Pan-Asia Index Rebalances/ Events/ Delta One, Periscope Analytics

Brian Freitas

Pan-Asia Index Rebalances/ Events/ Delta One

Periscope Analytics

Periscope Analytics focuses on event-driven trades across Asia Pacific and provides comprehensive, timely and systematic coverage of index changes to major Asia Pacific indices in a structured manner.

The analysis includes forecasted inclusions and exclusions to all major Asian indices that have significant amount of tracking assets, including estimates of passive buy/sell flow on the stocks. The service also provides commentary and impact of market consultations, ground rule changes, and other events (IPOs, spin-offs, M&A) that could lead to index changes and passive flow.

Periscope Analytics works with multi-strategy hedge funds, proprietary trading firms, stat arb trading groups and long-only investors that invest and trade in the Asia Pacific region with the data being used to trade index rebalances, avoid pre-positioning and passive flow, and to time entry into and exit from stocks.

Event-Driven Trades Across Asia Pacific

Index Rebalance

<ul>
<li>The September rebalance of the Hang Seng family of indices will use today's closing prices to cap the index constituent weights.  </li>
<li>The net round-trip trade across all stocks across the five indices is estimated at HK$57.55bn (US$7.4bn). There is size to trade in a lot of stocks.</li>
<li>
<a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/alibaba-group-holding-ltd-d7b798e2-202d-4e01-9a1e-799e2ae8f0c7" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="entities:28434:1" rel="noopener">Alibaba (9988 HK)</a> has flipped from a net buy to a net sell following its huge rally yesterday.</li>
</ul>


The September rebalance of the Hang Seng family of indices will use today's closing prices to cap the index constituent weights.  
The net round-trip trade across all stocks across the five indices is estimated at HK$57.55bn (US$7.4bn). There is size to trade in a lot of stocks.

Alibaba (9988 HK) has flipped from a net buy to a net sell following its huge rally yesterday.


HSI, HSCEI, HSTECH, HSIII Index Rebalance: US$7.4bn of Flows Post Capping (Sep 2025)

Quantitative Researcher, MRM Research

Nico Rosti

Quantitative Researcher

MRM Research

Quantitative Research

Equity Derivatives

<ul>
<li>A quick synoptic look at the tactical setups for the indices, stocks, commodities and bonds we cover, week September 1 – September 5. The MODEL SUPPORT/RESISTANCE data file is attached.
</li>
<li>
OVERBOUGHT at the WEEKLY Close: <a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/alphabet-inc-cl-c" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="entities:11369:1" rel="noopener">Alphabet (GOOG US)</a> , <a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/byd-co-ltd-h" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="entities:20962:1" rel="noopener">BYD (1211 HK)</a> , <a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/s-p-asx-200" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="entities:22901:1" rel="noopener">S&amp;P/ASX 200</a> , <a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/shanghai-shenzhen-csi-300-index" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="entities:22906:1" rel="noopener">CSI 300 Index (SHSZ300)</a> , <a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/gold" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="entities:22870:1" rel="noopener">Gold (GOLD COMDTY)</a> </li>
<li>
OVERSOLD at the WEEKLY Close:<a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/meta-platforms-inc-class-a-facebook" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="entities:665:1" rel="noopener"> Meta (META US)</a> , <a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/nasdaq-100-stock-index" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="entities:26197:1" rel="noopener">Nasdaq-100</a> , <a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/nvidia-corp" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="entities:5891:1" rel="noopener">NVIDIA Corp (NVDA US)</a> , <a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/fast-retailing-co-ltd" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="entities:751:1" rel="noopener">Fast Retailing (9983 JP)</a>
</li>
</ul>


A quick synoptic look at the tactical setups for the indices, stocks, commodities and bonds we cover, week September 1 – September 5. The MODEL SUPPORT/RESISTANCE data file is attached.


OVERBOUGHT at the WEEKLY Close: Alphabet (GOOG US) , BYD (1211 HK) , S&amp;P/ASX 200 , CSI 300 Index (SHSZ300) , Gold (GOLD COMDTY) 

OVERSOLD at the WEEKLY Close: Meta (META US) , Nasdaq-100 , NVIDIA Corp (NVDA US) , Fast Retailing (9983 JP)



Global Markets Tactical Outlook WEEKLY: September 1 – September 5

Overseas Chinese Equities, Aequitas Research

Ming Lu

Overseas Chinese Equities

IPOs and Placements coverage across Asia Pacific

Aequitas Research

We cover all listing across the Asia Pacific along with follow-up placements. As of Dec 2020, our team had covered 539 IPOs with a hit rate of 73.5% and 685 placements with a hit rate of 66.8%.

We combine fundamental bottom-up views with our proprietary quantitative framework to provide a holistic coverage across new listings and placements. Our coverage includes pre-IPO notes before the deal is launched, follow-up analysis once the deal is live and post-listing trading analysis as well.

Equity Bottom-Up

<ul>
<li>In August, BYD’s total sales volume was still flat and its domestic sales volume continued to shrink.</li>
<li>The operating margin declined significantly to 2.3% in 1H25 from 4.4% in 1H24.</li>
<li>The P/E band suggests a downside of 23% and a price target of HK$89.00.</li>
</ul>


In August, BYD’s total sales volume was still flat and its domestic sales volume continued to shrink.
The operating margin declined significantly to 2.3% in 1H25 from 4.4% in 1H24.
The P/E band suggests a downside of 23% and a price target of HK$89.00.


BYD (1211 HK): Flat Sales Volume in August and Lower Margin in 1H25

Derivatives and Quantitative Strategist

Gaudenz Schneider

<ul>
<li>
Context: Volatility cones provide a clear framework to evaluate whether options are trading cheap or rich.</li>
<li>
Highlights:<a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/tencent-holdings-ltd" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="entities:26:1" rel="noopener">Tencent (700 HK)</a>, <a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/hsbc-holdings-plc" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="entities:516:1" rel="noopener">HSBC (5 HK),</a><a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/meituan" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="entities:26970:1" rel="noopener">Meituan (3690 HK)</a>, <a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/ping-an-insurance-grp-co-of-china-ltd" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="entities:12880:1" rel="noopener">Ping An (2318 HK)</a>, and <a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/jd-com-inc" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="entities:29043:1" rel="noopener">JD.com (9618 HK)</a> all display historically cheap implied volatility. Read on for trade suggestions.</li>
<li>
Why Read: Spot opportunities, assess regime shifts, and manage risk effectively — volatility cones turn complex data into actionable insights for traders and investors.</li>
</ul>



Context: Volatility cones provide a clear framework to evaluate whether options are trading cheap or rich.

Highlights:Tencent (700 HK), HSBC (5 HK),Meituan (3690 HK), Ping An (2318 HK), and JD.com (9618 HK) all display historically cheap implied volatility. Read on for trade suggestions.

Why Read: Spot opportunities, assess regime shifts, and manage risk effectively — volatility cones turn complex data into actionable insights for traders and investors.


Cheap Vs. Rich Volatility: What Cones Reveal in Tencent, HSBC, Meituan & More

Asia Pac IPO & Placement Research, China biotech, Aequitas Research

Ke Yan, CFA, FRM

Asia Pac IPO & Placement Research, China biotech

Quantitative Analysis

<ul>
<li>We analyzed the latest HK SFC report for aggregate short position as of Aug 22nd.</li>
<li>Top short increases and decreases were tabulated for one week and four week period.</li>
<li>We highlight short changes in Xiaomi, TraHK HSI ETF, ZTE, Anta, Cathay Pacific Airways, HSCEI ETF.</li>
</ul>


We analyzed the latest HK SFC report for aggregate short position as of Aug 22nd.
Top short increases and decreases were tabulated for one week and four week period.
We highlight short changes in Xiaomi, TraHK HSI ETF, ZTE, Anta, Cathay Pacific Airways, HSCEI ETF.


HK Short Interest Weekly: Xiaomi, ZTE, Anta, Cathay Pacific Airways

China

BYD Company Limited manufactures automotive products. The Company produces ordinary passenger cars, commercial vehicles, and other products. BYD also operates battery making, rail transportation construction, and other businesses.

Price Gauge
52-week Range	0.00 - 0.00
Market Cap (USDm)	0.00
P/E	0.00
Dividend (Yield)	0.00

BYD (002594 CH)

HSI, HSCEI, HSTECH, HSIII Index Rebalance: US$7.4bn of Flows Post Capping (Sep 2025)

The Sep rebalance of the HSI, HSCEI, HSTECH, HSIII, HSHKBIO indices will use today's closing prices for capping. The round-trip trade across the...

Brian Freitas

Global Markets Tactical Outlook WEEKLY: September 1 – September 5

Tactical setups for indices, stocks, commodities, and bonds for the week of September 1 - September 5, overbought / oversold levels highlighted...

Nico Rosti

BYD (1211 HK): Flat Sales Volume in August and Lower Margin in 1H25

In August, BYD’s total sales volume was still flat and its domestic sales volume continued to shrink. The operating margin declined significantly...

Ming Lu

Cheap Vs. Rich Volatility: What Cones Reveal in Tencent, HSBC, Meituan & More

Volatility cones help identify cheap options trading opportunities in Tencent, HSBC, Meituan, Ping An, and JD.com, providing actionable insights...

Gaudenz Schneider

HK Short Interest Weekly: Xiaomi, ZTE, Anta, Cathay Pacific Airways

We analyzed the latest HK SFC report for aggregate short position as of Aug 22nd and highlight short interest changes in Xiaomi, TraHK HSI ETF,...

Ke Yan, CFA, FRM

Price Gauge

52-week Range

Market Cap (USDm)

P/E

Dividend (Yield)

HSI, HSCEI, HSTECH, HSIII Index Rebalance: US$7.4bn of Flows Post Capping (Sep 2025)

The Sep rebalance of the HSI, HSCEI, HSTECH, HSIII, HSHKBIO indices will use today's closing prices for capping. The round-trip trade across the...

Brian Freitas

Global Markets Tactical Outlook WEEKLY: September 1 – September 5

Tactical setups for indices, stocks, commodities, and bonds for the week of September 1 - September 5, overbought / oversold levels highlighted...

Nico Rosti

BYD (1211 HK): Flat Sales Volume in August and Lower Margin in 1H25

In August, BYD’s total sales volume was still flat and its domestic sales volume continued to shrink. The operating margin declined significantly...

Ming Lu

Cheap Vs. Rich Volatility: What Cones Reveal in Tencent, HSBC, Meituan & More

​Volatility cones help identify cheap options trading opportunities in Tencent, HSBC, Meituan, Ping An, and JD.com, providing actionable insights...

Gaudenz Schneider

HK Short Interest Weekly: Xiaomi, ZTE, Anta, Cathay Pacific Airways

We analyzed the latest HK SFC report for aggregate short position as of Aug 22nd and highlight short interest changes in Xiaomi, TraHK HSI ETF,...

Ke Yan, CFA, FRM

Volatility cones help identify cheap options trading opportunities in Tencent, HSBC, Meituan, Ping An, and JD.com, providing actionable insights...