Equity Analyst, Event-driven, Quiddity Advisors

Janaghan Jeyakumar, CFA

Equity Analyst, Event-driven

Quiddity Advisors

Pan-Asia Catalysts/Events

Event-Driven

<ul>
<li>In this insight, we take a look at a group of names with reasonably high likelihood of being involved in index changes for the Hang Seng Index in March 2024.</li>
<li>The index changes for the March 2024 index rebal will be announced on 16th February 2024.</li>
<li>While the Hang Seng Index selection process is highly subjective, we continue to believe that identifying eligible names and grouping them by conviction level could be a valuable exercise.</li>
</ul>


In this insight, we take a look at a group of names with reasonably high likelihood of being involved in index changes for the Hang Seng Index in March 2024.
The index changes for the March 2024 index rebal will be announced on 16th February 2024.
While the Hang Seng Index selection process is highly subjective, we continue to believe that identifying eligible names and grouping them by conviction level could be a valuable exercise.


Quiddity Leaderboard for Hang Seng Index Mar 24: More Room Being Created for IT Names?

External broker reports(aggregated public sources), CMB International

CMB International

External broker reports(aggregated public sources)

Incorporated in Hong Kong, supported by the mainland and targeting in global market, CMB International Capital Corporation Limited (“CMBI”) is an integrated financial institution providing comprehensive and professional services. As a wholly-owned subsidiary of China Merchants Bank ("CMB"), by leveraging on the Group’s synergy and coordination in domestic and overseas markets, as well as CMB’s strong resources and outstanding social reputation, CMBI and its subsidiaries have been actively implementing diversified business strategies and set up an overall layout of main business segments including Corporate Finance, Asset Management, Wealth Management, Global Markets and Structured Finance, etc. Adhering to the philosophy of “being clients oriented and increasing our own values by the way of creating value for clients”, CMBI endeavors to provide quality and integrated financial services to institutional, corporate and individual customers both domestic and overseas including Hong Kong IPO sponsorship and underwriting, share placement and rights issue for listed companies, financial advisors, bonds issuance services, asset management, direct investment, wealth management, equity sales and trading, etc.

Equity Bottom-Up

<ul><li>We reiterate BUY rating on BYDE after it preannounced strong FY23 earnings growth of 110-123% YoY, with mid-point 2%/3% above our/consensus estimates.</li><li>For 4Q23, net profit delivered strong growth of 57% YoY. As stated in our note last week, we believe recent stock correction was mainly due to concerns on slower smartphone recovery in 1Q24, NEV biz price pressure and Jabil’s casing earnings uncertainties.</li><li>We believe market concern is overdone given 1) Huawei’s high-end model comeback likely to boost shipments and ASP hikes on titanium upgrade, 2) solid growth for NEV biz on new product ramp-up, parentco orders and new orders wins, and 3) sales synergies from Jabil’s acquisition. After recent correction, the stock now trades at 11.2x FY24E P/E, which is attractive in our view. </li></ul>Content is external broker report sourced from online content aggregator through publicly available sources and is displayed below for general informational purposes only. Refer full disclaimer below.

We reiterate BUY rating on BYDE after it preannounced strong FY23 earnings growth of 110-123% YoY, with mid-point 2%/3% above our/consensus estimates.For 4Q23, net profit delivered strong growth of 57% YoY. As stated in our note last week, we believe recent stock correction was mainly due to concerns on slower smartphone recovery in 1Q24, NEV biz price pressure and Jabil’s casing earnings uncertainties.We believe market concern is overdone given 1) Huawei’s high-end model comeback likely to boost shipments and ASP hikes on titanium upgrade, 2) solid growth for NEV biz on new product ramp-up, parentco orders and new orders wins, and 3) sales synergies from Jabil’s acquisition. After recent correction, the stock now trades at 11.2x FY24E P/E, which is attractive in our view. Content is external broker report sourced from online content aggregator through publicly available sources and is displayed below for general informational purposes only. Refer full disclaimer below.

BYDE (285 HK) - FY23 Positive Profit Alert Above Expectations

<ul><li>We believe BYDE’s recent stock tumble reflected market concerns on smartphone demand recovery, NEV pricing pressure and Jabil’s biz uncertainties.</li><li>After we spoke to BYDE mgmt. this week, we remain positive on Huawei’s comeback and expect Android recovery and titanium upgrade will be positive to shipment/ASP into 1H24E.</li><li>Mgmt. also expected high growth for NEV biz in 2024 thanks to new product rampup, parentco orders and new domestic &amp; overseas order wins. </li></ul>Content is external broker report sourced from online content aggregator through publicly available sources and is displayed below for general informational purposes only. Refer full disclaimer below.

We believe BYDE’s recent stock tumble reflected market concerns on smartphone demand recovery, NEV pricing pressure and Jabil’s biz uncertainties.After we spoke to BYDE mgmt. this week, we remain positive on Huawei’s comeback and expect Android recovery and titanium upgrade will be positive to shipment/ASP into 1H24E.Mgmt. also expected high growth for NEV biz in 2024 thanks to new product rampup, parentco orders and new domestic &amp; overseas order wins. Content is external broker report sourced from online content aggregator through publicly available sources and is displayed below for general informational purposes only. Refer full disclaimer below.

BYDE (285 HK) - Market Concerns Overdone; Strong NEV and Jabil Mobile Synergies Ahead

Pan-Asia Index Rebalances/ Events/ Delta One, Periscope Analytics

Brian Freitas

Pan-Asia Index Rebalances/ Events/ Delta One

Periscope Analytics

Periscope Analytics focuses on event-driven trades across Asia Pacific and provides comprehensive, timely and systematic coverage of index changes to major Asia Pacific indices in a structured manner.

The analysis includes forecasted inclusions and exclusions to all major Asian indices that have significant amount of tracking assets, including estimates of passive buy/sell flow on the stocks. The service also provides commentary and impact of market consultations, ground rule changes, and other events (IPOs, spin-offs, M&A) that could lead to index changes and passive flow.

Periscope Analytics works with multi-strategy hedge funds, proprietary trading firms, stat arb trading groups and long-only investors that invest and trade in the Asia Pacific region with the data being used to trade index rebalances, avoid pre-positioning and passive flow, and to time entry into and exit from stocks.

Event-Driven Trades Across Asia Pacific

<ul>
<li>The review period for the next rebalance of a global index kicks off this week and that is where a lot of eyes will be focused.</li>
<li>There were big inflows to ETFs tracking the <a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/shanghai-shenzhen-csi-300-inde" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="entities:22906:1" rel="noopener">Shanghai Shenzhen CSI 300 Inde (SHSZ300 INDEX)</a> while there were redemptions from the <a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/hang-seng-china-enterprises-index-etf" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="entities:25:1" rel="noopener">Hang Seng H Share Index ETF (2828 HK)</a>. </li>
<li>Inflows continue for <a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/ishares-msci-emerging-markets-223f5da3-7054-4e4f-bc55-b7f0852c2581" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="entities:31998:1" rel="noopener">iShares Emerging Markets ex China (EMXC US)</a> while there were outflows from <a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/ishares-msci-acwi-etf" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="entities:24402:1" rel="noopener">iShares ACWI ETF (ACWI US)</a>. </li>
</ul>


The review period for the next rebalance of a global index kicks off this week and that is where a lot of eyes will be focused.
There were big inflows to ETFs tracking the Shanghai Shenzhen CSI 300 Inde (SHSZ300 INDEX) while there were redemptions from the Hang Seng H Share Index ETF (2828 HK). 
Inflows continue for iShares Emerging Markets ex China (EMXC US) while there were outflows from iShares ACWI ETF (ACWI US). 


Index Rebalance & ETF Flow Recap: HSI, LQ45, FXI, 2823 HK, SENSEX

<ul><li>We hosted a NDR investor call with BYDE mgmt. yesterday. Overall, mgmt. reiterated its positive view on strong 3Q23 results thanks to robust NEV/new intelligent growth and major Android/US clients’ share gain/upgrade.</li><li>Mgmt. also expected Android recovery, new NEV products, overseas expansion and Jabil synergies to drive growth in FY24/25E.</li><li>The stock now trades at 17.3x/13.8x FY23/24E P/E, which is attractive in our view. Reiterate BUY.</li></ul>Content is external broker report sourced from online content aggregator through publicly available sources and is displayed below for general informational purposes only. Refer full disclaimer below.

We hosted a NDR investor call with BYDE mgmt. yesterday. Overall, mgmt. reiterated its positive view on strong 3Q23 results thanks to robust NEV/new intelligent growth and major Android/US clients’ share gain/upgrade.Mgmt. also expected Android recovery, new NEV products, overseas expansion and Jabil synergies to drive growth in FY24/25E.The stock now trades at 17.3x/13.8x FY23/24E P/E, which is attractive in our view. Reiterate BUY.Content is external broker report sourced from online content aggregator through publicly available sources and is displayed below for general informational purposes only. Refer full disclaimer below.

BYDE (285 HK) – NDR Takeaways: Android upside, NEV ramp up and Jabil synergies

China

BYD Electronic International Co., Ltd. researches, develops, manufactures handset components such as handset casings and handset keypads and modules for handset manufacturers.  The Company also provides assembly services comprising assembly service and PCB assembly service to global handset manufacturers.

BYD Electronics (285 HK)

Quiddity Leaderboard for Hang Seng Index Mar 24: More Room Being Created for IT Names?

The index changes for the Hang Seng Index for the March 2024 index rebal event will be announced on 16th February 2024. Although the index...

Janaghan Jeyakumar, CFA

BYDE (285 HK) - FY23 Positive Profit Alert Above Expectations

We reiterate BUY rating on BYDE after it preannounced strong FY23 earnings growth of 110-123% YoY, with mid-point 2%/3% above our/consensus estimates.

CMB International

BYDE (285 HK) - Market Concerns Overdone; Strong NEV and Jabil Mobile Synergies Ahead

We believe BYDE’s recent stock tumble reflected market concerns on smartphone demand recovery, NEV pricing pressure and Jabil’s biz uncertainties.

CMB International

Index Rebalance & ETF Flow Recap: HSI, LQ45, FXI, 2823 HK, SENSEX

This recap highlights Insights covering Asian index rebalances (announcements/ forecasts/ IPO Fast Entry/ M&A driven changes). We also highlight...

Brian Freitas

BYDE (285 HK) – NDR Takeaways: Android upside, NEV ramp up and Jabil synergies

We hosted a NDR investor call with BYDE mgmt. yesterday. Overall, mgmt. reiterated its positive view on strong 3Q23 results thanks to robust...

CMB International