Pan-Asia Index Rebalances/ Events/ Delta One, Periscope Analytics

Brian Freitas

Pan-Asia Index Rebalances/ Events/ Delta One

Periscope Analytics

Periscope Analytics focuses on event-driven trades across Asia Pacific and provides comprehensive, timely and systematic coverage of index changes to major Asia Pacific indices in a structured manner.

The analysis includes forecasted inclusions and exclusions to all major Asian indices that have significant amount of tracking assets, including estimates of passive buy/sell flow on the stocks. The service also provides commentary and impact of market consultations, ground rule changes, and other events (IPOs, spin-offs, M&A) that could lead to index changes and passive flow.

Periscope Analytics works with multi-strategy hedge funds, proprietary trading firms, stat arb trading groups and long-only investors that invest and trade in the Asia Pacific region with the data being used to trade index rebalances, avoid pre-positioning and passive flow, and to time entry into and exit from stocks.

Event-Driven Trades Across Asia Pacific

Index Rebalance

<ul>
<li>The December rebalance of the Hang Seng family of indices will use today's closing prices to cap the index constituent weights.</li>
<li>The net round-trip trade across all stocks across the five indices is estimated at HK$50bn (US$6.4bn). There is size to trade in a lot of stocks.</li>
<li>
<a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/xiaomi-corp" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="entities:24409:1" rel="noopener">Xiaomi (1810 HK)</a> is the biggest buy due to HSIII Index inclusion and capping, while <a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/alibaba-group-holding-ltd-d7b798e2-202d-4e01-9a1e-799e2ae8f0c7" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="entities:28434:1" rel="noopener">Alibaba (9988 HK)</a> is the biggest capping sell.</li>
</ul>


The December rebalance of the Hang Seng family of indices will use today's closing prices to cap the index constituent weights.
The net round-trip trade across all stocks across the five indices is estimated at HK$50bn (US$6.4bn). There is size to trade in a lot of stocks.

Xiaomi (1810 HK) is the biggest buy due to HSIII Index inclusion and capping, while Alibaba (9988 HK) is the biggest capping sell.


HSI, HSCEI, HSTECH, HSIII, HSBIO Index Rebalance: US$6.4bn of Flows Post Capping (Dec 2025)

Overseas Chinese Equities, Aequitas Research

Ming Lu

Overseas Chinese Equities

IPOs and Placements coverage across Asia Pacific

Aequitas Research

We cover all listing across the Asia Pacific along with follow-up placements. As of Dec 2020, our team had covered 539 IPOs with a hit rate of 73.5% and 685 placements with a hit rate of 66.8%.

We combine fundamental bottom-up views with our proprietary quantitative framework to provide a holistic coverage across new listings and placements. Our coverage includes pre-IPO notes before the deal is launched, follow-up analysis once the deal is live and post-listing trading analysis as well.

Equity Bottom-Up

<ul>
<li>BYD’s deliveries grew by 51% YoY in December 2024 and 41% in the year 2024.</li>
<li>The Brazil event will slow down overseas expansion, but overseas deliveries account for only 10% of total vehicles.</li>
<li>We believe the stock has an upside of 39% and a price target of HK$356 for the next twelve months.</li>
</ul>


BYD’s deliveries grew by 51% YoY in December 2024 and 41% in the year 2024.
The Brazil event will slow down overseas expansion, but overseas deliveries account for only 10% of total vehicles.
We believe the stock has an upside of 39% and a price target of HK$356 for the next twelve months.


BYD (1211 HK): Vehicle Deliveries Up by 40% in 2024

Zhejiang Leapmotor Technologie / Index Rebalance

<ul>
<li>There could be 1 change for the <a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/hang-seng-tech-index" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="entities:31367:1" rel="noopener">Hang Seng TECH Index (HSTECH INDEX)</a> in December. Announcement is on 21 November with implementation at the close on 5 December.</li>
<li>Depending on the stocks included in the universe, <a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/asm-pacific-technology-ltd" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="entities:15061:1" rel="noopener">ASM Pacific Technology (522 HK)</a> could be deleted and that could lead to <a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/zhejiang-leapmotor-technologie" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="entities:35968:1" rel="noopener">Zhejiang Leapmotor Technologie (9863 HK)</a>'s inclusion. </li>
<li>If the add and deletes are as forecast, one-way turnover will be 4.25% and will result in a round-trip trade of HK$25.3bn (US$3.22bn).</li>
</ul>


There could be 1 change for the Hang Seng TECH Index (HSTECH INDEX) in December. Announcement is on 21 November with implementation at the close on 5 December.
Depending on the stocks included in the universe, ASM Pacific Technology (522 HK) could be deleted and that could lead to Zhejiang Leapmotor Technologie (9863 HK)'s inclusion. 
If the add and deletes are as forecast, one-way turnover will be 4.25% and will result in a round-trip trade of HK$25.3bn (US$3.22bn).


HSTECH Index Rebalance Preview: Can Leapmotor Leap into the Index?

Pan-Asia Catalysts/Events, Quiddity Advisors

Travis Lundy

Pan-Asia Catalysts/Events

Quiddity Advisors

Event-Driven

<ul>
<li>Mainland share market volumes continue to be better than HK and SOUTHBOUND volumes, but SB volumes rebounded, tech saw limited net buying, BABA was bought but other major tech sold.</li>
<li>The first leg of China's retaliatory acts against US trade measures appeared with export bans on gallium, germanium, antimony, graphite products, etc. These will not be lifted soon.</li>
<li>China is also retaliating against the Phils, Vietnam, Taiwan and changing tack in Europe. The next couple of years threatens to be "interesting times.</li>
</ul>


Mainland share market volumes continue to be better than HK and SOUTHBOUND volumes, but SB volumes rebounded, tech saw limited net buying, BABA was bought but other major tech sold.
The first leg of China's retaliatory acts against US trade measures appeared with export bans on gallium, germanium, antimony, graphite products, etc. These will not be lifted soon.
China is also retaliating against the Phils, Vietnam, Taiwan and changing tack in Europe. The next couple of years threatens to be "interesting times.


A/H Premium Tracker (To 13 Dec 2024): Pairwise Intracorrelation and Vol Way Up, Premia Down

<ul>
<li>BYD’s deliveries grew by 68% YoY in November 2024, which provides a positive signal for the whole NEV (New Energy Vehicle) industry.</li>
<li>In November, Seres' sales volume increased by 27% YoY with NEV up by 55% YoY.</li>
<li>Arawana, the top cooking oil producer, finished acquiring 11% of Lihua's stock.</li>
</ul>


BYD’s deliveries grew by 68% YoY in November 2024, which provides a positive signal for the whole NEV (New Energy Vehicle) industry.
In November, Seres' sales volume increased by 27% YoY with NEV up by 55% YoY.
Arawana, the top cooking oil producer, finished acquiring 11% of Lihua's stock.


China Consumption Weekly (9 Dec 2024): BYD, Geely, Li Auto, Seres, Xiaomi, Arawana

China

BYD Company Limited, through its subsidiaries, manufactures and sells automobiles. The Company also researches, develops, manufactures and sells batteries, which are applied on mobile phones, cordless phones, power tools and other kinds of portable electronic devices.

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BYD (1211 HK)

HSI, HSCEI, HSTECH, HSIII, HSBIO Index Rebalance: US$6.4bn of Flows Post Capping (Dec 2025)

The Dec rebalance of the HSI, HSCEI, HSTECH, HSIII, HSHKBIO indices will use today's closing prices for capping. The round-trip trade across the...

Brian Freitas

BYD (1211 HK): Vehicle Deliveries Up by 40% in 2024

BYD’s deliveries grew by 51% YoY in December 2024 and 41% in the year 2024. The Brazil event will slow down overseas expansion. We believe the...

Ming Lu

HSTECH Index Rebalance Preview: Can Leapmotor Leap into the Index?

Leapmotor could be added to the HSTECH in Dec, replacing ASMPT - it's a close call. Impact on the stocks is pretty big. Even with no stock changes,...

Brian Freitas

A/H Premium Tracker (To 13 Dec 2024): Pairwise Intracorrelation and Vol Way Up, Premia Down

AH Premia continue to narrow. This week by 1.1% after 1.0% the week before. Intracorrelation of pair direction is up as vol is up. Some names are...

Travis Lundy

China Consumption Weekly (9 Dec 2024): BYD, Geely, Li Auto, Seres, Xiaomi, Arawana

BYD’s deliveries grew by 68% YoY in November 2024,. In November, Seres sales volume increased by 27% YoY with NEV up by 55% YoY. Arawana finished...

Ming Lu

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