Asia Pac IPO & Placement Research, China biotech, Aequitas Research

Ke Yan, CFA, FRM

Asia Pac IPO & Placement Research, China biotech

IPOs and Placements coverage across Asia Pacific

Aequitas Research

We cover all listing across the Asia Pacific along with follow-up placements. As of Dec 2020, our team had covered 539 IPOs with a hit rate of 73.5% and 685 placements with a hit rate of 66.8%.

We combine fundamental bottom-up views with our proprietary quantitative framework to provide a holistic coverage across new listings and placements. Our coverage includes pre-IPO notes before the deal is launched, follow-up analysis once the deal is live and post-listing trading analysis as well.

Quantitative Analysis

<ul>
<li>We analyze the weekly Hong Kong Connect flows with our data engine for holding position as of May 17th.</li>
<li>The top stocks by inflows and outflows were tabulated for all market, HSCEI, mid cap and s/mid cap groups.</li>
<li>We highlight flows for BOC, Sinopec, CNOOC, HSBC, Kuaishou Technology, Tencent.</li>
</ul>


We analyze the weekly Hong Kong Connect flows with our data engine for holding position as of May 17th.
The top stocks by inflows and outflows were tabulated for all market, HSCEI, mid cap and s/mid cap groups.
We highlight flows for BOC, Sinopec, CNOOC, HSBC, Kuaishou Technology, Tencent.


Hong Kong Connect Flows (May 17th): BOC, Sinopec, CNOOC, HSBC, Kuaishou Technology, Tencent

Pan-Asia Catalysts/Events, Quiddity Advisors

Travis Lundy

Pan-Asia Catalysts/Events

Quiddity Advisors

Event-Driven

<ul>
<li>The Hang Seng Tech Index is more widely-followed than many think, and it is reasonably concentrated, so outperformance and underperformance by big names means capping and re-capping.</li>
<li>This time, those flows are worth about 8% of the index in terms of one-way flows. Meituan, Xiaomi, JD.com, Tencent and Kuaishou Tech DOWN. Li Auto back up. </li>
<li>Those who have pre-positioned on the big buy have recently gotten hurt. There are some FAF changes which are less predictable and may be interesting.</li>
</ul>


The Hang Seng Tech Index is more widely-followed than many think, and it is reasonably concentrated, so outperformance and underperformance by big names means capping and re-capping.
This time, those flows are worth about 8% of the index in terms of one-way flows. Meituan, Xiaomi, JD.com, Tencent and Kuaishou Tech DOWN. Li Auto back up. 
Those who have pre-positioned on the big buy have recently gotten hurt. There are some FAF changes which are less predictable and may be interesting.


HSTECH June 2024 Rebal - No Changes But Big Capping Flows, As Expected; 8% US$1.6bn One-Way

Zijin Mining Group Co Ltd H / Event-Driven

<ul>
<li>The HSCEI is well-known and well-followed but sees less passive tracking than you might expect. Quiddity teammember Janaghan had expected up to two ADDs and two DELETEs.</li>
<li>We got one ADD and one DELETE instead as <a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/sensetime-group-inc" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="entities:34319:1" rel="noopener">SenseTime Group (20 HK)</a> was "saved" from deletion by a FFW/FAF increase. </li>
<li>Relatively smaller flows here at 3% one-way with the big flows on the name changes.</li>
</ul>


The HSCEI is well-known and well-followed but sees less passive tracking than you might expect. Quiddity teammember Janaghan had expected up to two ADDs and two DELETEs.
We got one ADD and one DELETE instead as SenseTime Group (20 HK) was "saved" from deletion by a FFW/FAF increase. 
Relatively smaller flows here at 3% one-way with the big flows on the name changes.


HSCEI June 2024 Rebal - Zijin Mining (2899) ADDed, Xinyi Solar (968) DELETEd

<ul>
<li>The Hang Seng Index benchmark has been expected to see an increase in names and flows to Healthcare. We have only one ADD (IT/tech) and one DELETE.</li>
<li>But the headlined DELETE candidate in <a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/insights/quiddity-leaderboard-for-hang-seng-index-jun-24-could-country-garden-services-get-deleted" target="_blank" rel="noopener">the most recent Quiddity Leaderboard</a> was chosen to be deleted. And the ADD one of our top two.</li>
<li>Flows are somewhat restrained at capping flows, small name change flows, and then a few FFW/FAF changes to be about 1.9% one-way flows in total.</li>
</ul>


The Hang Seng Index benchmark has been expected to see an increase in names and flows to Healthcare. We have only one ADD (IT/tech) and one DELETE.
But the headlined DELETE candidate in the most recent Quiddity Leaderboard was chosen to be deleted. And the ADD one of our top two.
Flows are somewhat restrained at capping flows, small name change flows, and then a few FFW/FAF changes to be about 1.9% one-way flows in total.


HSI June 2024 Rebal - BYD Electronics (285) ADDed, Cogard Svcs (6098) DELETEd, and Capping Flows

Pan-Asia Index Rebalances/ Events/ Delta One, Periscope Analytics

Brian Freitas

Pan-Asia Index Rebalances/ Events/ Delta One

Periscope Analytics

Periscope Analytics focuses on event-driven trades across Asia Pacific and provides comprehensive, timely and systematic coverage of index changes to major Asia Pacific indices in a structured manner.

The analysis includes forecasted inclusions and exclusions to all major Asian indices that have significant amount of tracking assets, including estimates of passive buy/sell flow on the stocks. The service also provides commentary and impact of market consultations, ground rule changes, and other events (IPOs, spin-offs, M&A) that could lead to index changes and passive flow.

Periscope Analytics works with multi-strategy hedge funds, proprietary trading firms, stat arb trading groups and long-only investors that invest and trade in the Asia Pacific region with the data being used to trade index rebalances, avoid pre-positioning and passive flow, and to time entry into and exit from stocks.

Event-Driven Trades Across Asia Pacific

<ul>
<li>Post market close tomorrow, Hang Seng Indexes will announce the changes for the <a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/hong-kong-hang-seng-index" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="entities:22899:1" rel="noopener">Hang Seng Index (HSI INDEX)</a> that will be implemented at the close on 7 June.</li>
<li>There were no constituent changes to the index in March. We highlight ten profitable and eligible stocks that could be added to the index in June.</li>
<li>Changes to the Hang Seng Industry Classification System (HSICS) could lead to inclusions for the Information Technology industry while there could also be inclusions for the underweighted Healthcare industry.</li>
</ul>


Post market close tomorrow, Hang Seng Indexes will announce the changes for the Hang Seng Index (HSI INDEX) that will be implemented at the close on 7 June.
There were no constituent changes to the index in March. We highlight ten profitable and eligible stocks that could be added to the index in June.
Changes to the Hang Seng Industry Classification System (HSICS) could lead to inclusions for the Information Technology industry while there could also be inclusions for the underweighted Healthcare industry.


Hang Seng Index (HSI) Rebalance Preview: Inclusion Candidates for June

China

BYD Electronic International Co., Ltd. researches, develops, manufactures handset components such as handset casings and handset keypads and modules for handset manufacturers.  The Company also provides assembly services comprising assembly service and PCB assembly service to global handset manufacturers.

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BYD Electronics (285 HK)

Hong Kong Connect Flows (May 17th): BOC, Sinopec, CNOOC, HSBC, Kuaishou Technology, Tencent

We analyzed southbound Hong Kong connect flows in the past week and highlight flows for BOC, Sinopec, CNOOC, HSBC, Kuaishou Technology, Tencent.

Ke Yan, CFA, FRM

HSTECH June 2024 Rebal - No Changes But Big Capping Flows, As Expected; 8% US$1.6bn One-Way

Quiddity did not expect any name changes to the HSTECH index in June 2024 but we expected big flows because of significant capping impact, mostly...

Travis Lundy

HSCEI June 2024 Rebal - Zijin Mining (2899) ADDed, Xinyi Solar (968) DELETEd

The HSCEI Index sees one add and one delete. The ADD of Zijin was expected. Quiddity expected Xinyi Solar to be deleted, and Sensetime too, but it...

Travis Lundy

HSI June 2024 Rebal - BYD Electronics (285) ADDed, Cogard Svcs (6098) DELETEd, and Capping Flows

Hang Seng rebals are usually difficult to predict because the whims and fancies of the index committee are tough to know. We got the DELETE right....

Travis Lundy

Hang Seng Index (HSI) Rebalance Preview: Inclusion Candidates for June

The move to 100 constituents is expected to drag on into 2025. We highlight 10 stocks that could be considered for inclusion in the HSI in June....

Brian Freitas

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