SGX Market Strategist, Equity & Fixed Income, Singapore Exchange Ltd (SGX)

Geoff Howie

SGX Market Strategist, Equity & Fixed Income

Asia’s leading multi-asset exchange

Singapore Exchange Ltd (SGX)

Singapore Exchange is Asia’s leading and trusted market infrastructure, facilitating the exchange of capital and ideas to create value for people, businesses and economies. As a multi-asset exchange operating equity, fixed income and derivatives markets to the highest regulatory standards, SGX is a vertically integrated business that provides listing, trading, clearing, settlement, depository and data services.

With about 40% of listed companies and over 80% of listed bonds originating outside of Singapore as well as established linkages across the region and in Europe, SGX is Asia’s most international and connected exchange. Offering a full suite of derivatives products across Asian equity indices, commodities and currencies, SGX is the world’s most liquid international market for the benchmark equity indices of China, India, Japan and ASEAN.

As Asia’s pioneering central counterparty, SGX is globally recognised for its risk management and clearing capabilities, and was one of the first globally to adopt the Principles for Financial Market Infrastructure.

Headquartered in AAA-rated Singapore, SGX has over 800 employees including offices in Beijing, Chicago, Hong Kong, London, New York, Mumbai, San Francisco, Shanghai and Tokyo.

Thematic (Sector/Industry)

<ul>
<li>Industry Associations see ongoing transformation of Singapore’s F&amp;B industry as manufacturers look towards innovation, growth, and internationalisation.</li>
<li>The 10 biggest Packaged Foods &amp; Meats stocks in Singapore have averaged a 12.6% total return in the year thus far. This compared to 10.1% for Asia Pacific’s biggest Packaged Foods &amp; Meats stocks and 8.9% for the world’s biggest Packaged Foods &amp; Meats stocks.</li>
<li>
<a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/19714" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="entities:19714:1">Delfi Ltd (DELFI SP)</a>, <a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/15597" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="entities:15597:1">Japfa Ltd (JAP SP)</a>, <a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/20972" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="entities:20972:1">Super Group Ltd (SUPER SP)</a>, <a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/9051" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="entities:9051:1">Yeo Hiap Seng Ltd</a>…</li>
</ul>


Industry Associations see ongoing transformation of Singapore’s F&amp;B industry as manufacturers look towards innovation, growth, and internationalisation.
The 10 biggest Packaged Foods &amp; Meats stocks in Singapore have averaged a 12.6% total return in the year thus far. This compared to 10.1% for Asia Pacific’s biggest Packaged Foods &amp; Meats stocks and 8.9% for the world’s biggest Packaged Foods &amp; Meats stocks.

Delfi Ltd (DELFI SP), Japfa Ltd (JAP SP), Super Group Ltd (SUPER SP), Yeo Hiap Seng Ltd…


Key Drivers of the Packaged Food Industry

Insight Provider, CrossASEAN Research

Nicolas Van Broekhoven

Insight Provider

CrossASEAN Research

At CrossASEAN Research we strive to produce unbiased and differentiated on the ground insights on companies across South East Asia. Our Research is produced for the most part after face to face meetings and conversations with company management to dig deep into the long term vision and strategy of the companies we cover. We seek to deliver investable and actionable themes on sectors and markets across SE Asia, often in collaboration with other Insight Providers across the region, pooling the vast experience of the analysts within the Smartkarma Ecosystem. We also offer bespoke work and tailor made trips for our clients. 

Insights across South East Asia

Equity Bottom-Up

<ul>
<li>
<a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/bumitama-agri-ltd" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="entities:7757:1" rel="noopener">Bumitama Agri (BAL SP)</a> is a pure-play CPO play on SGX which like the rest of its peers has lagged the price of CPO by a mile.</li>
<li>What could be the catalyst to change this? We preview FY21 results which will be announced on 28th February and its dividend outlook going into FY22.</li>
<li>BAL should take a page from the <a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/geo-energy-resources-ltd" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="entities:8717:1" rel="noopener">Geo Energy Resources (GERL SP)</a> playbook and start to pay out aggressive bi-annual dividends to get Mr. Market's attention.</li>
</ul>



Bumitama Agri (BAL SP) is a pure-play CPO play on SGX which like the rest of its peers has lagged the price of CPO by a mile.
What could be the catalyst to change this? We preview FY21 results which will be announced on 28th February and its dividend outlook going into FY22.
BAL should take a page from the Geo Energy Resources (GERL SP) playbook and start to pay out aggressive bi-annual dividends to get Mr. Market's attention.


Bumitama Agri: Lagging CPO Price Action; Large Special Dividend Possible at FY21 Results Briefing

Pan-Asia Catalysts/Events, Quiddity Advisors

David Blennerhassett

Pan-Asia Catalysts/Events

Quiddity Advisors

<ul>
<li>Palm oil prices are up 177% since May 2020 and 66% since June of last year. Palm oil touched a record high of RM5,700/mt the 31 January.</li>
<li>Yet while palm oil has enjoyed a meteoric price rise, the performance of listed palm oil plays has bifurcated.  </li>
<li>Valuations appear largely constrained by environmental, social, and governance concerns, resulting in plantation stocks trading below their historical averages.</li>
</ul>


Palm oil prices are up 177% since May 2020 and 66% since June of last year. Palm oil touched a record high of RM5,700/mt the 31 January.
Yet while palm oil has enjoyed a meteoric price rise, the performance of listed palm oil plays has bifurcated.  
Valuations appear largely constrained by environmental, social, and governance concerns, resulting in plantation stocks trading below their historical averages.


CPO Plays Lag Palm Oil Prices As ESG Issues Weigh

IPOs and Catalysts/Events, Global Equity Research Ltd

Arun George

IPOs and Catalysts/Events

Uncompromised, Independent, Conflict-Free Research

Global Equity Research Ltd

Global Equity Research was started in 2017 by a group of experienced research professionals. It was founded on a passionate belief in the importance and the need for uncompromised, independent, conflict-free research. We aim to provide differentiated and actionable primary and bottom up fundamental research.

Event-Driven

<a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/kuala-lumpur-kepong-bhd" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="entities:17039:1" rel="noopener">Kuala Lumpur Kepong (KLK MK)</a> made an offer to acquire <a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/ijm-corp-bhd" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="entities:16784:1" rel="noopener">Ijm Corp Bhd (IJM MK)</a>/IJMC’s entire stake in <a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/ijm-plantations-bhd" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="entities:12967:1" rel="noopener">Ijm Plantations (IJMP MK)</a>/IJMP for RM3.10 per share in cash, subject to potential dividend adjustments. The offer price is a 26% premium to the unaffected price of RM2.46 per share (prior to the trading halt on 8 June).IJMC is IJMP’s largest shareholder and owns 494.9 million shares, representing 56.2% of outstanding shares. The proposed acquisition implies a cost of RM1.53 billion ($371.7 million). KLK’s offer is subject to IJMC’s acceptance and execution of the definitive agreement (SPA) on or before 5.00 p.m. on 11 June 2021 or such a mutually extended date, failing which the offer will lapse. IJMC has stated that is agreeable to finalise the terms with KLK to meet the offer deadline. IJMP is listed on the Main Markets of Bursa Malaysia. In Malaysia, the threshold for triggering a mandatory general offer (MGO) is the offeror and concert parties owning 33% or more of the voting shares. If the SPA becomes unconditional, KLK will be required to extend a mandatory general offer to acquire all the remaining IJMP shares for a cash offer price of RM3.10 per share, subject to potential dividend adjustments.  <div class="content-highlight">A key condition precedent for the SPA is approval by both IJMC and KLK shareholders at their respective EGMs. We think that the deal should gain EGM approval as it is attractive to both IJMC and KLK shareholders. Overall, at the last close price, the downside risk is low (trading close to break price) with a good probability of upside (SPA becoming unconditional).  </div>

Kuala Lumpur Kepong (KLK MK) made an offer to acquire Ijm Corp Bhd (IJM MK)/IJMC’s entire stake in Ijm Plantations (IJMP MK)/IJMP for RM3.10 per share in cash, subject to potential dividend adjustments. The offer price is a 26% premium to the unaffected price of RM2.46 per share (prior to the trading halt on 8 June).IJMC is IJMP’s largest shareholder and owns 494.9 million shares, representing 56.2% of outstanding shares. The proposed acquisition implies a cost of RM1.53 billion ($371.7 million). KLK’s offer is subject to IJMC’s acceptance and execution of the definitive agreement (SPA) on or before 5.00 p.m. on 11 June 2021 or such a mutually extended date, failing which the offer will lapse. IJMC has stated that is agreeable to finalise the terms with KLK to meet the offer deadline. IJMP is listed on the Main Markets of Bursa Malaysia. In Malaysia, the threshold for triggering a mandatory general offer (MGO) is the offeror and concert parties owning 33% or more of the voting shares. If the SPA becomes unconditional, KLK will be required to extend a mandatory general offer to acquire all the remaining IJMP shares for a cash offer price of RM3.10 per share, subject to potential dividend adjustments.  A key condition precedent for the SPA is approval by both IJMC and KLK shareholders at their respective EGMs. We think that the deal should gain EGM approval as it is attractive to both IJMC and KLK shareholders. Overall, at the last close price, the downside risk is low (trading close to break price) with a good probability of upside (SPA becoming unconditional).  

IJM Plantations’ Potential MGO from Kuala Lumpur Kepong

Over 25-yrs in Global Materials & Soft Commodities

Charles Spencer

Alpha Factors

Eagle High Plantations / Equity Bottom-Up

INVESTMENT CONCLUSION: We recently met with the IR manager of <a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/eagle-high-plantations-tbk-p" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="entities:4421:1" rel="noopener">Eagle High Plantations Tbk P (BWPT IJ).</a> The company’s message called for a return to profitability in 2H19 driven by higher volumes and improved pricing.  For a stock trading near its 5-year low, this could represent an interesting call-option, however, we see deleveraging taking priority ahead of more shareholder-friendly actions like dividends or growing the business for shareholders.  We label this report as 'Bullish' given that our 12-month price target of Rp.140/sh offers 16% upside.  However, for many investors we expect this risk-adjusted potential return to be too low to tempt them off the sidelines at the moment.

INVESTMENT CONCLUSION: We recently met with the IR manager of Eagle High Plantations Tbk P (BWPT IJ). The company’s message called for a return to profitability in 2H19 driven by higher volumes and improved pricing.  For a stock trading near its 5-year low, this could represent an interesting call-option, however, we see deleveraging taking priority ahead of more shareholder-friendly actions like dividends or growing the business for shareholders.  We label this report as 'Bullish' given that our 12-month price target of Rp.140/sh offers 16% upside.  However, for many investors we expect this risk-adjusted potential return to be too low to tempt them off the sidelines at the moment. 

Eagle High Plantations: ‘A Return to Profits’…but Deleveraging to Be Prioritised

Indonesia

Bumitama Agri is a Singapore-based holding company primarily engaged in oil palm cultivation and the production of crude palm oil (CPO) and palm kernel (PK) in Indonesia. The company manages extensive oil palm plantations and operates multiple mills, selling its products to refineries within the country. Bumitama Agri Ltd. was founded in 1996 and is headquartered in Singapore.

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Bumitama Agri (BAL SP)

Key Drivers of the Packaged Food Industry

Industry Associations see ongoing transformation of Singapore’s F&B industry as manufacturers look towards innovation, growth, and...

Singapore Exchange Ltd (SGX)

Bumitama Agri: Lagging CPO Price Action; Large Special Dividend Possible at FY21 Results Briefing

Bumitama Agri will celebrate its 10 year listing anniversary in 2022. This opens the door for special dividends as high CPO prices and unhedged...

Nicolas Van Broekhoven

CPO Plays Lag Palm Oil Prices As ESG Issues Weigh

KLK's reliance on its downstream operations should help reduce palm product prices. The recent acquisition of IJM also extends the age profile of...

David Blennerhassett

IJM Plantations’ Potential MGO from Kuala Lumpur Kepong

KLK MK made an offer to acquire IJMC’s entire stake in IJMP for RM3.10 per share in cash, subject to potential dividend adjustments. If the SPA...

Arun George

Eagle High Plantations: ‘A Return to Profits’…but Deleveraging to Be Prioritised

INVESTMENT CONCLUSION: We recently met with the IR manager of Eagle High Plantations Tbk P (BWPT IJ). The company’s message called for a return to...

Charles Spencer

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