Value Investing

Vladimir Dimitrov, CFA

Equity Bottom-Up

<ul>
<li>Broadcom remains as one of the best-positioned semiconductors stocks.</li>
<li>The recent rally, however, is factoring too optimistic scenario for the future and creates a downward risk for the share price.</li>
<li>Profitability would continue to experience strong tailwinds, but this is unlikely to bring significant rewards for shareholders.</li>
</ul>


Broadcom remains as one of the best-positioned semiconductors stocks.
The recent rally, however, is factoring too optimistic scenario for the future and creates a downward risk for the share price.
Profitability would continue to experience strong tailwinds, but this is unlikely to bring significant rewards for shareholders.


Broadcom: A Well-Positioned Business, But Downward Risk Is Significant In The Near Term

<ul>
<li>Broadcom Inc. has been the best-performing semiconductor stock over the past 3-month period.</li>
<li>Robust demand partially justifies the recent share price increase, but not all the way to a near double-digit revenue multiple.</li>
<li>Just three months ago, I analyzed Broadcom Inc.'s (NASDAQ:AVGO) strong business model through the lens of profitability, competitive advantages and capital allocation.</li>
</ul>


Broadcom Inc. has been the best-performing semiconductor stock over the past 3-month period.
Robust demand partially justifies the recent share price increase, but not all the way to a near double-digit revenue multiple.
Just three months ago, I analyzed Broadcom Inc.'s (NASDAQ:AVGO) strong business model through the lens of profitability, competitive advantages and capital allocation.


External broker reports(aggregated public sources), CMB International

CMB International

External broker reports(aggregated public sources)

Incorporated in Hong Kong, supported by the mainland and targeting in global market, CMB International Capital Corporation Limited (“CMBI”) is an integrated financial institution providing comprehensive and professional services. As a wholly-owned subsidiary of China Merchants Bank ("CMB"), by leveraging on the Group’s synergy and coordination in domestic and overseas markets, as well as CMB’s strong resources and outstanding social reputation, CMBI and its subsidiaries have been actively implementing diversified business strategies and set up an overall layout of main business segments including Corporate Finance, Asset Management, Wealth Management, Global Markets and Structured Finance, etc. Adhering to the philosophy of “being clients oriented and increasing our own values by the way of creating value for clients”, CMBI endeavors to provide quality and integrated financial services to institutional, corporate and individual customers both domestic and overseas including Hong Kong IPO sponsorship and underwriting, share placement and rights issue for listed companies, financial advisors, bonds issuance services, asset management, direct investment, wealth management, equity sales and trading, etc.

Thematic (Sector/Industry)

<ul><li>Microsoft unveiled two major custom-designed chips for cloud computing at its Ignite developer conference on 15 Nov 2023, Maia 100 AI accelerator and Cobalt 100 CPU.</li><li>Maia 100 was specifically designed with consideration of Azure hardware. It will be mainly used for AI tasks and generative AI for maximized utilization of hardware.</li><li>It will power some of Microsoft’s largest internal AI workloads running on Azure. </li></ul>Content is external broker report sourced from online content aggregator through publicly available sources and is displayed below for general informational purposes only. Refer full disclaimer below.

Microsoft unveiled two major custom-designed chips for cloud computing at its Ignite developer conference on 15 Nov 2023, Maia 100 AI accelerator and Cobalt 100 CPU.Maia 100 was specifically designed with consideration of Azure hardware. It will be mainly used for AI tasks and generative AI for maximized utilization of hardware.It will power some of Microsoft’s largest internal AI workloads running on Azure. Content is external broker report sourced from online content aggregator through publicly available sources and is displayed below for general informational purposes only. Refer full disclaimer below.

<ul><li>As we finished week 1-4 of 3Q earnings season for major global fabless/IDM semi companies (AMD/Intel/Qualcomm/TI/Infineon/STM/MTK/OnSemi), results/ guidance have been mixed on inventory level and demand recovery.</li><li>Overall, SP/PC/NB (QCOM/MTK/Intel/AMD) started restocking given seasonal demand on new product launches, and server market (Intel/AMD) has shown signs of normalised inventory and mild recovery into 4Q.</li><li>Auto segment (TI/STM/ON) in general began to show cyclical weakness and guided cautious outlook into 4Q. </li></ul>Content is external broker report sourced from online content aggregator through publicly available sources and is displayed below for general informational purposes only. Refer full disclaimer below.

As we finished week 1-4 of 3Q earnings season for major global fabless/IDM semi companies (AMD/Intel/Qualcomm/TI/Infineon/STM/MTK/OnSemi), results/ guidance have been mixed on inventory level and demand recovery.Overall, SP/PC/NB (QCOM/MTK/Intel/AMD) started restocking given seasonal demand on new product launches, and server market (Intel/AMD) has shown signs of normalised inventory and mild recovery into 4Q.Auto segment (TI/STM/ON) in general began to show cyclical weakness and guided cautious outlook into 4Q. Content is external broker report sourced from online content aggregator through publicly available sources and is displayed below for general informational purposes only. Refer full disclaimer below.

China Technology – Global Fabless/IDM 3Q23 Wrap: PC/SP Recovery, Auto/ Industrial Mixed

Research from Water Tower Research, Water Tower Research

Water Tower Research

Research from Water Tower Research

Water Tower Research is a leading equity research firm that provides research on micro, small and mid cap companies.

Water Tower Research was founded by Wall Street veterans after witnessing a fundamental shift in the investment research industry with the result being a declining knowledge base among investors, a lack of awareness and a shrinking pool of fundamental research being conducted on companies across the small-cap and micro-cap spectrum. The same issues are now increasingly occurring in the mid-cap space. This sea change within the investment community is impacting not only the companies themselves but also current shareholders and potential investors. With significantly less active sell-side sponsorship by Wall Street, a substantial information gap has developed between companies and various constituents in the financial community. The net result is fewer channels for insight and information to flow between companies and investors.

Equity Research Firm

<ul><li>Artificial intelligence (AI). AI is already having a major impact on the tech sector, and this is only going to accelerate in 2024.</li><li>With an estimated market size of $137 billion in 2022, AI is projected to grow significantly to $1.8 trillion by 2030, a CAGR of 38%.</li><li>We can expect to see more sophisticated AI applications and algorithms that can perform complex tasks and make decisions with human-like accuracy. </li></ul>

Artificial intelligence (AI). AI is already having a major impact on the tech sector, and this is only going to accelerate in 2024.With an estimated market size of $137 billion in 2022, AI is projected to grow significantly to $1.8 trillion by 2030, a CAGR of 38%.We can expect to see more sophisticated AI applications and algorithms that can perform complex tasks and make decisions with human-like accuracy. 

Top 10 Tech Trends in 2024 - What's Likely to Drive Tech Next Year

United States

Broadcom Inc. designs, develops, and supplies semiconductor and infrastructure software solutions. The Company offers storage adapters, controllers, networking processors, motion control encoders, and optical sensors, as well as infrastructure and security software to modernize, optimize, and secure the most complex hybrid environments. Broadcom serves customers worldwide.

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Broadcom (AVGO US)

Broadcom: A Well-Positioned Business, But Downward Risk Is Significant In The Near Term

Profitability would continue to experience strong tailwinds, but this is unlikely to bring significant rewards for shareholders.

Vladimir Dimitrov, CFA

Broadcom: Proceed With Caution

Broadcom Inc. has been the best-performing semiconductor stock over the past 3-month period. Robust demand partially justifies the recent share...

Vladimir Dimitrov, CFA

Technology (Hardware/Semi)

Microsoft unveiled two major custom-designed chips for cloud computing at its Ignite developer conference on 15 Nov 2023, Maia 100 AI accelerator...

CMB International

China Technology – Global Fabless/IDM 3Q23 Wrap: PC/SP Recovery, Auto/ Industrial Mixed

Overall, SP/PC/NB (QCOM/MTK/Intel/AMD) started restocking given seasonal demand on new product launches, and server market (Intel/AMD) has shown...

CMB International

Top 10 Tech Trends in 2024 - What's Likely to Drive Tech Next Year

Artificial intelligence (AI). AI is already having a major impact on the tech sector, and this is only going to accelerate in 2024.

Water Tower Research

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