Head of Research, IPOs & Placements, Aequitas Research

Sumeet Singh

Head of Research, IPOs & Placements

IPOs and Placements coverage across Asia Pacific

Aequitas Research

We cover all listing across the Asia Pacific along with follow-up placements. As of Dec 2020, our team had covered 539 IPOs with a hit rate of 73.5% and 685 placements with a hit rate of 66.8%.

We combine fundamental bottom-up views with our proprietary quantitative framework to provide a holistic coverage across new listings and placements. Our coverage includes pre-IPO notes before the deal is launched, follow-up analysis once the deal is live and post-listing trading analysis as well.

Equity Capital Markets

Belle Fashion Group / Equity Capital Markets

<ul>
<li>Belle Fashion (BF) aims to raise up to US$1bn in its Hong Kong listing. The company recently refiled its application proof after a gap of two years.</li>
<li>As per F&amp;S, it was the largest player in China’s fashion footwear market with a 12.3% market share, based on 2022 retail sales.</li>
<li>We have looked at the company’s past performance based on its earlier filings in 2022. In this note, we talk about the updates from its recent filings.</li>
</ul>


Belle Fashion (BF) aims to raise up to US$1bn in its Hong Kong listing. The company recently refiled its application proof after a gap of two years.
As per F&amp;S, it was the largest player in China’s fashion footwear market with a 12.3% market share, based on 2022 retail sales.
We have looked at the company’s past performance based on its earlier filings in 2022. In this note, we talk about the updates from its recent filings.


Asia Pac ECM and Index Rebal, Shenton Research

Ke Yan, CFA, FRM

Asia Pac ECM and Index Rebal

Asia Pac IPO & Placement Research, China Biotech

DZT Research

DZT Research is an independent Asia Pacific equity specialist. Our quantitative research covers index rebalancing flows, alongside exchange data analytics accross Asia Pacific. On the equity capital markets side, we focus on Asia Pacific ECM, especially biotech and TMT. Our lead analyst is frequently cited by international media.

Quantitative Analysis

<ul>
<li>We analyzed the latest HK SFC report for aggregate short position as of Mar 1st.</li>
<li>Top short increases and decreases were tabulated for one week and four week period. </li>
<li>We highlight short changes in Meituan, Shk Ppt, Baba, Bud Apac, New World Dev.</li>
</ul>


We analyzed the latest HK SFC report for aggregate short position as of Mar 1st.
Top short increases and decreases were tabulated for one week and four week period. 
We highlight short changes in Meituan, Shk Ppt, Baba, Bud Apac, New World Dev.


HK Short Interest Weekly: Meituan, Shk Ppt, Baba, Bud Apac, New World Dev

External broker reports(aggregated public sources), CMB International

CMB International

External broker reports(aggregated public sources)

Incorporated in Hong Kong, supported by the mainland and targeting in global market, CMB International Capital Corporation Limited (“CMBI”) is an integrated financial institution providing comprehensive and professional services. As a wholly-owned subsidiary of China Merchants Bank ("CMB"), by leveraging on the Group’s synergy and coordination in domestic and overseas markets, as well as CMB’s strong resources and outstanding social reputation, CMBI and its subsidiaries have been actively implementing diversified business strategies and set up an overall layout of main business segments including Corporate Finance, Asset Management, Wealth Management, Global Markets and Structured Finance, etc. Adhering to the philosophy of “being clients oriented and increasing our own values by the way of creating value for clients”, CMBI endeavors to provide quality and integrated financial services to institutional, corporate and individual customers both domestic and overseas including Hong Kong IPO sponsorship and underwriting, share placement and rights issue for listed companies, financial advisors, bonds issuance services, asset management, direct investment, wealth management, equity sales and trading, etc.

Equity Bottom-Up

Budweiser Brewing Company APAC / Equity Bottom-Up

<ul><li>Stripping off mainly the US$66mn tax provision, Bud APAC 4Q results came in c.3%/6% below us/consensus.</li><li>Operations in South Korea (esp. home channel) looked increasingly challenging upon the return of Japanese brands, with volume consecutively edging down by MSD% since 3Q23 (1H23: +LSD%).</li><li>In our view, the headwind could mean hiccups to further price optimisation initiatives, and any upcoming EBITDA margin expansion would predominantly rely on cost reduction (beyond mix change).</li></ul><p><em>Content is external broker report sourced from online content aggregator through publicly available sources and is displayed below for general informational purposes only. Refer full disclaimer below.</em></p>

Stripping off mainly the US$66mn tax provision, Bud APAC 4Q results came in c.3%/6% below us/consensus.Operations in South Korea (esp. home channel) looked increasingly challenging upon the return of Japanese brands, with volume consecutively edging down by MSD% since 3Q23 (1H23: +LSD%).In our view, the headwind could mean hiccups to further price optimisation initiatives, and any upcoming EBITDA margin expansion would predominantly rely on cost reduction (beyond mix change).Content is external broker report sourced from online content aggregator through publicly available sources and is displayed below for general informational purposes only. Refer full disclaimer below.

Budweiser APAC (1876 HK) - 4Q23 a Slight Miss; S. Korea Undershoot

<ul>
<li>
<a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/mixue-group" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="entities:40623:1" rel="noopener">Mixue Group</a>  is looking to raise about US$1bn in its Hong Kong IPO, while <a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/sichuan-baicha-baidao-industrial" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="entities:40029:1" rel="noopener">Sichuan Baicha</a> (ChaPanda) and <a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/guming-holdings-limited" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="entities:40622:1" rel="noopener">Guming Holdings</a> (Good me) are said to be looking to raise US$300m each.</li>
<li>All three are primarily focussed on providing freshly-made drinks, including freshly-made fruit drinks, and tea, with some selling ice cream, coffee, baked goods and ready to drink beverages as well.</li>
<li>In this note, we will undertake a peer comparison, including the Hong Kong listed peer, <a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/nayuki-holdings" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="entities:32149:1" rel="noopener">Nayuki Holdings (2150 HK)</a>.</li>
</ul>



Mixue Group  is looking to raise about US$1bn in its Hong Kong IPO, while Sichuan Baicha (ChaPanda) and Guming Holdings (Good me) are said to be looking to raise US$300m each.
All three are primarily focussed on providing freshly-made drinks, including freshly-made fruit drinks, and tea, with some selling ice cream, coffee, baked goods and ready to drink beverages as well.
In this note, we will undertake a peer comparison, including the Hong Kong listed peer, Nayuki Holdings (2150 HK).


MIXUE/ChaPanda/Good Me Pre-IPO - Peer Comparison

Pan-Asia Index Rebalances/ Events/ Delta One, Periscope Analytics

Brian Freitas

Pan-Asia Index Rebalances/ Events/ Delta One

Periscope Analytics

Periscope Analytics focuses on event-driven trades across Asia Pacific and provides comprehensive, timely and systematic coverage of index changes to major Asia Pacific indices in a structured manner.

The analysis includes forecasted inclusions and exclusions to all major Asian indices that have significant amount of tracking assets, including estimates of passive buy/sell flow on the stocks. The service also provides commentary and impact of market consultations, ground rule changes, and other events (IPOs, spin-offs, M&A) that could lead to index changes and passive flow.

Periscope Analytics works with multi-strategy hedge funds, proprietary trading firms, stat arb trading groups and long-only investors that invest and trade in the Asia Pacific region with the data being used to trade index rebalances, avoid pre-positioning and passive flow, and to time entry into and exit from stocks.

Event-Driven Trades Across Asia Pacific

Event-Driven

<ul>
<li>
<a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/thai-beverage-pcl" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="entities:3656:1" rel="noopener">Thai Beverage (THBEV SP)</a> has trended lower over the last couple of years and the stock is trading very close to its lows.</li>
<li>There has been a contraction in multiples and <a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/thai-beverage-pcl" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="entities:3656:1" rel="noopener">Thai Beverage (THBEV SP)</a> trades cheaper than a lot of its Asia listed peers.</li>
<li>A potential index inclusion could bring in significant passive inflows and result in a rerating of the stock.</li>
</ul>



Thai Beverage (THBEV SP) has trended lower over the last couple of years and the stock is trading very close to its lows.
There has been a contraction in multiples and Thai Beverage (THBEV SP) trades cheaper than a lot of its Asia listed peers.
A potential index inclusion could bring in significant passive inflows and result in a rerating of the stock.


Thai Beverage (THBEV SP): Cheaper than Peers with an Upcoming Catalyst

Hong Kong

Budweiser Brewing Company APAC is a leading beverage company that produces, imports, markets, distributes, and sells beer and other non-beer beverages across Asia-Pacific. It offers a portfolio of over 50 beer brands, including Budweiser, Stella Artois, Corona, Harbin, Hoegaarden, and Cass. The company is headquartered in Hong Kong and was founded in 1876.

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Budweiser Brewing Company APAC (1876 HK)

Belle Fashion Pre-IPO - Refiling Updates

Belle Fashion (BF) aims to raise up to US$1bn in its Hong Kong listing. The company recently refiled its application proof after a gap of two years.

Sumeet Singh

HK Short Interest Weekly: Meituan, Shk Ppt, Baba, Bud Apac, New World Dev

We analyzed the latest HK SFC report for aggregate short position as of Mar 1st and highlight short interest changes in Meituan, Shk Ppt, Baba, Bud...

Ke Yan, CFA, FRM

Budweiser APAC (1876 HK) - 4Q23 a Slight Miss; S. Korea Undershoot

Operations in South Korea (esp. home channel) looked increasingly challenging upon the return of Japanese brands, with volume consecutively edging...

CMB International

MIXUE/ChaPanda/Good Me Pre-IPO - Peer Comparison

Mixue is looking to raise about US$1bn in its Hong Kong IPO, while ChaPanda and Good me)are said to be looking to raise US$300m each. In this note,...

Sumeet Singh

Thai Beverage (THBEV SP): Cheaper than Peers with an Upcoming Catalyst

Thai Bev has outperformed Bud APAC and CR Beer over the last 5 months. There could be an index inclusion in the next month and that could help the...

Brian Freitas

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