External broker reports(aggregated public sources), CMB International

CMB International

External broker reports(aggregated public sources)

Incorporated in Hong Kong, supported by the mainland and targeting in global market, CMB International Capital Corporation Limited (“CMBI”) is an integrated financial institution providing comprehensive and professional services. As a wholly-owned subsidiary of China Merchants Bank ("CMB"), by leveraging on the Group’s synergy and coordination in domestic and overseas markets, as well as CMB’s strong resources and outstanding social reputation, CMBI and its subsidiaries have been actively implementing diversified business strategies and set up an overall layout of main business segments including Corporate Finance, Asset Management, Wealth Management, Global Markets and Structured Finance, etc. Adhering to the philosophy of “being clients oriented and increasing our own values by the way of creating value for clients”, CMBI endeavors to provide quality and integrated financial services to institutional, corporate and individual customers both domestic and overseas including Hong Kong IPO sponsorship and underwriting, share placement and rights issue for listed companies, financial advisors, bonds issuance services, asset management, direct investment, wealth management, equity sales and trading, etc.

Equity Bottom-Up

Cafe De Coral Holdings / Equity Bottom-Up

<ul><li>We have updated with the management after its positive 1H24 results (ASP hike and strong GP margin expansion) and turned slightly more positive about the company’s outlook.</li><li>While management’s 3-year target is still roughly intact (HSD pre-tax/ net profit margin by FY25E or no later than FY26E), our estimate is more prudent (5.9% pre-tax/ 5% net profit margin in FY25E).</li><li>Therefore, together with its undemanding valuation (13x FY25E P/E and 8% FY25E yield), we maintain our BUY rating and raise TP to HK$14.82. </li></ul>Content is external broker report sourced from online content aggregator through publicly available sources and is displayed below for general informational purposes only. Refer full disclaimer below.

We have updated with the management after its positive 1H24 results (ASP hike and strong GP margin expansion) and turned slightly more positive about the company’s outlook.While management’s 3-year target is still roughly intact (HSD pre-tax/ net profit margin by FY25E or no later than FY26E), our estimate is more prudent (5.9% pre-tax/ 5% net profit margin in FY25E).Therefore, together with its undemanding valuation (13x FY25E P/E and 8% FY25E yield), we maintain our BUY rating and raise TP to HK$14.82. Content is external broker report sourced from online content aggregator through publicly available sources and is displayed below for general informational purposes only. Refer full disclaimer below.

Cafe De Coral (341 HK) – The First Results Beat in a Long While

<ul><li>We have updated with the management after its FY23 results last week and believe recovery is here but the pace could be slightly slower than expected (as SSSG in FY23 was just 1-2%, missed CMBI est. of 4%).</li><li>While the management is still keeping their 3-year target (HSD pre-tax margin by FY25E), we are more prudent than them.</li><li>We maintain BUY but cut TP to HK$ 12.32, just because of the turnaround and relatively high dividend yield of 5%. </li></ul>Content is external broker report sourced from online content aggregator through publicly available sources and is displayed below for general informational purposes only. Refer full disclaimer below.

We have updated with the management after its FY23 results last week and believe recovery is here but the pace could be slightly slower than expected (as SSSG in FY23 was just 1-2%, missed CMBI est. of 4%).While the management is still keeping their 3-year target (HSD pre-tax margin by FY25E), we are more prudent than them.We maintain BUY but cut TP to HK$ 12.32, just because of the turnaround and relatively high dividend yield of 5%. Content is external broker report sourced from online content aggregator through publicly available sources and is displayed below for general informational purposes only. Refer full disclaimer below.

Cafe De Coral (341 HK) – Turnaround Is Here but Weaker than Expected

Pan-Asia Index Rebalances/ Events/ Delta One, Periscope Analytics

Brian Freitas

Pan-Asia Index Rebalances/ Events/ Delta One

Periscope Analytics

Periscope Analytics focuses on event-driven trades across Asia Pacific and provides comprehensive, timely and systematic coverage of index changes to major Asia Pacific indices in a structured manner.

The analysis includes forecasted inclusions and exclusions to all major Asian indices that have significant amount of tracking assets, including estimates of passive buy/sell flow on the stocks. The service also provides commentary and impact of market consultations, ground rule changes, and other events (IPOs, spin-offs, M&A) that could lead to index changes and passive flow.

Periscope Analytics works with multi-strategy hedge funds, proprietary trading firms, stat arb trading groups and long-only investors that invest and trade in the Asia Pacific region with the data being used to trade index rebalances, avoid pre-positioning and passive flow, and to time entry into and exit from stocks.

Event-Driven Trades Across Asia Pacific

Event-Driven

<ul>
<li>
<a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/fenbi-ltd" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="entities:36640:1" rel="noopener">Fenbi Ltd (2469 HK)</a> was added to the Hang Seng Composite Index (HSCI) at the close Friday and will be added to Southbound Stock Connect from open of trading today.</li>
<li>We see 22 potential adds, 19 potential deletes, couple of close deletes, 5 deletes on prolonged suspension and 4 close liquidity deletes for the HSCI in September.</li>
<li>There are 11 potential deletions where holdings via Stock Connect are more than 20% of shares outstanding. There could be some unwinding of positions over the next couple of months.</li>
</ul>



Fenbi Ltd (2469 HK) was added to the Hang Seng Composite Index (HSCI) at the close Friday and will be added to Southbound Stock Connect from open of trading today.
We see 22 potential adds, 19 potential deletes, couple of close deletes, 5 deletes on prolonged suspension and 4 close liquidity deletes for the HSCI in September.
There are 11 potential deletions where holdings via Stock Connect are more than 20% of shares outstanding. There could be some unwinding of positions over the next couple of months.


HSCI Index Rebalance Preview and Stock Connect: Potential Changes in September

HK/China Equity Long-Short

Osbert Tang, CFA

<ul>
<li>
<a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/tao-heung" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="entities:2668:1" rel="noopener">Tao Heung (573 HK)</a>, a Chinese cuisine restaurant operator, has lost significant shop-days in 1H22 due to the pandemic. However, this is behind us and 2H22 outlook is better.</li>
<li>The recovery of Hong Kong operations will be supported by further relaxation of social distancing measures while, for mainland China, business has rebounded following removal of lockdowns.   </li>
<li>Its Chairman has upped his stake, signaling a vote of confidence. The stock's valuations are not expensive, but given low turnover, there will be potential share price volatility.</li>
</ul>



Tao Heung (573 HK), a Chinese cuisine restaurant operator, has lost significant shop-days in 1H22 due to the pandemic. However, this is behind us and 2H22 outlook is better.
The recovery of Hong Kong operations will be supported by further relaxation of social distancing measures while, for mainland China, business has rebounded following removal of lockdowns.   
Its Chairman has upped his stake, signaling a vote of confidence. The stock's valuations are not expensive, but given low turnover, there will be potential share price volatility.


Equity, Bottom-up Analyst, Investics Research

Sameer Taneja

Equity, Bottom-up Analyst

Investics Research

It is important to note that the information provided by Investics Research is based on publicly available data and own knowledge, which has been gathered and analyzed from a variety of sources. While every effort has been made to ensure the accuracy and completeness of the information provided, it is not guaranteed to be free from errors or omissions. All forecasts and estimates are based on information that has been obtained from public sources that are considered to be reliable. The sources include but are not limited to, company announcements, exchange filings, presentations, etc. Investics does not guarantee the accuracy and completeness of the forecasts, estimates, and/or other information.

Equity Bottom-up Research

<ul>
<li>HK F&amp;B is set to have a reprieve as dine-in services at catering businesses can now remain open from 6 pm-10 pm ( max seating up to 4 people).</li>
<li>We provide a list of 34 names that will benefit from the removal of restrictions ( some with further catalysts down the road as they are exposed to China)</li>
<li>Our favorite pick remains <a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/taste-gourmet-group-ltd" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="entities:27339:1" rel="noopener">Taste Gourmet Group (8371 HK)</a> which we have written about in our insight <a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/insights/taste-gourmet-multibagger-reopening-play" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="insights:67297" rel="noopener">Taste Gourmet: Multibagger Reopening Play</a>.</li>
</ul>


HK F&amp;B is set to have a reprieve as dine-in services at catering businesses can now remain open from 6 pm-10 pm ( max seating up to 4 people).
We provide a list of 34 names that will benefit from the removal of restrictions ( some with further catalysts down the road as they are exposed to China)
Our favorite pick remains Taste Gourmet Group (8371 HK) which we have written about in our insight Taste Gourmet: Multibagger Reopening Play.


A Comprehensive List of Hong Kong F&B Names to Play the Reopening

Hong Kong

Cafe De Coral Holdings Limited, through its subsidiaries, operates quick service restaurants, fast casual dining, institutional catering and specialty restaurant chains, and food manufacturing business.

Cafe De Coral Holdings (341 HK)

Cafe De Coral (341 HK) – The First Results Beat in a Long While

We have updated with the management after its positive 1H24 results (ASP hike and strong GP margin expansion) and turned slightly more positive...

CMB International

Cafe De Coral (341 HK) – Turnaround Is Here but Weaker than Expected

While the management is still keeping their 3-year target (HSD pre-tax margin by FY25E), we are more prudent than them. We maintain BUY but cut TP...

CMB International

HSCI Index Rebalance Preview and Stock Connect: Potential Changes in September

A month out from review cutoff, there are 22 potential adds and 19 potential deletes for the HSCI in Sep. Most stocks will then be added to or...

Brian Freitas

Tao Heung (573 HK): Bon Appetit

Tao Heung should have a better 2H22 given recovery of Hong Kong operations as consumer spending improves. Also, mainland China market is not...

Osbert Tang, CFA

A Comprehensive List of Hong Kong F&B Names to Play the Reopening

We list 34 names that will benefit from the easing of dine-in restrictions in Hong Kong. Our favorite pick remains Taste Gourmet Group (8371 HK).

Sameer Taneja