Equity Research Analyst - Long-Short

Raj S, CA, CFA

Thematic (Sector/Industry)

<ul>
<li>
<a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/geely-automobile-holdings-ltd" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="entities:127:1" rel="noopener">Geely Auto (175 HK)</a> is at a pivotal stage in its transformation, and we expect it to outperform peers in the medium term.</li>
<li>Investors are seeing progress and strategic direction in three critical areas: new EV brands, increasing exports, and sustaining the success of ICE brands.</li>
<li>We are bullish about the EV capabilities of Chinese local OEMs and their ambition to enter global markets assertively. Geely Auto is one of the best plays on this theme.</li>
</ul>



Geely Auto (175 HK) is at a pivotal stage in its transformation, and we expect it to outperform peers in the medium term.
Investors are seeing progress and strategic direction in three critical areas: new EV brands, increasing exports, and sustaining the success of ICE brands.
We are bullish about the EV capabilities of Chinese local OEMs and their ambition to enter global markets assertively. Geely Auto is one of the best plays on this theme.


Geely Auto (175 HK): Initiation: A Key Play on China EV and Global Expansion Theme

Global Emerging Market Equities, Propitious Research

Wium Malan, CFA

Global Emerging Market Equities

Independent, Fundamental Quantitative Research

Propitious Research

Fully independent, fundamental and quantitative equity research, focused on companies in the Telecommunication, Media, Technology, Internet and Healthcare sectors in the Global Emerging Markets. Idea generation focused on Quality stocks, trading below their intrinsic Value, with sound Corporate Governance.

Quantitative Analysis

<ul>
<li>An overview (and output) of our machine learning-driven GEM screening model, which seeks to find the best medium-term long ideas within the top 100 stocks in the MSCI GEM Index.</li>
<li>The model is based on 1) a quantitative multifactor screening model, enhanced by two AI Technology-based approaches; 2) a Deep Neural Network model, and 3) a Recurrent Neural Network model.</li>
<li>Developed over roughly 4 years and implemented in its current state for over 3 years, the model has a solid real-world alpha-generating performance track record, discussed in detail below.</li>
</ul>


An overview (and output) of our machine learning-driven GEM screening model, which seeks to find the best medium-term long ideas within the top 100 stocks in the MSCI GEM Index.
The model is based on 1) a quantitative multifactor screening model, enhanced by two AI Technology-based approaches; 2) a Deep Neural Network model, and 3) a Recurrent Neural Network model.
Developed over roughly 4 years and implemented in its current state for over 3 years, the model has a solid real-world alpha-generating performance track record, discussed in detail below.


Asia Pac IPO & Placement Research, China biotech, Aequitas Research

Ke Yan, CFA, FRM

Asia Pac IPO & Placement Research, China biotech

IPOs and Placements coverage across Asia Pacific

Aequitas Research

We cover all listing across the Asia Pacific along with follow-up placements. As of Dec 2020, our team had covered 539 IPOs with a hit rate of 73.5% and 685 placements with a hit rate of 66.8%.

We combine fundamental bottom-up views with our proprietary quantitative framework to provide a holistic coverage across new listings and placements. Our coverage includes pre-IPO notes before the deal is launched, follow-up analysis once the deal is live and post-listing trading analysis as well.

<ul>
<li>We analyzed the latest HK SFC report for aggregate short position as of Oct 25th.</li>
<li>Top short increases and decreases were tabulated for one week and four week period. </li>
<li>We highlight short changes in Li Auto, Xiaomi, Xinyi Solar, Geely Auto, Trip.Com.</li>
</ul>


We analyzed the latest HK SFC report for aggregate short position as of Oct 25th.
Top short increases and decreases were tabulated for one week and four week period. 
We highlight short changes in Li Auto, Xiaomi, Xinyi Solar, Geely Auto, Trip.Com.


HK Short Interest Weekly: Li Auto, Xiaomi, Xinyi Solar, Geely Auto, Trip.Com

External broker reports(aggregated public sources), CMB International

CMB International

External broker reports(aggregated public sources)

Incorporated in Hong Kong, supported by the mainland and targeting in global market, CMB International Capital Corporation Limited (“CMBI”) is an integrated financial institution providing comprehensive and professional services. As a wholly-owned subsidiary of China Merchants Bank ("CMB"), by leveraging on the Group’s synergy and coordination in domestic and overseas markets, as well as CMB’s strong resources and outstanding social reputation, CMBI and its subsidiaries have been actively implementing diversified business strategies and set up an overall layout of main business segments including Corporate Finance, Asset Management, Wealth Management, Global Markets and Structured Finance, etc. Adhering to the philosophy of “being clients oriented and increasing our own values by the way of creating value for clients”, CMBI endeavors to provide quality and integrated financial services to institutional, corporate and individual customers both domestic and overseas including Hong Kong IPO sponsorship and underwriting, share placement and rights issue for listed companies, financial advisors, bonds issuance services, asset management, direct investment, wealth management, equity sales and trading, etc.

Equity Bottom-Up

<ul><li>Maintain BUY. Although we had expected a QoQ lift in gross margin, BYD’s 3Q24 gross margin still beat our forecast.</li><li>Such beat was offset by higher-thanexpected SG&amp;A and R&amp;D expenses.</li><li>The solid gross margin gives us more confidence in forecasting 4Q24 and FY25 sales volume, as BYD still has the best resources to withstand the prolonged price war.</li></ul><p><em>Content is external broker report sourced from online content aggregator through publicly available sources and is displayed below for general informational purposes only. Refer full disclaimer below.</em></p>

Maintain BUY. Although we had expected a QoQ lift in gross margin, BYD’s 3Q24 gross margin still beat our forecast.Such beat was offset by higher-thanexpected SG&amp;A and R&amp;D expenses.The solid gross margin gives us more confidence in forecasting 4Q24 and FY25 sales volume, as BYD still has the best resources to withstand the prolonged price war.Content is external broker report sourced from online content aggregator through publicly available sources and is displayed below for general informational purposes only. Refer full disclaimer below.

BYD (1211 HK) - 3Q24 GPM Provides Confidence for FY25 Sales

Articles from Caixin Global, Caixin Global

Caixin Global

Articles from Caixin Global

Caixin is a media group dedicated to providing financial and business news through periodicals, online content, mobile apps, conferences, books and TV/video programs. Caixin aims to blaze a trail that helps traditional media prosper in the new media age through integrated multimedia platforms.

News from Caixin

<ul>
<li>The European Commission has given final approval to extra import tariffs on electric vehicles (EV) shipped from China, after an investigation concluded that state subsidies are enabling Chinese automakers to unfairly undercut their European rivals.</li>
<li>In a statement on Tuesday, the commission said that it has fixed the definitive countervailing duties, which will range from a 7.8% levy for Tesla Inc. cars manufactured in China to up to 35.3% for vehicles made by state-owned SAIC Motor Corp.</li>
<li>The tariffs — which only apply to battery EVs, also known as “pure” EVs — will be in place for five years and will be levied in addition to the EU’s existing import duties of 10% for cars.</li>
</ul>


The European Commission has given final approval to extra import tariffs on electric vehicles (EV) shipped from China, after an investigation concluded that state subsidies are enabling Chinese automakers to unfairly undercut their European rivals.
In a statement on Tuesday, the commission said that it has fixed the definitive countervailing duties, which will range from a 7.8% levy for Tesla Inc. cars manufactured in China to up to 35.3% for vehicles made by state-owned SAIC Motor Corp.
The tariffs — which only apply to battery EVs, also known as “pure” EVs — will be in place for five years and will be levied in addition to the EU’s existing import duties of 10% for cars.


EU Tariffs on Chinese EV Imports Get Final Nod 

China

BYD Company Limited, through its subsidiaries, manufactures and sells automobiles. The Company also researches, develops, manufactures and sells batteries, which are applied on mobile phones, cordless phones, power tools and other kinds of portable electronic devices.

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BYD (1211 HK)

Geely Auto (175 HK): Initiation: A Key Play on China EV and Global Expansion Theme

Geely Auto poised to outperform peers with focus on new EV brands, exports, making it a top play in context of our bullish view on Chinese OEMs'...

Raj S, CA, CFA

Screening for GEMs: November 2024

This insight provides an overview of our, machine learning-driven, proprietary GEM screening model, based on a Multifactor model, a Deep Neural...

Wium Malan, CFA

HK Short Interest Weekly: Li Auto, Xiaomi, Xinyi Solar, Geely Auto, Trip.Com

We analyzed the latest HK SFC report for aggregate short position as of Oct 25th and highlight short interest changes in Li Auto, Xiaomi, Xinyi...

Ke Yan, CFA, FRM

BYD (1211 HK) - 3Q24 GPM Provides Confidence for FY25 Sales

Maintain BUY. Although we had expected a QoQ lift in gross margin, BYD’s 3Q24 gross margin still beat our forecast. Such beat was offset by higher...

CMB International

EU Tariffs on Chinese EV Imports Get Final Nod

The European Commission has given final approval to extra import tariffs on electric vehicles (EV) shipped from China, after an investigation...

Caixin Global

Price Gauge

52-week Range

Market Cap (USDm)

P/E

Dividend (Yield)

Geely Auto (175 HK): Initiation: A Key Play on China EV and Global Expansion Theme

​Geely Auto poised to outperform peers with focus on new EV brands, exports, making it a top play in context of our bullish view on Chinese OEMs'...

Raj S, CA, CFA

Screening for GEMs: November 2024

This insight provides an overview of our, machine learning-driven, proprietary GEM screening model, based on a Multifactor model, a Deep Neural...

Wium Malan, CFA

HK Short Interest Weekly: Li Auto, Xiaomi, Xinyi Solar, Geely Auto, Trip.Com

We analyzed the latest HK SFC report for aggregate short position as of Oct 25th and highlight short interest changes in Li Auto, Xiaomi, Xinyi...

Ke Yan, CFA, FRM

BYD (1211 HK) - 3Q24 GPM Provides Confidence for FY25 Sales

Maintain BUY. Although we had expected a QoQ lift in gross margin, BYD’s 3Q24 gross margin still beat our forecast. Such beat was offset by higher...

CMB International

EU Tariffs on Chinese EV Imports Get Final Nod

The European Commission has given final approval to extra import tariffs on electric vehicles (EV) shipped from China, after an investigation...

Caixin Global

Geely Auto poised to outperform peers with focus on new EV brands, exports, making it a top play in context of our bullish view on Chinese OEMs'...