SGX Market Strategist, Equity & Fixed Income, Singapore Exchange Ltd (SGX)

Geoff Howie

SGX Market Strategist, Equity & Fixed Income

Asia’s leading multi-asset exchange

Singapore Exchange Ltd (SGX)

Singapore Exchange is Asia’s leading and trusted market infrastructure, facilitating the exchange of capital and ideas to create value for people, businesses and economies. As a multi-asset exchange operating equity, fixed income and derivatives markets to the highest regulatory standards, SGX is a vertically integrated business that provides listing, trading, clearing, settlement, depository and data services.

With about 40% of listed companies and over 80% of listed bonds originating outside of Singapore as well as established linkages across the region and in Europe, SGX is Asia’s most international and connected exchange. Offering a full suite of derivatives products across Asian equity indices, commodities and currencies, SGX is the world’s most liquid international market for the benchmark equity indices of China, India, Japan and ASEAN.

As Asia’s pioneering central counterparty, SGX is globally recognised for its risk management and clearing capabilities, and was one of the first globally to adopt the Principles for Financial Market Infrastructure.

Headquartered in AAA-rated Singapore, SGX has over 800 employees including offices in Beijing, Chicago, Hong Kong, London, New York, Mumbai, San Francisco, Shanghai and Tokyo.

Thematic (Sector/Industry)

<ul><li><strong>Singapore’s Energy Sector was the strongest of Singapore’s stock Sectors in October, with a 10.4% market capitalisation weighted total return on oil and coal price swings. This followed on from Energy also being the strongest of the Sectors back in September.</strong></li><li><strong>The 10 largest capitalised stocks of Singapore’s Energy Sector averaged a 12.5% total return in October, consisting of seven advancing stocks and three declining stocks. CAO, the largest capitalised stock of Singapore’s Energy Sector is scheduled to report 3Q16 results Wednesday.</strong></li><li><strong>Two of the 10 largest capitalised Energy stocks, Geo Energy Resources and KrisEnergy also ranked amongst the 10 actively traded stocks that saw the biggest increase in their October traded volume, compared to respective three month average volumes. Geo Energy Resources was the fifth biggest volume leader while KrisEnergy was the sixth biggest volume leader.</strong></li></ul>

Singapore’s Energy Sector was the strongest of Singapore’s stock Sectors in October, with a 10.4% market capitalisation weighted total return on oil and coal price swings. This followed on from Energy also being the strongest of the Sectors back in September.The 10 largest capitalised stocks of Singapore’s Energy Sector averaged a 12.5% total return in October, consisting of seven advancing stocks and three declining stocks. CAO, the largest capitalised stock of Singapore’s Energy Sector is scheduled to report 3Q16 results Wednesday.Two of the 10 largest capitalised Energy stocks, Geo Energy Resources and KrisEnergy also ranked amongst the 10 actively traded stocks that saw the biggest increase in their October traded volume, compared to respective three month average volumes. Geo Energy Resources was the fifth biggest volume leader while KrisEnergy was the sixth biggest volume leader.

Energy the Strongest Sector in October on Oil & Coal Price Swings

<p><strong>SGX lists four Upstream Coal Plays: Geo Energy Resources, Resources Prima Group, BlackGold Natural Resources and Golden Energy &amp; Resources.</strong></p><p><strong>Geo Energy Resources has been the strongest performer among the four upstream plays in the 2016 year to date with a 37.9% gain. On 12 August,  Geo Energy Group reported that for the six months ending 30 June 2016, company revenue was US$33 million compared to US$10 million for the same period a year ago.</strong></p>

SGX lists four Upstream Coal Plays: Geo Energy Resources, Resources Prima Group, BlackGold Natural Resources and Golden Energy &amp; Resources.Geo Energy Resources has been the strongest performer among the four upstream plays in the 2016 year to date with a 37.9% gain. On 12 August,  Geo Energy Group reported that for the six months ending 30 June 2016, company revenue was US$33 million compared to US$10 million for the same period a year ago.

Geo Energy Resources Led Upstream Coal Plays in 2016 YTD

Asia Pac IPO & Placement Research, China biotech, Aequitas Research

Ke Yan, CFA, FRM

Asia Pac IPO & Placement Research, China biotech

Smartkarma

Smartkarma unites the fragmented investment industry, connecting institutional investors, independent research providers, and corporates within a single network.

Research Reinvented

Equity Capital Markets

<p>Yinson Holdings Bhd's shareholder are placing out up to US$80m of his stake. In this insight, we will look at fundamentals of the company and score the deal in our quantitative ECM framework.</p><h2>Placement Specifics</h2><ul>
<li>Company Name: Yinson Holdings BHD</li>
<li>Ticker: YNS MK Equity</li>
<li>Secondary offering - Accelerated Bookbuild</li>
<li>Settlement date:1 Nov, 2016</li>
<li>Indicative deal price -3.00-3.05</li>
<li>Last Traded Price: MYR3.18</li>
<li>Implied placing discount: 4.1-5.7%</li>
<li>Offer Size (m): ~USD90 / MYR375</li>
<li>ADV (m): ~USD.42 / MYR1.76</li>
<li>This is a large…</li>
</ul>

Yinson Holdings Bhd's shareholder are placing out up to US$80m of his stake. In this insight, we will look at fundamentals of the company and score the deal in our quantitative ECM framework.Placement Specifics
Company Name: Yinson Holdings BHD
Ticker: YNS MK Equity
Secondary offering - Accelerated Bookbuild
Settlement date:1 Nov, 2016
Indicative deal price -3.00-3.05
Last Traded Price: MYR3.18
Implied placing discount: 4.1-5.7%
Offer Size (m): ~USD90 / MYR375
ADV (m): ~USD.42 / MYR1.76
This is a large…


Yinson Placement: Earning Visibility Is the Key

Co-founder & Managing Director, Marketnomix 

Rajan Govil

Co-founder & Managing Director

Marketnomix 

Macroeconomics

<p>Industrial production in Malaysia grew 2.7% y-o-y in May 2016 compared to 3.0% y-o-y in April. The slowdown seen in the latest data release comes on the back of relatively stable industrial production growth seen in the January-April period. The main contribution to industrial production came from electricity production and manufacturing, while mining continued to exhibit weakness.</p><p>Electricity production grew 8.9% y-o-y in May on a 3-month moving average basis compared to 9.1% y-o-y in April…</p>

Industrial production in Malaysia grew 2.7% y-o-y in May 2016 compared to 3.0% y-o-y in April. The slowdown seen in the latest data release comes on the back of relatively stable industrial production growth seen in the January-April period. The main contribution to industrial production came from electricity production and manufacturing, while mining continued to exhibit weakness.Electricity production grew 8.9% y-o-y in May on a 3-month moving average basis compared to 9.1% y-o-y in April…

Malaysia: Bank Negara Malaysia Cuts Rates by 25 Basis Points; Data Reflects Slowing Domestic Demand

Global Head of Research, Smartkarma

Mark Artherton

Global Head of Research

Ecstrat

Ecstrat is a consultancy advising on asset allocation between global equity markets, with a focus on the intersection of governments, geopolitics, governance and markets.
 
Over the past few years and more especially since the Great Financial Crisis (GFC), investors have become more focused on short-term market movements and real-time returns and have consequently neglected the analysis of the underlying structural themes that underpin longer term performance.
​
More specifically we believe that the evolution of governance-based relationships between investors, controlling shareholders, labour and the state is one of the primary determinants of both relative and absolute performance between individual equity markets.
 
We will endeavour to provide investors with some of the context surrounding governance-related issues which encompass many different disciplines including history, economics and political science, as well as the financial metrics which are the most obvious manifestation of the structural characteristics of each market.
 
We will pay particular attention to the shifts and potential inflection points for governance in individual markets as these are often the best lead indicators for both economic and market performance.

<h2><strong>Summary points</strong></h2><ul>
<li><div class="content-highlight"><strong>1986 remians the best comparable for oil prices now in our opinion.</strong></div></li>
<li><div class="content-highlight"><strong>Adjusting the oil price for the action of the dollar improves the analysis.  The dollar and oil/commodities are different and should be treated as such.</strong></div></li>
<li><div class="content-highlight"><strong>Fundamental factors of supply and demand provide a mixed picture for oil.  The 'energy feedback loop' is often overlooked.</strong></div></li>
<li><div class="content-highlight"><strong>The best the <em>market</em> can do is assume that today's real oil price will be the oil price in 12 months time.</strong></div></li>
<li><div class="content-highlight">
<strong>Financialisation of commodities is a big</strong>…</div></li>
</ul>

Summary points
1986 remians the best comparable for oil prices now in our opinion.
Adjusting the oil price for the action of the dollar improves the analysis.  The dollar and oil/commodities are different and should be treated as such.
Fundamental factors of supply and demand provide a mixed picture for oil.  The 'energy feedback loop' is often overlooked.
The best the market can do is assume that today's real oil price will be the oil price in 12 months time.

Financialisation of commodities is a big…


Malaysia

Bumi Armada Bhd is an international offshore services provider to the oil and gas industry in Malaysia and other countries in Asia.  The Company owns and operates offshore support vessels to provide support for exploration, development and production activities in the offshore O&G industry.

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Bumi Armada (BAB MK)

Energy the Strongest Sector in October on Oil & Coal Price Swings

Singapore’s Energy Sector was the strongest of Singapore’s stock Sectors in October, with a 10.4% market capitalisation weighted total return on...

Singapore Exchange Ltd (SGX)

Geo Energy Resources Led Upstream Coal Plays in 2016 YTD

SGX lists four Upstream Coal Plays: Geo Energy Resources, Resources Prima Group, BlackGold Natural Resources and Golden Energy & Resources.Geo...

Singapore Exchange Ltd (SGX)

Yinson Placement: Earning Visibility Is the Key

Yinson Holdings Bhd's shareholder are placing out up to US$80m of his stake. In this insight, we will look at fundamentals of the company and score...

Ke Yan, CFA, FRM

Malaysia: Bank Negara Malaysia Cuts Rates by 25 Basis Points; Data Reflects Slowing Domestic Demand

Industrial production in Malaysia grew 2.7% y-o-y in May 2016 compared to 3.0% y-o-y in April. The slowdown seen in the latest data release comes...

Rajan Govil

Oil After 50%: Where Now for Stocks?

Summary points 1986 remians the best comparable for oil prices now in our opinion. Adjusting the oil price for the action of the dollar improves...

Mark Artherton

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52-week Range

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