Asian Equities Analyst, Logistics & Transport, Tracking Traffic

Daniel Hellberg

Asian Equities Analyst, Logistics & Transport

Tracking Traffic

Focusing on Asian logistics, transportation, and travel companies

Equity Capital Markets

Cainiao Smart Logistics Network / Equity Capital Markets

<ul>
<li>Business model: how does CaiNiao get paid, and by whom, and for what?</li>
<li>Key relationships with parent Alibaba and with China's listed express companies</li>
<li>Differentiators: what makes CaiNiao different from other e-comm logistics names?</li>
</ul>


Business model: how does CaiNiao get paid, and by whom, and for what?
Key relationships with parent Alibaba and with China's listed express companies
Differentiators: what makes CaiNiao different from other e-comm logistics names?


CaiNiao Smart Logistics Pre-IPO Part 1 | Business Model | Key Relationships | Differentiators

Overseas Chinese Equities, Aequitas Research

Ming Lu

Overseas Chinese Equities

IPOs and Placements coverage across Asia Pacific

Aequitas Research

We cover all listing across the Asia Pacific along with follow-up placements. As of Dec 2020, our team had covered 539 IPOs with a hit rate of 73.5% and 685 placements with a hit rate of 66.8%.

We combine fundamental bottom-up views with our proprietary quantitative framework to provide a holistic coverage across new listings and placements. Our coverage includes pre-IPO notes before the deal is launched, follow-up analysis once the deal is live and post-listing trading analysis as well.

<ul>
<li>We talk about what we see and hear here on the ground, that the company may not mention in its prospectus.</li>
<li>We believe Cainiao has the ambition to take the whole logistics chain from retailers’ doors to shoppers’ doors since the company’s inception.</li>
<li>We also believe Cainiao has been trying to take competitors’ market share by taking their client lists.</li>
</ul>


We talk about what we see and hear here on the ground, that the company may not mention in its prospectus.
We believe Cainiao has the ambition to take the whole logistics chain from retailers’ doors to shoppers’ doors since the company’s inception.
We also believe Cainiao has been trying to take competitors’ market share by taking their client lists.


Cainiao Pre-IPO: An on the Ground Introduction

Head of Research, IPOs & Placements, Aequitas Research

Sumeet Singh

Head of Research, IPOs & Placements

<ul>
<li>
<a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/cainiao-smart-logistics-network-ltd" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="entities:36859:1" rel="noopener">Cainiao Smart Logistics</a>, <a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/alibaba-group-holding-ltd-d7b798e2-202d-4e01-9a1e-799e2ae8f0c7" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="entities:28434:1" rel="noopener">Alibaba Group Holding (9988 HK)</a>’s logistics linked arm, is planning to raise at least US$1bn in its Hong Kong IPO.</li>
<li>Cainiao is the largest provider of cross-border e-commerce logistics services globally and a leader in China logistics services, according to CIC.</li>
<li>In this note, we talk about the not-so-positive aspects of the deal.</li>
</ul>



Cainiao Smart Logistics, Alibaba Group Holding (9988 HK)’s logistics linked arm, is planning to raise at least US$1bn in its Hong Kong IPO.
Cainiao is the largest provider of cross-border e-commerce logistics services globally and a leader in China logistics services, according to CIC.
In this note, we talk about the not-so-positive aspects of the deal.


Cainiao Pre-IPO - The Negatives - Growth Still Driven by China Ops, Pricing Pressure Persists

<ul>
<li>
<a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/cainiao-smart-logistics-network-ltd" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="entities:36859:1" rel="noopener">Cainiao Smart Logistics (1437124D HK)</a> 's March 2023 quarterly and full-year results can be found within Alibaba's full-year earnings report, which was released on Thursday May 18</li>
<li>In both the March quarter and its fiscal year, CaiNiao showed improved Adjusted EBITDA results, though in both periods the tech-centric logistics network still reported losses</li>
<li>Revenue growth slowed to 18% Y/Y in the March quarter, and parent <a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/alibaba-group-holding-ltd" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="entities:787:1" rel="noopener">Alibaba (ADR) (BABA US)</a> indicated CaiNiao will target an IPO in 2024, a bit later than some expected</li>
</ul>



Cainiao Smart Logistics (1437124D HK) 's March 2023 quarterly and full-year results can be found within Alibaba's full-year earnings report, which was released on Thursday May 18
In both the March quarter and its fiscal year, CaiNiao showed improved Adjusted EBITDA results, though in both periods the tech-centric logistics network still reported losses
Revenue growth slowed to 18% Y/Y in the March quarter, and parent Alibaba (ADR) (BABA US) indicated CaiNiao will target an IPO in 2024, a bit later than some expected


Full-Year Results for Alibaba's CaiNiao: Reduced Losses, Slower Growth, and A (Likely) 2024 IPO

<ul>
<li>
<a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/alibaba-group-holding-ltd" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="entities:787:1" rel="noopener">Alibaba (ADR) (BABA US)</a>'s multi-faceted logistics unit <a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/cainiao-smart-logistics-network-ltd" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="entities:36859:1" rel="noopener">Cainiao Smart Logistics (1437124D HK)</a> may seek an IPO in Hong Kong before the end of 2023, according to media reports</li>
<li>In this piece we look at why CaiNiao is being spun off <em>now</em>, what the company actually does (and doesn't do), what its likely comps are, and more</li>
<li>CaiNiao is unique, but we can begin to understand its position and its valuation by comparing it to <a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/jd-logistics" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="entities:31500:1" rel="noopener">JD Logistics (2618 HK)</a> and <a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/maanshan-dingtai-rare-a" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="entities:4128:1" rel="noopener">S.F. Holding (002352 CH)</a>
</li>
</ul>



Alibaba (ADR) (BABA US)'s multi-faceted logistics unit Cainiao Smart Logistics (1437124D HK) may seek an IPO in Hong Kong before the end of 2023, according to media reports
In this piece we look at why CaiNiao is being spun off now, what the company actually does (and doesn't do), what its likely comps are, and more
CaiNiao is unique, but we can begin to understand its position and its valuation by comparing it to JD Logistics (2618 HK) and S.F. Holding (002352 CH)



TRACKING TRAFFIC/Alibaba Logistics Arm CaiNiao May Seek HK IPO Soon

Hong Kong

Cainiao Smart Logistics Network Ltd. operates as an investment company. The Company provides equity investments, investment management, and other services. Cainiao Smart Logistics Network is located in Hong Kong.

Cainiao Smart Logistics Network (1437124D HK)

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Cainiao Smart Logistics Network (1437124D HK)

CaiNiao Smart Logistics Pre-IPO Part 1 | Business Model | Key Relationships | Differentiators

In this insight we look at CaiNiao's busines model, its relationships with Alibaba and the express companies, and the ways in which it...

Tracking Traffic

Cainiao Pre-IPO: An on the Ground Introduction

We believe Cainiao has the ambition to take the whole logistics chain from retailers’ doors to shoppers’ doors by taking competitors' client lists...

Ming Lu

Cainiao Pre-IPO - The Negatives - Growth Still Driven by China Ops, Pricing Pressure Persists

Cainiao, Alibaba Group Holding (9988 HK)’s logistics linked arm, is planning to raise at least US$1bn in its Hong Kong IPO. In this note, we talk...

Sumeet Singh

Full-Year Results for Alibaba's CaiNiao: Reduced Losses, Slower Growth, and A (Likely) 2024 IPO

In response to the news CaiNiao Smart Logistics has applied to list its shares in Hong Kong, we're re-upping this insight

Tracking Traffic

TRACKING TRAFFIC/Alibaba Logistics Arm CaiNiao May Seek HK IPO Soon

In response to the news CaiNiao Smart Logistics has applied to list its shares in Hong Kong, we're re-upping this insight

Tracking Traffic

Price Gauge

52-week Range

Market Cap (USDm)

P/E

Dividend (Yield)