Head of Research, Krungthai XSpring

Waraporn Wiboonkanarak

Head of Research

A full service Thai brokerage

Krungthai XSpring

Krungthai XSpring is a full service broker. The company provides a wide range of investment services such as Securities Brokerage, Derivative Agent Business, Securities Borrowing and Lending, Securities Trading, Underwriting, Financial Advisory, Wealth Advisory, Private Fund Management and International Markets Securities Trading. 

In terms of credibility, Fitch Ratings has assigned Krunghtai XSpring a long-term rating of AA- and a national short-term rating of F1+ with stable outlook.

Thematic (Sector/Industry)

<ul><li>We still believe that the automotive industry has growth potential supported by the continuous expansion of GPM, despite declining revenue, which should allow companies in the sector to achieve slight profit growth this year.</li><li>Thailand’s auto production in July fell 11% YoY to 110k units, marking the first decline after two consecutive months of YoY growth.</li><li>July auto production raised some concerns for us regarding the revenue of companies in the sector in 3Q25 because i) EV sales, which are not considered particularly beneficial for Thai auto parts manufacturers, have begun to account for a significantly larger share as the market becomes more active with new model launches and price competition.</li></ul>

We still believe that the automotive industry has growth potential supported by the continuous expansion of GPM, despite declining revenue, which should allow companies in the sector to achieve slight profit growth this year.Thailand’s auto production in July fell 11% YoY to 110k units, marking the first decline after two consecutive months of YoY growth.July auto production raised some concerns for us regarding the revenue of companies in the sector in 3Q25 because i) EV sales, which are not considered particularly beneficial for Thai auto parts manufacturers, have begun to account for a significantly larger share as the market becomes more active with new model launches and price competition.

Automotive: Confident In Long-Term Outlook Despite Short-Term Slowdown - Neutral

External broker reports(aggregated public sources), CMB International

CMB International

External broker reports(aggregated public sources)

Incorporated in Hong Kong, supported by the mainland and targeting in global market, CMB International Capital Corporation Limited (“CMBI”) is an integrated financial institution providing comprehensive and professional services. As a wholly-owned subsidiary of China Merchants Bank ("CMB"), by leveraging on the Group’s synergy and coordination in domestic and overseas markets, as well as CMB’s strong resources and outstanding social reputation, CMBI and its subsidiaries have been actively implementing diversified business strategies and set up an overall layout of main business segments including Corporate Finance, Asset Management, Wealth Management, Global Markets and Structured Finance, etc. Adhering to the philosophy of “being clients oriented and increasing our own values by the way of creating value for clients”, CMBI endeavors to provide quality and integrated financial services to institutional, corporate and individual customers both domestic and overseas including Hong Kong IPO sponsorship and underwriting, share placement and rights issue for listed companies, financial advisors, bonds issuance services, asset management, direct investment, wealth management, equity sales and trading, etc.

<ul><li>We summarize the Jul 2025 price discounts at dealers for major automakers in this report.</li><li>Note that Jul discounts for each automaker are calculated based on the weighted average of Jun 2025 retail sales volume for each model, as Jul 2025 retail sales volume data have not been released yet.</li><li>The industrywide average discounts narrowed 0.3ppts MoM to 15.1% in Jul 2025, based on our calculations, mainly driven by German luxury brands (BMW, Mercedes-Benz and Audi), as dealers need to raise car prices to offset lower commissions from the auto finance business after banks cut rebates to dealers. </li></ul>Content is external broker report sourced from online content aggregator through publicly available sources and is displayed below for general informational purposes only. Refer full disclaimer below.

We summarize the Jul 2025 price discounts at dealers for major automakers in this report.Note that Jul discounts for each automaker are calculated based on the weighted average of Jun 2025 retail sales volume for each model, as Jul 2025 retail sales volume data have not been released yet.The industrywide average discounts narrowed 0.3ppts MoM to 15.1% in Jul 2025, based on our calculations, mainly driven by German luxury brands (BMW, Mercedes-Benz and Audi), as dealers need to raise car prices to offset lower commissions from the auto finance business after banks cut rebates to dealers. Content is external broker report sourced from online content aggregator through publicly available sources and is displayed below for general informational purposes only. Refer full disclaimer below.

Auto - Jul discounts narrowed amid new models, auto finance policy changes

External broker reports(aggregated public sources), Topline Securities

Topline Securities

Topline Securities is one of the fastest growing brokerage houses in Pakistan. It has strong equity brokerage, economic / equity research, mutual fund distribution, commodity trading and corporate finance & advisory functions. Content available is external broker reports authored by a third party outside the Smartkarma network and has been aggregated by an online aggregator through publicly available sources and is displayed by Smartkarma in this format for user's convenience and general informational purposes only. Content does not constitute investment or financial advice and Smartkarma makes no representation or warranty regarding its accuracy or contents. Original third party author retains all copyright and other proprietary rights in the content. Access or use of third party links not controlled by Smartkarma are at the user's own risk.

Equity Bottom-Up

Sazgar Engineering Works Limited / Equity Bottom-Up

<ul><li>Sazgar Engineering Works Limited (SAZEW) has announced the official launch of its Plug-in Hybrid Electric Vehicle (PHEV) lineup of its existing H6 model and two more variants namely Tank 500 and Cannon Alpha.</li><li>In a notice to exchange today, the company has confirmed the commencement of pre-bookings for ‘HAVAL H6 Hi4 1.5L AT AWD Turbo PHEV’, with vehicle roll out from Aug 2025. The company has set price of Haval H6 PHEV at Rs12.895mn, which is 9.7% higher than its HEV version price of Rs11.75mn.</li><li>The H6 is already an established and growing model in Pakistan, and the upcoming PHEV variant will further boost its appeal and sales momentum, in our view.</li></ul>

Sazgar Engineering Works Limited (SAZEW) has announced the official launch of its Plug-in Hybrid Electric Vehicle (PHEV) lineup of its existing H6 model and two more variants namely Tank 500 and Cannon Alpha.In a notice to exchange today, the company has confirmed the commencement of pre-bookings for ‘HAVAL H6 Hi4 1.5L AT AWD Turbo PHEV’, with vehicle roll out from Aug 2025. The company has set price of Haval H6 PHEV at Rs12.895mn, which is 9.7% higher than its HEV version price of Rs11.75mn.The H6 is already an established and growing model in Pakistan, and the upcoming PHEV variant will further boost its appeal and sales momentum, in our view.

Topline Flash Note: Sazgar Engineering Works Limited (SAZEW): Sazgar Launches PHEV Lineup, H6 PHEV Pre Booking Started

<ul><li>Fourteen Chinese NEV makers/brands including BYD, Great Wall, NIO, Xpeng, Li Auto, Leapmotor, Xiaomi, HIMA, Galaxy, Zeekr, Aion, Voyah, Deepal and Avatr reported their Jun 2025 sales volumes on 1 Jul 2025.</li><li>Total NEV sales volume combined rose 27% YoY (ranging from -24% to +224%) and remained flat MoM (ranging from -20% to +19%) last month.</li><li>Li Auto missed, Xpeng and NIO in line. Li Auto’s Jun deliveries fell 11% MoM to about 36,000 units, driving its 2Q25 sales volume up by 20% QoQ to about 111,000 units, but still missing our previous forecast by about 13,000 units.</li></ul>Content is external broker report sourced from online content aggregator through publicly available sources and is displayed below for general informational purposes only. Refer full disclaimer below.

Fourteen Chinese NEV makers/brands including BYD, Great Wall, NIO, Xpeng, Li Auto, Leapmotor, Xiaomi, HIMA, Galaxy, Zeekr, Aion, Voyah, Deepal and Avatr reported their Jun 2025 sales volumes on 1 Jul 2025.Total NEV sales volume combined rose 27% YoY (ranging from -24% to +224%) and remained flat MoM (ranging from -20% to +19%) last month.Li Auto missed, Xpeng and NIO in line. Li Auto’s Jun deliveries fell 11% MoM to about 36,000 units, driving its 2Q25 sales volume up by 20% QoQ to about 111,000 units, but still missing our previous forecast by about 13,000 units.Content is external broker report sourced from online content aggregator through publicly available sources and is displayed below for general informational purposes only. Refer full disclaimer below.

Auto - New models to drive NEV sales in 3Q after a solid Jun

<ul><li>We summarize the May 2025 price discounts at dealers for major automakers in this report.</li><li>Note that May discounts for each automaker are calculated based on the weighted average of Apr 2025 retail sales volume for each model, as May 2025 retail sales volume data have not been released yet.</li><li>The industrywide average discounts rose 0.7ppts MoM to about 15% in May 2025, based on our calculations, mainly driven by German brands (VW, Mercedes-Benz and BMW, etc.). </li></ul>Content is external broker report sourced from online content aggregator through publicly available sources and is displayed below for general informational purposes only. Refer full disclaimer below.

We summarize the May 2025 price discounts at dealers for major automakers in this report.Note that May discounts for each automaker are calculated based on the weighted average of Apr 2025 retail sales volume for each model, as May 2025 retail sales volume data have not been released yet.The industrywide average discounts rose 0.7ppts MoM to about 15% in May 2025, based on our calculations, mainly driven by German brands (VW, Mercedes-Benz and BMW, etc.). Content is external broker report sourced from online content aggregator through publicly available sources and is displayed below for general informational purposes only. Refer full disclaimer below.

Auto - New Models to Stabilize Chinese OEMs’ Discounts

China

BYD Company Limited manufactures automotive products. The Company produces ordinary passenger cars, commercial vehicles, and other products. BYD also operates battery making, rail transportation construction, and other businesses.

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BYD (002594 CH)

Automotive: Confident In Long-Term Outlook Despite Short-Term Slowdown - Neutral

Thailand’s auto production in July fell 11% YoY to 110k units, marking the first decline after two consecutive months of YoY growth.

Krungthai XSpring

Auto - Jul discounts narrowed amid new models, auto finance policy changes

We believe Geely and Leapmotor could be better positioned than most of its peers with a strong new model pipeline and sales momentum, as well as...

CMB International

Topline Flash Note: Sazgar Engineering Works Limited (SAZEW): Sazgar Launches PHEV Lineup, H6 PHEV Pre Booking Started

Sazgar Engineering Works Limited (SAZEW) has announced the official launch of its Plug-in Hybrid Electric Vehicle (PHEV) lineup of its existing H6...

Topline Securities

Auto - New models to drive NEV sales in 3Q after a solid Jun

Total NEV sales volume combined rose 27% YoY (ranging from -24% to +224%) and remained flat MoM (ranging from -20% to +19%) last month.

CMB International

Auto - New Models to Stabilize Chinese OEMs’ Discounts

The industrywide average discounts rose 0.7ppts MoM to about 15% in May 2025, based on our calculations, mainly driven by German brands (VW,...

CMB International

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