US-EU Index Rebalances / Quantitative Researcher

Dimitris Ioannidis

Global Financial Data and Analytics Platform

ORTEX

ORTEX is a global financial data and analytics platform providing real-time securities lending and short interest data, index rebalance data, holdings and insider transactions, trading signals, corporate actions and news,  stock machine learning and factor scores and other analytics. The majority of the data are downloadable and accessible through APIs.

Index Rebalance

Alliance Laundry Holdings / Index Rebalance

<ul>
<li>All eligible US IPOs that went public from 1 August to 31 October will get added to a major US index in December 2025.</li>
<li>The largest forecasted IPO additions in terms of market cap are <a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/bullish-us-llc" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="entities:45521:1" rel="noopener">Bullish US (BLSH US)</a>, <a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/ft-intermediate-inc" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="entities:45672:1" rel="noopener">FT Intermediate (FIGR US)</a> and <a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/fermi-llc" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="entities:45788:1" rel="noopener">Fermi (FRMI US)</a>.</li>
<li>The largest forecasted IPO additions in terms of passive fund impact include <a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/legence-corp" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="entities:45669:1" rel="noopener">Legence (LGN US)</a>, <a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/via-transportation-inc" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="entities:45670:1" rel="noopener">Via Transportation (VIA US)</a> and <a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/avidia-bancorp-inc" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="entities:46007:1" rel="noopener">Avidia Bancorp (AVBC US)</a>.</li>
</ul>


All eligible US IPOs that went public from 1 August to 31 October will get added to a major US index in December 2025.
The largest forecasted IPO additions in terms of market cap are Bullish US (BLSH US), FT Intermediate (FIGR US) and Fermi (FRMI US).
The largest forecasted IPO additions in terms of passive fund impact include Legence (LGN US), Via Transportation (VIA US) and Avidia Bancorp (AVBC US).


US: 19 IPOs Forecasted for Index Addition in December 2025

US IPOs and Secondary Offerings, IPO Boutique

IPO Boutique

US IPOs and Secondary Offerings

For more than 20 years, we have been providing research, analysis, commentary and ratings on US Equity Capital Markets to institutional investors (US IPOs and Secondary Offerings). Our vast network of contacts across the Equity Capital Markets and attention-to-detail sets us apart from our competitors.

Since 2012, we have achieved a successful hit rating on 89% of Buy-rated IPOs. The collective “Buy” ratings averaged a first trade of 16.3% above issue.Our Neutral Rated Deals averaged just 2% above the issue price at first trade.

Our written research includes pre-IPO notes before the deal is launched, follow-up analysis once the deal is live and post-listing trading analysis as well.

In addition, we provide a high-touch premium desk access which includes analyst access, as well as real time insights on US IPOs as well as secondary offerings.

IPOs and Secondary Offerings

Equity Capital Markets

<ul>
<li>Bullish US (BLSH US) priced its upsized IPO of 30.0 million shares at $37.00, which was $4 above the already upwardly revised $32–$33 range.</li>
<li>The stock opened at $90.00, marking a +143.2% gain at first trade, and cementing one of the largest opening day premiums for a U.S. IPO this year.</li>
<li>The debut pop places Bullish among the standout IPOs of 2025, but the question will be whether the stock can maintain momentum in the aftermarket.</li>
</ul>


Bullish US (BLSH US) priced its upsized IPO of 30.0 million shares at $37.00, which was $4 above the already upwardly revised $32–$33 range.
The stock opened at $90.00, marking a +143.2% gain at first trade, and cementing one of the largest opening day premiums for a U.S. IPO this year.
The debut pop places Bullish among the standout IPOs of 2025, but the question will be whether the stock can maintain momentum in the aftermarket.


Bullish US LLC (BLSH): Digital Asset Platform Delivers One of the Year’s Biggest First-Day Pops

Get Ahead with IPO Insights, IPO Prophet

IPO Prophet

Get Ahead with IPO Insights

At IPO Prophet®, our team leverages over three decades of expertise to deliver actionable quantitative analytics for the IPO market in real-time. This platform synthesizes our extensive experience investing in IPOs, providing investors with revolutionary tools to navigate the complexities of issuance day. Our mission is to empower investors with data-driven insights to make more informed decisions.

<ul><li>IPOs are events, not equities at time zero. A deep dive into what 2025 IPO trading revealed—and how to think about structure and risk in 2026.</li><li>In early 2026, we hosted our first IPO Prophet webcast — a moment that, candidly, felt long overdue.</li><li>For years, IPO Prophet has existed largely behind the scenes: quietly built, iterated on, and pressure‑tested in real market conditions.</li></ul>

IPOs are events, not equities at time zero. A deep dive into what 2025 IPO trading revealed—and how to think about structure and risk in 2026.In early 2026, we hosted our first IPO Prophet webcast — a moment that, candidly, felt long overdue.For years, IPO Prophet has existed largely behind the scenes: quietly built, iterated on, and pressure‑tested in real market conditions.

IPO Prophet 2025 IPO Market Review & 2026 Outlook

Technical Analyst, Vermilion Research

Joe Jasper

Technical Analyst

Technical and Quantitative Research

Vermilion Research

Vermilion’s objective is to deliver timely, actionable, and unique technical research to professional investors through the application of our various technical indicators.

Our research strategists seek to highlight securities which we believe are at major inflection points, based on our various technical and quantitative indicators, and offer asymmetric risk/return profiles. Our unique research methodology, centered on relative strength, enables our strategists to deliver superior investment recommendations.

Our process begins by organizing the universe of actively traded stocks into discrete sectors, then into industry groups. We then apply our technical and quantitative tools to identify developing price trends. Once attractive trends are identified within a selected sector or group, we screen for individual stocks which we believe offer the best risk/reward profile. We provide a historical perspective that often reveals, through our long-term charts, how price patterns often repeat themselves over time.

Technical Analysis

Circle Internet Group / Technical Analysis

<ul>
<li>We remain bullish since our 4/22/25 Compass, and we will maintain our bullish outlook as long as market dynamics remain healthy and the S&amp;P 500 (SPX) is above 6028-6059.</li>
<li>For now, we continue to expect support to show up at the 4-month uptrend, which generally coincides with the 20-day MA.</li>
<li>Speculative growth themes (quantum,nuclear, hydrogen, space, robotics, drones, data centers, solar, biotech, WGMI,ARKK,ARKQ,ARKX,ARKW,ARKG, etc.) have been rolling, and we've been recommending them in this section every week for 1+ months.</li>
</ul>


We remain bullish since our 4/22/25 Compass, and we will maintain our bullish outlook as long as market dynamics remain healthy and the S&amp;P 500 (SPX) is above 6028-6059.
For now, we continue to expect support to show up at the 4-month uptrend, which generally coincides with the 20-day MA.
Speculative growth themes (quantum,nuclear, hydrogen, space, robotics, drones, data centers, solar, biotech, WGMI,ARKK,ARKQ,ARKX,ARKW,ARKG, etc.) have been rolling, and we've been recommending them in this section every week for 1+ months.


Downgrading Financials to Underweight; Growth Themes Galore; Health Care Breaking Out

<ul>
<li>
<a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/coreweave-inc" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="entities:44471:1" rel="noopener">CoreWeave (CRWV US)</a> and <a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/chime-financial-inc" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="entities:45194:1" rel="noopener">Chime (CHYM US)</a> are expected inclusions in All-World and SmallCap, respectively, following lock-up expiry which increases public voting rights above 5%.</li>
<li>
<a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/figure-technology-solutions-inc" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="entities:45672:1" rel="noopener">Figure Technology Solutions (FIGR US)</a> and <a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/bullish-us-llc" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="entities:45521:1" rel="noopener">Bullish US (BLSH US)</a> are close to the float cap threshold due to their low IPO floats, therefore their inclusion is uncertain.</li>
<li>
<a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/solstice-advanced-materials" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="entities:45953:1" rel="noopener">Solstice Advanced Materials (SOLS US)</a> is projected to migrate from All-World to SmallCap following its <a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/honeywell-international-inc" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="entities:16765:1" rel="noopener">Honeywell</a> spinoff in October 2025.</li>
</ul>



CoreWeave (CRWV US) and Chime (CHYM US) are expected inclusions in All-World and SmallCap, respectively, following lock-up expiry which increases public voting rights above 5%.

Figure Technology Solutions (FIGR US) and Bullish US (BLSH US) are close to the float cap threshold due to their low IPO floats, therefore their inclusion is uncertain.

Solstice Advanced Materials (SOLS US) is projected to migrate from All-World to SmallCap following its Honeywell spinoff in October 2025.


Global Index IPO Forecasts - Mar26: CoreWeave & Chime Among Candidates

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Bullish US (BLSH US)

US: 19 IPOs Forecasted for Index Addition in December 2025

Eligible US IPOs that debuted Aug-Oct 2025 will be added to major US index in Dec 2025, with BLSH, FIGR and FRMI leading in market cap while LGN,...

Dimitris Ioannidis

Bullish US LLC (BLSH): Digital Asset Platform Delivers One of the Year’s Biggest First-Day Pops

Bullish US IPO soars with +143.2% gain at opening, among top debuts of 2025 with the deal finishing north of 20-times oversubscribed.

IPO Boutique

IPO Prophet 2025 IPO Market Review & 2026 Outlook

In early 2026, we hosted our first IPO Prophet webcast — a moment that, candidly, felt long overdue. For years, IPO Prophet has existed largely...

IPO Prophet

Downgrading Financials to Underweight; Growth Themes Galore; Health Care Breaking Out

Downgrading Financials $XLF to Underweight; Growth Themes Galore: quantum, nuclear, hydrogen, space, robotics, drones, data centers, solar,...

Vermilion Research

Global Index IPO Forecasts - Mar26: CoreWeave & Chime Among Candidates

CoreWeave and Chime are expected to be included in All‑World and SmallCap in March 2026, respectively, following their lock‑up expiries, which...

Dimitris Ioannidis

Price Gauge

52-week Range

Market Cap (USDm)

P/E

Dividend (Yield)

US: 19 IPOs Forecasted for Index Addition in December 2025

​Eligible US IPOs that debuted Aug-Oct 2025 will be added to major US index in Dec 2025, with BLSH, FIGR and FRMI leading in market cap while LGN,...

Dimitris Ioannidis

Bullish US LLC (BLSH): Digital Asset Platform Delivers One of the Year’s Biggest First-Day Pops

​Bullish US IPO soars with +143.2% gain at opening, among top debuts of 2025 with the deal finishing north of 20-times oversubscribed.

IPO Boutique

IPO Prophet 2025 IPO Market Review & 2026 Outlook

In early 2026, we hosted our first IPO Prophet webcast — a moment that, candidly, felt long overdue. For years, IPO Prophet has existed largely...

IPO Prophet

Downgrading Financials to Underweight; Growth Themes Galore; Health Care Breaking Out

Downgrading Financials $XLF to Underweight; Growth Themes Galore: quantum, nuclear, hydrogen, space, robotics, drones, data centers, solar,...

Vermilion Research

Global Index IPO Forecasts - Mar26: CoreWeave & Chime Among Candidates

CoreWeave and Chime are expected to be included in All‑World and SmallCap in March 2026, respectively, following their lock‑up expiries, which...

Dimitris Ioannidis

Eligible US IPOs that debuted Aug-Oct 2025 will be added to major US index in Dec 2025, with BLSH, FIGR and FRMI leading in market cap while LGN,...

Bullish US IPO soars with +143.2% gain at opening, among top debuts of 2025 with the deal finishing north of 20-times oversubscribed.