Blue Lotus China New Economy Research, Blue Lotus Research Institute

Eric Wen

Blue Lotus China New Economy Research

China growth and global non-US Internet equities

Blue Lotus Research Institute

Blue Lotus Research is a Hong Kong Type 4 Licensed investment advisory firm focusing on Chinese growth equities and global non-US Internet equities

Thematic (Sector/Industry)

<ul>
<li>Abnormally high growth during CNY of the express delivery parcel data showed social gift giving likely bumped up 20ppt YoY growth this CNY;</li>
<li>BYD plans to extend ADS to its low priced cars. 2025 will be a year L3 ADS extending to mainstream EV's now this prediction is even conservative;</li>
<li>Chinese EV makers are launching free price wars. But zero financing may be prompted by the banks, not by EV makers, mitigating margin impact.</li>
</ul>


Abnormally high growth during CNY of the express delivery parcel data showed social gift giving likely bumped up 20ppt YoY growth this CNY;
BYD plans to extend ADS to its low priced cars. 2025 will be a year L3 ADS extending to mainstream EV's now this prediction is even conservative;
Chinese EV makers are launching free price wars. But zero financing may be prompted by the banks, not by EV makers, mitigating margin impact.


[Blue Lotus China New Consumer Weekly, 6/52] Express Delivery Showed Social Gift Took off During CNY

Pan-Asia Tactical Market Calls (Quant-Driven), MRM Research

Nico Rosti

Pan-Asia Tactical Market Calls (Quant-Driven)

MRM Research

Quantitative Research

Quantitative Analysis

<ul>
<li>
<a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/byd-co-ltd-h" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="entities:20962:1" rel="noopener">BYD (1211 HK)</a> has experienced a significant surge in recent days, primarily due to investor anticipation surrounding the company's imminent announcement of its autonomous-driving strategy. </li>
<li>On Monday, at its Shenzhen headquarters, BYD is expected to unveil plans to integrate self-driving technology into its more affordable vehicle models, aiming to make autonomous-driving features a reality.</li>
<li>However, our models indicate a severe OVERBOUGHT WEEKLY state, and that means that the stock has already priced in any possible good news that could come on Monday.</li>
</ul>



BYD (1211 HK) has experienced a significant surge in recent days, primarily due to investor anticipation surrounding the company's imminent announcement of its autonomous-driving strategy. 
On Monday, at its Shenzhen headquarters, BYD is expected to unveil plans to integrate self-driving technology into its more affordable vehicle models, aiming to make autonomous-driving features a reality.
However, our models indicate a severe OVERBOUGHT WEEKLY state, and that means that the stock has already priced in any possible good news that could come on Monday.


While TSLA US Is Falling, BYD (1211HK) Is Rising (Maybe a Bit Too Fast!)

APAC IPOs & Placements, Aequitas Research

Clarence Chu

APAC IPOs & Placements

IPOs and Placements coverage across Asia Pacific

Aequitas Research

We cover all listing across the Asia Pacific along with follow-up placements. As of Dec 2020, our team had covered 539 IPOs with a hit rate of 73.5% and 685 placements with a hit rate of 66.8%.

We combine fundamental bottom-up views with our proprietary quantitative framework to provide a holistic coverage across new listings and placements. Our coverage includes pre-IPO notes before the deal is launched, follow-up analysis once the deal is live and post-listing trading analysis as well.

Equity Capital Markets

<ul>
<li>
<a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/guming-holdings-limited" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="entities:40622:1" rel="noopener">Guming Holdings (GUM HK)</a> is looking to raise US$202m in its Hong Kong IPO. Guming Holdings (Guming) sells freshly-made beverages in China.</li>
<li>Guming Holdings (Guming) sells freshly-made beverages in China. Guming focuses on the mid-priced freshly-made tea beverage market with product prices typically ranging between RMB10-18.</li>
<li>In this note, we discuss our thoughts on valuation at the IPO price range.</li>
</ul>



Guming Holdings (GUM HK) is looking to raise US$202m in its Hong Kong IPO. Guming Holdings (Guming) sells freshly-made beverages in China.
Guming Holdings (Guming) sells freshly-made beverages in China. Guming focuses on the mid-priced freshly-made tea beverage market with product prices typically ranging between RMB10-18.
In this note, we discuss our thoughts on valuation at the IPO price range.


Guming Holdings IPO - Digestible Valuation from the Bottom End

Head of Research, IPOs & Placements, Aequitas Research

Sumeet Singh

Head of Research, IPOs & Placements

Event-Driven

<ul>
<li>
<a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/ola-electric-mobility-pvt-ltd" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="entities:40618:1" rel="noopener">Ola Electric (OLAELEC IN)</a> raised around US$734m in its India IPO in August 2024. The lockup for its pre-IPO investors is set to expire soon.</li>
<li>Ola Electric Mobility is a vertically integrated pure EV player in India with manufacturing capabilities for EVs and EV components, including cells</li>
<li>In this note, we will talk about the lockup dynamics and possible placement.</li>
</ul>



Ola Electric (OLAELEC IN) raised around US$734m in its India IPO in August 2024. The lockup for its pre-IPO investors is set to expire soon.
Ola Electric Mobility is a vertically integrated pure EV player in India with manufacturing capabilities for EVs and EV components, including cells
In this note, we will talk about the lockup dynamics and possible placement.


Ola Electric IPO Lockup - US$1.6bn+ Lockup Release

Asia L/S Equity PM/Macro/Thematic Idea Generation

Rikki Malik

<ul>
<li>Following on from our last HK piece, we take a closer look at the tech sector</li>
<li>While the overall HSTECH index provides a good risk-reward, some</li>
<li>Individual E-commerce &amp; software names offer much more upside than  downside</li>
</ul>


Following on from our last HK piece, we take a closer look at the tech sector
While the overall HSTECH index provides a good risk-reward, some
Individual E-commerce &amp; software names offer much more upside than  downside


HSTECH Index. Identifying Individual Names with Greater Potential Upside

China

BYD Company Limited manufactures automotive products. The Company produces ordinary passenger cars, commercial vehicles, and other products. BYD also operates battery making, rail transportation construction, and other businesses.

Price Gauge
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BYD (002594 CH)

While TSLA US Is Falling, BYD (1211HK) Is Rising (Maybe a Bit Too Fast!)

BYD (1211 HK) recently surged on investor excitement over upcoming autonomous-driving strategy announcement, but the stock is already ultra...

Nico Rosti

Guming Holdings IPO - Digestible Valuation from the Bottom End

Guming Holdings (GUM HK) is looking to raise US$202m in its Hong Kong IPO. In this note, we discuss our thoughts on valuation at the IPO price range.

Clarence Chu

Ola Electric IPO Lockup - US$1.6bn+ Lockup Release

Ola Electric (OLAELEC IN) raised around US$734m in its India IPO in August 2024. The lockup for its pre-IPO investors is set to expire soon.

Sumeet Singh

HSTECH Index. Identifying Individual Names with Greater Potential Upside

The initial market reaction to the Deepseek news is to bid up Chinese tech names, both platform and semiconductor-related. The tariff newsflow will...

Rikki Malik

Price Gauge

52-week Range

Market Cap (USDm)

P/E

Dividend (Yield)

[Blue Lotus China New Consumer Weekly, 6/52] Express Delivery Showed Social Gift Took off During CNY

​CNY gift giving boosts express delivery growth, BYD to add ADS to low priced cars, Chinese EV makers engage in price wars with potential financing...

Blue Lotus Research Institute

While TSLA US Is Falling, BYD (1211HK) Is Rising (Maybe a Bit Too Fast!)

​BYD (1211 HK) recently surged on investor excitement over upcoming autonomous-driving strategy announcement, but the stock is already ultra...

Nico Rosti

Guming Holdings IPO - Digestible Valuation from the Bottom End

Guming Holdings (GUM HK) is looking to raise US$202m in its Hong Kong IPO. In this note, we discuss our thoughts on valuation at the IPO price range.

Clarence Chu

Ola Electric IPO Lockup - US$1.6bn+ Lockup Release

Ola Electric (OLAELEC IN) raised around US$734m in its India IPO in August 2024. The lockup for its pre-IPO investors is set to expire soon.

Sumeet Singh

HSTECH Index. Identifying Individual Names with Greater Potential Upside

The initial market reaction to the Deepseek news is to bid up Chinese tech names, both platform and semiconductor-related. The tariff newsflow will...

Rikki Malik

CNY gift giving boosts express delivery growth, BYD to add ADS to low priced cars, Chinese EV makers engage in price wars with potential financing...

BYD (1211 HK) recently surged on investor excitement over upcoming autonomous-driving strategy announcement, but the stock is already ultra...