Head of Research, Krungthai XSpring

Waraporn Wiboonkanarak

Head of Research

A full service Thai brokerage

Krungthai XSpring

Krungthai XSpring is a full service broker. The company provides a wide range of investment services such as Securities Brokerage, Derivative Agent Business, Securities Borrowing and Lending, Securities Trading, Underwriting, Financial Advisory, Wealth Advisory, Private Fund Management and International Markets Securities Trading. 

In terms of credibility, Fitch Ratings has assigned Krunghtai XSpring a long-term rating of AA- and a national short-term rating of F1+ with stable outlook.

Cross Asset Strategy

<ul><li>Technically, the SET Index is expected to move sideways down, with the support at 1,288/1,280 points and the resistance at 1,305/1,310 points.</li><li>We maintain our recommendation that investors slow down investing until a technical reversal pattern is evident.</li><li>Today, the highlights are four political court cases: i) A case seeking to disband the opposition Move Forward Party. ii) A requested dismissal of Prime Minister Srettha Thavisin over a cabinet appointment alleged to have violated the constitution. iii) A case concerning the election of senators. iv) Former Prime Minister Thaksin Shinawatra is scheduled to meet prosecutors to face a charge of insulting the monarchy.</li></ul>

Technically, the SET Index is expected to move sideways down, with the support at 1,288/1,280 points and the resistance at 1,305/1,310 points.We maintain our recommendation that investors slow down investing until a technical reversal pattern is evident.Today, the highlights are four political court cases: i) A case seeking to disband the opposition Move Forward Party. ii) A requested dismissal of Prime Minister Srettha Thavisin over a cabinet appointment alleged to have violated the constitution. iii) A case concerning the election of senators. iv) Former Prime Minister Thaksin Shinawatra is scheduled to meet prosecutors to face a charge of insulting the monarchy.

External broker reports(aggregated public sources), CMB International

CMB International

External broker reports(aggregated public sources)

Incorporated in Hong Kong, supported by the mainland and targeting in global market, CMB International Capital Corporation Limited (“CMBI”) is an integrated financial institution providing comprehensive and professional services. As a wholly-owned subsidiary of China Merchants Bank ("CMB"), by leveraging on the Group’s synergy and coordination in domestic and overseas markets, as well as CMB’s strong resources and outstanding social reputation, CMBI and its subsidiaries have been actively implementing diversified business strategies and set up an overall layout of main business segments including Corporate Finance, Asset Management, Wealth Management, Global Markets and Structured Finance, etc. Adhering to the philosophy of “being clients oriented and increasing our own values by the way of creating value for clients”, CMBI endeavors to provide quality and integrated financial services to institutional, corporate and individual customers both domestic and overseas including Hong Kong IPO sponsorship and underwriting, share placement and rights issue for listed companies, financial advisors, bonds issuance services, asset management, direct investment, wealth management, equity sales and trading, etc.

Thematic (Sector/Industry)

<ul><li>Nvidia announced (22 May) FY1Q25 results. Quarterly revenue was US$26.0bn, up 262% YoY and 17.8% QoQ (22.0% QoQ in FY4Q24).</li><li>FY1Q25 revenue beat Bloomberg consensus of US$24.7bn by 5.5%.</li><li>Data center revenue continued to soar and topped US$22.6bn, up 426.7% YoY and 22.6% QoQ (26.8% QoQ in FY4Q24).</li></ul>Content is external broker report sourced from online content aggregator through publicly available sources and is displayed below for general informational purposes only. Refer full disclaimer below.

Nvidia announced (22 May) FY1Q25 results. Quarterly revenue was US$26.0bn, up 262% YoY and 17.8% QoQ (22.0% QoQ in FY4Q24).FY1Q25 revenue beat Bloomberg consensus of US$24.7bn by 5.5%.Data center revenue continued to soar and topped US$22.6bn, up 426.7% YoY and 22.6% QoQ (26.8% QoQ in FY4Q24).Content is external broker report sourced from online content aggregator through publicly available sources and is displayed below for general informational purposes only. Refer full disclaimer below.

Semi - Nvidia: To keep growing for longer

<ul>
<li>Amazon, Microsoft, Google and Meta, collectively known as Hyperscaler 3 &amp; Meta, have recently announced their CY4Q23 results, unanimously claiming to increase investments in AI-related infrastructure from the current levels.</li>
<li>Per Bloomberg consensus, the capex of Hyperscaler 3 &amp; Meta will grow 22.6% in 2024, higher than prior forecasts of 16.6%.</li>
<li>This capex boost further confirms our perspective on the ongoing AI momentum into 2024, driven by strong demand for building computing capacity.</li>
</ul>


Amazon, Microsoft, Google and Meta, collectively known as Hyperscaler 3 &amp; Meta, have recently announced their CY4Q23 results, unanimously claiming to increase investments in AI-related infrastructure from the current levels.
Per Bloomberg consensus, the capex of Hyperscaler 3 &amp; Meta will grow 22.6% in 2024, higher than prior forecasts of 16.6%.
This capex boost further confirms our perspective on the ongoing AI momentum into 2024, driven by strong demand for building computing capacity.


Semi - Hyperscalers’ FY23 Results Review

<ul><li>If we consider 2023 as a banner year for AI technology, 2024 is set to be another solid year for both infrastructure investments and downstream demand continue to thrive.</li><li>We reaffirm our positive stance on optical transceiver players, specifically in light of their ongoing capacity expansion and production ramp-up of the high data rate optical modules, e.g., 400G/800G products.</li><li>Among those players we favor Innolight (300308 CH, BUY) and TFC (300394 CH, NR), both of which have leveraged the AI wave effectively through 2023 and stayed on strong trajectory into 2024. </li></ul>Content is external broker report sourced from online content aggregator through publicly available sources and is displayed below for general informational purposes only. Refer full disclaimer below.

If we consider 2023 as a banner year for AI technology, 2024 is set to be another solid year for both infrastructure investments and downstream demand continue to thrive.We reaffirm our positive stance on optical transceiver players, specifically in light of their ongoing capacity expansion and production ramp-up of the high data rate optical modules, e.g., 400G/800G products.Among those players we favor Innolight (300308 CH, BUY) and TFC (300394 CH, NR), both of which have leveraged the AI wave effectively through 2023 and stayed on strong trajectory into 2024. Content is external broker report sourced from online content aggregator through publicly available sources and is displayed below for general informational purposes only. Refer full disclaimer below.

Semi – Market Outlook on Optical Transceivers

<ul><li>Although global stock markets are showing signs of improvement, driven by expectations of a soft landing in the world economy and potential interest rate cuts by the Fed in May, KTX maintains the view that the SET Index will underperform compared to global and regional markets (excluding China).</li><li>The recommendation for investors is to wait before increasing the investment weighting of the Thai stock market until the index weakens below 1,353 points.</li><li>This cautious stance is influenced by ongoing foreign fund outflows, with the net selling topping USD487.9mn in the first three weeks of January 2024.</li></ul>

Although global stock markets are showing signs of improvement, driven by expectations of a soft landing in the world economy and potential interest rate cuts by the Fed in May, KTX maintains the view that the SET Index will underperform compared to global and regional markets (excluding China).The recommendation for investors is to wait before increasing the investment weighting of the Thai stock market until the index weakens below 1,353 points.This cautious stance is influenced by ongoing foreign fund outflows, with the net selling topping USD487.9mn in the first three weeks of January 2024.

United States

Broadcom Inc. designs, develops, and supplies semiconductor and infrastructure software solutions. The Company offers storage adapters, controllers, networking processors, motion control encoders, and optical sensors, as well as infrastructure and security software to modernize, optimize, and secure the most complex hybrid environments. Broadcom serves customers worldwide.

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Broadcom (AVGO US)

Today's Dominant Ideas

Technically, the SET Index is expected to move sideways down, with the support at 1,288/1,280 points and the resistance at 1,305/1,310 points. We...

Krungthai XSpring

Semi - Nvidia: To keep growing for longer

Nvidia announced (22 May) FY1Q25 results. Quarterly revenue was US$26.0bn, up 262% YoY and 17.8% QoQ (22.0% QoQ in FY4Q24). FY1Q25 revenue beat. ...

CMB International

Semi - Hyperscalers’ FY23 Results Review

This capex boost further confirms our perspective on the ongoing AI momentum into 2024, driven by strong demand for building computing capacity.

CMB International

Semi – Market Outlook on Optical Transceivers

If we consider 2023 as a banner year for AI technology, 2024 is set to be another solid year for both infrastructure investments and downstream...

CMB International

No Buybacks From Foreign Investors

Although global stock markets are showing signs of improvement, driven by expectations of a soft landing in the world economy and potential...

Krungthai XSpring

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