Technical Analyst, Vermilion Research

Joe Jasper

Technical Analyst

Technical and Quantitative Research

Vermilion Research

Vermilion’s objective is to deliver timely, actionable, and unique technical research to professional investors through the application of our various technical indicators.

Our research strategists seek to highlight securities which we believe are at major inflection points, based on our various technical and quantitative indicators, and offer asymmetric risk/return profiles. Our unique research methodology, centered on relative strength, enables our strategists to deliver superior investment recommendations.

Our process begins by organizing the universe of actively traded stocks into discrete sectors, then into industry groups. We then apply our technical and quantitative tools to identify developing price trends. Once attractive trends are identified within a selected sector or group, we screen for individual stocks which we believe offer the best risk/reward profile. We provide a historical perspective that often reveals, through our long-term charts, how price patterns often repeat themselves over time.

Technical Analysis

Continued encouraging COVID-19 news and accommodative moves by the Fed have allowed the bulls to remain in control while short-term support on the S&amp;P 500 held near 2,450. While the bulls remain in control in the short-term, we continue to believe the broad equity market is not yet out of the woods and remains vulnerable -- particularly as Wall Street sentiment has flipped bullish. In today’s report we highlight attractive stocks from a relative strength perspective across Sectors.

Continued encouraging COVID-19 news and accommodative moves by the Fed have allowed the bulls to remain in control while short-term support on the S&amp;P 500 held near 2,450. While the bulls remain in control in the short-term, we continue to believe the broad equity market is not yet out of the woods and remains vulnerable -- particularly as Wall Street sentiment has flipped bullish. In today’s report we highlight attractive stocks from a relative strength perspective across Sectors.

U.S. Equity Strategy: Bulls Still In Driver’s Seat, But For How Long?

As we head into Q4 earnings season we remain bullish on the broad market. Our bullish outlook is supported by the themes highlighted in this report.  In addition, we highlight attractive Groups and stocks within Discretionary and Technology: Casinos &amp; Gaming, Large-Cap, Semiconductors, Mid-Cap, Semiconductors, Small-Cap, Software, Design Solutions.

As we head into Q4 earnings season we remain bullish on the broad market. Our bullish outlook is supported by the themes highlighted in this report.  In addition, we highlight attractive Groups and stocks within Discretionary and Technology: Casinos &amp; Gaming, Large-Cap, Semiconductors, Mid-Cap, Semiconductors, Small-Cap, Software, Design Solutions.

U.S. Equity Strategy: Growth Surging Relative to Value

Semiconductor & Technology Specialist, Ingenuity

William Keating

Semiconductor & Technology Specialist

Ingenuity

Our focus is exclusively on in-depth research & consulting in the broader semiconductor industry. We focus on the key players, namely Intel, Micron, Qualcomm, Apple, Samsung, NVIDIA, AMD, TSMC & Global Foundries - as well as some of the lesser known, but nonetheless critical, companies such as ASML (for EUV), Mellanox, Cavium, Xilinx etc. We specialise in their products, roadmaps, process technologies, competitive advantages & threats etc. We also help our clients understand the implications of new and emerging technologies, e.g. 3D X-Point, 3D NAND, Carbon Nanotubes, Autonomous Driving, Graphene, Silicon Photonics, Wafer-Level Optics, Artificial Intelligence, FPGA, GPU, ASIC etc. 

Semiconductor Analysis & Research

Equity Bottom-Up

<ul>
<li>SNPS reported Q2FY26 revenues of $2.276 billion, above prior guidance; quarterly GAAP earnings per diluted share (EPS) of $0.09, and non-GAAP EPS of $3.35</li>
<li>SNPS raised expectations for FY26 revenue to $9.665 billion, driven by strong performance across the business. Share price crashed ~9% the following day.</li>
<li>On the same day as the earnings call, SNPS entered into a cooperation agreement with Elliott,  including the appointment of Jesse Cohn to its board as an independent director. Yikes!</li>
</ul>


SNPS reported Q2FY26 revenues of $2.276 billion, above prior guidance; quarterly GAAP earnings per diluted share (EPS) of $0.09, and non-GAAP EPS of $3.35
SNPS raised expectations for FY26 revenue to $9.665 billion, driven by strong performance across the business. Share price crashed ~9% the following day.
On the same day as the earnings call, SNPS entered into a cooperation agreement with Elliott,  including the appointment of Jesse Cohn to its board as an independent director. Yikes!


Synopsys Q2 FY26. Beat, Raise, Crash & Hello There Elliott

Technology Select Sector SPDR / Technical Analysis

The S&amp;P 500 remains just short of formidable resistance at its 200-day MA. Yet, there are signs of continued breadth improvement.  Technology in particular continues to top our Sector RSR rankings, fueled by strengthening price and RS action for semiconductors, semi-suppliers, and numerous Software groups. Last week we upgraded our weighting for Technology and its strength continues to broaden out. In this week's report we highlight a number of actionable Technology stocks across our various Groups.

The S&amp;P 500 remains just short of formidable resistance at its 200-day MA. Yet, there are signs of continued breadth improvement.  Technology in particular continues to top our Sector RSR rankings, fueled by strengthening price and RS action for semiconductors, semi-suppliers, and numerous Software groups. Last week we upgraded our weighting for Technology and its strength continues to broaden out. In this week's report we highlight a number of actionable Technology stocks across our various Groups.

U.S. Tech Stocks Are Leading Market Higher.

On cue, outperformance last week and yesterday from cyclicals led the S&amp;P 500 to new all-time highs while defensive Sectors lagged. Additionally, weakness in the US dollar has allowed foreign equities to recover substantially, to the point where the major int’l ETFs (ACWX, EFA, and EEM) are on the cusp of bullish inflections topside downtrends. In today’s report outline our view of the U.S. equity market ad highlight attractive Groups and stocks within Health Care and Technology.

On cue, outperformance last week and yesterday from cyclicals led the S&amp;P 500 to new all-time highs while defensive Sectors lagged. Additionally, weakness in the US dollar has allowed foreign equities to recover substantially, to the point where the major int’l ETFs (ACWX, EFA, and EEM) are on the cusp of bullish inflections topside downtrends. In today’s report outline our view of the U.S. equity market ad highlight attractive Groups and stocks within Health Care and Technology.

U.S. Strategy: Sentiment Improving, Upgrading Manufacturing

United States

Cadence Design Systems, Inc. provides software technology, design and consulting services and technology.  The Company licenses its electronic design automation software technology and provides a variety of professional services.  Cadence's design realization solutions are used to design and develop complex chips and electronic systems, including semiconductors.

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Cadence Design Sys (CDNS US)

U.S. Equity Strategy: Bulls Still In Driver’s Seat, But For How Long?

Continued encouraging COVID-19 news and accommodative moves by the Fed have allowed the bulls to remain in control while short-term support on the...

Vermilion Research

U.S. Equity Strategy: Growth Surging Relative to Value

As we head into Q4 earnings season we remain bullish on the broad market. Our bullish outlook is supported by the themes highlighted in this...

Vermilion Research

Synopsys Q2 FY26. Beat, Raise, Crash & Hello There Elliott

On the same day as the earnings call, SNPS entered into a cooperation agreement with Elliott, including the appointment of Jesse Cohn to its board...

William Keating

U.S. Tech Stocks Are Leading Market Higher.

The S&P 500 remains just short of formidable resistance at its 200-day MA. Yet, there are signs of continued breadth improvement. Technology...

Vermilion Research

U.S. Strategy: Sentiment Improving, Upgrading Manufacturing

On cue, outperformance last week and yesterday from cyclicals led the S&P 500 to new all-time highs while defensive Sectors lagged....

Vermilion Research

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