External broker reports(aggregated public sources), CMB International

CMB International

External broker reports(aggregated public sources)

Incorporated in Hong Kong, supported by the mainland and targeting in global market, CMB International Capital Corporation Limited (“CMBI”) is an integrated financial institution providing comprehensive and professional services. As a wholly-owned subsidiary of China Merchants Bank ("CMB"), by leveraging on the Group’s synergy and coordination in domestic and overseas markets, as well as CMB’s strong resources and outstanding social reputation, CMBI and its subsidiaries have been actively implementing diversified business strategies and set up an overall layout of main business segments including Corporate Finance, Asset Management, Wealth Management, Global Markets and Structured Finance, etc. Adhering to the philosophy of “being clients oriented and increasing our own values by the way of creating value for clients”, CMBI endeavors to provide quality and integrated financial services to institutional, corporate and individual customers both domestic and overseas including Hong Kong IPO sponsorship and underwriting, share placement and rights issue for listed companies, financial advisors, bonds issuance services, asset management, direct investment, wealth management, equity sales and trading, etc.

Thematic (Sector/Industry)

<ul><li>Numbers for catering sector did rebound strongly YoY, but since SSS/ table turnover recovery rate were not as good as expected, de-rating was massive in 1H23E.</li><li>After a disappointing 2Q23 plus worrying macro outlook, we downgrade the sector to MARKET-PERFORM as we see more downside in earnings.</li><li>However, as valuation turned more attractive, we can start to accumulate industry leaders. </li></ul>Content is external broker report sourced from online content aggregator through publicly available sources and is displayed below for general informational purposes only. Refer full disclaimer below.

Numbers for catering sector did rebound strongly YoY, but since SSS/ table turnover recovery rate were not as good as expected, de-rating was massive in 1H23E.After a disappointing 2Q23 plus worrying macro outlook, we downgrade the sector to MARKET-PERFORM as we see more downside in earnings.However, as valuation turned more attractive, we can start to accumulate industry leaders. Content is external broker report sourced from online content aggregator through publicly available sources and is displayed below for general informational purposes only. Refer full disclaimer below.

China Catering Sector – Staying cautious after a disappointing 2Q23E

Equity Bottom-Up

Cafe De Coral Holdings / Equity Bottom-Up

<ul><li>We have updated with the management after its FY23 results last week and believe recovery is here but the pace could be slightly slower than expected (as SSSG in FY23 was just 1-2%, missed CMBI est. of 4%).</li><li>While the management is still keeping their 3-year target (HSD pre-tax margin by FY25E), we are more prudent than them.</li><li>We maintain BUY but cut TP to HK$ 12.32, just because of the turnaround and relatively high dividend yield of 5%. </li></ul>Content is external broker report sourced from online content aggregator through publicly available sources and is displayed below for general informational purposes only. Refer full disclaimer below.

We have updated with the management after its FY23 results last week and believe recovery is here but the pace could be slightly slower than expected (as SSSG in FY23 was just 1-2%, missed CMBI est. of 4%).While the management is still keeping their 3-year target (HSD pre-tax margin by FY25E), we are more prudent than them.We maintain BUY but cut TP to HK$ 12.32, just because of the turnaround and relatively high dividend yield of 5%. Content is external broker report sourced from online content aggregator through publicly available sources and is displayed below for general informational purposes only. Refer full disclaimer below.

Cafe De Coral (341 HK) – Turnaround Is Here but Weaker than Expected

<ul><li>Impressive recovery vs Feb-Apr 2023, while both consumer and investors sentiment should be boosted, the post holidays purchasing power is still important.</li><li>We find the data points during this 5-1 golden week in 2023 slightly better than expectation and encouraging, esp. after the weakening consumption trend post CNY 2023.</li><li>We are highly delighted to see a surge in recovery rate of domestic tourism volume/ spending during this holiday to 119%/ 101%, which is far better than the 83%/ 51% in Qingming Festival and 89%/ 73% in CNY, according to Ministry of Culture and Tourism/文化和旅游部.</li></ul>Content is external broker report sourced from online content aggregator through publicly available sources and is displayed below for general informational purposes only. Refer full disclaimer below.

Impressive recovery vs Feb-Apr 2023, while both consumer and investors sentiment should be boosted, the post holidays purchasing power is still important.We find the data points during this 5-1 golden week in 2023 slightly better than expectation and encouraging, esp. after the weakening consumption trend post CNY 2023.We are highly delighted to see a surge in recovery rate of domestic tourism volume/ spending during this holiday to 119%/ 101%, which is far better than the 83%/ 51% in Qingming Festival and 89%/ 73% in CNY, according to Ministry of Culture and Tourism/文化和旅游部.Content is external broker report sourced from online content aggregator through publicly available sources and is displayed below for general informational purposes only. Refer full disclaimer below.

China Consumer Sector – A Strong Comeback in 5-1 Golden Week

<ul><li>We updated with management and believe SSS should return to growth and margin should further improve in 2H3/23E, despite the weak economic growth in HK and massive covid-19 outbreaks in GZ in Nov 2022.</li><li>We maintain BUY but cut TP to HK$ 15.12, based on 22x FY3/24E P/E (up from 20x), vs 5-year avg. of 20x, as we believe the worst has passed for HK retail industry.</li><li>Outperformed in HK and we are more positive about 2H3/23E.</li></ul>Content is external broker report sourced from online content aggregator through publicly available sources and is displayed below for general informational purposes only. Refer full disclaimer below.

We updated with management and believe SSS should return to growth and margin should further improve in 2H3/23E, despite the weak economic growth in HK and massive covid-19 outbreaks in GZ in Nov 2022.We maintain BUY but cut TP to HK$ 15.12, based on 22x FY3/24E P/E (up from 20x), vs 5-year avg. of 20x, as we believe the worst has passed for HK retail industry.Outperformed in HK and we are more positive about 2H3/23E.Content is external broker report sourced from online content aggregator through publicly available sources and is displayed below for general informational purposes only. Refer full disclaimer below.

Cafe De Coral (341 HK) – Light at the end of the tunnel

Hong Kong

Cafe De Coral Holdings Limited, through its subsidiaries, operates quick service restaurants, fast casual dining, institutional catering and specialty restaurant chains, and food manufacturing business.

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Cafe De Coral Holdings (341 HK)

China Catering Sector – Staying cautious after a disappointing 2Q23E

Numbers for catering sector did rebound strongly YoY, but since SSS/ table turnover recovery rate were not as good as expected, de-rating was...

CMB International

Cafe De Coral (341 HK) – Turnaround Is Here but Weaker than Expected

While the management is still keeping their 3-year target (HSD pre-tax margin by FY25E), we are more prudent than them. We maintain BUY but cut TP...

CMB International

China Consumer Sector – A Strong Comeback in 5-1 Golden Week

Impressive recovery vs Feb-Apr 2023, while both consumer and investors sentiment should be boosted, the post holidays purchasing power is still...

CMB International

Cafe De Coral (341 HK) – Light at the end of the tunnel

We updated with management and believe SSS should return to growth and margin should further improve in 2H3/23E, despite the weak economic growth...

CMB International

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