Asian Equities Analyst, Logistics & Transport, Tracking Traffic

Daniel Hellberg

Asian Equities Analyst, Logistics & Transport

Tracking Traffic

Focusing on Asian logistics, transportation, and travel companies

Equity Capital Markets

J&T Global Express / Equity Capital Markets

<ul>
<li>In this insight we preview J&amp;T's maiden earnings report as a listed company</li>
<li>We focus on revenue growth &amp; margin trends in the China &amp; SE Asia businesses</li>
<li>We fear slowing organic growth &amp; margin deterioration could spook investors</li>
</ul>


In this insight we preview J&amp;T's maiden earnings report as a listed company
We focus on revenue growth &amp; margin trends in the China &amp; SE Asia businesses
We fear slowing organic growth &amp; margin deterioration could spook investors


J&T Global Express FY23 Earnings Preview | Revenue Growth & Margin | China, SE Asia, 'Other'

Equity Bottom-Up

<ul>
<li>In November, domestic parcel volume growth accelerated vs recent months</li>
<li>International remains very strong; STO keeps taking share from Yunda</li>
<li>Avoid domestic 'ground' segment, seek international growth in SF, CaiNiao</li>
</ul>


In November, domestic parcel volume growth accelerated vs recent months
International remains very strong; STO keeps taking share from Yunda
Avoid domestic 'ground' segment, seek international growth in SF, CaiNiao


Monthly Chinese Express Tracker | Prices Keep Sliding, Volume Share Keeps Shifting (December 2023)

SHEIN Global Holdings / Equity Capital Markets

<ul>
<li>Since SEC operates in US executive branch, Congress lacks power to stop IPOs</li>
<li>But by passing new laws, Congress could potentially undermine SHEIN's IPO</li>
<li>Given current political climate in the US, SHEIN IPO faces real political risks</li>
</ul>


Since SEC operates in US executive branch, Congress lacks power to stop IPOs
But by passing new laws, Congress could potentially undermine SHEIN's IPO
Given current political climate in the US, SHEIN IPO faces real political risks


Could US Lawmakers Actually Stop SHEIN's US IPO? No, But They Sure Could Make Things Difficult

<ul>
<li>Recently, Yunda Holding has lost volume share to rival STO Express </li>
<li>One reason could be Alibaba's transfer of its 25% stake in STO to CaiNiao</li>
<li>For Yunda, this dynamic adds to intense near-term pressure on margins</li>
</ul>


Recently, Yunda Holding has lost volume share to rival STO Express 
One reason could be Alibaba's transfer of its 25% stake in STO to CaiNiao
For Yunda, this dynamic adds to intense near-term pressure on margins


Beyond ASP Declines, Additional Dynamic Undermines Yunda | We Explain Roles of STO, BABA, CaiNiao

Overseas Chinese Equities, Aequitas Research

Ming Lu

Overseas Chinese Equities

IPOs and Placements coverage across Asia Pacific

Aequitas Research

We cover all listing across the Asia Pacific along with follow-up placements. As of Dec 2020, our team had covered 539 IPOs with a hit rate of 73.5% and 685 placements with a hit rate of 66.8%.

We combine fundamental bottom-up views with our proprietary quantitative framework to provide a holistic coverage across new listings and placements. Our coverage includes pre-IPO notes before the deal is launched, follow-up analysis once the deal is live and post-listing trading analysis as well.

<ul>
<li>BYD offers a reward up to RMB5 million for reporting defamation.</li>
<li>NIO denied further layoff after releasing the 3Q23 results with both revenue and loss increasing significantly.</li>
<li>Meituan’s GMV of live broadcasting food delivery reached RMB2 billion.</li>
</ul>


BYD offers a reward up to RMB5 million for reporting defamation.
NIO denied further layoff after releasing the 3Q23 results with both revenue and loss increasing significantly.
Meituan’s GMV of live broadcasting food delivery reached RMB2 billion.


China Consumption Weekly (11 Dec 2023): BYD, NIO, Meituan, Alibaba, Tencent

Hong Kong

Cainiao Smart Logistics Network Ltd. operates as an investment company. The Company provides equity investments, investment management, and other services. Cainiao Smart Logistics Network is located in Hong Kong.

Cainiao Smart Logistics Network (1437124D HK)

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52-week Range	0.00 - 0.00
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Cainiao Smart Logistics Network (1437124D HK)

J&T Global Express FY23 Earnings Preview | Revenue Growth & Margin | China, SE Asia, 'Other'

In our preview of the newly-listed express company's full-year and H223 earnings, we explain why we expect to see slowing organic revenue growth...

Tracking Traffic

Could US Lawmakers Actually Stop SHEIN's US IPO? No, But They Sure Could Make Things Difficult

US lawmakers are making noise about "blocking" SHEIN's expected US IPO. Though they do not have a formal role in the IPO process, lawmakers could...

Tracking Traffic

Beyond ASP Declines, Additional Dynamic Undermines Yunda | We Explain Roles of STO, BABA, CaiNiao

A loss of volume share to rival STO is adding to existing margin pressure at Yunda related to declining prices. This new dynamic could be related...

Tracking Traffic

China Consumption Weekly (11 Dec 2023): BYD, NIO, Meituan, Alibaba, Tencent

BYD offers a reward up to RMB5 million for reporting defamation. NIO denied further layoff. Meituan’s GMV of live broadcasting food delivery...

Ming Lu

Price Gauge

52-week Range

Market Cap (USDm)

P/E

Dividend (Yield)

J&T Global Express FY23 Earnings Preview | Revenue Growth & Margin | China, SE Asia, 'Other'

In our preview of the newly-listed express company's full-year and H223 earnings, we explain why we expect to see slowing organic revenue growth...

Tracking Traffic

Monthly Chinese Express Tracker | Prices Keep Sliding, Volume Share Keeps Shifting (December 2023)

Although domestic parcel volume has strengthened in recent months, pricing continues to weaken, and China's 'sort & transport' express companies...

Tracking Traffic

Could US Lawmakers Actually Stop SHEIN's US IPO? No, But They Sure Could Make Things Difficult

US lawmakers are making noise about "blocking" SHEIN's expected US IPO. Though they do not have a formal role in the IPO process, lawmakers could...

Tracking Traffic

Beyond ASP Declines, Additional Dynamic Undermines Yunda | We Explain Roles of STO, BABA, CaiNiao

A loss of volume share to rival STO is adding to existing margin pressure at Yunda related to declining prices. This new dynamic could be related...

Tracking Traffic

China Consumption Weekly (11 Dec 2023): BYD, NIO, Meituan, Alibaba, Tencent

BYD offers a reward up to RMB5 million for reporting defamation. NIO denied further layoff. Meituan’s GMV of live broadcasting food delivery...

Ming Lu