External broker reports(aggregated public sources), CMB International

CMB International

External broker reports(aggregated public sources)

Incorporated in Hong Kong, supported by the mainland and targeting in global market, CMB International Capital Corporation Limited (“CMBI”) is an integrated financial institution providing comprehensive and professional services. As a wholly-owned subsidiary of China Merchants Bank ("CMB"), by leveraging on the Group’s synergy and coordination in domestic and overseas markets, as well as CMB’s strong resources and outstanding social reputation, CMBI and its subsidiaries have been actively implementing diversified business strategies and set up an overall layout of main business segments including Corporate Finance, Asset Management, Wealth Management, Global Markets and Structured Finance, etc. Adhering to the philosophy of “being clients oriented and increasing our own values by the way of creating value for clients”, CMBI endeavors to provide quality and integrated financial services to institutional, corporate and individual customers both domestic and overseas including Hong Kong IPO sponsorship and underwriting, share placement and rights issue for listed companies, financial advisors, bonds issuance services, asset management, direct investment, wealth management, equity sales and trading, etc.

Thematic (Sector/Industry)

<ul><li>Chinese automakers including BYD, NIO, Xpeng, Li Auto, Zeekr, Aion, Deepal, Neta, Leap, Xiaomi etc reported their Apr 2024 sales volumes on 1 May 2024.</li><li>Total sales volume combined rose 43% YoY (ranging from -31% to +546%) and 2% MoM (ranging from -14% to +32%).</li><li>Li Auto, Xpeng miss, NIO beat. It appears to us that the weak sales of the Mega has spread into Li Auto’s other models.</li></ul>Content is external broker report sourced from online content aggregator through publicly available sources and is displayed below for general informational purposes only. Refer full disclaimer below.

Chinese automakers including BYD, NIO, Xpeng, Li Auto, Zeekr, Aion, Deepal, Neta, Leap, Xiaomi etc reported their Apr 2024 sales volumes on 1 May 2024.Total sales volume combined rose 43% YoY (ranging from -31% to +546%) and 2% MoM (ranging from -14% to +32%).Li Auto, Xpeng miss, NIO beat. It appears to us that the weak sales of the Mega has spread into Li Auto’s other models.Content is external broker report sourced from online content aggregator through publicly available sources and is displayed below for general informational purposes only. Refer full disclaimer below.

Auto - Apr NEV sales beat; Price war continues

Equity Bottom-Up

<ul><li>Maintain BUY. Although BYD’s 1Q24 net profit of RMB 4.6bn missed our prior forecast on a massive R&amp;D spending of RMB10.6bn, we believe the automaker is still on track to achieve our FY24E net profit forecast of RMB33bn.</li><li>BYD’s 1Q24 GPM also underscored our prior argument that its price cuts in Feb 2024 could be largely absorbed by cost reduction from suppliers.</li><li>Nevertheless, we expect BYD to be more self-disciplined in SG&amp;A and R&amp;D expenses in the following quarters, should it put earnings at a higher priority.</li></ul>Content is external broker report sourced from online content aggregator through publicly available sources and is displayed below for general informational purposes only. Refer full disclaimer below.

Maintain BUY. Although BYD’s 1Q24 net profit of RMB 4.6bn missed our prior forecast on a massive R&amp;D spending of RMB10.6bn, we believe the automaker is still on track to achieve our FY24E net profit forecast of RMB33bn.BYD’s 1Q24 GPM also underscored our prior argument that its price cuts in Feb 2024 could be largely absorbed by cost reduction from suppliers.Nevertheless, we expect BYD to be more self-disciplined in SG&amp;A and R&amp;D expenses in the following quarters, should it put earnings at a higher priority.Content is external broker report sourced from online content aggregator through publicly available sources and is displayed below for general informational purposes only. Refer full disclaimer below.

BYD (1211 HK) - Our FY24 Forecasts Still on Track Post 1Q24

<ul><li>We summarize the Mar 2024 price discounts at dealers for major automakers in this report.</li><li>Note that such discounts for each automaker are calculated based on the weighted average of Feb 2024 retail sales volume for each model, as Mar 2024 retail sales volume data have not been released yet.</li><li>On the surface, the industrywide average discounts remained flat MoM in Mar 2024. </li></ul>Content is external broker report sourced from online content aggregator through publicly available sources and is displayed below for general informational purposes only. Refer full disclaimer below.

We summarize the Mar 2024 price discounts at dealers for major automakers in this report.Note that such discounts for each automaker are calculated based on the weighted average of Feb 2024 retail sales volume for each model, as Mar 2024 retail sales volume data have not been released yet.On the surface, the industrywide average discounts remained flat MoM in Mar 2024. Content is external broker report sourced from online content aggregator through publicly available sources and is displayed below for general informational purposes only. Refer full disclaimer below.

Auto - New models with lower MSRPs made discounts artificially stable

<ul><li>Although BYD’s 4Q23 gross margin narrowed 0.9ppt QoQ, its earnings quality remained high.</li><li>We revise down our FY24E sales volume by 3% to 3.6mn units and net profit by 16% to RMB33.0bn amid stiffer-than-expected competition.</li><li>Nevertheless, we are of the view that BYD’s FY24E earnings could be resilient aided by overseas expansion, more premium products and little financial burden from FY23.</li></ul>Content is external broker report sourced from online content aggregator through publicly available sources and is displayed below for general informational purposes only. Refer full disclaimer below.

Although BYD’s 4Q23 gross margin narrowed 0.9ppt QoQ, its earnings quality remained high.We revise down our FY24E sales volume by 3% to 3.6mn units and net profit by 16% to RMB33.0bn amid stiffer-than-expected competition.Nevertheless, we are of the view that BYD’s FY24E earnings could be resilient aided by overseas expansion, more premium products and little financial burden from FY23.Content is external broker report sourced from online content aggregator through publicly available sources and is displayed below for general informational purposes only. Refer full disclaimer below.

BYD (1211 HK) - Good FY23 Earnings Quality

<ul><li>China’s passenger-vehicle (PV) retail sales volume rose 72% YoY and fell 12% MoM to 2.22mn units in Jan 2024, based on insurance data, 2% higher than our prior forecast.</li><li>China’s PV wholesale volume rose 44% YoY and fell 24% MoM to 2.11mn units in Jan 2024, according to CAAM, 10% lower than our forecast, as automakers cut more than 0.4mn units of inventories.</li><li>PV exports rose 48% YoY and fell 12% MoM to 0.37mn units in Jan, also 10% lower than our projection</li></ul>Content is external broker report sourced from online content aggregator through publicly available sources and is displayed below for general informational purposes only. Refer full disclaimer below.

China’s passenger-vehicle (PV) retail sales volume rose 72% YoY and fell 12% MoM to 2.22mn units in Jan 2024, based on insurance data, 2% higher than our prior forecast.China’s PV wholesale volume rose 44% YoY and fell 24% MoM to 2.11mn units in Jan 2024, according to CAAM, 10% lower than our forecast, as automakers cut more than 0.4mn units of inventories.PV exports rose 48% YoY and fell 12% MoM to 0.37mn units in Jan, also 10% lower than our projectionContent is external broker report sourced from online content aggregator through publicly available sources and is displayed below for general informational purposes only. Refer full disclaimer below.

Auto - Post CNY Sales Recovery Could Be Mild

China

BYD Company Limited manufactures automotive products. The Company produces ordinary passenger cars, commercial vehicles, and other products. BYD also operates battery making, rail transportation construction, and other businesses.

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BYD (002594 CH)

Auto - Apr NEV sales beat; Price war continues

Chinese automakers including BYD, NIO, Xpeng, Li Auto, Zeekr, Aion, Deepal, Neta, Leap, Xiaomi etc reported their Apr 2024 sales volumes on 1 May...

CMB International

BYD (1211 HK) - Our FY24 Forecasts Still on Track Post 1Q24

BYD’s 1Q24 GPM also underscored our prior argument that its price cuts in Feb 2024 could be largely absorbed by cost reduction from suppliers.

CMB International

Auto - New models with lower MSRPs made discounts artificially stable

Note that such discounts for each automaker are calculated based on the weighted average of Feb 2024 retail sales volume for each model

CMB International

BYD (1211 HK) - Good FY23 Earnings Quality

We believe that investors are likely to prefer EV makers with solid earnings, as they are more likely to withstand the rising competition.

CMB International

Auto - Post CNY Sales Recovery Could Be Mild

China’s passenger-vehicle (PV) retail sales volume rose 72% YoY and fell 12% MoM to 2.22mn units in Jan 2024, based on insurance data, 2% higher...

CMB International

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