Blue Lotus China New Economy Research, Blue Lotus Research Institute

Eric Wen

Blue Lotus China New Economy Research

China growth and global non-US Internet equities

Blue Lotus Research Institute

Blue Lotus Research is a Hong Kong Type 4 Licensed investment advisory firm focusing on Chinese growth equities and global non-US Internet equities

Thematic (Sector/Industry)

<ul>
<li>Many has cheered or felt relieved over Xi's weekend meeting with the top Chinese business community. We see a closer relationship between the state apparatus and private enterprises going forward;</li>
<li>January 2025 saw improvement in social financing, with meaningful recovery in corporate financing. Recovery for BOSS might be forthcoming;</li>
<li>BYD dropped the bombshell in populating autonomous driving service (ADS) in sub-Rmb100K vehicles. We view it as another DeepSeek moment. The biggest loser is Tesla. Fast ADS rollout supports AGI.</li>
</ul>


Many has cheered or felt relieved over Xi's weekend meeting with the top Chinese business community. We see a closer relationship between the state apparatus and private enterprises going forward;
January 2025 saw improvement in social financing, with meaningful recovery in corporate financing. Recovery for BOSS might be forthcoming;
BYD dropped the bombshell in populating autonomous driving service (ADS) in sub-Rmb100K vehicles. We view it as another DeepSeek moment. The biggest loser is Tesla. Fast ADS rollout supports AGI.


[Blue Lotus China New Consumer Weekly, 7/52] Xi's Meeting with Ma Closed the Anti-Monopoly Chapter

Singapore Market Roundup, Singapore Market Roundup

Singapore Market Roundup

<ul><li>Analysts are bullish on FEHT due to strong second half fiscal year 2024 hotel revenue per available room (RevPAR) and merger and acquisition (M&amp;A) prospects. </li><li>DBS is cautious about the long-term market gains from China's AI breakthrough, expressing skepticism about its potential impact on boosting the market. </li><li>CGSI has upgraded ISDN to 'add' and raised their target price to 35 cents, citing an industrial automation-led recovery as the reason for the upgrade.</li></ul>

Analysts are bullish on FEHT due to strong second half fiscal year 2024 hotel revenue per available room (RevPAR) and merger and acquisition (M&amp;A) prospects. DBS is cautious about the long-term market gains from China's AI breakthrough, expressing skepticism about its potential impact on boosting the market. CGSI has upgraded ISDN to 'add' and raised their target price to 35 cents, citing an industrial automation-led recovery as the reason for the upgrade.

Singapore Market Roundup (13-Feb-2025): FEHT favored for strong RevPAR and M&A in 2HFY2024.

<ul>
<li>Abnormally high growth during CNY of the express delivery parcel data showed social gift giving likely bumped up 20ppt YoY growth this CNY;</li>
<li>BYD plans to extend ADS to its low priced cars. 2025 will be a year L3 ADS extending to mainstream EV's now this prediction is even conservative;</li>
<li>Chinese EV makers are launching free price wars. But zero financing may be prompted by the banks, not by EV makers, mitigating margin impact.</li>
</ul>


Abnormally high growth during CNY of the express delivery parcel data showed social gift giving likely bumped up 20ppt YoY growth this CNY;
BYD plans to extend ADS to its low priced cars. 2025 will be a year L3 ADS extending to mainstream EV's now this prediction is even conservative;
Chinese EV makers are launching free price wars. But zero financing may be prompted by the banks, not by EV makers, mitigating margin impact.


[Blue Lotus China New Consumer Weekly, 6/52] Express Delivery Showed Social Gift Took off During CNY

Technical Analyst, Vermilion Research

Joe Jasper

Technical Analyst

Technical and Quantitative Research

Vermilion Research

Vermilion’s objective is to deliver timely, actionable, and unique technical research to professional investors through the application of our various technical indicators.

Our research strategists seek to highlight securities which we believe are at major inflection points, based on our various technical and quantitative indicators, and offer asymmetric risk/return profiles. Our unique research methodology, centered on relative strength, enables our strategists to deliver superior investment recommendations.

Our process begins by organizing the universe of actively traded stocks into discrete sectors, then into industry groups. We then apply our technical and quantitative tools to identify developing price trends. Once attractive trends are identified within a selected sector or group, we screen for individual stocks which we believe offer the best risk/reward profile. We provide a historical perspective that often reveals, through our long-term charts, how price patterns often repeat themselves over time.

Technical Analysis

<ul>
<li>Our bullish outlook on global equities (MSCI ACWI) remains intact with ACWI-US and the S&amp;P 500 firmly trending higher. Our recommendation since mid-October to use any pre-election pullback in..</li>
<li>... the ACWI or the SPX as an opportunity to add exposure continues to pay off, and there is not much left to do except ride the trend higher.</li>
<li>Additionally, we still see a high probability of significant upside going into year-end and the early part of 2025 -- and likely beyond</li>
</ul>


Our bullish outlook on global equities (MSCI ACWI) remains intact with ACWI-US and the S&amp;P 500 firmly trending higher. Our recommendation since mid-October to use any pre-election pullback in..
... the ACWI or the SPX as an opportunity to add exposure continues to pay off, and there is not much left to do except ride the trend higher.
Additionally, we still see a high probability of significant upside going into year-end and the early part of 2025 -- and likely beyond


Ride the Trend Higher in MSCI ACWI and S&P 500; Buy/Stay Long Global Discretionary, Services, Tech

Index Rebal/Special Situations, Quiddity Advisors

Janaghan Jeyakumar, CFA

Index Rebal/Special Situations

Quiddity Advisors

Pan-Asia Catalysts/Events

Index Rebalance

<ul>
<li>The Hang Seng Internet &amp; IT (HSIII) index represents the top 30 Hong Kong-listed stocks related to internet and information technology businesses.</li>
<li>We expect no index changes in December 2026 but we see capping flows of ~US$112mn one-way.</li>
<li>We expect at least two ADDs/DELs in the next index review which will take place in March 2027. </li>
</ul>


The Hang Seng Internet &amp; IT (HSIII) index represents the top 30 Hong Kong-listed stocks related to internet and information technology businesses.
We expect no index changes in December 2026 but we see capping flows of ~US$112mn one-way.
We expect at least two ADDs/DELs in the next index review which will take place in March 2027. 


Quiddity Leaderboard HSIII Dec26/Mar27: Two Changes Likely in Mar27; One More Close to the Border

China

BYD Electronic (International) Co., Ltd. manufactures and sells handset components and modules, and provides assembly services for mobile phones. The company offers one-stop product solutions leveraging electronic information, AI, 5G, and IoT technologies, with its business spanning smartphones, computers, new energy vehicles, smart home solutions, and communication equipment. It was incorporated in 2007 and is headquartered in Shenzhen, China.

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BYD Electronic (285 HK)

[Blue Lotus China New Consumer Weekly, 7/52] Xi's Meeting with Ma Closed the Anti-Monopoly Chapter

Xi's meeting with Chinese business leaders signals a closer relationship going forward. Social financing data improved in January 2025. BYD's...

Blue Lotus Research Institute

Singapore Market Roundup (13-Feb-2025): FEHT favored for strong RevPAR and M&A in 2HFY2024.

FEHT is favored by analysts for strong hotel RevPAR, DBS is skeptical of China's AI breakthrough, and CGSI upgrades ISDN on industrial automation...

Singapore Market Roundup

Ride the Trend Higher in MSCI ACWI and S&P 500; Buy/Stay Long Global Discretionary, Services, Tech

Ride the Trend Higher in MSCI $ACWI and $SPX; We are still bullish as Risk-On Signals Dominate. Ideas to buy/stay long in global Discretionary,...

Vermilion Research

Quiddity Leaderboard HSIII Dec26/Mar27: Two Changes Likely in Mar27; One More Close to the Border

The expected ADDs/DELs list for March 2027 can change until 31st December 2026. There is one potential ADD close to the border. If it outperforms...

Janaghan Jeyakumar, CFA

Price Gauge

52-week Range

Market Cap (USDm)

P/E

Dividend (Yield)

[Blue Lotus China New Consumer Weekly, 7/52] Xi's Meeting with Ma Closed the Anti-Monopoly Chapter

​Xi's meeting with Chinese business leaders signals a closer relationship going forward. Social financing data improved in January 2025. BYD's...

Blue Lotus Research Institute

Singapore Market Roundup (13-Feb-2025): FEHT favored for strong RevPAR and M&A in 2HFY2024.

FEHT is favored by analysts for strong hotel RevPAR, DBS is skeptical of China's AI breakthrough, and CGSI upgrades ISDN on industrial automation...

Singapore Market Roundup

[Blue Lotus China New Consumer Weekly, 6/52] Express Delivery Showed Social Gift Took off During CNY

​CNY gift giving boosts express delivery growth, BYD to add ADS to low priced cars, Chinese EV makers engage in price wars with potential financing...

Blue Lotus Research Institute

Ride the Trend Higher in MSCI ACWI and S&P 500; Buy/Stay Long Global Discretionary, Services, Tech

Ride the Trend Higher in MSCI $ACWI and $SPX; We are still bullish as Risk-On Signals Dominate. Ideas to buy/stay long in global Discretionary,...

Vermilion Research

Quiddity Leaderboard HSIII Dec26/Mar27: Two Changes Likely in Mar27; One More Close to the Border

The expected ADDs/DELs list for March 2027 can change until 31st December 2026. There is one potential ADD close to the border. If it outperforms...

Janaghan Jeyakumar, CFA

Xi's meeting with Chinese business leaders signals a closer relationship going forward. Social financing data improved in January 2025. BYD's...

CNY gift giving boosts express delivery growth, BYD to add ADS to low priced cars, Chinese EV makers engage in price wars with potential financing...