Blue Lotus China New Economy Research, Blue Lotus Research Institute

Eric Wen

Blue Lotus China New Economy Research

China growth and global non-US Internet equities

Blue Lotus Research Institute

Blue Lotus Research is a Hong Kong Type 4 Licensed investment advisory firm focusing on Chinese growth equities and global non-US Internet equities

Thematic (Sector/Industry)

<ul>
<li>China's economic data continued to be mixed. The on-again-off-again patter is here to stay. PBOC's stated policy to follow the US means Trumponomics's next read is critical to China, too;</li>
<li>Whether it is positive or negative to our sector depends on whether the view is half full or half empty. Stimulus will increasingly become irrelevant;</li>
<li>China EV posted strong numbers which cannot be explained by trade-in subsidy alone. Earning flash of Xiaomi, LI and Zeekr. </li>
</ul>


China's economic data continued to be mixed. The on-again-off-again patter is here to stay. PBOC's stated policy to follow the US means Trumponomics's next read is critical to China, too;
Whether it is positive or negative to our sector depends on whether the view is half full or half empty. Stimulus will increasingly become irrelevant;
China EV posted strong numbers which cannot be explained by trade-in subsidy alone. Earning flash of Xiaomi, LI and Zeekr. 


[Blue Lotus China New Consumer Weekly, 12/52] Choice of the Less Evil Between Trumponomics' Outcomes

HK/China Equity Long-Short

Osbert Tang, CFA

<ul>
<li>The YTD rally in the Hong Kong and China markets has made it appealing for highly leveraged and outperforming stocks to make placements to raise fresh equity.</li>
<li>
<a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/gds-holdings-ltd" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="entities:32157:1" rel="noopener">GDS Holdings (9698 HK)</a>, <a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/china-youran-dairy-group-ltd" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="entities:31075:1" rel="noopener">China Youran Dairy Group (9858 HK)</a>, <a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/shandong-gold-mining-co-ltd-4527fb98-bb5d-4d74-91fe-66f9c0224eb3" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="entities:27455:1" rel="noopener">Shandong Gold Mining (1787 HK)</a>, <a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/zhaojin-mining-industry-company-ltd-h" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="entities:4626:1" rel="noopener">Zhaojin Mining Industry (1818 HK)</a>, and <a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/byd-electronic-international-co-ltd" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="entities:1927:1" rel="noopener">BYD Electronics (285 HK)</a> are possible candidates.</li>
<li>Four of the top 30 YTD best-performing Hang Seng Composite stocks have made placements in the last three months, raising a total of HK$1.3bn with mixed performance since then.</li>
</ul>


The YTD rally in the Hong Kong and China markets has made it appealing for highly leveraged and outperforming stocks to make placements to raise fresh equity.

GDS Holdings (9698 HK), China Youran Dairy Group (9858 HK), Shandong Gold Mining (1787 HK), Zhaojin Mining Industry (1818 HK), and BYD Electronics (285 HK) are possible candidates.
Four of the top 30 YTD best-performing Hang Seng Composite stocks have made placements in the last three months, raising a total of HK$1.3bn with mixed performance since then.


China & HK Strategy: Assessing Placement Risks, Who Needs Money?

Equity Derivatives and Volatility Specialist, Clifton Derivatives

John Ley

Equity Derivatives and Volatility Specialist

Clifton Derivatives

Independent derivative and volatility research firm focusing on events/catalysts, earnings, relative value and cross asset volatility strategies.

Equity Derivatives

Hang Seng China Enterprises Index / Equity Derivatives

<ul>
<li>Weekly recap of key option metrics across single stocks, including most active names and strikes, largest volume increases, biggest movers, and key earnings reports.</li>
<li>Post-Earnings performance of Tencent, Xiaomi, Anta, and China Tower analyzed.</li>
<li>Financials take center stage with several major earnings releases on deck this week.</li>
</ul>


Weekly recap of key option metrics across single stocks, including most active names and strikes, largest volume increases, biggest movers, and key earnings reports.
Post-Earnings performance of Tencent, Xiaomi, Anta, and China Tower analyzed.
Financials take center stage with several major earnings releases on deck this week.


Hong Kong Single Stock Options Weekly (Mar 17–21): Tencent, Xiaomi, and Financials in the Spotlight

Asian Equities Analyst, Logistics & Transport, Tracking Traffic

Daniel Hellberg

Asian Equities Analyst, Logistics & Transport

Tracking Traffic

Focusing on Asian logistics, transportation, and travel companies

Equity Capital Markets

<ul>
<li>Most key P&amp;L items and revenue drivers improved Y/Y and sequentially vs Q324</li>
<li>Although GTV per transaction dipped slightly, estimated "take rate" improved in Q424</li>
<li>Strong OpCF obviates need for quick FY25 IPO -- but it could still happen this year</li>
</ul>


Most key P&amp;L items and revenue drivers improved Y/Y and sequentially vs Q324
Although GTV per transaction dipped slightly, estimated "take rate" improved in Q424
Strong OpCF obviates need for quick FY25 IPO -- but it could still happen this year


Didi Global Q424 Results: Another Set of Solid Numbers from China's Ride Hailing Giant

Covering IPOs, Healthcare and Technology Stocks

Andrei Zakharov

Equity Bottom-Up

<ul>
<li>Hesai Group, a global leader in LiDAR solutions in the ADAS and robotics markets, forecasted hyper-growth and GAAP profitability for the full year of 2025.</li>
<li>The stock has bottomed in the low $4s (~0.3x 2025E EV/Revs) in 2024 and gained about 350%. Hesai Group currently trades at ~4x EV/2025E revenues, ~32% discount relative to RoboSense.</li>
<li>I believe that the market has already priced in growth acceleration (~58% y/y) scenario in 2025 along with GAAP profitability and 1M+ LiDAR shipments this year.</li>
</ul>


Hesai Group, a global leader in LiDAR solutions in the ADAS and robotics markets, forecasted hyper-growth and GAAP profitability for the full year of 2025.
The stock has bottomed in the low $4s (~0.3x 2025E EV/Revs) in 2024 and gained about 350%. Hesai Group currently trades at ~4x EV/2025E revenues, ~32% discount relative to RoboSense.
I believe that the market has already priced in growth acceleration (~58% y/y) scenario in 2025 along with GAAP profitability and 1M+ LiDAR shipments this year.


Hesai Group: Growth Acceleration Has Already Priced In While Upside May Be Limited

China

BYD Company Limited, through its subsidiaries, manufactures and sells automobiles. The Company also researches, develops, manufactures and sells batteries, which are applied on mobile phones, cordless phones, power tools and other kinds of portable electronic devices.

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BYD (1211 HK)

[Blue Lotus China New Consumer Weekly, 12/52] Choice of the Less Evil Between Trumponomics' Outcomes

China's economic data remains mixed, with PBOC closely following US policy. Stimulus may become irrelevant as China's EV sector sees strong growth...

Blue Lotus Research Institute

China & HK Strategy: Assessing Placement Risks, Who Needs Money?

Zhaojin Mining Industry (1818 HK) is the first one in our top 5 list to make a placement. The company is placing 140m H-shares at HK$14.08 to raise...

Osbert Tang, CFA

Hong Kong Single Stock Options Weekly (Mar 17–21): Tencent, Xiaomi, and Financials in the Spotlight

Weekly recap of key option metrics for single stocks, analysis of post-earnings performance for Tencent, Xiaomi, Anta, and China Tower, and focus...

John Ley

Didi Global Q424 Results: Another Set of Solid Numbers from China's Ride Hailing Giant

Didi Global reported solid Q424 numbers last week, with most key metrics improving Y/Y. We believe the company could pursue an(other) IPO this year...

Tracking Traffic

Hesai Group: Growth Acceleration Has Already Priced In While Upside May Be Limited

Hesai Group stock is a one of the most speculative stocks in the LiDAR industry, in my view. I believe investors should take profits on Hesai Group...

Andrei Zakharov

Price Gauge

52-week Range

Market Cap (USDm)

P/E

Dividend (Yield)

[Blue Lotus China New Consumer Weekly, 12/52] Choice of the Less Evil Between Trumponomics' Outcomes

​China's economic data remains mixed, with PBOC closely following US policy. Stimulus may become irrelevant as China's EV sector sees strong growth...

Blue Lotus Research Institute

China & HK Strategy: Assessing Placement Risks, Who Needs Money?

Zhaojin Mining Industry (1818 HK) is the first one in our top 5 list to make a placement. The company is placing 140m H-shares at HK$14.08 to raise...

Osbert Tang, CFA

Hong Kong Single Stock Options Weekly (Mar 17–21): Tencent, Xiaomi, and Financials in the Spotlight

​Weekly recap of key option metrics for single stocks, analysis of post-earnings performance for Tencent, Xiaomi, Anta, and China Tower, and focus...

John Ley

Didi Global Q424 Results: Another Set of Solid Numbers from China's Ride Hailing Giant

Didi Global reported solid Q424 numbers last week, with most key metrics improving Y/Y. We believe the company could pursue an(other) IPO this year...

Tracking Traffic

Hesai Group: Growth Acceleration Has Already Priced In While Upside May Be Limited

Hesai Group stock is a one of the most speculative stocks in the LiDAR industry, in my view. I believe investors should take profits on Hesai Group...

Andrei Zakharov

China's economic data remains mixed, with PBOC closely following US policy. Stimulus may become irrelevant as China's EV sector sees strong growth...

Weekly recap of key option metrics for single stocks, analysis of post-earnings performance for Tencent, Xiaomi, Anta, and China Tower, and focus...