ASEAN Insight Provider, CrossASEAN Research

Angus Mackintosh

ASEAN Insight Provider

CrossASEAN Research

At CrossASEAN Research we strive to produce unbiased and differentiated on the ground insights on companies across South East Asia. Our Research is produced for the most part after face to face meetings and conversations with company management to dig deep into the long term vision and strategy of the companies we cover. We seek to deliver investable and actionable themes on sectors and markets across SE Asia, often in collaboration with other Insight Providers across the region, pooling the vast experience of the analysts within the Smartkarma Ecosystem. We also offer bespoke work and tailor made trips for our clients. 

Insights across South East Asia

Equity Bottom-Up

Global Digital Niaga Tbk PT / Equity Bottom-Up

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<li>
<a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/global-digital-niaga-tbk-pt" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="entities:34881:1" rel="noopener">Global Digital Niaga (BliBli) </a>continues to stand out from peers given a differentiated omnichannel model plus a greater portion of 1P but 3P sales are growing driven by Tiket.com.</li>
<li>TPV growth surpassed revenue growth in 1H2023 driven by Tiket.com but take rates and gross margins improved, as the company cut back on promotional spending and improved cost efficiencies. </li>
<li>BliBli booked organic growth with more users and a significant pick-up in the average order value, partially driven by Tiket.com. </li>
</ul>



Global Digital Niaga (BliBli) continues to stand out from peers given a differentiated omnichannel model plus a greater portion of 1P but 3P sales are growing driven by Tiket.com.
TPV growth surpassed revenue growth in 1H2023 driven by Tiket.com but take rates and gross margins improved, as the company cut back on promotional spending and improved cost efficiencies. 
BliBli booked organic growth with more users and a significant pick-up in the average order value, partially driven by Tiket.com. 


Global Digital Niaga (BELI IJ) - BliBli Ploughing a More Profitable Furrow

External broker reports(aggregated public sources), BRI Danareksa Research

BRI Danareksa Research

External broker reports(aggregated public sources)

As a one-stop financial solution with the vision to be the most valuable securities house, BRI Danareksa Sekuritas (BRIDS) has maintained an excellent track record and extensive experience in the capital market as an underwriter, broker, and financial advisor for individual, institutional, foreign and domestic, private and government clients. Established in 1992, PT Danareksa Sekuritas is a securities company that performs activities as a securities broker, underwriter, or arranger and financial advisor.

Macroeconomics

<ul><li>The main takeaways from the most recent Fed Beige Book suggest moderating economic growth in recent months, implying a Fed pause.</li><li>While the US headline Aug CPI is expected to increase, core inflation is expected to maintain its trend of subdued readings.</li><li>This more stable narrative regarding monetary policy has the potential to alleviate the recent market volatility which led to a weaker IDR on a stronger DXY, rising government bond yields, and the continuation of outflows from the equity market.</li></ul>Content is external broker report sourced from online content aggregator through publicly available sources and is displayed below for general informational purposes only. Refer full disclaimer below.

The main takeaways from the most recent Fed Beige Book suggest moderating economic growth in recent months, implying a Fed pause.While the US headline Aug CPI is expected to increase, core inflation is expected to maintain its trend of subdued readings.This more stable narrative regarding monetary policy has the potential to alleviate the recent market volatility which led to a weaker IDR on a stronger DXY, rising government bond yields, and the continuation of outflows from the equity market.Content is external broker report sourced from online content aggregator through publicly available sources and is displayed below for general informational purposes only. Refer full disclaimer below.

Macro Strategy & Flows Trackers: More Signals

IPOs and Catalysts/Events, Global Equity Research Ltd

Arun George

IPOs and Catalysts/Events

Uncompromised, Independent, Conflict-Free Research

Global Equity Research Ltd

Global Equity Research was started in 2017 by a group of experienced research professionals. It was founded on a passionate belief in the importance and the need for uncompromised, independent, conflict-free research. We aim to provide differentiated and actionable primary and bottom up fundamental research.

Equity Capital Markets

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<li>
<a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/aquila-acquisition-corporation" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="entities:35435:1" rel="noopener">Aquila Acquisition Corporation (7836 HK)</a> agreed to a De-SPAC transaction with ZG Group (formerly Zhaogang.com), the world’s largest digital platform for third-party steel transactions.</li>
<li>ZG has a questionable business model, struggling to generate profits or underlying FCF. This dynamic suggests that ZG has not established a sustainable competitive advantage. </li>
<li>The negotiated value of ZG in the De-SPAC transaction is HK$10,004 million (US$1,277 million). Our valuation analysis suggests that this negotiated value is unrealistic.</li>
</ul>



Aquila Acquisition Corporation (7836 HK) agreed to a De-SPAC transaction with ZG Group (formerly Zhaogang.com), the world’s largest digital platform for third-party steel transactions.
ZG has a questionable business model, struggling to generate profits or underlying FCF. This dynamic suggests that ZG has not established a sustainable competitive advantage. 
The negotiated value of ZG in the De-SPAC transaction is HK$10,004 million (US$1,277 million). Our valuation analysis suggests that this negotiated value is unrealistic.


Aquila Acquisition Corp (7836 HK): ZG Group’s Punchy Valuation

Thematic (Sector/Industry)

<ul><li>Yield volatility and heightened China risk factor has led to recent market volatility resulting in outflow from both Equity and Fixed Income.</li><li>The recession narrative appears abating as seen in more steepening yield curve as the 10 years UST yield rise.</li><li>BI continue to intervene the market to manage IDR stability. </li></ul>Content is external broker report sourced from online content aggregator through publicly available sources and is displayed below for general informational purposes only. Refer full disclaimer below.

Yield volatility and heightened China risk factor has led to recent market volatility resulting in outflow from both Equity and Fixed Income.The recession narrative appears abating as seen in more steepening yield curve as the 10 years UST yield rise.BI continue to intervene the market to manage IDR stability. Content is external broker report sourced from online content aggregator through publicly available sources and is displayed below for general informational purposes only. Refer full disclaimer below.

Macro and Flows Tracker - Rising External Risks

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<li>
<a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/sea-ltd" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="entities:8509:1" rel="noopener">Sea (SE US)</a> 2Q2023 results reflected some underlying slowdown but beneath the surface, the company's core marketplace business saw accelerated growth, as it stepped up investment, and margins improved concurrently. </li>
<li>The company invested in live streaming, bringing on 1m influencers in 2Q2023, likely stemming the impact of TikTok. The gaming business showed meaningful signs of recovery QoQ in 2Q2023.</li>
<li>
<a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/sea-ltd" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="entities:8509:1" rel="noopener">Sea (SE US)</a> grew its cash reserves in 2Q2023 to US$7.7bn signifying the success of its business model. The short-term sell-off looks overdone possibly triggered by talk of quarterly losses.</li>
</ul>



Sea (SE US) 2Q2023 results reflected some underlying slowdown but beneath the surface, the company's core marketplace business saw accelerated growth, as it stepped up investment, and margins improved concurrently. 
The company invested in live streaming, bringing on 1m influencers in 2Q2023, likely stemming the impact of TikTok. The gaming business showed meaningful signs of recovery QoQ in 2Q2023.

Sea (SE US) grew its cash reserves in 2Q2023 to US$7.7bn signifying the success of its business model. The short-term sell-off looks overdone possibly triggered by talk of quarterly losses.


Sea (SE US) - Turning Up the Investment Dial

Indonesia

Bukalapak.com PT Tbk provides e-discretionary services. The Company offers range of electronics, food, shoes, apparel, watches, bags, cosmetics products, and other accessories. Bukalapak.com serves customers in Indonesia.

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Bukalapak.com PT Tbk (BUKA IJ)

Global Digital Niaga (BELI IJ) - BliBli Ploughing a More Profitable Furrow

Global Digital Niaga (BliBli) continues to standout from peers given a differentiated omnichannel model plus a greater portion of 1P but 3P sales...

Angus Mackintosh

Macro Strategy & Flows Trackers: More Signals

The main takeaways from the most recent Fed Beige Book suggest moderating economic growth in recent months, implying a Fed pause.

BRI Danareksa Research

Aquila Acquisition Corp (7836 HK): ZG Group’s Punchy Valuation

ZG has a questionable business model, struggling to generate profits or underlying FCF. Our valuation analysis suggests that ZG's negotiated value...

Arun George

Macro and Flows Tracker - Rising External Risks

Yield volatility and heightened China risk factor has led to recent market volatility resulting in outflow from both Equity and Fixed Income.

BRI Danareksa Research

Sea (SE US) - Turning Up the Investment Dial

Sea Ltd 2Q2023 reflected an underlying slowdown but beneath the surface, the company's core marketplace business saw accelerated growth, as it...

Angus Mackintosh

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