediatek Inc as second-largest in 2025....

Anticipating 10% QoQ growth in 4Q24 for TSMC, who is adjusting wafer quotations to meet current demands from US, Taiwan, and Japan clients.

TSMC predicts significant growth in various industries by 2030F, with evolving transistor technology and potential shifts in market ownership for...