External broker reports(aggregated public sources), CMB International

CMB International

External broker reports(aggregated public sources)

Incorporated in Hong Kong, supported by the mainland and targeting in global market, CMB International Capital Corporation Limited (“CMBI”) is an integrated financial institution providing comprehensive and professional services. As a wholly-owned subsidiary of China Merchants Bank ("CMB"), by leveraging on the Group’s synergy and coordination in domestic and overseas markets, as well as CMB’s strong resources and outstanding social reputation, CMBI and its subsidiaries have been actively implementing diversified business strategies and set up an overall layout of main business segments including Corporate Finance, Asset Management, Wealth Management, Global Markets and Structured Finance, etc. Adhering to the philosophy of “being clients oriented and increasing our own values by the way of creating value for clients”, CMBI endeavors to provide quality and integrated financial services to institutional, corporate and individual customers both domestic and overseas including Hong Kong IPO sponsorship and underwriting, share placement and rights issue for listed companies, financial advisors, bonds issuance services, asset management, direct investment, wealth management, equity sales and trading, etc.

Equity Bottom-Up

<ul><li>Maintain HOLD. BYD’s 2Q23 net profit beat our prior forecast on GPM, forex gains and government grants.</li><li>We view its earnings quality as solid given its accounting policies.</li><li>We believe going upmarket could be key to its sales growth and margins, although it appears that sales volume for BYD’s three premium brands may not be large enough to help BYD outperform the NEV market in 2024. </li></ul>Content is external broker report sourced from online content aggregator through publicly available sources and is displayed below for general informational purposes only. Refer full disclaimer below.

Maintain HOLD. BYD’s 2Q23 net profit beat our prior forecast on GPM, forex gains and government grants.We view its earnings quality as solid given its accounting policies.We believe going upmarket could be key to its sales growth and margins, although it appears that sales volume for BYD’s three premium brands may not be large enough to help BYD outperform the NEV market in 2024. Content is external broker report sourced from online content aggregator through publicly available sources and is displayed below for general informational purposes only. Refer full disclaimer below.

BYD Company (1211 HK) – Solid 2Q23 Earnings Quality; Eyes on Upmarket

Thematic (Sector/Industry)

<ul><li>China’s passenger-vehicle (PV) retail sales volume fell 0.4% YoY and 10% MoM in Jul 2023 amid high base, 2% higher than our prior forecast.</li><li>YTD retail sales volume rose 4% YoY. Wholesale volume fell 3% YoY and 7% MoM to 2.10mn units in Jul 2023, the second highest Jul in history, and 2% higher than our prior forecast.</li><li>Wholesale volume rose 7% YoY (or +0.84mn units YoY) YTD, aided by 78% YoY growth (or +0.92mn units YoY) of exports. </li></ul>Content is external broker report sourced from online content aggregator through publicly available sources and is displayed below for general informational purposes only. Refer full disclaimer below.

China’s passenger-vehicle (PV) retail sales volume fell 0.4% YoY and 10% MoM in Jul 2023 amid high base, 2% higher than our prior forecast.YTD retail sales volume rose 4% YoY. Wholesale volume fell 3% YoY and 7% MoM to 2.10mn units in Jul 2023, the second highest Jul in history, and 2% higher than our prior forecast.Wholesale volume rose 7% YoY (or +0.84mn units YoY) YTD, aided by 78% YoY growth (or +0.92mn units YoY) of exports. Content is external broker report sourced from online content aggregator through publicly available sources and is displayed below for general informational purposes only. Refer full disclaimer below.

China Auto Sector – 2H23 Auto Sales Could Beat Amid Resilient Jul, Aug

<ul><li>We summarize the Jul 2023 leading indicators as below, including number of leads, customer flows, and new orders generated, for Tesla, NIO, Li Auto, Xpeng, BYD and Aion.</li><li>Note that such data are based on a sample size of 96 stores (15- 18 stores for each brand) in 15 major cities in China.</li><li>New orders per store for these six NEV brands have been rising MoM since Apr 2023, which is consistent with our prior argument that NEV market share in China could rise sequentially for the remainder of the year. </li></ul>Content is external broker report sourced from online content aggregator through publicly available sources and is displayed below for general informational purposes only. Refer full disclaimer below.

We summarize the Jul 2023 leading indicators as below, including number of leads, customer flows, and new orders generated, for Tesla, NIO, Li Auto, Xpeng, BYD and Aion.Note that such data are based on a sample size of 96 stores (15- 18 stores for each brand) in 15 major cities in China.New orders per store for these six NEV brands have been rising MoM since Apr 2023, which is consistent with our prior argument that NEV market share in China could rise sequentially for the remainder of the year. Content is external broker report sourced from online content aggregator through publicly available sources and is displayed below for general informational purposes only. Refer full disclaimer below.

China Auto Sector – Jul leading indicators: NEV new orders rose MoM

<ul><li>We summarize the Jul 2023 price discounts at dealers for major automakers in this report.</li><li>Note that such discounts for each automaker are calculated based on weighted average of Jun 2023 retail sales volume for each model, as Jul retail sales volume data have not been released yet.</li><li>Discounts at dealers for most Chinese brands narrowed MoM in Jul 2023, consistent with our prior argument that discounts may peak around Jun-Jul 2023. </li></ul>Content is external broker report sourced from online content aggregator through publicly available sources and is displayed below for general informational purposes only. Refer full disclaimer below.

We summarize the Jul 2023 price discounts at dealers for major automakers in this report.Note that such discounts for each automaker are calculated based on weighted average of Jun 2023 retail sales volume for each model, as Jul retail sales volume data have not been released yet.Discounts at dealers for most Chinese brands narrowed MoM in Jul 2023, consistent with our prior argument that discounts may peak around Jun-Jul 2023. Content is external broker report sourced from online content aggregator through publicly available sources and is displayed below for general informational purposes only. Refer full disclaimer below.

China Auto Sector – Jul discount: Chinese narrowed, foreign widened

<ul><li>Nine Chinese automakers including BYD, Great Wall Motor, NIO, Xpeng, Li Auto, Zeekr, Aion, Neta and Leap reported their Jul 2023 sales volumes on 1 Aug 2023.</li><li>Sales volume of the nine automakers combined rose 67% YoY (ranged from -28% to +228%) and 6% MoM (ranged from -17% to +91%) in Jul 2023.</li><li>NEV trio all beat our expectation by 1,000-2,000 units. Li Auto recorded a sales volume of more than 34,000 units in Jul 2023, stronger than our previous forecast.</li></ul>Content is external broker report sourced from online content aggregator through publicly available sources and is displayed below for general informational purposes only. Refer full disclaimer below.

Nine Chinese automakers including BYD, Great Wall Motor, NIO, Xpeng, Li Auto, Zeekr, Aion, Neta and Leap reported their Jul 2023 sales volumes on 1 Aug 2023.Sales volume of the nine automakers combined rose 67% YoY (ranged from -28% to +228%) and 6% MoM (ranged from -17% to +91%) in Jul 2023.NEV trio all beat our expectation by 1,000-2,000 units. Li Auto recorded a sales volume of more than 34,000 units in Jul 2023, stronger than our previous forecast.Content is external broker report sourced from online content aggregator through publicly available sources and is displayed below for general informational purposes only. Refer full disclaimer below.

China Auto Sector – Jul NEV: All-time high sales for seven brands

China

BYD Company Limited manufactures automotive products. The Company produces ordinary passenger cars, commercial vehicles, and other products. BYD also operates battery making, rail transportation construction, and other businesses.

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BYD (002594 CH)

BYD Company (1211 HK) – Solid 2Q23 Earnings Quality; Eyes on Upmarket

Maintain HOLD. BYD’s 2Q23 net profit beat our prior forecast on GPM, forex gains and government grants. We view its earnings quality as solid given...

CMB International

China Auto Sector – 2H23 Auto Sales Could Beat Amid Resilient Jul, Aug

China’s passenger-vehicle (PV) retail sales volume fell 0.4% YoY and 10% MoM in Jul 2023 amid high base, 2% higher than our prior forecast.

CMB International

China Auto Sector – Jul leading indicators: NEV new orders rose MoM

We summarize the Jul 2023 leading indicators as below, including number of leads, customer flows, and new orders generated, for Tesla, NIO, Li...

CMB International

China Auto Sector – Jul discount: Chinese narrowed, foreign widened

Discounts at dealers for most Chinese brands narrowed MoM in Jul 2023, consistent with our prior argument that discounts may peak around Jun-Jul 2023.

CMB International

China Auto Sector – Jul NEV: All-time high sales for seven brands

Nine Chinese automakers including BYD, Great Wall Motor, NIO, Xpeng, Li Auto, Zeekr, Aion, Neta and Leap reported their Jul 2023 sales volumes on 1...

CMB International

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